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GOP Currently Has Three Favourites for 2008 (Angus Reid Poll)
Angus Reid ^ | 8/21/06

Posted on 08/21/2006 5:36:31 AM PDT by areafiftyone

- Adults in the United States place three Republican politicians as their top choices for the next presidential nomination, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People and Press. 26 per cent of respondents would vote like Arizona senator John McCain to be the next presidential candidate.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is a close second with 24 per cent, followed by current state secretary Condoleezza Rice with 18 per cent. Support is lower for former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich, Virginia senator George Allen, Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, Tennessee senator Bill Frist, and Kansas senator Sam Brownback.

In 2000, McCain won seven GOP presidential primaries in the United States, but retired from the race after eventual nominee George W. Bush became the frontrunner.

Giuliani garnered national and international attention in the aftermath of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Last month. Giuliani’s political action committee, Solutions America, reported total contributions of $1.49 million U.S. for June.

Rice previously served as Bush’s national security advisor. In October 2005, she appeared to rule out a presidential bid, saying, "It’s not what I want to do with my life, it’s not what I’m going to do with my life."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Now I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2008. After I read all the names, please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party’s candidate for president?

John McCain

26%

Rudy Giuliani

24%

Condoleezza Rice

18%

Newt Gingrich

5%

George Allen

3%

Mitt Romney

3%

Bill Frist

2%

Sam Brownback

1%

Other

1%

None

13%

Don’t know

4%

Source: Pew Research Center for the People and the Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,219 registered American voters, conducted from Aug. 9 to Aug. 13, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; allen2008; brownback; captainbrylcreem; electionpresident; frist; gingrich2008; giuliani2008; mccain2008; rice2008; romney2008
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1 posted on 08/21/2006 5:36:32 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: Blackirish; Jameison; tkathy; veronica; Sabramerican

(((((PING))))


2 posted on 08/21/2006 5:38:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone; Liz

Daily dosage of "Force the Liberal RINO Down the Conservatives' Throats"

((( ping )))


3 posted on 08/21/2006 5:39:30 AM PDT by TommyDale (It's time to dismiss the Duke fake rape case, Mr. Nifong!)
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To: TommyDale

This is not a media pollster. This is what America is saying right now. Maybe by 2008 things will change.


4 posted on 08/21/2006 5:40:25 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone
John McCain
26%

Rudy Giuliani
24%

We're doomed...
5 posted on 08/21/2006 5:40:28 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey
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To: areafiftyone

Where is Tom Tancredo--or are they just going to ignore him?


6 posted on 08/21/2006 5:41:33 AM PDT by radar101 (The two hallmarks of Liberals: Fantasy and Hypocrisy)
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To: areafiftyone

Except they talked to registered, not likely, voters. And I would think those folks would be more likely to poll RINO.


7 posted on 08/21/2006 5:41:48 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: 12th_Monkey

McCain just topped a small Iowa Poll last week. He's really scaring me.


8 posted on 08/21/2006 5:42:07 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: radar101
Newt for Prez, Tom Tancredo for enforcer err-- VP.
9 posted on 08/21/2006 5:43:06 AM PDT by ladtx ("It is fatal to enter any war without the will to win it." -- -- General Douglas MacArthur)
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To: areafiftyone
according to a poll by the Pew Research Center

I stopped reading right there.

10 posted on 08/21/2006 5:43:19 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: areafiftyone
"This is not a media pollster. This is what America is saying right now. Maybe by 2008 things will change."

Ken Mehlman is doing his best to compromise the conservatives. We hear this crap day in, day out. They are hoping we all buy into it and eventually surrender. It won't happen. If the GOP nominates either McCain or Giuliani, consider Hillary Clinton a shoo-in as President in 2008.

11 posted on 08/21/2006 5:43:19 AM PDT by TommyDale (It's time to dismiss the Duke fake rape case, Mr. Nifong!)
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To: mewzilla

Likely voters who have been polled are saying pretty much the same thing. It's Rudy or McCain. The other ones except Condi can't get out of the single digits. Allen just kicked himself in the butt last week and in a Rasmussen poll that came out last week he's 49% while Webb is 45%. That's too close for comfort.


12 posted on 08/21/2006 5:43:51 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone
"Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,219 registered American voters"

A rather BS poll!

