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Israel And The Yugoslavian Blueprint
07/13/2006 | By Randy A. Sprinkle

Posted on 07/13/2006 8:48:33 AM PDT by inpajamas

To those familiar with the events in Yugoslavia in recent years and the NATO operations against the Serbian people, those events should be taken into consideration as a possible model for future actions against other nations and in particular, Israel.

Recently in an article entitled “EU will use NATO to take Israel” by Emanuel A. Winston - a researcher for the Freeman Center for Strategic Studies; he laid out a case scenario in which such action could take place.

While parts of the article seemed unrealistic for the moment the basic premises raised concern that at a later date if a few circumstances were to change something similar could be possible, even if under a slightly different scenario including the possible use of other multinational forces other than NATO.

That different scenario could be the “Yugoslavian blueprint” and it could expedite international intervention into the Mid-East conflict. Today the left rages about the war in Iraq. However, many of their accusations hold true in context to an earlier administration many of them defended - and to an unjust war waged against a people under siege of radical Islamic militants.

The Yugoslavian Blueprint

The MSM methodically turned the Serbs into the new “Nazis of our time while portraying Islamic radicals as victims of genocide and ethnic cleansing. While I would not excuse genocide or any crimes against humanity committed by anyone, there was much more to be told that went virtually untold and other things reported that were not true.

The NYT ran an article in 1999 titled: “NATO Peacekeepers Plan a System of Controls for the News Media in Kosovo” - the bottomline: censorship and processed news with a biased slant - “All the news that’s print to fit“. The world was told international intervention was necessary as a humanitarian effort to keep the radical Serbs from committing genocide and eradicating poor oppressed Islamic people (terrorist).

Is it possible that the Arabs are going to do the same thing in the Middle-East? - That is; use terrorist actions and gorilla warfare to provoke a conflict in which the media will portray the civilian population as victims which must be saved by international intervention. If terrorist groups can escalate the conflict enough to create such great hardships upon civilians then calls will go out for measures to be taken on an international level as a humanitarian effort.

Although there are some similarities when comparing circumstances, there are also some things (things other than Monica) that are different about the Israeli situation and the one involving the Serbs at the time of the Clinton orchestrated NATO action:

1.) The Serbs were charged with genocide on a large scale; although actual evidence has been far less than the grand scale reported in the MSM to justify the NATO bombings. Israel’s detractors have attempted to paint Israelis with the same brush but due to the careful restraints of the Israeli government the best the media can muster thus far is “oppression”. This is why terrorist must provoke Israel into a larger conflict that will create massive civilian deaths and human suffering in order to get the photos they need in order to create world wide sympathy. (If they get the photos the MSM will do the rest)

2.) Even if in time there becomes enough support for international intervention then there is this - Israel is not Serbia. Israel has a powerful military and a nuclear arsenal. No one will be in any hurry to invade Israel or to order NATO or any other military actions against the state.

3.) There is also another difference that until now has worked in favor of Israel but in time could work against. The US opposed the Serbian government and determined regime change while Russia was opposed to actions against the Serbs. Serbia was a Russian ally and there was no way Russia was going to support action against the Serbs. US support is not as unified for Israel as Russian support was for Serbia and Russia also has no particular affection for Israel.

It is true Israel has supporters in the US but it also has detractors and people who favor Israel but who support harmful policies. The political pendulum swings from left to right in the US, also international intervention can be sold to a number of uniformed people who are sympathetic to Israel if it is packaged in a way where it appears “good“ for all parties.

If the consensus is that international intervention is necessary to protect Palestinian citizens from Israeli actions and Jewish citizens from terrorist actions, Russia will not likely be opposed, nor China, the EU, or many other nations with the exception of the USA. - And the US is the wild card. If the administration changes in 2008 or if complete chaos were to break out it may be used as grounds to bring “peace” to the region by using international forces as a buffer between the two parties. This is not a new idea.

Due to the extent of Israeli military power the plan would not begin with a NATO type of operation as used against the Serbs, but rather, an attempt to persuade leftist Israeli politicians to accept the forces into the region as peacekeepers for the common good of all parties.

Why would the internationalist risk fighting for something if they can persuade Israel to give it up willingly? Therefore, before any such military action will take place there will first come a mandatory international plan for peace with demands with ultimatums.

If Israel were to refuse then the media will use the occasion to blame Israel for all the problems and for being the obstacle to peace. All of this will work to create a situation where the UN will seek embargos and sanctions to pressure the Jewish state into accepting an international peace plan. What happens from this point on is difficult to determine but there are a number of scenarios depending on how Israel responds to international demands and pressures. It could end with military confrontation or it could end in Israeli compliance which would lead to an eventual undermining of the state. Write your own ending.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Philosophy; War on Terror; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2006israelwar; eu; hamas; hizbullah; international; iran; israel; israeli; jewish; lebanon; middleeast; nato; newworldorder; oneworld; palestinian; palestinians; russia; syria; terror; terrorism; un; war; wot
New York Times Headline - "Once Again, Gazans Are Displaced by Israeli Occupiers" ---

Arutz Sheva - France, European Union, Russia Oppose Israeli Reprisals (IsraelNN.com) European countries have denounced the Israeli retaliation in Lebanon as disproportionate, and France called on Lebanon to defend itself. The European Union, Russia and Italy criticized the extent of the operations. ---

Ynet News - Annan condemns Israel attack in Lebanon UN Secretary General says ‘I condemn without reservations the attack in southern Lebanon

1 posted on 07/13/2006 8:48:42 AM PDT by inpajamas
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To: inpajamas
gorilla warfare


2 posted on 07/13/2006 8:58:36 AM PDT by sionnsar (†trad-anglican.faithweb.com† | Iran Azadi | SONY: 5yst3m 0wn3d, N0t Y0urs | NYT:Jihadi Journal)
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To: sionnsar

"gorilla warfare" Ha!- I caught that also but it was too late to fix it. Close enough though considering who we're dealing with.

