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Harris holds lead heading into final week
AP via HeraldToday.com ^ | 31 August 2006 | BRENT KALLESTAD

Posted on 08/31/2006 3:29:27 AM PDT by NautiNurse

U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris holds a double-digit lead over her three opponents in the Republican race for the U.S. Senate nomination in Florida's Sept. 5 primary election, a new poll released Thursday showed.

Harris, who is serving her second term in Congress from a district representing the Sarasota area, was favored by 38 percent of 317 likely Republican voters in a random telephone survey taken between Aug. 23-28 by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. The survey reported a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points.

William McBride, a 34-year-old Windermere attorney, was supported by 22 percent, while retired Navy admiral LeRoy Collins Jr., of Tampa was backed by 11 percent and Peter Monroe, a real estate developer from Safety Harbor, received 3 percent.

The winner of the GOP primary will face incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Melbourne, in the Nov. 7 general election.

A fourth of the likely Republican voters questioned said they were still undecided and nearly a half, 45 percent, said they might change their minds by election day - including a third of those who said they presently favored Harris.

"If Rep. Harris had only one opponent she might be in deep trouble," said Peter Brown, assistant polling director for Quinnipiac. "But having three candidates splitting the anti-Harris vote is a major plus for her."

Harris was rated favorably by 36 percent while 25 percent viewed her unfavorably and another 22 percent said they had mixed opinions about the former Florida secretary of state, who gained notoriety for her role in the 2000 presidential election recount.

Her opponents are so poorly known by most voters that none were rated favorably by more than 18 percent of the respondents.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2006polls; flelection2006; florida; gopprimary; katherineharris; megalomaniacloser
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Another story from August 29:

Harris embraced in Manatee

Bradenton...It was clear that a large number of Bradenton commuters, despite the bad press, the dire polling predictions and the disapproval of Republican Party leaders, still support their hometown congresswoman enough to shout out their windows and lay on their horns.

The honking only became louder when Katherine Harris joined about a dozen of her supporters in the searing afternoon sun. The majority of driver reactions were positive. A smaller number were thumbs-down. A couple were unprintable.

1 posted on 08/31/2006 3:29:28 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: JulieRNR21; Joe Brower; MinuteGal
Katherine Harris ping...


2 posted on 08/31/2006 3:31:18 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

I heard her on Glenn Beck yesterday. She was almost as good as Rick Santorum was the day before.


3 posted on 08/31/2006 3:37:21 AM PDT by Past Your Eyes (Some people are too stupid to be ashamed.)
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To: Past Your Eyes
I missed the Glenn Beck interview.

Harris received several standing ovations from an SRO crowd earlier this week.

4 posted on 08/31/2006 3:40:02 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

I guess that as much as I detest the idea, I'm going to have to vote for McBride. None of the other candidates has a chance of beating her, and she sure as heck can't beat Nelson.


5 posted on 08/31/2006 3:40:12 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: NautiNurse

I like spunky wimmin. Especially when they are RIGHT!!!


6 posted on 08/31/2006 3:41:44 AM PDT by Past Your Eyes (Some people are too stupid to be ashamed.)
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To: NautiNurse

Ya' know - she could be doing a lot better if higher level Republicans would have gotten behind her.

If she wins the big one it will be with no thanks to the Republican power brokers in that state.


7 posted on 08/31/2006 3:44:35 AM PDT by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: Brilliant
Vote your conscience. I could never vote for McBride after he marched with the leftist illegal immigration group IUF two weeks before filing his candidacy papers for this race.

Harris has a solid conservative voting record. She's got my vote and my support. The MSM Harris smear campaign has been astounding. I'm surprised they haven't published her bathroom habits yet...but there is still time.

8 posted on 08/31/2006 3:45:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
The majority of driver reactions were positive. A smaller number were thumbs-down

Well Duh! - A Master of the blindingly obvious.

Did the writer have to choke when he (had to?) wrote this column? - He certainly trotted out all of the possible things that might have happened:

nearly a half, 45 percent, said they might change their minds by election day...

"If Rep. Harris had only one opponent she might be in deep trouble," - Her opponents are so poorly known

Jesus Lord, are they so desperate to find negatives that they resort to theoretical scenarios?

How about this for a headline?

Harris set to sweep aside her opponents in a walk away race, despite the hostility of the Press?

9 posted on 08/31/2006 3:53:50 AM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: Brilliant
and she sure as heck can't beat Nelson.

Then read this carefully:

McBride couldn't beat me in the general election.

10 posted on 08/31/2006 3:56:52 AM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: bill1952

And I mean that literally.


11 posted on 08/31/2006 3:58:41 AM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: bill1952; PeteB570

The liberal press smear campaign is unrelenting. The only thing more pathetic are otherwise reasonably intelligent conservatives who have bought it hook, line, and sinker.


