Winds Of Political Change Beginning To Favor Republicans

Real Clear Politics (originally in USA Today) ^ | 8/28/06 | Michael Barone

[jrooney]

We WILL MAINTAIN BOTH. I for one will not be surprised for pickups in one or both. Remember the look on Terry McCauliff's face the morning after the 2002 elections, he was shell shocked! The donks thought then they would do allot better because polling said so. Well they had their a**es handed to them. This time will be no different.

[decal]

"There seems to have been a change in the political winds. They've been blowing pretty strongly against George W. Bush and the Republicans this spring and early this summer."

Doesn't this stuff happen every election year? Dems get all misty over polls taken in the spring and summer when normal working people aren't even thinking about elections.

I remember in 1984, just after the Dem convention, Sen. Mondale had a lead in the polls over Pres. Reagan. Anyone remember how it turned out in November?

The GOP breaks even at worst in the Senate and gains 5-10 seats in the House.

Unfortunately, Howard Dean will be fired as head of the DNC as a result. Fortunately, nobody any better will be willing to take the post.

[jazusamo]

I agree we'll gain seats in both Houses. Welcome to FR.

[Sofa King]

Really, I don't think that much, if anything, has changed since 2 years ago.

[Penner]

Whether this bump is permanent or not, the terror issue will (because it must) trump other issues.

What about illegal immigration?

This, in my opinion, will help the GOP actually make gains in November. I think the GOP will get 1 or 2 in the House and 3 or more in the Senate.

Dream on.

[Rawlings]

Immigration cannot trump national security. Yes I know they are linked. But please...you think the Democrats will solidify our borders. No Democrats=Safe Borders. Period.

[jrooney]

Though the GOP is not handling immigration perfectly, they are doing allot more than the donks would do. Most people realize the donks would be much weaker on immigration issues. Therefore, the immigration issue is not an anchor for the GOP. Some with horse blinders on might think so but anyone that takes the time to think how the donks would handle it realize, voting GOP is still the best alternative.

[Howlin]

What about illegal immigration?

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Aug. 17-21, 2006. N=1,206 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all adults).

					.
"If you had to say, which of these six issues do you think is MOST important for political leaders to concentrate on right now? (1) Fighting terrorism. (2) Strengthening the economy. (3) Dealing with the war in Iraq. (4) Lowering gas prices. (5) Reducing the cost of heath care. OR, (6) Dealing with the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah."
					.
			ALL Adults	Repub- licans	Demo- crats	Indepen- dents
			%	%	%	%
	Fighting terrorism		24	41	12	21
	Dealing with war in Iraq		22	15	29	22
	Strengthening economy		20	16	20	23
	Reducing health care costs		18	11	20	20
	Lowering gas prices		9	8	11	7
	Dealing with Israel, Hezbollah		6	7	7	5
	Unsure		1	2	1	2

 

CBS News Poll. Aug. 11-13, 2006. N=974 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.
					.
"What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?" Open-ended
					.
			8/11-13/06	7/21-25/06
			%	%
	War in Iraq		28	23
	Terrorism (general)		17	7
	Economy and jobs		11	11
	Gas prices/Heating oil crisis		7	8
	Immigration		4	4
	Foreign policy		3	4
	Defense/Military		3	3
	President Bush		3	3
	Other		20	31
	Unsure		4	6

[Howlin]

Immigration cannot trump national security.

Period.

[prov1813man]

It seems to me that every close market ought to be saturated with clips of lamont, sharpton, jackson, striesand, moore, conyers, pelosi, dean, reid and of course Hillary!, doing what they do and remind the voters it's not the local candidate they are voting for or against they are voting for the above group of traitorous nutbags to run the country.

Is it possible we have fallen that far? I don't think so.

[jrooney]

And this is a New York Times CBS Poll that CAN NOT GET ANYMORE BIASED AGAINST REPUBLICANS. If they could have used illegal immigration in the poll to hammer the GOP, they would have.

[jrooney]

I agree. The GOP has more money on hand and they will use it to illuminate the differences. The closer we get to Nov., the better the GOP will look to most voters.

[Rembrandt]

"..Bush rejected the Kyoto Treaty ..'

GW did not reject the Kyoto Treaty. Bubba tried to get it passed at the end of his second term and the Senate unanimously deep sixed it; that means each and every Dimocrat Sinator also nixed it!

[TeleStraightShooter]

the alternative is too awful and dangerous to consider.

Concur, considering the (D)'s exit strategy from the Iraqi theatre of operations in the world wide ar on terror.

[Owen]

There is nothing new under the sun. The party out of power tends to win a few seats in off year elections. No reason to think the tendency is any different now than other times. There is nothing new in society facing problems. Problems have always been present -- and they lead to loss of a few seats by the party in power in an off year election.

A few seats aren't enough when the majority is so large. Winning a seat or two would probably cost Dean his job, and Hillary will annoint his replacement, whose job will be to ensure she is nominated in 2008.

[Porterville]

The only source worth paying attention.

[Republic Rocker]

LET'S ROLL .............!

[Howlin]

If they could have used illegal immigration in the poll to hammer the GOP, they would have.

But they can't because NOBODY is naming that in their polls; if they did, you better believe the NY Times would.

You people that believe that immigration is going to be the Number One issue come November are going to be as dumbfounded as the Democrats are coming Wednesday morning.

[Rembrandt]

"Unfortunately, Howard Dean will be fired as head of the DNC as a result."

I'd be sad and disappointed if Howie the Wowie were removed. He is a hugh and series advantageous for us.

[jrooney]

Music to my ears! To the squeemish, close your eyes because it is going to get bloody.