Greece has now also joined the chorus.
Greece: Israel using 'excessive, pointless' force


3 posted on 07/13/2006 9:16:18 AM PDT by inpajamas
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To: inpajamas

self-ping


4 posted on 07/13/2006 9:36:16 AM PDT by Free Vulcan (Show them no mercy, for you shall receive none!)
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To: inpajamas

If Syria attacked Israel from behind, would Greece help?


5 posted on 07/13/2006 9:38:30 AM PDT by jblair (Son of a Wild Weasel)
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To: inpajamas
Of I expect this reaction from the Eurotrash and Russia. I am under no illusions they will love Israel. As long as Israel can carry out limited military operations, the world's reaction will be limited to mere carping. That is why Israel cannot take larger steps as international pressure would prevent an outright Israeli victory. So Israel is resigned to accomplishing what can be gained til the next round happens.

(The Palestinian terrorist regime is the crisis and Israel's fist is the answer.)

6 posted on 07/13/2006 9:40:52 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
I agree with that but I also think that is why the Arabs are upping the ante. They are trying to get a big enough reaction out of Israel that they can pull others into the fray.

The international community would love to sanction Israel or establish a mandatory "peace" plan with the partitioning of Jerusalem making it an international city but US isn't likely to go for it at this time. There is a possibility that in time the US could be brought on board if the administration goes far left in 2008.
7 posted on 07/13/2006 9:55:02 AM PDT by inpajamas
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To: jblair
"If Syria attacked Israel from behind, would Greece help?"

Greece is not likely to help anyone. All European nations like to meet and talk about things, criticize, and blame others but they do very little on their own.

The object of the Arabs is to create enough ruckus that the world will conclude that the only solution possible must come from and be imposed by an international body.

If this were ever to come to pass it would be a slow death for Israel because the Arabs will never give up attacking Jews until they (one or the other) are gone.
8 posted on 07/13/2006 10:07:20 AM PDT by inpajamas
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To: goldstategop

Israel would kick the sh*t out of these Euroweenie split tails. They would only contemplate such a move if there was a nice leftie, PLO and Hamas-loving, Dhimmicrat administration in power here in the States. A country like Greece would have trouble wiping its own arse much less taking on Israel. However, I do see something like this happening in the future, esp. when the Muzzies begin taking over more and more of Eurabia.


9 posted on 07/13/2006 10:32:57 AM PDT by attiladhun2 (evolution has both deified and degraded humanity)
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To: attiladhun2
"They would only contemplate such a move if there was a nice leftie, PLO and Hamas-loving, Dhimmicrat administration in power here in the States" You're 100% right. The Euros will not take on Israel unless they are in a big pack of dogs. At some point the EU and Russia along with China and the Arabs states could all get together and demand that Israel comply with an international plan for "peace". The wild card would be the US which would only go alone if you had people like Madame Not-at Albright or Carter running things. They would go along with a mandatory international plan if it was forced on Israel in the name of "peace". If Israel rejected the MSM and the whole world would jump on them.
10 posted on 07/13/2006 10:46:08 AM PDT by inpajamas
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To: inpajamas

inpajamas - I am capable of serious discourse; however, in this case I took the opportunity to make a tasteless joke.

As to Greece, I have a Greek rifle for sale. Never fired, dropped only once.


11 posted on 07/13/2006 11:37:49 AM PDT by jblair (Son of a Wild Weasel)
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To: jblair
"As to Greece, I have a Greek rifle for sale. Never fired, dropped only once."
May the former owner RIP, a bullent in the back is not the way I would wish to go.

Leftist media and politicians in other countries are starting to come out demanding something be done to stop the Israelis from starting a war accusing Israel of war crimes. Here are just a few examples:

In Germany - Israel's latest act of military aggression in Lebanon is aimed at igniting a new war in the Middle East region, DPA today quoted a lawmaker of Germany's Left Party (Die Linke). "Israel continues to escalate with its offensive in Lebanon and is kindling a new war in the Mideast," said Wolfgang Gehrcke. He called on the UN to stop the Israeli aggression. Gehrcke stressed that only the US and Europe could create the conditions for such a UN move. -

In Britain - Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell today became the first leader of Britain's three main political parties to condemn Israel following its latest invasion of Lebanon after committing more war crimes in Gaza. "The Middle East stands on the edge of a precipice once again. Israel's response to the kidnapping goes beyond acceptable standards and contains elements of collective punishment," Campbell warned.

12 posted on 07/13/2006 12:14:03 PM PDT by inpajamas
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To: inpajamas

I expect nothing less from European leftists. American leftists are singing the same song, with the added lyric, 'Bush wants his WWIII', etc.


13 posted on 07/13/2006 2:00:51 PM PDT by jblair (Son of a Wild Weasel)
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