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Analysis: Was this meant as next 9/11?
Associated Press ^ | PAUL HAVEN

Posted on 08/10/2006 9:30:55 AM PDT by 300magnum

Its scope was ruthlessly ambitious, causing destruction officials say would have been "unimaginable." The alleged plot to take down several U.S.-bound planes with liquid explosives appears to be unlike anything the world has seen in years.

Counterterrorism officials said Thursday the London plot appears to bear the fingerprints of al-Qaida, and may have been "the Big One" they have been dreading since Sept. 11, 2001, particularly as the five-year anniversary of the carnage approaches.

More than 20 people have been jailed, terror threat levels have been raised to some of their highest levels, and hundreds of flights have been canceled worldwide.

"The scope or the magnitude of this attack is much larger than previous attacks," said Rohan Gunaratna, a terrorism expert at Singapore's Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies.

He added that everything known so far points to involvement by Osama bin Laden's terror group.

"It is a classic al-Qaida tactic. It is a hallmark of al-Qaida to carry out coordinated, simultaneous attacks, and the aviation domain is certainly known to al-Qaida. They have obvious experience in working around that system and extensive knowledge of the aviation domain."

U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff echoed those sentiments, saying the attack "was sophisticated, it had a lot of members and it was international in scope." He added that: "It was in some respects suggestive of an al Qaida plot," but cautioned that the investigation was still under way.

There have been dozens of thwarted plots around the world since the Sept. 11 attacks, and several that were murderously successful. Suicide bombers killed 52 people in London on July 7, 2005, 58 in two attacks in Istanbul, Turkey, in 2003, and 202 in Bali in 2002. Islamic radicals killed 191 people in Madrid on Mar. 11, 2004, then blew themselves up days later when police were closing in.

While al-Qaida's call for global jihad clearly acted as inspiration, there has been no direct evidence that bin Laden or his No. 2, Ayman al-Zawahri, had advance knowledge of those attacks, that they helped plan them, or that they provided financial or logistical help to those who carried them out.

The group's failure to match the destruction it inflicted in the Sept. 11 attacks has led to speculation that a global dragnet that has forced bin Laden into hiding and ensnared many of his most trusted deputies may have degraded al-Qaida's abilities.

Analysts said Thursday that is a theory to be believed only at the world's peril.

The airline plan had the potential to dwarf the attacks of recent years — killing hundreds, perhaps thousands.

It also appears to have involved far more extensive planning and expertise.

Counterterrorism agents have been tracking the alleged plotters for months, and made arrests in London and its suburbs, as well as Birmingham. A British police official said the suspects appeared to be "homegrown," though it was not immediately clear if they were all British citizens.

Magnus Ranstorp, a terrorism expert at Sweden's Center for Asymmetric Threat Studies who has done extensive research into al-Qaida's efforts to recruit in Europe, said the foiled plot in Britain "could very well have been an attempt at 'the Big One.'"

Andrea Nativi, a researcher at the Rome-based Military Center for Strategic Studies, said the London plot resembled that of Sept. 11, 2001, in its ambition and was entirely different in scope from other terror schemes of recent years.

"By comparison, the London subway attacks look like child's play," he said. "The new element here is their cleverness in trying to overcome the new security systems installed after 2001 ... No one can really expect to pass security checks with explosives in their pocket, they had to look for a plan B."

Rodolfo Mendoza, a police intelligence official in the Philippines, said the "modus operandi" is the same as al-Qaida has used in the past — and he should know.

Mendoza was among the law enforcement officers involved in thwarting a plot by al-Qaida terror mastermind Ramzi Yousef — this one way back in 1995 — to use liquid explosives to blow up a dozen airliners as they flew across the Pacific Ocean to U.S. destinations, including Los Angeles, San Francisco, Honolulu and New York.

Like al-Qaida's decade-long effort to bring down the World Trade Center in New York, first in 1993 and then, disastrously, in 2001, the latest plot to blow up commercial airliners reveals the group's unwavering resolve, Mendoza said.

"These people are obsessed," he said. "They will try and try and try again to accomplish their mission."

____

EDITOR'S NOTE — Paul Haven has covered terrorism issues for The Associated Press since 2001. Reporters throughout Europe and Asia, and in the United States, contributed to this report.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 911fifthanniversary; alqaeda; uhhhh; wot; yathink
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1 posted on 08/10/2006 9:30:57 AM PDT by 300magnum
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To: 300magnum

I hope they trace this to the Iranian Hitler.


2 posted on 08/10/2006 9:31:33 AM PDT by Fitzcarraldo
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To: 300magnum
September 11, March 11, June 11 - and this maybe (still) August 11. What is it with 11?

