I believe that Lake County (NW side) will go for Burns.
Trouble is the cities like Missoula, Bozemen are pretty saturated with newcomers to the state and a lot of these newcomers aren't familiar with Burns or are the "We'll move to Montoland after we sell our ridiculously high priced home and buy twice the home at a quarter of the cost on five acres tree huggers" who are going to probably vote Tester.
Its basically old Montana vs New Montana.
I am not a Montana native but have lived here for 36 years. Montana is being flooded by left wing newcomers coming from God only know where. It is a source of deep dissapointment for me to see how the politics of the state is changing because of the flood of these transplants. I can only hope and pray that Burns will overcome the odds. Testor is just another Lamont. JessM
I don't have the numbers, but quite a few newcomers here are conservatives, my wife and I among them. We are probably assumed to be liberal by those who don't know us. My wife is Korean-Chinese and we have a VW Westfalia Camper and a Honda Insight Hybrid.