Schmidt(R) 45%, Wuslin(D) 42%, OH-2 Cong. district, Survey USA

Survey USA ^ | September 20, 2006

[Dane]

Republican Schmidt Faces Strong Challenge in OH2: In an election for US House of Representatives in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District today, 9/20/06, Republican Congresswoman Jean Schmidt leads Democrat Victoria Wulsin by 3 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Schmidt gets 45%. Wulsin gets 42%. The 3-point edge is within the poll's 4.5% margin of sampling error, and is not statistically significant. Republicans support Schmidt 6:1. Democrats support Wulsin 14:1. Independents break 5:4 for Wulsin. Republicans have a 3:2 advantage among 2nd CD likely voters. Wulsin leads among lower-income voters. Schmidt leads among middle-income voters. The two tie among upper-income voters. Schmidt is up slightly among men. Wulsin is up slightly among women. Though Wulsin leads 5:3 among Moderates, that is not enough to overcome the 9:2 lead Schmidt has among Conservatives. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance, 79% support Schmidt. Of those who disapprove of Bush's performance, 80% support Wulsin. President Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Ohio's 2nd CD is 50%. Schmidt was first elected to Congress in a special election in 2005.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, chosen using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 9/17/06 - 9/19/06. Of them, 497 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

[Dane]

No actual breakdown of party registration or leanings, but this poll hit the G-spot for the DUmmies. They hate Jean Schmidt, first for defeating hackett and second for calling the democrats on their cut and run tactics.

My opinion for November 7th, Schmidt 55%.

[MikefromOhio]

Her home county will see her through.

It's going to be a tough election in Ohio though. All of the races are relatively close.

what it will do in the nearterm is make TV virtually unwatchable for all the political ads....

[NeoCaveman]

The malariatherapy lady is that close to Mean Jean? I don't believe it.

[NeoCaveman]

My opinion for November 7th, Schmidt 55%.

At least.

[CheyennePress]

I can't believe anyone would be close to this woman. She's got more balls than 90% of the men in Congress.

[TNCMAXQ]

Why is this even close, if polls are to be believed?? As an incumbent in a district that went 60% for Bush, she should be a shoo in.

[tcrlaf]

"Why is this even close, if polls are to be believed??"

Because she had the balls to stand up to Uber-Hero Murtha, she has become a target of the Radical Left...

She beat thier hero HAckett, as well, remember...
And Libs are nothing, if not vengeful...

[jmaroneps37]

Jean has a 3/2 registration edge. The surge is here, and she has a money lead of 1.2 million dollars. Case closed. Portman got 67% when he ran. She will get near that.

[BluH2o]

Wait a minute ... didn't the Cincinnati Enquirer (today, 10-17) not breathlessly announce that her opponent Victoria Wulsin's campaign generate more funding to this point? Further, are you ready for this, Amy of Amy's List endorsed Wulsin ... damn, it's over now, all those soccer mom types who hang on to every endorsement Amy makes will vote for ultra-liberal Wulsin. (Perhaps not all are familiar with Amy's List ... a few years back Amy graduated as a liberal arts major ... she established a website that helps hapless soccer mom types in the Midwest pick efficient and qualified electricians, plumbers, painters, carpenters, etc., to service their homes. Now, evidently, she has moved on to recommending political candidates).