Lando

3 posted on 08/10/2006 9:35:30 AM PDT by Lando Lincoln (For what cause would a liberal go to war? (Revolutions don't count))
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To: 300magnum

"These people are obsessed,"

That's an understatement. They are poisoned with hatred.


4 posted on 08/10/2006 9:37:30 AM PDT by Old Grumpy
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To: Lando Lincoln

In Arabic it looks like a double l. As in u no who.


5 posted on 08/10/2006 9:37:41 AM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the law of the excluded middle)
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To: 300magnum

Good thing that CT just dumped their defense minded Liberman just in time.


6 posted on 08/10/2006 9:38:31 AM PDT by Sax (You Done Tore Out My Heart And Stomped That Sucker Flat)
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To: Lando Lincoln

Someone posted on an earlier thread - 9/11, 8/10, 7/9.


7 posted on 08/10/2006 9:38:34 AM PDT by 300magnum (We know that if evil is not confronted, it gains in strength and audacity, and returns to strike us)
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To: 300magnum

Good work-this time.Call me a cynic but i believe it's just a matter of time before they are successful with an attack on the scale of a 911.


8 posted on 08/10/2006 9:39:34 AM PDT by Thombo2
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To: 300magnum

No, this was meant to be an 8/11. And the next one will be a 7/11, where they cause Slurpees to explode at every 7/11 nationwide. Muslims don't need a reason to harm us; they will do anything they can to hurt us. Let's kick their butts to hell.


9 posted on 08/10/2006 9:39:52 AM PDT by roadcat
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To: 300magnum

Analysis: Was this meant as next 9/11?


Meant by whom?


10 posted on 08/10/2006 9:39:58 AM PDT by WhiteGuy (It's about the People Who Count the Votes................. - Wally O'Dell)
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To: Thombo2

I agree.


11 posted on 08/10/2006 9:40:08 AM PDT by bigcat32
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To: 300magnum
Counterterrorism officials said Thursday the London plot appears to bear the fingerprints of al-Qaida

How do we know these weren't disgruntled Quakers? -sarc

12 posted on 08/10/2006 9:40:14 AM PDT by frogjerk (REUTERS: We give smoke and mirrors a bad name)
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To: 300magnum
The group's failure to match the destruction it inflicted in the Sept. 11 attacks has led to speculation that a global dragnet that has forced bin Laden into hiding and ensnared many of his most trusted deputies may have degraded al-Qaida's abilities.
WTH is this reporter talking about speculated?
13 posted on 08/10/2006 9:41:16 AM PDT by sully777 (You have flies in your eyes--Catch-22)
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To: 300magnum
Someone posted on an earlier thread - 9/11, 8/10, 7/9.

I'm sleep-deprived...what happened on 7/9?

14 posted on 08/10/2006 9:41:56 AM PDT by Allegra (FReeping LIVE! from "the other war zone.")
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To: 300magnum

A return to the Bojinka plan.


15 posted on 08/10/2006 9:43:09 AM PDT by MediaMole (9/11 - We have already forgotten.)
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To: Lando Lincoln

Interesting point.

Also, do I detect a note of astonishment in the AP story? Who on Earth could be surprised that they're out to attack us?

Just because the "hated" (by leftist idiots) Bush says there is a threat does not mean there is not one. These morons had better get with the program, or get the h*ll out of the way!

It's been said a million times, but I need to say it again, simply and bluntly:

I DO NOT TRUST DEMOCRATS OR LIBERALS TO GOVERN OR PROTECT OUR COUNTRY.


16 posted on 08/10/2006 9:43:12 AM PDT by cvq3842
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To: Lando Lincoln
9-11-01......all odd numbers
8-10-06......all even numbers

Insert earbug of Twilight Zone theme here...

17 posted on 08/10/2006 9:45:38 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (Meep Meep)
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To: Allegra

Wasn't that the date of the London attacks last year?


18 posted on 08/10/2006 9:46:12 AM PDT by kellynch (Expecto Patronum!)
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To: Lando Lincoln
and this maybe (still) August 11

You're right. The planes could have been just the beginning.

19 posted on 08/10/2006 9:47:24 AM PDT by ladyjane
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To: 300magnum

I think this is the start of something bigger.


20 posted on 08/10/2006 9:47:56 AM PDT by cripplecreek (If stupidity got us into this mess, then why can't it get us out?)
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To: kellynch

London bombings were on 7/7.


21 posted on 08/10/2006 9:48:07 AM PDT by eastsider
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To: 300magnum
"Counterterrorism officials said Thursday the London plot appears to bear the fingerprints of al-Qaida..."

Not according to the Left. Everyone should read Michelle Malkin's book, Unhinged - Exposing Liberals Gone Wild.

It's a real eye-opener.

