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Reynolds is badly trailing Davis, poll shows
The Buffalo News ^ | 10/8/06 | Robert J. McCarthy

Posted on 10/08/2006 11:49:13 AM PDT by tennmountainman

Democrat Jack Davis has opened a significant lead over Republican incumbent Thomas M. Reynolds in a congressional contest fueled by Reynolds' association with the Mark Foley sex scandal. Davis leads Reynolds 48 percent to 33 percent in a new Zogby International poll conducted for The Buffalo News, prompting pollster John Zogby to conclude that Davis poses a genuine threat to the longtime powerhouse from Clarence.

(Excerpt) Read more at buffalonews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: foley; house; reynolds
Polls are just a snap shot at a particular time. At this time, polls do not look good for Reynolds. He was scheduled to be on "This Week" this morning. Anybody catch his interview>
1 posted on 10/08/2006 11:49:14 AM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: tennmountainman

Reynolds is so irate he will now go after Rahm Emanuel. the sleazebag who leaked the Foley affair.

The GOP must get revenge against Emanuel, destroy his life.


2 posted on 10/08/2006 12:03:07 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: tennmountainman

Reynolds cancelled his appearance on This Week due to "flu-like symptoms" and arranged for Adam Putnam of Florida to show up instead.


3 posted on 10/08/2006 12:08:34 PM PDT by AntiGuv (o) (o)
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To: Welike ike
The GOP must get revenge against Emanuel, destroy his life.

Maybe someone can find e-mails proving he is secretly a Christian.

4 posted on 10/08/2006 12:10:30 PM PDT by madprof98
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To: tennmountainman

POLLS!? POLLS ARE FOR STRIPPERS!

5 posted on 10/08/2006 12:12:45 PM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (Bush Assassination Flick. Save your liberal friends a few bucks: the black guy in the tux dunnit.)
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To: AntiGuv

Cancelled because of "flu-like" symptoms. Whats up with that?


6 posted on 10/08/2006 12:13:51 PM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: madprof98
Maybe someone can find e-mails proving he is secretly a Christian.

You know, we can win elections without resorting to anti-Semitism. We've done so before and we'll do so again.

7 posted on 10/08/2006 12:18:47 PM PDT by Alter Kaker ("Whatever tears one sheds, in the end one always blows one's nose." - Heine)
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To: tennmountainman
FWIW another poll has Reynolds in a statistical dead heat. The poll was done by Survey USA, like Zogby a polling company that has animus towards conservatrices.

Link

8 posted on 10/08/2006 12:22:29 PM PDT by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: NaughtiusMaximus

You naughty poster. Is that from your private collection?


9 posted on 10/08/2006 12:23:40 PM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: tennmountainman
Poll, Smolls take a look at these dozens of polls. Everything taken from PollingReport.Com

Below is 2000 Generic house ballot polling

U.S. HOUSE: GENERIC BALLOT TEST [Details]
     

Would Vote For
DEMOCRATIC
Candidate

Would Vote For
REPUBLICAN
Candidate

 

DEM.
minus
REP.

     

%

%

 
  CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP tracking ^ 11/6 49 45   4
  VOTER.COM tracking ^ 11/6 44 42   2
  CBS ^ 11/5

41

38

 

3

  PEW RESEARCH CENTER * 11/5

48

42

 

6

  FOX NEWS/OPINION DYNAMICS ^ 11/2 45 42   3
  HOTLINE ^ 11/2 39 42   - 3
  DEMOCRACY CORPS (D) ^ 10/31 49 44   5
  BLOOMBERG ^ 10/29

43

37

 

6

  NEWSWEEK ^ 10/27

46

44

 

2

  CNN/TIME ^ 10/26

46

45

 

1

  REUTERS/MSNBC/ZOGBY ^ 10/25 45 38   7
  AMERICAN VIEWPOINT (R) ^ 10/22 40 41   - 1
  LOS ANGELES TIMES ^ 9/25 47 45   2
  JOHN McLAUGHLIN & ASSOC. (R) 9/17 43 44   - 1
  EMILY'S LIST (D) ^ 9/13

41

38

 

3

  ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST ^ 9/6 47 46   1
  PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES (R) ^ 8/22

45

46

 

- 1

  RESEARCH 2000 ^ 7/19

45

38

 

7

 

 

This is for the 2002 mid term election when President Bush had sky-high ratings


Generic House Ballot Test Polls listed chronologically.

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Latest: Oct. 31-Nov. 3, 2002. N=1,061 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3), including 715 likely voters (MoE ± 4).
         

.