12 posted on 08/31/2006 4:00:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
The liberal press smear campaign is unrelenting. The only thing more pathetic are otherwise reasonably intelligent conservatives who have bought it hook, line, and sinker.

When you got polling showing you are down 40 plus points, reality needs to set in.

13 posted on 08/31/2006 4:03:35 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: NautiNurse
The more I pay close attention to those self described conservatives, the less impressed I become with their self importance and so called intellectual honesty!

Elitists living in their own special world of privilege. Blech!

14 posted on 08/31/2006 4:05:15 AM PDT by OldFriend (I Pledge Allegiance to the Flag.....and My Heart to the Soldier Who Protects It.)
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To: Always Right
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Nelson?
Favorable 49%
Unfavorable 11%
Undecided 40%
15 posted on 08/31/2006 4:06:42 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Always Right
What you apparently do not understand is that no one else in the State would do even 10% as good as she will against Nelson and that reality apparently hasn't found it's way into your brain.

But it may never. - So keep glued to the polls and the MSM. You will do just fine. They will tell you what to do.

16 posted on 08/31/2006 4:09:25 AM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: OldFriend

In this forum, at least two obnoxious people have already offered substantial wagers that Harris will lose the election. With FRiends like that, who needs enemas?


17 posted on 08/31/2006 4:12:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

It's not only on FR.....it our so called 'conservative' talk show hosts as well.


18 posted on 08/31/2006 4:14:12 AM PDT by OldFriend (I Pledge Allegiance to the Flag.....and My Heart to the Soldier Who Protects It.)
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To: NautiNurse

Boy I can only imagine how Howard Dean and the dimocrat party is handling this . I'm sure they think Kate facilitated Bushs' win in 2000 .


19 posted on 08/31/2006 4:14:56 AM PDT by lionheart 247365 (( I.S.L.A.M. stands for - Islams Spiritual Leaders Advocate Murder .. .. .. ))
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To: OldFriend
It's not only on FR.....it our so called 'conservative' talk show hosts as well.

Ah yes--so I have heard.

20 posted on 08/31/2006 4:18:40 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: lionheart 247365
Boy I can only imagine how Howard Dean and the dimocrat party is handling this .

Like pigs in hog heaven.

21 posted on 08/31/2006 4:19:28 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: bill1952

You may be right, but he has a better chance of beating you (and Nelson) than Katherine Harris has.


22 posted on 08/31/2006 4:26:43 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: NautiNurse

For me, the conscience issue boils down to this: who would my conscience support? Nelson or McBride?


Harris is not among the choices.


23 posted on 08/31/2006 4:28:02 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: NautiNurse
I am pleasantly surprised considering the daily news of missteps, finance troubles, campaign staff departures and lousy press.

You the girl !!!!
24 posted on 08/31/2006 4:29:28 AM PDT by IrishMike (Democrats .... Stuck on Stupid, RINO's ...the most vicious judas goats)
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To: Always Right

The polling is bought and brought to you by the same people that have brought you all of the negative press. Leftists press and polling exists for one reason, and it is not pro Conservative.

LLS


25 posted on 08/31/2006 4:32:55 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: sinkspur; JohnnyZ; MineralMan; Rodney King; PhiKapMom

26 posted on 08/31/2006 4:36:54 AM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist (404 Page Error Found)
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To: Brilliant

When the general election choices are Harris and Nelson, who do you vote for?


27 posted on 08/31/2006 4:36:59 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

28 posted on 08/31/2006 4:40:12 AM PDT by E Rocc (Myspace "Freepers" group moderator)
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To: NautiNurse

Harris of course. But she would get blown away. It would be ugly.


29 posted on 08/31/2006 4:42:38 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Brilliant

Glad to know you will vote for Harris rather than Nelson November 7.


30 posted on 08/31/2006 4:45:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Brilliant
I guess that as much as I detest the idea, I'm going to have to vote for McBride. None of the other candidates has a chance of beating her, and she sure as heck can't beat Nelson.

I'm missing the logic in your statement. If, as you claim, "None of the other candidates has a chance of beating her", why are you going to vote for one of them? If she is the best (albeit slim) hope that we have of getting rid of Nelson, why wouldn't you give her every possible support she can get?

I'm not picking on you or flaming you, I'm really trying to understand where you're coming from.
31 posted on 08/31/2006 5:01:07 AM PDT by DustyMoment (FloriDUH - proud inventors of pregnant/hanging chads and judicide!!)
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To: NautiNurse

Goes to show the total disconnect of the RNC from the true conservatives in the United States.


32 posted on 08/31/2006 5:07:48 AM PDT by TimesDomain (When a judge declares himself "MASTER", you become his "SLAVE")
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To: TimesDomain
Goes to show the total disconnect of the RNC from the true conservatives in the United States.

I don't want to believe that is the case. However, my campaign contributions have gone directly to Katherine Harris rather than the RNC this time.

33 posted on 08/31/2006 5:11:07 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: DustyMoment

I meant none of the candidates other than McBride. McBride's only 5 points behind in the poll. That's striking distance.


