Skip to comments.'06 Senate Picture Changes a Bit
Posted on 07/02/2006 12:05:44 AM PDT by YaYa123
The fight for control of the House is getting more ink than the battle for control of the Senate, but several recent shifts in individual Senate races merit attention. All year, talk about the Democrats' chances of taking the Senate has focused on the five most endangered Republican incumbents.
They are, roughly in order of vulnerability, Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, Conrad Burns of Montana, Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island, Mike DeWine of Ohio, and Jim Talent of Missouri. The discussions then turn to the second tier of vulnerable Republicans, speculating whether Democrats can perhaps pick up a sixth seat (the most likely prospect is the open seat in Tennessee that Majority Leader Bill Frist is vacating) and whether they will be able to hold on to all of their own Senate seats. The open seat in Minnesota and Maria Cantwell's seat in Washington state are the Democrats' biggest vulnerabilities
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Why is Talent in trouble?
"This election is certainly not over but events or circumstances will need to fundamentally change the existing equation for President Bush to win a second term."
Don't know...he's been trailing consistently in the polls.
He cites no polls. Just gum flapping n speculation.
But--but he's well-respected! =(
Charlie Cook, along with Stuart Rothenberg don't have a clue. They are both Democrat shrills, but try to cover it up as best they can. They were wrong in 2000, 2002 and 2004, and they are both wrong about 2006. They will both look like fools after election day in November. These are the guys that predicted Tom Delay would face a "stiff" primary challenge (Delay slaughtered his primary opponents), and that the 50th congressional district in San Diego would go Democrat (It did not). These two guys like Chris Mattthews and Howard Fineman are just about as dumb as one can get. They both live only in the Democrat and MSM bubble. Ask either of them to tell you some demographics on NASCAR, etc. Neither has a clue. End of story!!!
(( ping ))
Uh-huh. And global cooling in general and perhaps the commencement of glaciation was believed to be imminent in the early 70's on Earth Day.
We'll see what happens in the Senate in November.
One thing for certain, November will be here before we know it. Charlie Cook has this to say in a Recent Cook Report:
"From my own e-mail inbox and perusing popular Web sites, I see many, both on the left and right, who refuse to believe any data that is critical or provides bad news for their side, but will then jump on the flimsiest poll numbers if they are favorable, as if sent down from the heavens on tablets of stone. I suppose it is selective perception -- people see or believe what they want, and discredit what they choose not to believe."
I don't know what's going to happen, but I sure don't feel cocky about the Senate. If Dems take either the Senate or the House, George Bush is going to have a living hell for the next two years.
And if this should prove true, watch the entire Dumb Party go into near-psychotic tilt, as "the Bush/Rove fraud machine steals another election".
But, unlike women, Dumbs are NOT beautiful when they are angry...
You're right! I'm looking for some divine intervention for the Republicans in November (Santorum especially here in PA).
I guess I believe in that kind of thing ever since I was thirteen and Bill Mazeroski hit the homerun over the left field wall in the bottom of the ninth in the seventh game to bury the mighty, "unbeatable" New York Yankees in the 1960 World Series.
The GOP hasnt been listenning to the base. The general attitude has always been that the base will come around at the time of elections. I dont think so this year.
Watching the spineless ones has turned off a lot of conservative voters. There is a total lack of leadership within the GOP at this time.
I don't know anything of Jim Talent's race, but I did find this for you:
Missouri U.S. Senate: Talent 47%, McCaskill 46%
July 2, 2006
"- Incumbent Jim Talent holds a slight advantage in the Show Me State, according to the latest poll by Zogby Interactive. 47 per cent of respondents in Missouri would vote for the Republican in the election to the U.S. Senate, while 46 per cent would support Democrat Claire McCaskill.
Talent was first elected to the U.S. Senate in a 2002 special election, defeating Democrat Jean Carnahanthe widow of former governor Mel Carnahanwith 52 per cent of all cast ballots. Talent had previously served in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1993 to 2001.
McCaskill has served as Missouris state auditor since 1998. She lost the 2004 gubernatorial election to Republican Matt Blunt by 2.9 percentage points.
Talent and McCaskill are widely expected to earn their respective nominations in the Aug. 8 primary ballot. The election is scheduled for Nov. 7."
There is nothing wrong with House Members it's Senate that needs a cleaning out of the likes of Specter, Graham, McCain.
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