Lets do one to see who Republicans want the RATS to nominate?

And the winner is....Cindy SheMan.
13 posted on 08/21/2006 5:44:13 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Ronald Reagan didn't turn me into a Republican....Jimmy Carter did that!!)
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To: radar101

I guess his numbers are too low.


14 posted on 08/21/2006 5:44:34 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone

Is anybody besides McCain actually running?

And it would seem that McCain is seeking the Dem'crat vote more than he is the Republican vote.

Must we simply surrender to the overwhelming tide of the public favor running to Dem'crats? (that last was meant to be sarcastic)


15 posted on 08/21/2006 5:46:46 AM PDT by alloysteel (When in doubt, forge ahead anyway. To outsiders, it looks the same as boldness. Or plain crazy.)
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To: areafiftyone

If you remove the senators that could not and should not win, it isn't much of a list.


16 posted on 08/21/2006 5:47:37 AM PDT by quantim (Victory is not relative, it is absolute.)
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To: areafiftyone

I think 43 has a successor in mind. And when the time is right he'll reveal him/her. Until then, the pollsters are welcome to waste their money :)


17 posted on 08/21/2006 5:47:56 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: areafiftyone

Regardless of who was polled, conservatives will not vote for the candidates who stand against them on the issues:

Abortion
Partial Birth Abortion
Higher Taxes
Gun Control and/or Confiscation
Religious issues
Homosexual Agenda
School Vouchers
Illegal Invaders and/or Immigrants Amnesty

Pick any issue, and ask these candidates where they stand.
The results will shock everyone.


18 posted on 08/21/2006 5:49:15 AM PDT by TommyDale (It's time to dismiss the Duke fake rape case, Mr. Nifong!)
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To: 12th_Monkey

John McCain
26%

Rudy Giuliani
24%

I quess the GOP wants to loose Ohio, cause the conservative base would stay home if these two clowns were shoved down our throats.

Two of the biggest gun grabber's you ever did see!


19 posted on 08/21/2006 5:50:06 AM PDT by mr_hammer (They have eyes, but do not see . . .)
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To: areafiftyone
At this stage of the game one would have gotten almost the same results by asking, "Rank these potential candidates according to the amount of press they have generated in recent years."

This is merely a name recognition poll of a general population. It is not entirely worthless, but it is far less important than the pundits (especially the MSM cheerleaders for McCain) would have us believe. The actual selection will be done by energized and concerned primary voters, a much smaller and more select group that can and will be influenced by targeted efforts by the candidates.

20 posted on 08/21/2006 5:50:29 AM PDT by JCEccles
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To: alloysteel

McCain is running - no doubt about it. That man has been all over the planet lately. Giuliani is going to run if the Republicans keep the House and Senate in November. Frist wants to run but no one really cares about him. Allen has to worry about his big Macaca problem right now cause he's starting to slide in Virgina but if it all blows over he'll probably decide to run. Newt probably won't run he's just having fun right now and teasing the media. Condi won't run. Romney wants to run so badly and he probably will. And I don't think anyone else is interested right now.


21 posted on 08/21/2006 5:50:49 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: mewzilla

I think its Rudy. Rove Met with Rudy a few times. He hasn't met with the other ones that are thinking of running.


22 posted on 08/21/2006 5:51:43 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone

I wouldn't put too much stock in this type of poll this early. This is mostly a name-recognition exercise, but when the Shiite hits the fan as the primary season starts, that's when we'll start to see who the real contenders are.


23 posted on 08/21/2006 5:52:21 AM PDT by kevkrom (War is not about proportionality. Knitting is about proportionality. War is about winning.)
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To: areafiftyone

We're Doomed! Seriously.

24 posted on 08/21/2006 5:52:52 AM PDT by OB1kNOb (This is no time for bleeding hearts, pacifists, and appeasers to prevail in free world opinion.)
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To: areafiftyone
McCain???

This forum is going to go ballistic if McCain gets the nomination. What to do, what to do???

sw

25 posted on 08/21/2006 5:54:45 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: kevkrom

We will see after November 2006. After the election is when all the candidates who are going to run will come out.


