You don't really think that 95% of GOP voters will follow through and turn out in a midterm election do you, or any election for that matter? But yes, the problem despite what you read on FR, is not so much with GOP voters, except in a few places. It is with the "independents."
I just posted the following on the DOSE:
[EEE: click on the link for a DETAILED overview of the poll cited at your link!]
IGNORE ALL POLLING DATA FROM THE MSM (including OpinionDynamics/FoxNews and Rasmussen -- OD oversamples Democrats by 5-8 points and Rasmussen is now oversampling Democrats/Democrat-leaning Independents by 4 1/2 points vs EVEN at the beginning of the year).
The following information is all you need to know!
[Thank you Howlin, ohiowfan, et al, for pinging me to a related FR thread!]
BASE MOBILIZATION SURVEY FINDINGS & CONCLUSIONS
. . . Overall support for President Bush and congressional Republicans from the Republican base is very strong.
The generic congressional vote from Republicans is an overwhelming 84% to 6% within sampling error of what we found for the 2004 election. An equally impressive 88% to 11% majority of Republicans approve of the way the president is handling his job!
You can read a very detailed analysis of this poll at