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August 22 - Iran’s Military Exercise and Apocalyptic Plans for Israel and World
debka ^ | 8/20/06 | na

Posted on 08/19/2006 4:19:05 PM PDT by Flavius

Washington is keeping a sharp weather eye out for Tuesday, August 22, which this year corresponds in the Islamic calendar to the date on which many Sunni Muslims commemorate the night flight of the prophet Muhammad on his winged horse Buraq to “the farthest mosque”, which is traditionally identified with Jerusalem.

According to the Muslim legend, on that day, a divine white light spread over Jerusalem and the whole world.

DEBKAfile’s intelligence sources report that information rated “highly credible” has reached US undercover agencies of a secret report presented to Iran’s supreme ruler Ali Khamenei by Abdollah Shabhazi, one of the heads of the Supreme National Security Council. He claims to expose a mega-terror plot against Jerusalem scheduled for August 22, which aims at killing large numbers of Jews, Arabs and Christians.

This atrocity will reportedly arm the United States and Israel with the pretext for hitting Iran’s nuclear installations, as well its capital, Tehran, and other big cities.

Shabhazi says the US and Israel need to launch a military campaign to restore the deterrent strength they lost in the Lebanon war.

The massive attack will reportedly focus on the Old City of Jerusalem and its eastern suburbs. The Iranian report claims that the plotters, who are not identified, are eager to recreate the divine white light whish spread over Jerusalem in the year 632. It does not rule out the use of a non-conventional weapon.

DEBKAfile reports that the authorities in Israel do not appear to be taking this threat seriously, unlike Washington – and Tehran.

Deeply impressed, Iran’s rulers launched a large-scale are, sea and ground exercise Saturday, Aug. 19. The maneuver, dubbed the Blow of Zolfaghar (the sword used by Imam Ali), involves 12 divisions, army Chinook helicopters, unmanned planes, parachutists, electronic war units and special forces. State-run television reported a new anti-aircraft system was tested “to make Iranian air space unsafe for our enemies.”

The massive military exercise will spread over 14 of Iran’s 30 provinces and last about five weeks.

DEBKAfile adds: The point of this massive display of might is in fact to place Iran’s armed forces on the ready for the contingency of a US-Israeli offensive on August 22 as per Shabhazi’s prediction. The exercise will be moved to Tehran to prepare the capital for a potential assault.

August 22, furthermore, is also the day of Iran’s formal reply to the incentives packages on offer from the West in return for halting its uranium enrichment projects.

For weeks, Tehran was under pressure from the United States and Europe for an earlier reply, but insisted on August 22.

Prof. Bernard Lewis, the great scholar of Islam and the Middle East offers the background in the Wall Street Journal on Aug. 8:

“In Islam, as in Judaism and Christianity, there are certain beliefs concerning the cosmic struggle at the end of time - Gog and Magog, anti-Christ, Armageddon, and for Shiite Muslims, the long awaited return of the Hidden Imam… Mr. Ahmadinejad and his followers clearly believe that this time is now, and that the terminal struggle has already begun and is indeed well advanced. It may even have a date, indicated by several references by the Iranian president to giving his final answer to the U.S. about nuclear development by Aug. 22. This was at first reported as "by the end of August," but Mr. Ahmadinejad's statement was more precise.”

Revolutionary Iran habitually links fundamentalist symbolism to political events.

Prof. Lewis explains the significance of Aug. 22 and adds ominously:

“This might well be deemed an appropriate date for the apocalyptic ending of Israel and if necessary of the world. It is far from certain that Mr. Ahmadinejad plans any such cataclysmic events precisely for Aug. 22. But it would be wise to bear the possibility in mind.”

The Shiites do not recognize Rajab 27 as the date of Muhammad’s purported flight to Jerusalem but celebrate Mabath to commemorate the day they believe Allah appeared before Mohammed in a cave and told him he had been chosen as the prophet to spread the divine message across the world. Mabath is marked by Shiites in Iran and other parts of the Middle East with great ceremony.

Claiming to represent the true Islam, the Shiite rulers of Tehran are expected by Washington to mark the date by demonstrating their military superiority for all Muslims to see.