 
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: [rotate] the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more toward [rotate] the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?"
    Repub-
lican
Demo-
crat
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
+D -R  
    % % % %  
  Among registered voters:
  10/31 - 11/3/02 44 49 7 +5  
  10/21-22/02 41 50 9 +9  
  10/3-6/02 43 48 9 +5  
  9/20-22/02 43 48 9 +5  
  9/2-4/02 43 46 11 +3  
  8/19-21/02 42 50 8 +8  
  7/26-28/02 42 48 10 +6  
  6/28-30/02 49 44 7 -5  
  6/21-23/02 42 50 8 +8  
  5/28-29/02 46 45 9 -1  
  4/29 - 5/1/02 44 48 8 +4  
  4/5-7/02 43 50 7 +7  
  3/02 46 46 8    
  2/02 47 43 10 -4  
  1/25-27/02 46 44 10 -2  
  1/11-14/02 46 43 11 -3  
  12/01 48 43 9 -5  
  11/01 45 45 10 0  
  6/01 45 49 6

 

This is for the 2004 election

"Again, thinking about the elections in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?"

         

.

 
    Republican Democrat Other
(vol.)
Not
Sure
 
    % % % %  
  10/26-28/04 45 48 1 5  
  10/26-27/04 45 47 2 6  
  10/24-25/04 42 51 1 6  
  10/20-21/04 44 49 1 6  
  10/17-18/04 46 48 1 5  
  10/14-16/04 45 49 1 5  
  10/10-11/04 45 48 1 6  
  10/3-5/04 45 49 1 6  
  10/3-5/04 45 49 1 6  
  9/26-28/04 46 47 2 5  
  9/19-21/04 45 48 1 6  
  9/12-14/04 44 48 1 7  
  9/6-9/04 45 46 2 7  
  8/2-5/04 41 51 2 6  
  7/10-13/04 42 49 1 8  
  6/14-17/04 44 48 1 8  
  5/10-13/04 44 46 1 9  
  4/19-22/04 45 47 0 8  
  3/16-21/04 45 47 1 7  
  2/10-15/04 42 49 0 8  
  1/13-18/04 43 48 1 9  
  10/03 42 48 1 9  
  9/03 42 47 1 11  
  8/03 39 45 1 15  
  7/03 45 44 2 10  
  6/03 44 43 1 11  
  5/03 45 43 1 11  
  1/03 43 44 1 11  

 

10 posted on 10/08/2006 12:35:35 PM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Timing has a lot to do with the outcome of a rain dance.)
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To: HawaiianGecko

Nice research.


11 posted on 10/08/2006 12:53:31 PM PDT by tennmountainman
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To: HawaiianGecko

Great research, it does put things in perspective doesn't it? I think you need to make it as its own thread. This is very important for our freepers to see and know that the polls always favor democrats in each elections except of course when the real polls occur on elections day.


12 posted on 10/08/2006 3:32:03 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
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To: tennmountainman
Reynolds is a first-class asshat. I repeatedly asked the NRCC to stop calling me, so then I started getting fundrasising solicitations (letters and phone calls, sometimes several in the same day) from Reynolds' campaign directly.

Last week, I got a notice that I received a certified letter from the IRS. Naturally, this caused me great concern. After waiting over an hour in line at the post office, I received a fund-raising solicitation from the NRCC designed as if it were coming from the IRS. Inside, it was something like "imagine the horrors the IRS will unleash on you and other small business owners if the Democrats control congress again..."

I sent the RNC $50 two years ago. They and other organizations have since spent much more than that trying to get me to give to them again.

That's how the NRCC, under Reynolds' watch, is spending their time and money.

Reynolds can rot in hell as far as I am concerned. His is the only GOP seat I hope we lose.

What a massive waste of time and money.

Not five minutes after getting back to my office from the post office, the NRCC was calling to see if I got their letter.

I told the lady what happened and how I did not appreciate wasting my time to pick up a fund-raising solicitation at the post office. She told me that "selfish people like you are the reason the Democrats are positioned to take back Congress."

13 posted on 10/08/2006 3:34:27 PM PDT by GoBucks2002 (Sex offenders: Republicans Remove, Democrats Re-Elect)
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To: jveritas
Maybe conservative media should do its own slanted polls so everyone will see just how meaningless they are.

Funny how ever since the introduction of electronic voting machines the imbeciles that the democraps used to count on to steal elections for them have been thwarted.

14 posted on 10/08/2006 3:37:42 PM PDT by Rome2000 (Peace is not an option)
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To: HawaiianGecko

Well, 2000 and 2002 show some good points, but in 2004, it was pretty close. It did not show the huge Dem lead it shows now.


15 posted on 10/08/2006 3:39:02 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: Rome2000
Maybe conservative media should do its own slanted polls so everyone will see just how meaningless they are.

Not a bad idea at all :)

16 posted on 10/08/2006 5:03:15 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
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To: Alter Kaker

Is somebody Jewish?


17 posted on 10/08/2006 7:32:57 PM PDT by muawiyah
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