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Global Cooling Retraction Heats up Climate Change Debate
CNS News ^ | 10.26.06 | Randy Hall

Posted on 10/27/2006 9:27:00 PM PDT by Coleus

Skeptics of man-made climate change claim that the debate over global warming is heating up following the retraction of a 31-year-old article in one of the nation's weekly news magazines that predicted "catastrophic" results and a "grim reality" would be caused by a phenomenon called global cooling.   On April 28, 1975, Newsweek ran a story entitled "The Cooling World," which stated that "the earth's climate seems to be cooling down. Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the cooling trend," but "if the climatic change is as profound as some of the pessimists fear, the resulting famines could be catastrophic."

"Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects," the article stated. "They concede that some of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers, might create problems far greater than those they solve."   However, "the longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality," the story said.  More than 31 years later, on Oct. 23, 2006, Newsweek Senior Editor Jerry Adler wrote in an article entitled "
Remember Global Cooling?" that the 1975 story was "still being quoted regularly."

"In fact, the story wasn't 'wrong' in the journalistic sense of 'inaccurate,'" Adler said. "Some scientists indeed thought the Earth might be cooling in the 1970s, and some laymen -- even one as sophisticated and well-educated as Isaac Asimov -- saw potentially dire implications for climate and food production.  "Astronomers have been warning for decades that life on Earth could be wiped out by a collision with a giant meteorite; it hasn't happened yet, but that doesn't mean that journalists have been dupes or alarmists for reporting this news," he added. "Citizens can judge for themselves what constitutes a prudent response."  But Dan Gainor, director of the Business & Media Institute (BMI) - a group dedicated to challenging misconceptions in the media about free enterprise - said that Adler's theory was flawed. BMI is also a division of the Media Research Center, the parent organization of Cybercast News Service

"Citizens can't 'judge for themselves' if they are getting only one theory, whether it is global cooling or global warming," Gainor said. "Newsweek took 31 years to admit they were wrong last time, but their mantra remains: 'Trust us, maybe we'll be right this time.'"
According to the BMI report "
Fire and Ice," journalists have been warning about climate change for 100 years, but they can't decide whether we face an ice age or global warming.
Sen. James Inhofe, chairman of the Environment & Public Works Committee, quoted extensively from the BMI report during a Sept. 25 speech on the Senate floor.  "The history of the modern environmental movement is chock full of predictions of doom that never came true," the Oklahoma Republican said. "We have all heard the dire predictions about the threat of overpopulation, resource scarcity, mass starvation and the projected death of our oceans.

"None of these predictions came true, yet it never stopped the doomsayers from continuing to predict a dire environmental future," Inhofe added. In his online article, Adler criticized Inhofe's speech.  "The implication he draws is that if you're not worried about being trampled by a stampede of woolly mammoths through downtown Chicago, you don't have to believe what the media is saying about global warming, either," the Newsweek editor said.  "Predictions of global cooling never approached the kind of widespread scientific consensus that supports the greenhouse effect today," Adler noted, because scientists have better tools at their disposal now. However, Marc Morano, communications director for the Senate Environmental & Public Works Committee, told Cybercast News Service that the debate over man-made global warming is not as settled as Adler asserts.

"New NASA satellite
temperature data reveals that the Southern Hemisphere has not warmed in the past 25 years, contrary to 'global warming theory' and modeling," Morano said. "This new data may require a name change from 'global warming' to 'Northern Hemisphere warming.'" Patrick Michaels, senior fellow for environmental studies at the libertarian Cato Institute, told Cybercast News Service that the news media are the reason global warming or cooling become such heated public debates.  "It's an unfortunate fact that people can make pretty outlandish hypotheses and emphasize the lurid portions of them, and the media picks them up," Michaels said, but "anybody who is reading the constant avalanche of 'the world is coming to an end' stories has got to be getting tired of it."  Morano said Newsweek's correction was "gratifying," though "Sen. Inhofe now eagerly awaits retractions from the mainstream media for their past 100 years of failed predictions of climate doom alternating between global cooling and warming scares."

"It took Newsweek 31 years to correct its mistakes on global cooling," Gainor noted. "If they want to recant their latest global warming stance and start the calendar today, that means the next correction will run on Oct. 23, 2037." Michaels agreed that someday, "We'll be reading that global warming was overblown, but we won't be reading that until there's another apocalypse to replace it."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: climate; climatechange; globalcooling; globalwarming

1 posted on 10/27/2006 9:27:01 PM PDT by Coleus
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To: Coleus

It is so confusing.