In addition to Bernard Lewis’s hypothesis, speculation is rife in Washington about what Iran has in store for next Tuesday. Tehran may announce success in producing enriched uranium of a higher grade, meaning it is no more than six months away from a weapons-grade capability. While providing justification for UN Security Council sanctions, Tehran prefers to believe that this announcement will be its passport for admission to the world’s nuclear club and its attendant privileges, including the right to enrich uranium independently.

In the meantime, the Iranians are putting on a spectacular show of military bravado to show the world and reassure their own people that they are not afraid of threats.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ahmadinejad; august22; debka; geopolitics; iran
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1 posted on 08/19/2006 4:19:06 PM PDT by Flavius
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To: Flavius

8.22=0hour?


2 posted on 08/19/2006 4:29:11 PM PDT by jdm (I gotta give the Helen Thomas obsession a rest.)
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To: jdm; Flavius

I am trying figure out when the Miraj begins. Tuesday night at dusk??? Monday night at dusk???


3 posted on 08/19/2006 4:31:03 PM PDT by Perdogg (Democrats = terrorists)
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To: Perdogg

I would say Monday night at dusk.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isra_and_Miraj


4 posted on 08/19/2006 4:36:47 PM PDT by jdm (I gotta give the Helen Thomas obsession a rest.)
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To: Flavius

The truth is that it would be better if they attacked now, before they get the bomb.

I suspect they won't, though.


The real reason this guy talks about Aug 22 is that he really believes that the Twelfth Imam is returning on that date.


5 posted on 08/19/2006 4:37:25 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Flavius
the Blow of Zolfaghar (the sword used by Imam Ali)

The single sword stroke that killed the King of Persia as he was trying to find his opponent in the dust kicked up by the battle.

6 posted on 08/19/2006 4:41:54 PM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the law of the excluded middle)
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We're showing these assholes way too much respect....
7 posted on 08/19/2006 4:48:35 PM PDT by clintonh8r (American first, conservative second.....Republican a distant third.)
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To: Flavius
The massive attack will reportedly focus on the Old City of Jerusalem and its eastern suburbs.

Just to add this to the mix. New York City is often referred to as the New Jerusalem.

8 posted on 08/19/2006 4:50:52 PM PDT by mware (Americans in armchairs doing the job of the media.)
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To: mware

Many people refer to it as the New Babylon, but I guess it doesn't matter in the long run. That said, I don't think anything is going to happen on the 22nd, and people are getting needlessly freaked out. Which is exactly what he wanted.

With the Muzzies, a bit of bluster and spear shaking outside the gates is as good as anything else. They declare a propaganda victory and go back to deciding how they can kill the most civilians in some sneak attack. Gutless wonders of the Mad Mo cult.


9 posted on 08/19/2006 4:53:43 PM PDT by livius
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To: Flavius

"Touchdown Panthers!"

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

10 posted on 08/19/2006 5:18:00 PM PDT by TommyDale (It's time to dismiss the Duke fake rape case, Mr. Nifong!)
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To: Flavius

If there was not the very real possibility of Iran lobbing a nuke at Israel, this would all be hilarious material worthy of the Marx Brothers, consider:

You have a sawed off little runt of a dictator (Ahmadjihad) who shouts down, prays down, ejaculates down, WHATever it is he does at some obscure well, thinking that the 12th Imam is hiding down there and will climb out on the 22nd of August to destroy all the enemies of Islam, establish a world wide caliphate or whatever he's supposed to do, the Jews will be wiped out, everyone will convert to Islam or die, and universal peace will reign all over the world (after they kill untold millions of people of course).

Now here is what may or may not happen next Tuesday:

Iran will be continuing their vaunted military exercises, and they may or may not decide to have a test launch of a Shahab-3 missile. If they have the stones to aim it at Israel, it is game over for Iran because Israel will immediately retaliate and if Iran does NOT have a nuclear weapon, they will after Israel pulls the trigger on them, and it won't be pretty. Tehran, Tabriz, Esfahan and Shiraz? Say bye-bye to them all and more.

