Skip to comments.Chafee Watch [switch to Independent next week?]
Posted on 06/22/2006 2:46:39 PM PDT by Gothmog
Next week is a big one for Senator Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island: He must decide whether he's going to run for re-election as a Republican or as an independent. The deadline is 4 pm on Wednesday almost exactly a week from right now. If Chafee doesn't believe he can win the GOP primary against challenger Steven Laffey, he may decide to forgo the whole thing and create a three-way race between himself, Laffey, and presumptive Democratic nominee Sheldon Whitehouse. This would create an interesting dilemma for Elizabeth Dole and the NRSC, which has already pumped a lot of cash into Chafee's re-election: Would they still support a guy who doesn't want to compete for their own party's nod?Under Rhode Island law, Chafee wouldn't actually have to drop his formal Republican affiliation: He could still say that he's a member of the party, but that he's not seeking its nomination. This may not pass the smell test, but since when has Chafee ever been required by Washington's GOP establishment to pass the smell test?
Interesting. I had no idea Laffey was doing so well. If he wasn't there would be no speculation.
Now he's that really vacant stupid one right?
Since Chaffee rode point for the crowd looking for a quick way out of Iraq...
If I were Dole, I would ask for the money back...saying he STOLE those funds by pretending to be a Republican.
Or...just cut their loses...and get more funds..and possibly Pres. Bush to endorse Laffey.
which is exactly why the NRSC will never see another dime of my money. I'LL DECIDE where my hard-earned dollars will go.
RI is just a province of MA.
Chafee is the reason I did not contribute to the NRSC this year... I'm targeting all my donations to specific candidates... and Steve Laffey is one of them.
I believe Chaffee voted for either Kerry's cut and run bill or the other one (forgot who sponsored it)
I do not like what Elizabeth Dole has done at the NRSC.
"He chose poorly."
Too bad he didn't share the same consequence for that as the guy in the movie.
Leapin' Linc Chafee Dish voted for the cut-and-jog resolution. Russ el-Slimeroad and Ketchup Boy couldn't even get a majority of the DemonRATs to vote for their retreat-and-defeat one.
It would make very little sense for Chafee to run as an Independent. There is no chance he could win as an Independent if he cannot win the GOP primary in the first place. The Democrats planning to vote for Whitehouse will stick with Whitehouse regardless and he's already polling in the low 40s. Any Republicans who would vote Laffey in the GOP primary certainly aren't gonna suddenly 'see the light' and vote for Chafee as an Independent over Laffey as the Republican nominee. That would be absurd. So, it's just stupid IMO for Chafee to think he'd be better off running as an Independent. No way.
I hope he switches to independent. He and the Democrat will split the liberal vote and the Republican will get all the conservative votes. We may end up with a real Republican as a senator!
It's unfortunate that Chafee isn't man enough to join up with the communists.
Isn't Chaffee leading that race easily?
He was one of the 39 that voted for Levin's "no fixed timetable" bill--I believe the only (alleged) Republican to do so. Jumpin' Jim Jeffords voted for it as well.
Liddy Dole, are you listening? He backstabbed your President, he broke ranks with your party. Are you still going to give him your time and money? I wouldn't.
"voted for Levin's"
Lame. If he does this he'd be a sore loser, and only reaffirm the corruptive influence political power has on many of our country's leaders.
Hey, I didn't make the two party system, and I didn't make the rules, but it's just bad sport to say that after all these terms serving his party and his state that, when the time comes that the members of the party lean towards not re-electing him that he would run as an independent and ensure that the seat goes to the opposition. Bad sportsmanship.
I can tolerate a lot of crap if a guy votes to organize the Senate Republican, because that gives us the committee chairs and majorities as well as Majority Leader, but as Hugh Hewitt says, the guy's got to get at least one of the big issues right, which Chafee hasn't. And his war vote this week was just another stick in the eye of R.I. pubbies.
I think the guy's toast. Who would vote for him as an Indy??? Not the Dems, who desperately want the Senate. Certainly not pubbies, if he's not even gonna vote for a pubbie Senate anymore.
After his vote today he might as well switch over to the Dem's.
Might be a good trade off to take Lieberman for Chaffee.
I give money to the Club for Growth, which is a lot closer to what the RNC should be than the RNC is.
Mrs Dole is only interested in the DC social life and fund raising parties. She doesn't have a clue about how the grassroots conservatives feel.
LOL. Yeah, that too.
Chafee the Republican [John J. Miller]
Brian Nick of the NRSC, in a phone conversation a minute ago: "There is no possibility that Chafee will run as an independent." We'll know for sure by next Wednesday afternoon.
Chafee knows he's toast if he had to get his wife to do that.
Liz Dole is your typical RNC Rockefeller country clubber I wouldn't vote for her for dogcatcher.
Chaffee should just cut the BS and do what he really wants to do...join the Democrat party. He's no Conservative and is so far left of Joe Lieberman that Lieberman would need a telescope to see him.
He will join the Donks... but only when it is advantageous to him to do so... If he gets re-elected and the Senate is a 50-50 GOP/Donk split, he will change parties... Or in 2008, if the Donk's take back the White House and the Senate is 51-49 GOP/Donk, he will change parties. He's an opportunist, just like Jim Jeffords... the only reason there is an (R) next to his name right now, is that the R's are the party in power in the Senate.
If Chafee is smart, he'll come up with an excuse to not run at all. Otherwise, I have a sneaky feeling he's going down and we'll enjoy the hell out of the payback.
On another note, I wish Lieberman would pick this time to switch to the GOP.
Not harsh enough... if I may be so bold. ;)
The Rode Island Senate race is becoming like the CT Senate race. Incumbent Senators being seriously challenged by the "Red Meat Eaters" of the parties. If the incumbent Senators switch to Independents, those Senate races become tossups for all parties involved.
If Lieberman runs as an Independent I think that'll be a pure Toss Up, but if Chafee runs as an Independent I think that'll be Likely Dem. I just don't see how Chafee gets the math to work out as an Independent if he cannot win the GOP primary. In Lieberman's case, he'd get a lot of GOP votes, but for Chafee I don't see why any Dems who are now planning to vote for Whitehouse would switch to Chafee just because he ran as an Independent, and certainly no Laffey voters would switch to Chafee for that reason.
If Chafee cannot get a majority of the GOP leaning vote and also cannot get a majority of the Dem leaning vote then I see no way he can win as an Independent. The math just doesn't work out.
"Not harsh enough... if I may be so bold. ;)"
You may indeed!
"Now he's that really vacant stupid one right?"
You're gonna have to be a little more specific than that. Vacant and stupid describe 99.9% of the Democratic side of the aisle. But yes, he does look vacant and stupid. :)
It makes a huge amount of sense. It will mean that the Dem candidate has a good chance of winning in a divided field. Which means that Chafee can blackmail the pubs into making the Pub challenger drop out, or failing that, can secure a plum job from some big Dem doner in exchange for his treason to his party
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