Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Global Cooling? [1998-2005 data shows cooling trend]
ACUF ^ | 6/24/6 | Dennis Avery

Posted on 06/30/2006 12:10:35 PM PDT by ZGuy

The official thermometers at the U.S. National Climate Data Center show a slight global cooling trend over the last seven years, from 1998 to 2005.

Actually, global warming is likely to continue—but the interruption of the recent strong warming trend sharply undercuts the argument that our global warming is an urgent, man-made emergency. The seven-year decline makes our warming look much more like the moderate, erratic warming to be expected when the planet naturally shifts from a Little Ice Age (1300–1850 AD) to a centuries-long warm phase like the Medieval Warming (950–1300 AD) or the Roman Warming (200 BC– 600 AD).

The stutter in the temperature rise should rein in some of the more apoplectic cries of panic over man-made greenhouse emissions. The strong 28-year upward trend of 1970–1998 has apparently ended.

Fred Singer, a well-known skeptic on man-made warming, points out that the latest cooling trend is dictated primarily by a very warm El Nino year in 1998. “When you start your graph with 1998,” he says, “you will necessarily get a cooling trend.”

Bob Carter, a paleoclimatologist from Australia, notes that the earth also had strong global warming between 1918 and 1940. Then there was a long cooling period from 1940 to 1965. He points out that the current warming started 50 years before cars and industries began spewing consequential amounts of CO2. Then the planet cooled for 35 years just after the CO2 levels really began to surge. In fact, says Carter, there doesn’t seem to be much correlation between temperatures and man-made CO2.

For context, Carter offers a quick review of earth’s last 6 million years. The planet began that period with 3 million years in which the climate was several degrees warmer than today. Then came 3 million years in which the planet was basically cooling, accompanied by an increase in the magnitude and regularity of the earth’s 1500-year Dansgaard-Oeschger climate cycles.

Speaking of the 1500-year climate cycles, grab an Internet peek at the earth’s official temperatures since 1850. They describe a long, gentle S-curve, with the below-mean temperatures of the Little Ice Age gradually giving way to the above-the-mean temperatures we should expect during a Modern Warming.

Carter points out that since the early 1990s, the First World’s media have featured “an increasing stream of alarmist letters and articles on hypothetical, human-caused climate change. Each such alarmist article is larded with words such as ‘if’, ‘might,’ ‘could,’ ‘probably,’ ‘perhaps,’ ‘expected,’ ‘projected’ or ‘modeled’—and many . . . are akin to nonsense.”

Carter also warns that global cooling—not likely for some centuries yet—is likely to be far harsher for humans than the Modern Warming. He says, “our modern societies have developed during the last 10,000 years of benignly warm, interglacial climate. But for more than 90 percent of the last 2 million years, the climate has been colder, and generally much colder, than today. The reality of the climate record is that a sudden natural cooling is more to be feared, and will do infinitely more social and economic damage, than the late 20th century phase of gentle warming.”

Since the earth is always warming or cooling, let’s applaud the Modern Warming, and hope that the next ice age is a long time coming.


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: climatechange

1 posted on 06/30/2006 12:10:37 PM PDT by ZGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

An inconvenient truth.........for Algore.......


2 posted on 06/30/2006 12:11:28 PM PDT by Red Badger (Follow an IROC long enough and sooner or later you will wind up in a trailer park..........)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

3 posted on 06/30/2006 12:13:54 PM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

"I voted against global warming before I voted against global cooling."

4 posted on 06/30/2006 12:14:14 PM PDT by Turbopilot (iumop ap!sdn w,I 'aw dlaH)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

Oh puh_leeez. The earth has been the same tempreture for 4 billion years before the SUV was invented.


5 posted on 06/30/2006 12:16:50 PM PDT by Always Right
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

After the 300 yrs. of the 'Little Ice Age', the climate returned to normal in as little as one decade. The next ice age could come like a thief in the night.

Has anyone noticed that your hottest days come in advance of a cold front?


6 posted on 06/30/2006 12:18:33 PM PDT by wolfcreek
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bigg Red

mark


7 posted on 06/30/2006 12:20:34 PM PDT by Bigg Red (Never trust Democrats with national security.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: wolfcreek

In the sixties and seventies it was global freezing. Remember how most of Canada would be under an ice sheet twelve months a year by 2000? Forgot huh? Then there was the Population Bomb that was going to go off around the year 2000. The world would run out of food.

Both of these crises NEEDED big government to avert the end of the world. Remember?

People have such short memories.


8 posted on 06/30/2006 12:22:31 PM PDT by kjo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

This can't be true. Why, 19 "leading climatologists" just told USA Today that Algore's movie is 100% correct, except for the part where he gets the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets mixed up.