And in the midst of the Israeli retaliation, all the Iranians have to do is to so much as look funny at any U.S. military forces in the region, make a threatening move, and you can bet that there will be a concentrated and focused tactical nuke strike on any and every Iranian military-industrial target that U.S. pilots can reach, and I'll bet they can reach them all, and faster than the MSM would have you think.

If Syria is stupid enough to side with Iran, those prophecies in Isaiah about Damascus will become a reality, as Syria will suddenly be in need of a new capital, assuming there is anything left of Syria when they finally get theirs.

And should this all come to pass, it will be due to the virulent Islamofascist/jihadist virus, which in duped individuals at the bottom of the food chain, are used as were the 9/11 hijackers, creating mass carnage using low-technology methods (box cutters, etc.). And at the top of their food chain, there are the political leaders like Ahmadjihad who have the power of a government and military at their disposal, and they have the ability to unleash the same sort of terroristic mass murder, but on a larger scale.

And this is why we need to throw the so-called rule book out the window, stop playing by late 19th century and early 20th century concepts of "fair play", and recognize that we are facing the equivalent of rabid animals who are determined to wipe our asses out one way or the other. They are not going to negotiate, they are never going to agree to any sort of cease fire or peace treaty, because we are the INFIDELS they are sworn to destroy and the majority of those deluded fools are unable to break loose of the death cult ideology that holds them in it's grasp.

And that my FRiends, is why we (meaning America and the West) need to kill those sons-of-b!tches NOW while we still have the strategic advantage.


11 posted on 08/19/2006 5:27:41 PM PDT by mkjessup (The Shah doesn't look so bad now, eh? But nooo, Jimmah said the Ayatollah was a 'godly' man.)
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To: mkjessup

they won't use a nuke - they would be incinerated within 15 minutes.

but what they can do - is launch many regional attacks on strategic targets - oil fields in iraq, tankers in the persian gulf, use their syrian and hezbollah proxies in israel, terrorism and shia militias inside iraq - all at once, and at the very same time, north korea sets off a nuclear test, and iran announces they have purchased 10 of the now proven weapons.

the US won't use nukes first - so, what do we do in this scenario?


12 posted on 08/19/2006 5:33:06 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: mkjessup

I got your back, m...


13 posted on 08/19/2006 5:39:40 PM PDT by butternut_squash_bisque (The recipe's at my FR HomePage. Try it!)
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To: jdm

If that's the case, then it will occur Monday, 9:16am EDT.


14 posted on 08/19/2006 5:43:26 PM PDT by Perdogg (Democrats = terrorists)
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To: oceanview

Absolutely nothing except throw a welcome to the club party. China and Russia will never buy into sanctions. Iran supplies them with enormous amounts of energy and buys enormous amouts of weapons. We (the west) have been immasculated in Iraq and Lebanon. There is nothing left to do except try to pit the sunni against the shia throughout the ME and hope they battle it out amongst themselves. I don't know which side we will pick.


15 posted on 08/19/2006 5:51:28 PM PDT by nitzy (Every man needs a credo)
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To: Flavius

This is such crap. Even if this wasn't Debka, it's beyond ridiculous to believe the Iranians are going to tell us the exact hour they plan an attack. We'll have to deal with these clowns soon, but a lot of people are going to look silly on the 23rd. This has all the hype and letdown factor of Y2K.


16 posted on 08/19/2006 5:52:30 PM PDT by edpc (Violence is ALWAYS a solution. Maybe not the right one....but a solution nonetheless)
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To: Brilliant
QUOTE: "...before they get the bomb"..?

What makes you so certain that they don't already several -courtesy of Pakistan, North Korea, former USSR and/or China... take your pick...
17 posted on 08/19/2006 5:55:52 PM PDT by VRWCTexan (History has a long memory - but still repeats itself)
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To: Flavius

Ummagumma


18 posted on 08/19/2006 5:58:05 PM PDT by dennisw (Confucius say man who go through turnstile sideways going to Bangkok)
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To: Flavius
Not meaning to be flippant about this, but what is the time element here. Teheran time? GMT or ZULU time? Washington Time? Tel Aviv Time?

