"The Artic was as warm or warmer in 1940."
I wonder what kind of face Mr. Gore makes when he reads such things?
If we can't predict with 100% accuracy what the weather will be like this Sunday, how in the Hell can we claim to predict what the earth's climate will be like in 50 to 75 years?
Oh well. This stuff makes my head hurt, anyway.
Non-Huricane Ernesto meet Global Warming.
I didn't think wooden indians made faces.
It's a different kind of prediction. This recent article at RealClimate addressed the exact question you asked.
Short and simple arguments for why climate can be predicted
Some of the comments are from one of my favorite FReeper climate change skeptics -- because he has a good grasp of the issue. Note that there are a LOT of comments.
I agree with the GW skeptics. The world has been warming since the last ice age but not because of anything man has done.
However, I do disagree with your prediction statement. It's impossible to know the which card will turn up next in Black Jack or what the next roll of the dice will be in Craps, but casinos make billion of dollars knowing what the long term results will be.