9 posted on 06/30/2006 12:22:41 PM PDT by Argus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy
Interesting. We arrived in the Frozen North in late June of 1986, and on Independence Day it was over 100 degrees. I had to take my youngest daughter home with heat exhaustion. The following summer was similar.
Since the early 90s temps have noticeably cooled, to the point where so far this summer the temps have averaged in the mid to upper 60s and have only occasionally gone into the 70s. Furthermore, in this officially semiarid region, it it's not raining or showering, it's smoking (forest fires). Something to think about, just for the record.
10 posted on 06/30/2006 12:27:57 PM PDT by ArmyTeach (NOT ON MY WATCH!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

Don't you see this is evidence that Algore's steadfast campaign is working?

We still need that 50 cent/gallon tax increase, right Al?


11 posted on 06/30/2006 12:28:42 PM PDT by Kenny500c
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

Big deal. Thermometers. Phooey.

More trustworthy are complicated "models" that keep grant money flowing to climatologists who'll play the game.

/sarc


12 posted on 06/30/2006 12:30:30 PM PDT by Shermy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kjo
People have such short memories.

Not Trekies.   One of the early STNG episodes had Picard et al visiting a planet that froze over because the local people didn't care enough.

Anyone remember Pat Paulsen saying "Ronald Reagan will make this country what it once was --a vast frozen wasteland!!! (rimshot)

13 posted on 06/30/2006 12:31:11 PM PDT by expat_panama
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy
It's almost impossible to have a reasoned debate on this topic; since it's become a presumed "moral" issue, and also is shaping up to be a wedge issue for the U.S. Presidential election.

One thing I've found effective is to challenge "Goreian" global-warming chicken-littles to put their money where their mouth is. Gore bought "Certified Emission Reduction Credits" to make his air travel promoting his slide show and movie "carbon neutral". Tell anyone who insists that this is a crisis and that we have to "do something"; that they can copy Gore; and refer them to the "Survey of Offset Services" at this site:

http://www.freerepublic.com/perl/post?id=1658580%2C1

The price of these "offsets" is about what we would be paying Russia, etc. under Kyoto. Tell them to "put up or shut up". Most won't put up (or shut up either, unfortunately) -- those who do are deluded; but, at least they gain my respect for demonstrating their sincerity. I don't care if they waste their money -- just so long as they don't force me to waste my money too (as Kyoto would have done).
14 posted on 06/30/2006 12:46:46 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

UT OH....looks like Algore got it all backassward....he meant to say the earth is cooling down....not heating up.....(checking his notes to see what he said...."Kerry ordered a new pair of flip flops"...."Mrs. Kerry needs another batch of raisins"...."Clinton needs me to lie about his whereabouts again"...."Oh yeah, I was suppost to call Hillary back"....nope, no notes in here that said he said the wrong thing.....must have said the right thing.....but got it wrong again....


15 posted on 06/30/2006 12:47:24 PM PDT by HarleyLady27 (My ? to libs: "Do they ever shut up on your planet?" "Grow your own DOPE: Plant a LIB!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
My apologies -- that was clearly the wrong URL. Here's the right one:

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2006/03/survey_of_carbo.php

As you can see by the name; it's a "treehugger" site -- your moonbat friends won't be able to accuse you of referring them to some sort of "oil cabal sponsored, right-wing propaganda site". (Not that I mind such sites :-) )
16 posted on 06/30/2006 12:51:35 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

.....


17 posted on 06/30/2006 12:51:50 PM PDT by maine-iac7 (LINCOLN: "...but you can't fool all of the people all of the time>")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

Last year was the coldest in many, I wore long pants for almost 5 weeks last winter.


18 posted on 06/30/2006 12:53:46 PM PDT by dalereed
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


19 posted on 06/30/2006 1:11:13 PM PDT by M. Dodge Thomas (More of the same, only with more zeros at the end.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Turbopilot

Great comment.

ALGORE says we are all going to die in 10 years. What an idiot.


20 posted on 06/30/2006 2:20:01 PM PDT by GeorgefromGeorgia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy
Does any of this global warming BS ever consider that the sun's output has varied greatly over time. We had several ice ages where most of the planet was frozen before there could have been any significant human intervention ...what caused those? Why do we have a record of great climate changes in relatively recent history that again occurred before there was any industrialization? These are the inconvenient truths that Al Gore conveniently misses.
21 posted on 06/30/2006 2:22:03 PM PDT by The Great RJ ("Mir wölle bleiwen wat mir sin" or "We want to remain what we are." ..Luxembourg motto)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

Don't do anything! Leave the global warming/cooling alone as a booby trap for the Tali Ban. Shortly after they take over the world,,,,POOF! KABOOM! It's all over.


22 posted on 06/30/2006 5:10:11 PM PDT by Waco
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ZGuy

Bookmarked


23 posted on 06/30/2006 9:06:14 PM PDT by chaosagent (Remember, no matter how you slice it, forbidden fruit still tastes the sweetest!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson