Posted on 10/25/2006 8:38:08 AM PDT by dangus
One must be careful to make too much of a given Senate candidate appearing broke at the 3rd-quarter FEC filing time. After all, the national parties and major donors can rescue a strong candidate’s foundering finances. And certain costs, such as advertising, may even still have been paid up front. But when so many candidates from one party, who have been very strong, are suddenly out of cash, while the other party is cash-rich, something may be afoot. In this case, the Republicans continue to use their strategy which produced surprise wins in 2002 and 2004: They are keeping their powder dry for a last minute surge.
In Arizona, Jim Pederson (D) has outspent incumbent John Kyl, $10.3 million to $8.5 million. But Pederson is now outfunded, $5 million to 1.18 million.
In Connecticut, Ned Lamont (D) has spent $8.72 million challenging and has only $330 thousand left. Although his opponent is Democrat Joe Liberman, Lamont may yet draw last-,inute donations from other cash-starved Democrats.
In Missouri, Claire McCaskill (D) has matched Senator Jim Talent, $7.0 million to $7.85 million, but has only a quarter million dollars left, while Talent still has $4.2 million.
In Ohio, Sherrod Brown (D) has matched incumbent Mike DeWine, $7.5 million to $8.07 million, but trails in cash on hand, $1.21 million to $4.5 million.
In Montana, national Democrats have already scrambled to help John Tester find $3.7 million, but he only has $571 thousand left; Conrad Burns has $1.7 million.
Republicans looking to pick up Democrat seats have largely been woefully under-funded throughout the campaign. Some show signs of being able to make a last-minute push. A particularly hopeful race is in Maryland, where some polls show Michael Steele (R) has pulled even with Ben Cardin (D). Cardin has outspent him $5.19 million to $4.41 million, but Steele now has the advantage, with $2.06 million to Cardin’s $1.59 million.
In Washington, heavily indebted incumbent Maria Cantwell has spent $9.58 million to Challenger Mike McGavicj’s $6.5 million, but has only a tiny cash-on-hand advantage, $2.4 million to $2.12 million.
New Jersey’s Tom Kean has been outspent $2.43 million to Sen. Bob Menendez’s $6.65 million, but is one of the very few candidates with more cash on hand than he has already spent, $3.23 million. (Menendez has $5.51 million.)
One race national Republicans should look to support is in Michigan, where Mike Bouchard is remaining vaguely competitive with Sen. Debbie Stabenow. She has spent $9.32 million to $3.94 million. She has only $1.25 million. Bouchard has even less, only $0.6 million, but Republican support for Bouchard could force national Democrats to spend on this race.
Not every race is cheery for Republicans, financially. In Tennessee, both candidates are running low. Bob Corker and Harold Ford have spent $12.42 million and $8.93 million, and both have less than one million left. (Corker has less than half a million, to Ford’s $0.77 million, but can spend his own money.)
And, in Pennsylvania, Santorum has spent $18,87 million to Casey’s $11.29 million. Both seem to have adequate funds left, but Casey now has more than Santorum, $3.70 million to $3.64 million.
And in Rhode Island, Republican incumbent Chafee has spent so much, including beating back Republican challenger Steven Laffey ($3.42 million), he has only $.58 million against Sheldon Whitehouse’s $1.4 million.
Looking at the preceding data, Republicans should gain momentum in Ohio, Missouri, Montana, and could gain in Maryland, New Jersey and Washington. Only in Rhode Island and Pennsylvania do they look like they could yet drop further behind. It is very possible that they could lose no net seats in the Senate.
Dims have less disposable income. They spend theirs at a higher rate on: illegal drugs, abortions, dining out, general partying, lawyers to cleanup after the previous, alimony, child support, mail order brides, vacations to Thailand......
Whoops! Left out prostitutes, hush money, gambling, lottery, mistresses.....
I know I have donated more than I usually do. I suspect I'm not the only one.
Drive the Libs crazy. Show up and vote.
They really, really, really, want you to stay home and fume.
Tell them, "In your dreams, moonbats!!" and pull that lever, push that pin, punch that button.
The moonbats are counting on you to stay home.
You really ought to disappoint them, just for the pleasure of seeing the election reports and the crestfallen faces, if for no other reason.
They've earned it.
Maybe they should raise taxes on all registered democrats to pay for the election campaign, ya know, for the common good.
I had already hit the post button when I remembered that most of their activists obviously don't have jobs either.
I have given Santorum $100 and I live in Ohio.
Whats going on over there anyway? :(
I'm not sure what's happening here. The media sure is going all out against him though. I worry about the masses who just get their information from the MSM.
I still have hopes for a Santorum victory. Even in Montgomery County, which gets a little more blue every year, I have seen plenty of Santorum signs. In Bucks county they are everywhere.
I'm just going to make sure eveyone I know who will vote Republican gets out to vote on election day. If we get a good GOP turnout I think we can do it and shock the pollsters and MSM types.
Good Luck
bookmark
Hi KaC! Thanks for agreeing with me. :o)
I guess this explains why Teddy the Womanslayer and Johnny the Gigolo contributed some of their own campaign funds to the DNC's Senate and House campaign funds. Too little, too late.
I've sent Senator Burns another $200 today. There is no reason anybody like Jon Tester should ever get elected to the senate from Montana. Massachusetts or Rhode Island yes, but not Montana.
I believe that Howard Dean has spent the National Dem Committee into almost bankruptcy. How much can George Soros spend to get them afloat again????
I thought I read last week that Dean took out a 5 million loan for the DNC. "
5 Million won't pay for the Dem's big spenders food and liqour for a week. Who are we kidding?
Man the life boats---the Dems are OUT OF CASH......
That's very funny--- Thanks
You are welcome and thank you.
New Jersey’s Tom Kean has been outspent $2.43 million to Sen. Bob Menendez’s $6.65 million, but is one of the very few candidates with more cash on hand than he has already spent, $3.23 million. (Menendez has $5.51 million.)
I just caught one of Kean's commercials this morning, where the effete douchebag promised that he would fight the programs of “Governor Corzine and President Bush.”
A bipartisan jerk. He’s begging me not to vote for him.
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