This bumper sticker courtesy of Rush Limbaugh. I have 500 stickers coming in on monday. If anyone would like a sticker(s) please FReepmail me.
Posted on 09/29/2006 5:32:48 PM PDT by okstate
NEW YORK - Incumbent Republican Senator George Allen and Democratic challenger Jim Webb are tied in the latest MSNBC/McClatchy poll conducted by Mason-Dixon. Each candidate received the support of 43 percent of likely voters in Virginia with 2 percent supporting a third candidate and 12 percent undecided.
The results represent a rapid change in support for Allen, who was once not only thought to be a safe bet for re-election but perhaps a candidate for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination.
If Allen were to lose, the chances of Democrats gaining control of the senate would be increased. The Democrats need a net gain of six seats to take over control of the Senate.
In July, Allen looked like a safe bet to hold the seat. He led Webb by a 16-point margin, 48 percent to 32 percent in a survey by the same pollster, Mason-Dixon. Allen’s lead shrunk to 4 points, 46 percent to 42 percent, earlier this month.
(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...
In 2004 both companies were extremely accurate -- one missed two states and the other missed only one; I forget which state was which.
VA Trendlines:
09-28 Survey USA ..... Allen +6
09-28 Mason-Dixon .... PUSH
09-26 Survey USA ..... Allen +5
09-12 Rasmussen ....... Allen +7
09-12 Survey USA ..... Allen +3
09-07 Mason-Dixon ... Allen +4
On Wednesday, Survey USA stated: "day-to-day data shows that the race is volatile. On Sunday 9/24, after Allen had been accused of using racial slurs in college, he led by 7 in SurveyUSA Sunday-only data . On Monday 9/25, after Allen strongly denied the accusations, he led by 11 in SurveyUSA Monday-only data. On Tuesday 9/26, after more people corroborated the accusations, Allen trailed Webb by 3 points, in Tuesday-only data. The 5-point Allen advantage shown here, when the 3 days of data are combined and averaged, cannot be considered stable."
Today Survey USA stated, "Day-to-day volatility remains very high. The 6-point Allen lead in today's results may change - but it appears as likely to change in one direction as the other."
Mason-Dixon has the Allen-Webb race a tie
Why do I not believe this poll?
Allen will win. Period.
I see a pattern with all of those poll results and they are looking good! Allen is the reason I'm voting this year!!!!
MSNB(S)C poll..'nuff said
And if he doesn't, he's got noone to blame but himself.
So if "the election was held today," we'd have to have a runoff? Coin toss?
Has Webb's Watts antics gotten widespread coverage yet?
I am thinking we are looking at a 55-45 Allen win come November.
His opponent said that every person in the South has used the "N" word. I guess he thinks every Southernor is a racist, including the blacks.
"The MSNBC/McClatchy Poll was conducted by telephone by Mason Dixon from Sept. 23 through Sept. 27. 625 likely voters were interviewed. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turnout by county."
Strange results. I think the "county quota" thingy threw them off.
Terrible article to go with it too.
This bumper sticker courtesy of Rush Limbaugh. I have 500 stickers coming in on monday. If anyone would like a sticker(s) please FReepmail me.
There's a strong possibility Allen loses And if he loses, it's over for the Republicans in the Senate.
Not for long. The new N word stuff will blow back on webb and the Naval Academy ad is a killer.
I do not believe these numbers. These polling companies are mainly Liberal polling companies and I do have a problem believing them.
That is why I don't believe the numbers. I want to see how the poll was conducted, the questions asked and who was polled.
As for President, forget it.
"He'll win his Senate seat back.
As for President, forget it."
I keep hearing that refrain, but I think it is bull.
Why don't you tell us who you are for?
McInsane? He's already toast.
Giulani, the multiple divorcee with liberal leanings?
Romney, who is saddled with the northeast Rino tag?
Or, maybe you are for Gingrich?
No, Allen is still in it, not necessarily because he is great but that the others have flaws too.
But the problem with these numbers is that this poll was commissioned by PMSNBC. They've been bashing Allen for weeks.
The RATS and the media have a documented history of distorting the numbers.
Never forget that up until 7:00 p.m. (and some after) on Election Day in 2004, they were telling us Kerry would take Virginia. Bush won the state by 8 pts.
It may be closer than what SurveyUSA shows. But it's not a tie.
The final Mason-Dixon poll (also sponsored by MSNBC) of Virginia in 2004 had Bush up 6.
The final Survey USA poll of Virginia in 2004 had Bush up 4.
Bush won by 8 percent.
All Mason-Dixon polls are either sponsored by Knight Ridder Newspapers or MSNBC.
Where is the video of George Allen fleeing a burning church while dragging a person of color behind his F150?
Interesting how this poll was 'released' right after - thereby driving off media coverage of- the surveyusa one showing Allen's six point lead.
http://www.dailypress.com/news/local/dp-41702sy0oct01,0,2497057.story?coll=dp-news-local-final
" it was "embargoed" until Monday morning's editions. That meant that it couldn't be published until then, either on the Internet, on television or radio, or in print. In other words, nobody scoops anybody.
The embargo fell apart when the results were posted on Not Larry Sabato, a liberal Web log, about 3 p.m. Friday.
"Somebody must have called the Webb campaign for comment," said Brad Coker, who heads the Mason-Dixon polling operation. "I have to think that the Webb people talked to a blogger, and he posted it. "I presume it was them because they had the most to gain from the information."
Not me, said Steve Jarding, Webb's campaign manager. Jarding said he received the information by e-mail Friday afternoon..."
You totally reversed the spirit of the article, which was to show how much power blogs have over the old media, not the other way around. There's no conspiracy here, a blog broke the results and Chris Matthews read them on Hardball Friday night.
As for the Survey USA poll.. Mason-Dixon conducts polls for a national network and for a newspaper company with papers all over the country. Survey USA does polls for one TV station in a given area. Of course an M-D poll is gonna get more coverage than an SUSA poll.
I didn't "reverse" anything. What a bizarre reply, I wonder what is on your mind.
The liberal blogs and the media are not in conflict they are in co-hoots LOL!
As the article and I surmise the Webb campaign [or someone in the media] released the poll to the blog to drive coverage. The favorable Webb poll results were heavily trumpeted during the time they would have been embargoed and the other results would have been the "news".
The Mason-Dixon result was going to be news, first because it was taken for a national news network, and secondly because ties are more interesting than less competitive results.
When they were released Monday.
Then they would have been "news".
Meanwhile the only "news" would be the other poll.
But a liberal on the Webb staff or in the media wanted to help Webb so they gave the results to the liberal blog to release.
The collusion is the story. The combination of the media and the internet left.
They didn't used to have an internet presence that could do this.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.