AL Gore said that suv's were the cause of global warming...now cooling ?

/s


2 posted on 10/27/2006 9:33:07 PM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: Coleus

With all of this modern research the only thing they can say for sure is "the planet gets warmer and then it gets cooler ... and then it gets warmer again." At the very least that was known for sure in the nineteenth century.


3 posted on 10/27/2006 9:33:10 PM PDT by TigersEye ("Everywhere I go there's a Predator in tow, life goes on without me!")
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To: Coleus
Sweeping the inconvenient past under the rug. How nice.
4 posted on 10/27/2006 9:34:27 PM PDT by Question_Assumptions
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To: Coleus

It wouldn't be hard for me to swallow the idea of human-caused climate change as a Communist conspiracy. The economic repercussions of trying "to do something about it" would be so dire and unrelenting.


5 posted on 10/27/2006 9:47:49 PM PDT by Jaysun (Let's not ruin this moment with words.)
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To: Coleus

And whether the world is getting colder or warmer we always have to do the same thing to prevent it.

Quit using oil and become communists.

Go figure.


6 posted on 10/27/2006 9:49:01 PM PDT by festus (The constitution may be flawed but its a whole lot better than what we have now.)
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To: Coleus; texianyankee; JayB; ElkGroveDan; markman46; palmer; Bahbah; Paradox; FOG724; ...
(((GLOBAL WARMING PING)))



You have been pinged because of your interest in environmentalism, alarmist wackos, mainstream media doomsday hype, and other issues pertaining to global warming.
Freep-mail me to get on or off: Add me / Remove me
Please ping me to all note-worthy threads on global warming.



But this magazine can't just "take it back." They can't throw up their arms, resign the arguments and say "we were wrong." They should explain why. Why those fancy scientific arguments they put forth back then were wrong, flawed, and false. Unless, they can't, and can't pick apart their current global warming articles either.
7 posted on 10/27/2006 9:51:39 PM PDT by DaveLoneRanger (I'm not paranoid. But everyone thinks I am.)
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To: Coleus
it has been COLD AS HECK up here in MN for about a month already if global warming is real tell it to hurry up!
we have a low of 34degrees tonight and its not even Halloween yet... it has already snowed a couple times(although it hasn't stuck around to long)
8 posted on 10/27/2006 9:54:31 PM PDT by Echo Talon
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To: Coleus

I remember my dire junior high science classes in the 70s warning about this, and overpopulation, and pollution so thick we'd have to wear gas masks to go outside. They were fear-mongers then; they are fear-mongers now, and all they do is warn against Bush's "fear-mongering." They have been the experts of fear peddling for 40 years.


9 posted on 10/27/2006 9:54:52 PM PDT by jwalburg (It wasn't the Executive that Thomas Jefferson referred to as "the Despotic Branch.")
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To: Coleus

Yes, folks. This year's lack of a significant hurricane season, and the early snow and extreme cold hitting parts of the US, is further proof of the Bush administration's callous inattention to global warming and to the SUV's devastating effects on weather...Film at eleven.


10 posted on 10/27/2006 9:57:42 PM PDT by aligncare (Beware the Media-Industrial Complex!)
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To: Coleus
Republican Sen. James Inhofe

"My recent speeches detailing the embarrassing 100 year history of the media's relentless climate hype and its flip flopping between global cooling and warming scares must have struck a nerve in the old gray lady of the New York Times....A significant portion of my 50 minute Senate floor speech on September 25th was devoted to the New York Times history of swinging between promoting fears of a coming ice age to promoting fears of global warming."

"Now, fast forward to August 19, 2000, the New York Times was so eager to promote fears of the Arctic melting that it cheapened itself with a comical article declaring 'The North Pole is Melting.' The Times reporter, John Noble Wilford, noted that tourists visiting the North Pole saw open water and declared that 'The last time scientists can be certain the pole was awash in water, was more than 50 million years ago.'

"Wow. Pretty convincing stuff -- that is until the Times was forced to retract the story 10 days later and admit nothing unusual had occurred at the pole. No wonder today's Times editorial felt compelled to accuse me of 'a hysteria of doubt,' it was no doubt a clumsy attempt to distract from their climate reporting legacy of hysteria."

newsbusters.org/

11 posted on 10/27/2006 10:06:14 PM PDT by Daaave (The flesh eating jinn of Komari.)
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To: Coleus

First they told us we were facing an impending Ice Age, tehn they told us we ar eall going to burn up. they were wrong both times, but the whole thing was political, not scientific.


