Missouri Senate: Still Close Talent (R) 46%, McCaskill (D) 44%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | August 22, 2006

[Clintonfatigued]

The Missouri Senate race remains one of the closest in the nation. The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll shows Senator Jim Talent (R) with 46% of the vote and Missouri State Auditor Claire McCaskill (D) at 44% (see crosstabs). A month ago, it was McCaskill’s turn to hold a statistically insignificant edge, 45% to 42%.

[pissant]

Talent will beat that old pellican.

[Uriah_lost]

Factoring in the traditional under polling of Republicans, I'd say Talent has this locked up, despite looking like a wax sculpture of himself.

[Republican Red]

Claire McCaskill Admits Drug Use

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1687587/posts?page=37#37

She was under a federal drug investigation.

[samadams2000]

Yeah but you need to factor in the 3 pt. democratic vote fraud. Could be close.

[Uriah_lost]

True indeed...

[traditional1]

I'm not sure of the population of St. Louis, but if it's 350,000, you can be sure that the Democrat will get 360,000 votes there.......

[Clintonfatigued]

This one continues to go down to the wire. Every poll shows the candiates exchanging leads that are always within the margin of error.

[BigSkyFreeper]

East St. Louis is probably without a doubt largely Democrat.

[Clintonfatigued]

This was back in 1976, right?

[traditional1]

St. Louis population is 51% "African-American", and that's a 2000 Census number. Voter fraud in St. Louis got Carnahan elected, and is very hard to over-come in a Presidential election, state-wide.

[MikefromOhio]

East St. Louis is probably without a doubt largely Democrat.

East St. Louis is in Illinois.....not Missouri....

[BigSkyFreeper]

Voter fraud in St. Louis got Carnahan elected, and is very hard to over-come in a Presidential election, state-wide.

Very true, and I remember some hack judge said that night that polls could remain open longer in St. Louis, which was quickly overturned. That judge should have been disbarred for tampering with voting laws.

[LS]

I agree. I've had Talent off the "endangered" board for some time. Now, only three remain, Santorum (who is really surging---insider polling showed him slashing into Casey's lead in the Philly suburbs), Burns, and Chafee.

On the other hand, Kean dead even in NJ, and Steele (MD) and Kennedy (MN) still close in recent polls, and McGavick in WA and the guy in MI are closing fast.

[BigSkyFreeper]

OK, you're correct, I stand corrected.

[Republican Red]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9e9_S59KgT8

Her admitted drug use was "in the seventies".

The Feds had a 4 year investigation of her in the mid to late 90's - when she was in the county prosecutor's office.

YouTube video from two separate local news stories.

[gridlock]

Between now and Election Day, the Republicans will continue to trend up and the Democrats will continue to trend down. This is the inevitable result when people start to look at the positions held on both sides, and they realize the Republicans have legitimate policies on the War, National Security, Economic Growth and Entitlements, while the Democrats just have a lot of anti-Everything clap-trap.

The know-nothings will continue to believe the Democrats are way ahead, because they won't read or believe any evidence to the contrary. On November the 8th, they're going to be quite shocked at the Republican gains.

The Republicans will be at least Plus 2 in the Senate and Plus 4 in the House. Mark my words.

[MikefromOhio]

No problem :)

[misharu]

You must also remember that it was Lacy Clay who went to that Judge and got the result he wanted. I thought that was a tragedy.

[BigSkyFreeper]

I should've known. I've been through St. Louis, and East St. Louis for that matter. :)

It's sort of like Fargo-Moorhead. Hard to distinguish where Fargo ends and Moorhead begins or whether you're in North Dakota or Minnesota. :)

[LasVegasMac]

that old pellican.

LOL

Ok, why do you call him that?

[BigSkyFreeper]

I think the Democrats have already hit their high water mark in Missouri.

[MikefromOhio]

pretty much....

[pissant]

Claire is a her, not a him.

It's something I saw on the 3 Stooges in my yoot. Moe had some classic insults.

