AP Skews Another Poll To Say GOP Will Lose Congress

Sweetness & Light ^ | July 14, 2006 | N/A

[Sam Hill]

Behold this breathtaking "news" from the DNC's Associated Press:

Poll: Americans want Democrats in power

By DONNA CASSATA, Associated Press Writer

Fri Jul 14

WASHINGTON - Republicans are in jeopardy of losing their grip on Congress in November. With less than four months to the midterm elections, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that Americans by an almost 3-to-1 margin hold the GOP-controlled Congress in low regard and profess a desire to see Democrats wrest control after a dozen years of Republican rule.

Further complicating the GOP outlook to turn things around is a solid percentage of liberals, moderates and even conservatives who say they'll vote Democratic. The party out of power also holds the edge among persuadable voters, a prospect that doesn't bode well for the Republicans...

The AP-Ipsos survey asked 789 registered voters if the election for the House were held today, would they vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in their district. Democrats were favored 51 percent to 40 percent...

The AP article goes on to reiterate in several variations how impossible it will be for Republicans to hold onto their majority in Congress.

But, as regular readers of this site will recall, the French company Ipsos always over-samples Democrats.

And this case is no different:

That's a 12% advantage to the Democrats.

So a group of people comprised of 12% more Democrats than Republicans was asked who should run Congress. And they answered Democrats by a 11% advantage.

That actually sounds like a 1% win for the GOP.

As we have noted before, the Associated Press always polls more Democrats than Republicans at the 12% clip. The AP then uses their bogus results to drive the news.

Just check out their the Ipsos News Center's archives back to the eve of the November elections last year:

Recent Associated Press Polls

* June 9, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: U.S. Backing For Troops Steadfast Despite Growing Opposition To Iraq War
* June 6, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Improved Attitudes Toward Immigrants In U.S., Europe; Europeans Remain More Skeptical Than Americans
* May 5, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Poll Suggests Conservatives Uneasy With Bush, Raising GOP Fears About Election Day
* April 21, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Shaky Confidence In Government's Ability To Deal With Bird Flu
* April 7, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush, GOP Hitting New Lows In Public Opinion
* April 2, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: More Than Half Open To Allowing Illegal Immigrants To Enter Temporary Worker Program
* March 13, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Amid Tumult Over Abortion, Americans Are Divided
* March 10, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Voters Down on Bush, Congress, State of Nation As Republicans Fret
* February 22, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Six Months After Katrina, Poll Finds Fading Confidence In Government
* February 10, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush's Public Standing Mired Near Lowest Levels, Despite A Spike In Consumer Confidence
* January 16, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Economic Concerns Recede At Start Of Year; Worries About Iraq, Politicians Have Grown
* January 7, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Most Say U.S. Needs Warrant To Snoop On Americans' Calls Even When Terror Suspected
* January 6, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Voters Seem More Ready To End GOP Control Of Congress
* December 8, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Most Americans Convinced Political Corruption Is Serious Problem, Affecting Many
* December 6, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Most Living In Eight Countries Allied With U.S. Want Nothing To Do With Secret Interrogation Of Suspected Terrorists
* November 11, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Once-High Hopes For Bush Administration Ethics Have Dropped Sharply In A Time Of War And Scandal
* November 4, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Early Public Support For Alito Lags Behind Roberts, Closer To Miers
* November 3, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush Approval At New Low Amid Worries About Iraq War, Aides In Legal Trouble
* October 7, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush's Approval Mired At Lowest levels Of Presidency; Optimism About Nation's Direction Sinks To New Depths
* October 6, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Americans Have lost Confidence That Billions For Hurricane Recovery Will Be Spent Wisely
* October 6, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Supreme Court Nominee Miers Has Less Public Support Than Roberts Had
* September 22, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Storm Changed Americans' Thinking On Race, Safety, Spending
* September 20, 2005: AP/Ipsos: Katrina Raises Voters' Doubts About Bush Priorities, Recovery Plans
* August 26, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: People Overwhelmingly Support The Right Of Critics To Openly Protest Iraq War
* August 5, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Americans' Approval Of Bush's Handling Of Iraq Reaches Low point; Fewer Than Half Say He's Honest
* July 21, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: More Than Half Of Americans, Especially Women, Want Supreme Court Nominee To State Position On Abortion
* July 15, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Most Think Transit Bombing Inevitable; Bush Ratings Remain In Doldrums
* July 14, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Almost Six In 10 Think A Terrorist Attack On U.S. Bus, Train Or Subway Is Inevitable
* June 24, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Majority Now Says War In Iraq Was A Mistake; Don't Favor Immediate Withdrawal
* June 24, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Most Oppose Return To Draft, Wouldn't Encourage Children To Enlist
* June 10, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush's Job Approval Dips To New Low
* May 6, 2005: AP/Ipsos CASH Index: Consumer Confidence Sinks Over The Past Month
* May 3, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Midwesterners View Economy As Nation's Top Problem; For Westerners, It's War
* April 21, 2005: AP/AOL Poll: More Than Half Of Americans Say They Expect High Energy Prices To Cause Financial Hardships
* April 11, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Popular Support For Bush’s Domestic Agenda Slipping
* March 3, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Most Oppose Bush On Social Security, But Think Their Own Retirement Is Secure
* February 26, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Americans Say Homelessness In U.S. Is A Serious Problem
* February 14, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush’s Job Approval Figures Weaken
* January 7, 2005: AP/Ipsos Poll: Bush, Incoming Congress Faces Public Criticism
* December 13, 2004: AP/Ipsos Poll: Increased Uncertainty About Stable Future For Iraq
* December 13, 2004: AP/Ipsos Poll: Opinion Around the World, Eight-Country Poll On Bush's Re-Election
* November 29, 2004: AP/Ipsos Poll: Americans Say New Supreme Court Nominees Should Uphold Roe V. Wade
* November 9, 2004: AP/Ipsos Poll: Americans Say Iraq And Terrorism Should Be Top Priorities For Bush's Second Term
* November 2, 2004: Ipsos Presidential Poll 2004: What We Will Look For In The Exit Polls
* October 28, 2004: AP/Ipsos Presidential Poll 2004: New Voters, Bored Voters, Persuadable Voters, Decisive Voters
* October 27, 2004: AP/Ipsos Presidential Poll 2004: Six In Ten Expect No Clear Winner On November 3rd
* October 8, 2004: AP/Ipsos Presidential Poll 2004: Kerry Rebounds