I would guess since we're talking Islamic mysticism here that it will be before dusk Baghdad time, as Iraq is where Ali is buried.That's ZULU plus three hours. Say before 1600 ZULU or 1100 EDT. I think we'll know by then if anything is happening

19 posted on 08/19/2006 6:01:17 PM PDT by xkaydet65
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To: oceanview
they won't use a nuke - they would be incinerated within 15 minutes.

They don't care about incineration IF they believe it possible that Israel too, might be incinerated. The only difference between Mohammed Atta and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is the former had a box cutter, and the latter possibly has a nuke at his disposal. But what they have in common is that the former is now deader than a doornail, and the latter soon will be, which is EXACTLY WHAT THEY SEEK. They are not rational and are not constrained by what we perceive to be reasonable and responsible behaviorial standards.

the US won't use nukes first - so, what do we do in this scenario?

Don't be too sure the U.S. won't use nukes first.

We used them first in 1945 didn't we? And we are in a post 9/11 world, and that means all bets are off.
20 posted on 08/19/2006 6:02:24 PM PDT by mkjessup (The Shah doesn't look so bad now, eh? But nooo, Jimmah said the Ayatollah was a 'godly' man.)
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To: Flavius
There will be a nuclear explosion in Israel on August the 22nd.

Israel will respond with the complete destruction of Iran, and possibly Mecca and Medina too.

Oil will be shut off from the region.

The world will plunge into a depression that will make the 1929 one look like child's play.

It's TEOTWAWKI.

21 posted on 08/19/2006 6:02:30 PM PDT by Lazamataz (Islam is a perversion of faith, a lie against human spirit, an obscenity shouted in the face of G_d)
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To: mkjessup

not the leadership. notice that Al Zahwari and OBL and all the rest - do everything they can to stay alive. they only preach suicide to their sheeple islamic masses. the leadership doesn't want to die - and they surely would die if they used a nuke first.

and they don't need to use a nuke first, that's what my post is all about. they have a conventional option, coupled with the announcement that they have a nuke and a north korea demo of it - it just might give them what they need.

its not 1945, the US no longer has the "guts" it did then - decades of liberalism and political correctness has made most americans weak.


22 posted on 08/19/2006 6:09:53 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: mkjessup
And that my FRiends, is why we (meaning America and the West) need to kill those sons-of-b!tches NOW while we still have the strategic advantage. <{>Problem is they are in our back yards these days....
23 posted on 08/19/2006 6:09:59 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WjPrL3n63yg)
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To: nitzy
Absolutely nothing except throw a welcome to the club party. China and Russia will never buy into sanctions. Iran supplies them with enormous amounts of energy and buys enormous amouts of weapons. We (the west) have been immasculated in Iraq and Lebanon. There is nothing left to do except try to pit the sunni against the shia throughout the ME and hope they battle it out amongst themselves. I don't know which side we will pick.

I say we supply both sides, get them to kill each other, then when the fighting is over, step in and kill the survivor.

Mark

24 posted on 08/19/2006 6:10:12 PM PDT by MarkL (When Kaylee says "No power in the `verse can stop me," it's cute. When River says it, it's scary!)
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To: Lazamataz
It's TEOTWAWKI.

And I feel fine...

Mark

25 posted on 08/19/2006 6:11:21 PM PDT by MarkL (When Kaylee says "No power in the `verse can stop me," it's cute. When River says it, it's scary!)
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To: Lazamataz

iran doesn't have a good way to deliver such a weapon. not with 100% reliability.


26 posted on 08/19/2006 6:11:34 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Lazamataz
There will be a nuclear explosion in Israel on August the 22nd.

If that happens, you will receive the FR "Post of the Year" award. LOL

27 posted on 08/19/2006 6:22:33 PM PDT by vox humana
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To: vox humana; Lazmataz
If it doesn't, we will petition to have your name changed to Nostradumbass.

;-)

28 posted on 08/19/2006 6:36:58 PM PDT by edpc (Violence is ALWAYS a solution. Maybe not the right one....but a solution nonetheless)
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To: edpc

If it comes true, we may not have the opportunity to nominate or rename anyone on the Internet because there might no longer BE an Internet.