12 posted on 10/27/2006 10:42:21 PM PDT by TBP
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To: festus
"And whether the world is getting colder or warmer we always have to do the same thing to prevent it. Quit using oil and become communists. Go figure.

Can't we become Omish instead? At least they have heaters in their buggies.

13 posted on 10/28/2006 12:00:24 AM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: Echo Talon
"it has been COLD AS HECK up here in MN for about a month already if global warming is real tell it to hurry up! we have a low of 34degrees tonight and its not even Halloween yet... it has already snowed a couple times(although it hasn't stuck around to long)"

Same as here in ND. Maybe the global cooling article 31 years ago was right??
/s

14 posted on 10/28/2006 12:02:57 AM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: Daaave
"'The North Pole is Melting.' The Times reporter, John Noble Wilford, noted that tourists visiting the North Pole saw open water and declared that 'The last time scientists can be certain the pole was awash in water, was more than 50 million years ago.'"

Dear NYT;

Could you please be so kind as to provide me with the name of your travel agent you use to visit the North pole? I've inquired everywhere, but can't sem to find any that have a tourist package to the north pole.
Nathan

Idiots.

15 posted on 10/28/2006 12:13:30 AM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: Nathan Zachary

http://www.arcticodysseys.com/l_north_pole.html

http://www.cruisenorway.com/northpole.html


16 posted on 10/28/2006 4:41:02 AM PDT by StACase
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To: Coleus

That article from 1975 does indeed make the current global warming crowd (cult) seem just as ridiculous. Because it's the same exact situation.


17 posted on 10/28/2006 4:48:45 AM PDT by mutley ("I read the Koran, and didn't find anything of value in it.")
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To: Coleus
If one Googles "ice age", he will be led to a discussion of ice ages by the Illinois State Museum which states, "If 'ice age' is used to refer to long, generally cool, intervals during which glaciers advance and retreat, we are still in one today. Our modern climate represents a very short, warm period between glacial advances."
18 posted on 10/28/2006 5:09:02 AM PDT by JoeGar
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To: Nathan Zachary
Same as here in ND. Maybe the global cooling article 31 years ago was right?? /s

brrrr.... not looking forward to winter...

19 posted on 10/28/2006 9:46:11 AM PDT by Echo Talon
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To: Daaave

Sen. Inhofe is a jewel. No wonder we don't hear much about him. He so succinctly deflates the balloons of liberal BS the MSM must avoid him like a vampire avoids a mirror.


20 posted on 10/28/2006 11:00:13 PM PDT by TigersEye ("Everywhere I go there's a Predator in tow, life goes on without me!")
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To: DaveLoneRanger

21 posted on 10/28/2006 11:07:25 PM PDT by John Lenin
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To: DaveLoneRanger
They should explain why.

1. The 1970s were a cool decade, due partly to sulfur emissions, which were abated by the Clean Air Act (which was implemented in the early 1970s).

2. The global climate data coverage (spatially) was insufficient to allow useful climate predictions.

3. The computer climate models of the 1970s were akin to a Model-T in comparison to a modern Porsche. This doesn't mean that the current models are not without flaws -- but the computers are much faster and the models much more detailed, allowing better analysis of the effect of changing variables on climate outcomes.

That's a start.

22 posted on 10/30/2006 6:10:03 AM PST by cogitator
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To: cogitator
1. The 1970s were a cool decade, due partly to sulfur emissions, which were abated by the Clean Air Act (which was implemented in the early 1970s).

The article was published in 1974, I believe. I don't think they were using the first few years of the decade to predict the world.

2. The global climate data coverage (spatially) was insufficient to allow useful climate predictions.

So data gets better as time goes by, and changes opinions.

3. The computer climate models of the 1970s were akin to a Model-T in comparison to a modern Porsche. This doesn't mean that the current models are not without flaws -- but the computers are much faster and the models much more detailed, allowing better analysis of the effect of changing variables on climate outcomes.

Like data, computer technology continues to improve.

So none of these reasons can give us any indication that things will not change again in another thirty years.
23 posted on 10/30/2006 3:18:36 PM PST by DaveLoneRanger (I'm not paranoid. But everyone thinks I am.)
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