Bias? What bias?

The Associated Press is just reporting what 12% more Democrats randomly selected people tell them.

It's scientific.

[Sam Hill]

Related Articles:

• The AP Skews Another Poll For The Democrats
• AP Milks Rigged Poll For A Second Story
• AP Promises Delay Is Only The Beginning
• AP Rigs Poll To Show Republicans Are Doomed

[Sam Hill]

An "AP = Agit-Prop" ping.

[West Coast Conservative]

An article from yesterday:

House GOP senses shift in political winds

[Recovering_Democrat]

LOL! Sam you are the MAN for analyzing these polls!! Thank you! RD

[Uncle Hal]

Obviously they have created a poll to validate their preconceived ideas.

[GeorgiaDawg32]

Pelosi: I'd open my mouth to say something, but everytime I do it pulls my eyes shut..

[SmithL]

Generic, un-named Democrats always poll better than real, named ones do.

[Concho]

Let them spread this BS, maybe it will wake a lot of people up and it will dump on them.

[Ouderkirk]

Poll: MSM wants Democrats in power

[pookie18]

Democrats were favored 51 percent to 40 percent...

Hmmm, an 11% advantage...in a sample oversampling Dems by...11% (53-42)...very profound...

[ConservativeMind]

This will just lead them to continued surprise in the fall when they lose yet again.

I'm beginning to want the pollsters to keep doing this, because it gets our guys out for the votes and totally demoralizes the liberals when they so "unexpectedly" lose.

I love having liberals taste absolute defeat.

[new yorker 77]

FYI

[RandallFlagg]

This one needs to be sent to the list. Enjoy!


Reference point: Phony poll numbers.

Thanks for the post, Sam Hill.

[billybudd]

This poll just seems to reflect the total numbers of Republicans and Democrats in the sample. A 12% disparity seems like a bad sample - it's closer to 0%.

[misterrob]

The GOP can successfully nationalize the election and win the House and Senate again by:

1) Emphasizing the cut and run cowardness of the left

2) The situation in Israel who after years of restraint, appeasing (in some cases) and going along with a UN/Euro perspective are now at war with people who are butchers.

3) The lack of terror attacks on the US when there have been attacks around the world. Why is that?

4) We have 4.6 % unemployment. What's the problem folks.

5) Do we really want to unify with Mexico because the democrats are basically saying, you don't need papers to vote.

[backhoe]

I haven't believed polls since the one I saw in the nineteen-sixties claiming "most Americans want more gun control."

Back then, even my Democrat friends were avid supporters of the Second Amendment.

They are all about setting up a topic for "the national conversation" ( I.e., what the group commissioning it thinks is important. ), driving an agenda, or spinning something.

In my opinion, thay are all variants of push polls, now, and just about as meaningless.

[Ouderkirk]

ping for later

[Political Junkie Too]

Obviously they have created a poll to validate their preconceived ideas.

More likely, this is a psyop. The media is trying to convince the electorate that they prefer Democrats in order to shift opinion towards Democrats.

They want everyone to believe that everyone else believes the Democrats are better in order to create a peer pressure to vote Democrat.

-PJ

[Jameison]

Just as I thought.
Associalistic Press pulled exactly the same trick in 2002 and 2004, and we still won.
Didn't stop 'em from trying it on again this year.
Suckers have simply no shame.

[Jameison]

"The media is trying to convince the electorate that they prefer Democrats in order to shift opinion towards Democrats. "

Since it didn't work for them in 2002 and 2004, why would they even think it's gonna work now?
But hey, hope springs eternal.