22 posted on 08/10/2006 9:48:36 AM PDT by Cobra64 (All we get are lame ideas from Republicans and lame criticism from dems about those lame ideas.)
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To: 300magnum

I am not undermining the severity, but how would this have exceeded or even compared in scope to 9/11 in terms of lives lost or economic damage ???


23 posted on 08/10/2006 9:49:01 AM PDT by AbeKrieger (Liberals are the Mongol herds destroying America from within.)
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To: kellynch
Wasn't that the date of the London attacks last year?

That was 7/7 with an attempted follow-up on 7/14.

24 posted on 08/10/2006 9:49:05 AM PDT by Allegra (FReeping LIVE! from "the other war zone.")
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To: 300magnum
While al-Qaida's call for global jihad clearly acted as inspiration, there has been no direct evidence that bin Laden or his No. 2, Ayman al-Zawahri, had advance knowledge of those attacks, that they helped plan them, or that they provided financial or logistical help to those who carried them out.

The rational world has spent billions$ and incovenienced or increased poverty to billions of people based on flimsier evidence of a connection to the problem:

Global Warming.
Second hand smoke.
"Environnmental" degradation.
"Endangered" species.

To name but a few of the more egregious instances.

25 posted on 08/10/2006 9:50:05 AM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: cripplecreek
I think this is the start of something bigger.

Well at least we got that damn Lieberman out of the way, so we can begin to deal with terror the right way, by raising white and pink flags and retreating to within our borders. /sarc

26 posted on 08/10/2006 9:50:41 AM PDT by AbeKrieger (Liberals are the Mongol herds destroying America from within.)
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To: Thombo2
Good work-this time.Call me a cynic but i believe it's just a matter of time before they are successful with an attack on the scale of a 911.

Now that's an understatement if I ever heard one.

27 posted on 08/10/2006 9:51:01 AM PDT by Cobra64 (All we get are lame ideas from Republicans and lame criticism from dems about those lame ideas.)
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To: Sax

You forgot the "sarcasm" tag.


28 posted on 08/10/2006 9:51:08 AM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: 300magnum
These hideous plotters must be executed immediately to set an example. No long trials like Saddam's.

Britain has no capital punishment.

Any ideas (rational, please).

Leni

29 posted on 08/10/2006 9:51:08 AM PDT by MinuteGal (Israel Holds Firm !................No Retreat means No Repeat !)
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To: MediaMole
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oplan_Bojinka

_ _ _ _ _ _

The Anti War on Terror crowd:

Moonbat 1: "Free the Guantanamo prisons - give them lawyers and a trial!"

Moonbat 2: "Sshhhhh, hush, now is not a good time."

30 posted on 08/10/2006 9:51:15 AM PDT by chris_ab
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To: RightWhale; Allegra
As in u no who.

Voldemort?

31 posted on 08/10/2006 9:51:28 AM PDT by humblegunner (If you're gonna die, die with your boots on.)
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To: Allegra

1989 - Two bombs explode in Mecca, killing one pilgrim and wounding 16 others.

1999 - Days of student protests begins after Iranian police and hardliners attack a student dormitory of University of Tehran.

According to Wikki.


32 posted on 08/10/2006 9:52:24 AM PDT by 300magnum (We know that if evil is not confronted, it gains in strength and audacity, and returns to strike us)
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To: 300magnum

I don't understand the obsession with whether it was "al Qaeda" or not. What difference does that make ? Is it somehow less important if it's deemed not AQ ?
A bunch of Brit-Pakistanis tried to commit an atrocity, that's enough for me. String 'em up.


33 posted on 08/10/2006 9:52:27 AM PDT by 1066AD
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To: Sax

Don't let Lamont's deer-in-the-headlights look fool'ya... he's got a cable TV background.


34 posted on 08/10/2006 9:53:43 AM PDT by johnny7 (“And what's Fonzie like? Come on Yolanda... what's Fonzie like?!”)
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To: roadcat

India's trains were bombed on 7/11. You heard that right. It was the 7/11 attack on India.


35 posted on 08/10/2006 9:53:57 AM PDT by Prodn2000
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To: Lando Lincoln
March 11, June 11

What happened on these dates?

36 posted on 08/10/2006 9:54:15 AM PDT by Cobra64 (All we get are lame ideas from Republicans and lame criticism from dems about those lame ideas.)
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To: Thombo2
Call me a cynic but i believe it's just a matter of time before they are successful with an attack on the scale of a 911

Unfortunately, you are right.

Remember - to stop another massive attack, we have to be successful 100% of the time. For al-Quaeda to launch another massive attack, they have to be right just once.
37 posted on 08/10/2006 9:54:50 AM PDT by reagan_fanatic (Get off my lawn!)
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To: humblegunner
"Vote the what?"....
38 posted on 08/10/2006 9:54:56 AM PDT by BenLurkin ("The entire remedy is with the people." - W. H. Harrison)
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To: MinuteGal
Any ideas (rational, please).