I, too, believe we should take out the "trash" ASAP. In reality, we should have taken out the trash on Sept. 12, 2001.


29 posted on 08/19/2006 6:45:40 PM PDT by ohioarmedneutrality
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To: Flavius

Sounds like Iran is going to light up the skies by testing their surface to air missles


30 posted on 08/19/2006 6:50:00 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: Flavius
Iran is definitely as you say "flirting with disaster".
31 posted on 08/19/2006 6:52:15 PM PDT by Jorge
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To: Jorge
Maybe he's a Molly Hatchet fan......


32 posted on 08/19/2006 7:07:35 PM PDT by edpc (Violence is ALWAYS a solution. Maybe not the right one....but a solution nonetheless)
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To: mkjessup

I think Ahmadinejad, Chavez, and the Il one have already theoretically remapped the face of the earth like Germany and Japan of the 40's.

Let's say Iran hits Tel Aviv. Israel or the US hits back...right?

Maybe not. N.Korea is supposed to have maybe a dozen warheads already. What if one lands in Tel Aviv while Iran overtakes Jerusalem?

And then Iran threatens the US by telling us that one or more is in this country? But not telling us where?

Maybe even setting one off to tell us they really do.

We pause!

The world changes overnight. Once the 25% Muslim population takes over Paris and most of Europe then what city do you hit? Tehran?

Hugo is playing Hitler in S. America, with $3B in new Russian technology, and the Il one is toying with Japan and S. Korea (special favor in return for the unlimited oil supply in exchange for the nuclear warheads delivered last month by Hugo to Ahmadinejad during the Axis of Evil tour).

If it doesn’t happen August 22nd, it would make for a great Tom Clancy movie.


33 posted on 08/19/2006 7:15:08 PM PDT by AMHN (Book Survey: Which is greater "Truth" or "Love"? FReepmail a reply)
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To: nitzy
Absolutely nothing except throw a welcome to the club party. China and Russia will never buy into sanctions. Iran supplies them with enormous amounts of energy and buys enormous amouts of weapons. We (the west) have been immasculated in Iraq and Lebanon. There is nothing left to do except try to pit the sunni against the shia throughout the ME and hope they battle it out amongst themselves. I don't know which side we will pick.

A good place to start would be for us to quit sending all of our money to China to fund their proxies in the war against us.

34 posted on 08/19/2006 8:07:31 PM PDT by Colorado Doug
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To: Flavius
For an explanation of the Islamic End-Times beliefs held by Iran's Pres. Ahmadinejad, see my FR homepage.
35 posted on 08/19/2006 8:44:11 PM PDT by Dajjal
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To: oceanview
"they would be incinerated within 15 minutes"

But, that would fulfill the prophesy of the whole world burning in fire before the Hidden Imam returns.

Sort of like, "Hey Hidden Imam! Look we destroyed the world, now darn it, you have to return. And bring a few virgins while your at it."

They don't call him Ah-MAD-inejad for nothing.
36 posted on 08/19/2006 9:25:35 PM PDT by garjog (Used to be liberals were just people to disagree with. Now they are a threat to our existence.)
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To: uncbob

America we are at the CrossRoads on this war of world wide eivil.


37 posted on 08/19/2006 9:28:16 PM PDT by StoneWall Brigade (AMERICA LAND OF THE FREE BECASUE OF THE BRAVE!)
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To: Flavius

NYT reporting that the Iraqi Kurds are saying that Iran has been shelling Iraqi Kurdistan with 2 civilians killed, 4 wounded.


38 posted on 08/19/2006 9:31:24 PM PDT by cookcounty (Army Vet, Army Dad)
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To: cookcounty
It dosent Surprise me at all
39 posted on 08/19/2006 9:32:33 PM PDT by StoneWall Brigade (AMERICA LAND OF THE FREE BECASUE OF THE BRAVE!)
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To: Flavius
1) don't post anything from debka.