[misharu]

McCaskill will most likely cover the blue areas of the state. Which according to the 2000 and 2004 national elections were, Springfield, Kansas City and the independent City of St. Louis. (I live in St. Louis County, which is not part of St. Louis City.) That leaves almost 95% of the state Red.

I personally think it will be a squeeker, but if the Mo Republican Party galvanizes the masses as they did in 2000 and 2004, then Talent will win easily.

[gridlock]

Get Out The Vote will be key. Contact your local Republican Campaign Headquarters and volunteer.

[LasVegasMac]

East St. Louis is in Illinois.....not Missouri....

As if that would matter to the 'Rats "Vote Early, Vote Often" style......

[MikefromOhio]

just stating it for accuracy.....

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

I gotta feelin' that Casey is gonna dry up like October corn. Burns is gonna pull it out. Chafee.....who cares?

I think that we may pick up a seat or two in the Senate. We may lose a few seats in the House but we will hold it.

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

Our voter vault system is outstanding. We have a clear GOTV advantage over the Dems. I am wedded to gettin' a GOP governor elected here in Iowa, otherwise I would love to go to PA.

[new yorker 77]

This is the same exact pattern of polling in Missouri as the 2002 Election.

Talent won then. He will win again.

[BigSkyFreeper]

This is the same exact pattern of polling in Missouri as the 2002 Election.

Talent won then. He will win again.

That's my exact "take it to the bank" prediction.  It's the 2002 election all over again.

[gridlock]

I am wedded to gettin' a GOP governor elected here in Iowa, otherwise I would love to go to PA.

Yep. Likewise, I will be working to get Tom Kean Jr. elected to the Senate in NJ (he's one of the two referenced in my tag-line). You're most useful and less of a burden working in your own area, I always figure.

[traditional1]

"As if that would matter to the 'Rats "Vote Early, Vote Often" style......"

I would suspect there's lots of traffic from Democrat voters from E. St. Louis across the bridge on election day.....westbound on I-64, on busses provided by your Local Democrat volunteers....

[AFPhys]

I believe you might be right with one exception.

I sincerely hope that the Senate ends up with Chaffee losing, and that decreases your Senate expectation by 1. In my opinion, that would increase the Republican's power.

[Eric in the Ozarks]

Handing out packs of Marlboros like they did in Milwaukee.

[gridlock]

I sincerely hope that the Senate ends up with Chaffee losing, and that decreases your Senate expectation by 1.

I'll take a net gain of two, with Chaffee losing (which is really more like a gain of 3). How's that?

[kempster]

Isn't MO the state that has judges in place to keep the polls open until the Democrat wins?

[Niteranger68]

[tom h]

"East St. Louis is probably without a doubt largely Democrat.

East St. Louis is in Illinois.....not Missouri...."

But that won't stop them from voting in Missouri. Happens in Wisconsin and Illinois all the time -- Democrats in Milwaukee voting in Chicago, and vice versa.

[fieldmarshaldj]

BTW, East Saint Louis, IL, has a Black Democrat Mayor who endorsed Bush in '04. Not a stupid man.

[billndin]

I am a New Englander who shares your opinion of Chafee. Unfortunately, Chafee is the ONLY kind of Republican who can come out of Rhode Island, probably the most Democrat state in the Union. I would take that bucket of warm spit (Chafee) in a 50-50 Senate, with Cheney voting to break the deadlock, rather than losing the Senate because Chafee lost his seat. I hate it when politics trumps substance but losing power to the Dems is a worse fate.

[Niteranger68]

I hate it when politics trumps substance but losing power to the Dems is a worse fate.

Make this your tagline! (nice call)

[Clintonfatigued]

"East Saint Louis, IL, has a Black Democrat Mayor who endorsed Bush in '04."

I don't expect that it will help his reelection prospects.

[fieldmarshaldj]

You wouldn't think, but it might not matter at all. Carl Officer ran the city for awhile before he made a comeback, so he might be reelected when he's next up (next year).

[Lancer_N3502A]

Don't forget to add 10% to McCaskill for voter's fraud.

[Torie]

You don't think DeWine in Ohio is endangered?

[LS]

Nope. Standard old Dem polls that always show the Dem ahead until the end.