Do you actually believe that you can win a fight to the death with irrational animals, who happen to look human, by reacting rationally?

I do not believe that civilization owes mass murderers a "kinder and gentler" extermination.

39 posted on 08/10/2006 9:55:02 AM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: Cobra64
I just started that last night and am half done already.

I can not believe the vile things that have been written about and to her.

The best part was the praise for the FRers for not being like the lefties re: Clinton/Cheney heart problems. And that comment was from a leftie for those of you who have yet to read it.

40 posted on 08/10/2006 9:55:34 AM PDT by synbad600
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To: 300magnum
Mendoza was among the law enforcement officers involved in thwarting a plot by al-Qaida terror mastermind Ramzi Yousef — this one way back in 1995 — to use liquid explosives to blow up a dozen airliners as they flew across the Pacific Ocean to U.S. destinations, including Los Angeles, San Francisco, Honolulu and New York.

I'm surprised how little attention this has gotten. For all the danger they pose, al-Qaeda must be a marginal terrorist group if they are using the same tactics today that they tried to use 11 years ago. It's a remarkably low-tech operation, following a typical Islamic terror model (i.e., using technology they could never develop themselves to destroy buildings they could never build themselves).

41 posted on 08/10/2006 9:56:16 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: AbeKrieger

If one of the style of this attempted attack were successful, air travel would only allow passengers to board wearing nothing but a pair of thin scivvies and a smile.
This is not to minimize 9/11, it is just another step in limiting our ability to travel conveniently on a world wide basis. It would be a huge huge damage to the economy worldwide, not to mention our peace of mind.


42 posted on 08/10/2006 9:57:17 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: humblegunner
Gryffindor!

I'm sick of terrorist and war stuff now. I'm going to go join some friends, have a few cold ones and forget where we are.

Nick's...next month!

43 posted on 08/10/2006 9:57:50 AM PDT by Allegra (FReeping LIVE! from "the other war zone.")
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To: 300magnum

good observation, but we really don't know if the plan attacks would of happen on 8/10 or 8/11 or some other day, my guess is the attacks would of happen on 8/11, which considering England would of probably been 8/11 in less then 24 hours in England on the planned attacks or landings, my guess is the attacks would of more likely been close to each other which would of been hard to plan on all flights landing but I could see a combination of landings and taking offs at about the same time. Remember 9/11 all planes were grounded in a short period of time.


44 posted on 08/10/2006 9:58:15 AM PDT by ReformedBeckite
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To: cornfedcowboy

Well stated. I was focusing on the carnage and missed the bigger picture.


45 posted on 08/10/2006 9:58:36 AM PDT by AbeKrieger (Liberals are the Mongol herds destroying America from within.)
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To: 300magnum
"These people are obsessed," he said. "They will try and try and try again to accomplish their mission."

Should read:

"These people are possessed..."

We all know who "allah" (purposeful lower case) is.

46 posted on 08/10/2006 9:59:05 AM PDT by Disambiguator (Don't mess with Israel.)
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To: Prodn2000
India's trains were bombed on 7/11. You heard that right. It was the 7/11 attack on India.

Guess it's safe to go to 7/11 for Slurpees. This crap is pissing off my family. My daughter's birthday is 8/11. I dropped her off at SF Int'l Airport this morning, and it's a zoo there. My wife's birthday is 9/11, and she constantly has to deal with remarks about that. I say we nuke Mecca on 11/11, and pick another Muslim target to bomb every 11/11 each year.

47 posted on 08/10/2006 10:04:29 AM PDT by roadcat
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To: 1066AD
I don't understand the obsession with whether it was "al Qaeda" or not. What difference does that make ?

I'll take a guess. To the Left it would prove that the President has wasted all that time and resource chasing AQ and, lookee here, they are still alive and well. My guess only but be ready for Howard Dean and crew to trot this out.

A_R

48 posted on 08/10/2006 10:05:03 AM PDT by arkady_renko
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To: 1066AD
I don't understand the obsession with whether it was "al Qaeda" or not. What difference does that make ?

I'd guess that the difference is, if this is just a bunch of homegrown local boys, then it would be a safe bet to assume that the matter is now closed - they're caught and the plot has been foiled by Scotland Yard.

If its Al Qaeda, then there are likely links of responsibility that need to be followed, but, more importantly, there is also the very real possibility that those caught are just pieces of a larger plan, the remainder of which still needs to be uncovered before people end up dying.
49 posted on 08/10/2006 10:05:03 AM PDT by CertainInalienableRights
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To: frogjerk
How do we know these weren't disgruntled Quakers?

Or even worse, those scary Evangelicals. You know, they're no different than Islamic Fundamentalists.

50 posted on 08/10/2006 10:05:45 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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