26 posted on 08/21/2006 5:55:07 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: spectre

You are right. It's going to be a very interesting race in 2008.


27 posted on 08/21/2006 5:55:42 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: areafiftyone
He hasn't met with the other ones that are thinking of running.

Well, I don't think they'll do anything to telegraph the president's preference. Keeping their powder dry will keep the 'Rats and the MSM off the successor's back.

I just hope 43 has someone picked out. Preferably someone who isn't from that cesspool up on the Hill.

28 posted on 08/21/2006 5:56:07 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: areafiftyone
The so-called top three candidates are two RINOs and a woman who has repeatedly said she will not run for President. This list will look very different in December 2007, even more so after the first few primaries.
29 posted on 08/21/2006 5:58:52 AM PDT by Wallace T.
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To: 12th_Monkey
John McCain 26% Rudy Giuliani 24% We're doomed...

Sounds like they're readying the ascension of the Hillary...

God help us.
30 posted on 08/21/2006 5:58:54 AM PDT by Barney59 ("I'm currently tagline-less")
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To: areafiftyone

Scary as hell!


31 posted on 08/21/2006 6:00:14 AM PDT by Bullish ( The pig headed monkeys of Islam can kiss my grits!)
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To: radar101

I have seen lots of enthusiam for Tancredo here, so I watched an interview on c-span last week. Or, I watched as much as I could before he put me to sleep. What a snooze!


32 posted on 08/21/2006 6:01:10 AM PDT by ClaireSolt (.)
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To: areafiftyone

For your consideration:

http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/columnists.nsf/billmcclellan/story/92356F2497C7C010862571D100324D06?OpenDocument

A political prognosticator offers picks for president
By Bill McClellan
ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH
08/21/2006

I visited John Nero last week. He is this column's political expert. In the summer of 2004, I asked aspiring political experts to predict the results of the August primaries and the November general election. The races included St. Louis County executive, the congressional race in the 3rd District, all statewide Missouri offices, the presidential races in Missouri and Illinois and constitutional amendments 1 and 2 on the Missouri ballot - the casino at Rockaway Beach and the ban on gay marriage.

Nero missed only one primary - the Democratic contest for treasurer. He had everything else right. He picked Gene McNary to beat Kurt Odenwald. He picked Claire McCaskill to beat the sitting governor. He was spot on in the general election. He had Charlie Dooley beating McNary, Matt Blunt beating McCaskill, and so on.

[SNIP]

I asked about the presidential race. How will the primaries go?

Nero first talked about the Democrats. He said Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York is clearly the early favorite, but will face a strong challenge from Russ Feingold of Wisconsin. He was the only senator to vote against the original Patriot Act, and he has always opposed the war in Iraq, Nero said. So he'll get an early boost from the crowd that opposed Sen. Joe Lieberman. But that will actually help Clinton because a challenge from the left will frame her as a centrist. She'll win the nomination and select Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois as her running mate.

A woman and a black? Isn't that risky?

Not really, Nero said. Most of the country is beyond that, he said. He also said that the strongest Democratic nominee would be Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana. He's experienced. He's not seen as a polarizing figure, and he has consistently won elections in a red state. He could win Ohio in addition to Indiana, Nero said. You have to figure out what states a nominee can win.

And the Republicans?

Sen. John McCain of Arizona will go in as the favorite, but the social conservatives don't really trust him, and they won't no matter how many commencement speeches he gives at Liberty University, Nero said. And any effort to woo those people will hurt his credibility as a straight-talker. So he won't make it. The nominee will be Sen. George Allen of Virginia.

But didn't he just call one of his opponent's workers, an Indian-American, a macaca? A monkey?

That will be long forgotten, said Nero. When people have microphones in front of them all the time, they're bound to say something stupid. Happens all the time.

And Allen's running mate?

"Jeb Bush is a popular governor of a must-win state," said Nero.

And the next president is?

"I think a Clinton-Obama ticket, with perhaps floating out a role for former President Clinton as secretary of state, would be extremely strong. But two years out, I just don't know what state she would win that John Kerry lost. So at the risk of looking like a real macaca, the next president is George Allen."


33 posted on 08/21/2006 6:02:50 AM PDT by rwa265
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To: mewzilla

FYI, I have noticed that Jeb is now wearing a suit.


