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To: Shermy

I see this as very accurate analysis.


3 posted on 08/26/2006 1:48:39 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys

It's an accurate reaction to the Democrat's inaccurate strategy which they've been advertising.

The races will be decided on local issues and the immigration bill.

Bush can screw it up if he starts pushing his America-busting radical immigration plans aka "comprehensive." Bilbray, a few others have challenged Bush publicly, I think the shyness has returned. Too bad because most people want a break from Bush.

Will Bush do it? Absolutely, and Rove/bolten will push it. A lot of post-2008 consultation job money running on getting the Senate bill through now. It must have seemed so close, the LSM and Democrats so easily stampeded by Rove's demonization of conservatives.

Republican control could be lost if Bush steps in before the election on immigration and the Repubs. don't denounce him.


11 posted on 08/26/2006 2:02:32 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: AFPhys
I think clamping down on the border and passing legislation making spending earmarks transparent would do wonders for the Repubs.

I doubt either will happen.
12 posted on 08/26/2006 2:03:10 PM PDT by Blackirish (I'm George Allen and I apologize.)
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To: AFPhys
This reminds me of the pundits in 1972. The polls said Nixon's approval was in the mid to high 30s. How could Nixon win?

Not only did he win he won a bigger percentage of the vote than Reagan did in 1984. Nixon won 60.7 percent of the votes. He came with in 1/10 of one percent of wining the biggest victory of the 20th century. He nearly broke FDR's record.

How could Nixon's 39 percent job approval turn into a 60.7 percent win?

It is pretty simple to figure out. It is the same situation today. The media and Fred Barnes things the lack of support for Bush is about Iraq. And that is true. But only a small percentage want us to get out of Iraq. The latest polls show only 22 percent of likely voters want to pull out of IRAQ.

Only 39 percent think Bush is doing a good job. But another 22 percent want him to kick ass and take names. They want him to fight harder. These voters are not going to vote for a Cut and Run Democrat. It is apparent in the inability of John Murtha to get people to campaign for him. In fact no one wants Murtha to campaign FOR them. Democrats want him to go away.

Why do the media polls under poll Republicans? Because they assume those hard core Republicans are not going to vote for Democrats. And since they don't support President Bush, they are not going to vote.

Yet, when the choice comes to stay the course or cut and run... stay the course wins. The voters who want to nuke em and then come home will be scared to death that Democrats might take over and surrender.

The turnout will be big and the media will be telling us that voters changed their minds in the last 24 hours.

This is a good year to be a Republican... It is just that the Washington Pundits don't know it... yet.

17 posted on 08/26/2006 2:28:26 PM PDT by Common Tator
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To: AFPhys
I think Fred's still behind the curve. The question is not whether the GOP will hold. Clearly they will. The question is whether they can GAIN---and I think they can, and will.

See the post above for the comment Rush had from Carville about "vote fraud" in six states. They are already starting to prepare for the inevitable.

30 posted on 08/26/2006 4:20:21 PM PDT by LS
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