34 posted on 08/31/2006 5:21:46 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: LibLieSlayer; bill1952; NautiNurse
The polling is bought and brought to you by the same people that have brought you all of the negative press. Leftists press and polling exists for one reason, and it is not pro Conservative.

As if it is just leftwing polling showing this. All polling is showing diasterous results. Skepticism of the media is a good thing, denying reality is not. Nelson is beatable, but not with the way Harris campaign has gone down. She's a 1 to a 100 shot.

35 posted on 08/31/2006 5:32:44 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: NautiNurse

If you don't vote for a candidate that is more conservative than Nelson [such as K.H.], you might as well vote for Nelson.


36 posted on 08/31/2006 5:56:10 AM PDT by razorbak
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To: Always Right

Thread after thread, post after post you keep saying she can't win over and over again. What is the point of your mantra?


37 posted on 08/31/2006 6:03:02 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
Thread after thread, post after post you keep saying she can't win over and over again. What is the point of your mantra?

Actually I have supported Harris until the last few months when it has become painfully obvious to anyone with a pulse that she has no chance. I think she would make a great Senator. Unfortunately Harris just keeps digging a deeper and deeper hole. If Harris was within 20 points of Nelson, I would still be supporting her. But when she drops down to 25 points behind, then 35 points behind, and now 43 points behind it is painful to watch. She does not even have strong support among GOP voters. She is hated by Democrat voters and doesn't have any support from independant voters. What's the point of running if you don't have a shot?

38 posted on 08/31/2006 6:14:01 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Always Right
I understand what you say, but your reasoning is also the reasoning that kerry uses to accuse Republicans of stealing elections from him in Florida and Ohio. kerry won in the polls, so the election must have been rigged.

I do not know how this particular election outcome will manifest itself, but polling will probably not be reflective of what actually happens (either way).

LLS
39 posted on 08/31/2006 6:19:58 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: Always Right

I Harris does beat Nelson, will you change your screen name?


40 posted on 08/31/2006 6:20:42 AM PDT by demkicker (democrats and terrorists are intimate bedfellows)
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To: NautiNurse

Folks need not "misunderestimate" Kathy.


41 posted on 08/31/2006 6:20:42 AM PDT by no dems ("25 homicides a day committed by Illegals" Ted Poe (R-TX) Houston Hearings 8/16/06)
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To: PeteB570

No the Republican leadership is only interested in going to bat for RINO's like they did for Arlen Specter.Their probably concentrating all their efforts now on getting RI Senator Lincoln Chafee re-elected !!!


42 posted on 08/31/2006 6:26:51 AM PDT by Obie Wan
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To: Always Right
What's the point of running if you don't have a shot?

Because she knows how much it irks the "she can't win" crowd. ;o)

43 posted on 08/31/2006 6:29:16 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: LibLieSlayer
I understand what you say, but your reasoning is also the reasoning that kerry uses to accuse Republicans of stealing elections from him in Florida and Ohio. kerry won in the polls, so the election must have been rigged.

Exit polling in which pollsters sought out lefties and lefties went out of their way to get polled, did not make for an accurate poll and even then they were only off 10 points. It was depressing hearing those exit polls, but when the shenanigans going on with them were reported and their inconsitancy with other recent polling, you could rationally discount them. Harris has been slaughter in poll after poll after poll. Playing games with polls can change the results some, but not 40 points. Let's get real here.

44 posted on 08/31/2006 6:34:06 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: demkicker
I Harris does beat Nelson, will you change your screen name?

No, but it won't happen unless Nelson really screws up like getting caught with a hooker in a hotel room with cocain up in nose. It would really take a disaster of that magnitude.

45 posted on 08/31/2006 6:37:23 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: NautiNurse; bill1952; LibLieSlayer

I'm still waiting for Always Right to answer my question in post #40. ;-)


46 posted on 08/31/2006 6:40:10 AM PDT by demkicker (democrats and terrorists are intimate bedfellows)
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To: demkicker

What do ya know, he answered it just as I was posting to you guys! Looks like the answer is no though...


47 posted on 08/31/2006 6:41:22 AM PDT by demkicker (democrats and terrorists are intimate bedfellows)
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To: Always Right

Ok, but if Harris wins, you at least need to agree to make this your tag line:

(except when I wrongly predicted Katherine Harris would lose)


48 posted on 08/31/2006 6:44:09 AM PDT by demkicker (democrats and terrorists are intimate bedfellows)
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To: Always Right
Up the thread in post #15...what do you think about this poll result for a senator in office for six years?

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Nelson?
Favorable 49%
Unfavorable 11%
Undecided 40%

49 posted on 08/31/2006 6:46:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: demkicker

Oh I would be happy to be wrong about this and would readily announce how wrong I was.


50 posted on 08/31/2006 6:48:43 AM PDT by Always Right
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