34 posted on 08/21/2006 6:03:01 AM PDT by ClaireSolt (.)
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To: areafiftyone

Has Hagel seen this poll yet?


35 posted on 08/21/2006 6:04:21 AM PDT by SMM48
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To: ClaireSolt

Most Senators and Congressmen are drones. They talk the talk but don't walk the walk. There is not one I would vote for president.


36 posted on 08/21/2006 6:07:18 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: ClaireSolt

Nah he won't run. He won't win not this time. Maybe in 2012. The American people will not vote another Bush in office just yet.


37 posted on 08/21/2006 6:08:33 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: TommyDale

Check out former Va. Gov. Jim Gilmore


38 posted on 08/21/2006 6:10:53 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek ("Over there, over there, We won't be back 'til it's over Over there.")
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To: areafiftyone

"Allen just kicked himself in the butt last week and in a Rasmussen poll that came out last week he's 49% while Webb is 45%."

That's ridiculous. (not saying your wrong) It is hard to believe people will not vote for Allen simply because he called someone a name. Not many people knew what that name meant anyway. Allen probably didn't either.


39 posted on 08/21/2006 6:11:05 AM PDT by imskylark
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To: TommyDale

"If the GOP nominates either McCain or Giuliani, consider Hillary Clinton a shoo-in as President in 2008."

Why do you think this? Do you believe that Repubs will stay home and hand the Whitehouse over to the Dems? Do you think HRC has the support of enough voters to win over McCain or Giuliani?

Neither McCain nor Giuliani is my choice but I will never, ever vote for a democrat nor will I stay home and not vote. Am I that different from other Conservatives?


40 posted on 08/21/2006 6:11:37 AM PDT by jch10
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To: jch10
"Do you believe that Repubs will stay home and hand the Whitehouse over to the Dems?"

Yes, exactly the way many Democrats sat out 1968 and let Richard Nixon defeat Hubert Humphrey. It is a very similar scenario.

41 posted on 08/21/2006 6:13:47 AM PDT by TommyDale (It's time to dismiss the Duke fake rape case, Mr. Nifong!)
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To: rwa265

Obama sounds way too much like Osama!!!!!


42 posted on 08/21/2006 6:13:59 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek ("Over there, over there, We won't be back 'til it's over Over there.")
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To: areafiftyone

It's going to be McCain, and probably Romney as VP. We can make the best of it and try to influence them to remember conservative ideals, or we than throw a fit and yell that they aren't "pure" enough. But McCain has got the mindshare with Middle America, and except for Giuliani no other Republican has any at all - nor much time left to gain it.


43 posted on 08/21/2006 6:15:10 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ("When the government is invasive, the people are wanting." -- Tao Te Ching)
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To: mariabush
Yes, good thread going on this today.

Jim Nicholson for Pres.

Draft him!

44 posted on 08/21/2006 6:15:15 AM PDT by ishmac
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To: rwa265

And besides, Obama would get a lot more attention than mrs. Clinton, and she couldn't have that!!


45 posted on 08/21/2006 6:15:50 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek ("Over there, over there, We won't be back 'til it's over Over there.")
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To: areafiftyone
The American people will not vote another Bush in office just yet.

If it is another Bush vs. Clinton election, Bush wins handily... of course, that is what the leftists in the media fear most and why he is not in any of their fake polls...

McCain is their butt licker, Giuliani is their Trojan Horse.

46 posted on 08/21/2006 6:16:50 AM PDT by Sir Francis Dashwood (LET'S ROLL!)
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To: ishmac
Oops, Jim Gilmore for Pres. (sorry for brain fart)
47 posted on 08/21/2006 6:17:04 AM PDT by ishmac
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To: areafiftyone
Image and video hosting by TinyPic
48 posted on 08/21/2006 6:17:30 AM PDT by don-o (Proudly posting without reading the thread since 1998. (stolen from one cool dude))
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To: Sir Francis Dashwood

I truly don't think Jeb would get elected and I think he knows that. Which is why he isn't running this time around. In 2012 I think he just might do it.


49 posted on 08/21/2006 6:17:52 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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To: don-o

LOL


50 posted on 08/21/2006 6:18:29 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicians Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For The Same Reason)
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