2) see 1

40 posted on 08/19/2006 9:33:00 PM PDT by ChadGore (VISUALIZE 62,041,268 Bush fans. We Vote.)
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To: Flavius

Lewis has a very conservative temperament, not given to wild statements, a very un-Debka-like scholar, If Lewis is saying this, it needs to be taken seriously.


41 posted on 08/19/2006 9:33:33 PM PDT by cookcounty (Army Vet, Army Dad)
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To: Flavius

Hmmmm..


42 posted on 08/19/2006 9:35:29 PM PDT by The Mayor ( http://albanysinsanity.com/)
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To: oceanview
"the US won't use nukes first - so, what do we do in this scenario?"

Destroy Kharg Island, it's very vulnerable, and almost all Iran's oil fkows through it.

43 posted on 08/19/2006 9:36:57 PM PDT by cookcounty (Army Vet, Army Dad)
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To: AMHN
" then Iran threatens the US by telling us that one or more is in this country? But not telling us where?"

This is sort of like the story of the farmer who noticed that the neighbor boys were stealing his watermelons at night.

So, he put up a sign in the watermelon patch that read, "One of these watermelons is poisoned."

The next day someone replaced the farmer's sign with another that read, "Two of these watermelons are poisoned."
44 posted on 08/19/2006 9:38:36 PM PDT by garjog (Used to be liberals were just people to disagree with. Now they are a threat to our existence.)
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To: oceanview
iran doesn't have a good way to deliver such a weapon. not with 100% reliability.

Who's to say that Iran hasn't purchased a few NoDong-2's from NK and that NK is testing a nuclear warhead designed for it or the Taepo Dong missile on 8/22?

If NK's test works, we'll see Iran declare itself a nuclear power 8/22.

45 posted on 08/19/2006 9:41:07 PM PDT by Centurion2000 (Islam is a subsingularity memetic perversion : (http://www.orionsarm.com/topics/perversities.html))
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To: AMHN
"What if one lands in Tel Aviv while Iran overtakes Jerusalem? "

How can Iran "overtake" Jersalem in one day? It's 1,000 miles away, and they'd have to drive theough the Baghdad Green Zone.

46 posted on 08/19/2006 9:41:34 PM PDT by cookcounty (Army Vet, Army Dad)
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To: oceanview
they won't use a nuke - they would be incinerated within 15 minutes."

He won't, He would be.

Ahmadinejad would just be doing his suicide bomber bit.He sure as hell doesn't care about the Iranian people.

47 posted on 08/19/2006 9:43:47 PM PDT by philetus (Keep doing what you always do and you'll keep getting what you always get.)
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To: philetus
look its easy we have them surrounded on there flanks we hit there flanks cut off there food supply's and bomb there oil fields and turn the country into a parking lot and find out where went to put the WalMart one where done.
48 posted on 08/19/2006 9:47:09 PM PDT by StoneWall Brigade (AMERICA LAND OF THE FREE BECASUE OF THE BRAVE!)
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To: xkaydet65; jdm; Perdogg

"Not meaning to be flippant about this, but what is the time element here. Teheran time? GMT or ZULU time? Washington Time? Tel Aviv Time? I would guess since we're talking Islamic mysticism here that it will be before dusk Baghdad time, as Iraq is where Ali is buried.That's ZULU plus three hours. Say before 1600 ZULU or 1100 EDT. I think we'll know by then if anything is happening"

Actually, since the Islamic calendar is lunar based, I think it is significant to consider this:

The Cresent moon wanes completely and the new moon begins at exactly 1:51:30 8/23/2006 US Eastern Daylight Savings Time. That is 8:51:30 8/23/2006 Jerusalem Time. That is 9:21:30 8/23/2006 Tehran Time (1427 Rajab 28). August 10th 2006 for Old Calendar (Julian) Orthodox.

49 posted on 08/20/2006 5:28:48 AM PDT by AMHN (Book Survey: Which is greater "Truth" or "Love"? FReepmail a reply)
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To: Centurion2000

Your post is much more likely than any of the previous ones


50 posted on 08/20/2006 5:54:12 AM PDT by STD (Rough Sailing Directly Ahead)
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