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Write-in Could Win Delay's Spot, Poll Finds.
Houston Chronicle ^ | 10-29-2006 | Doug Miller

Posted on 10/29/2006 9:24:34 PM PST by rhinohunter

On Monday President Bush flies into Houston to campaign for a congressional candidate who — at one point — looked like a long shot.

But an exclusive poll indicates that Shelley Sekula-Gibbs may pull off a political upset and win her write-in campaign for Congress.

(Excerpt) Read more at khou.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2006; bush; contribute; delay; election; elections; getdelay; howtostealanelection; lampson; powerghraib; sekulagibbs; tomdelay; vote
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This will be a BIG win if we can pull it off!!!
1 posted on 10/29/2006 9:24:35 PM PST by rhinohunter
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To: rhinohunter

Every seat counts. A victory here would be welcomed, helpful, and awesome! :-)


2 posted on 10/29/2006 9:25:59 PM PST by HitmanLV ("If at first you don't succeed, keep on sucking until you do succeed." - Jerry 'Curly' Howard)
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To: rhinohunter

Sorry... the poll was sponsored by the Houston Chronicle... the article is from KHOU.


3 posted on 10/29/2006 9:27:16 PM PST by rhinohunter
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To: rhinohunter

Revenge would be SOOOO sweet here!


4 posted on 10/29/2006 9:28:15 PM PST by Purrcival (Sorry, RATS, I'm voting REPUBLICAN, even though the LameStream Media wants me to stay home!)
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To: rhinohunter

That would serve the ones who railroaded Tom Delay out of office right! I just wish her name was something simple like Brown, Jones, or Smith!


5 posted on 10/29/2006 9:28:58 PM PST by srmorton (Choose life!)
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To: rhinohunter

I still think that just enough folks will vote third party to let the Rats challenge and win.


6 posted on 10/29/2006 9:30:35 PM PST by kingu (No, I don't use sarcasm tags - it confuses people.)
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To: srmorton

head to head she wins, hands down. just need name recognition!


7 posted on 10/29/2006 9:31:56 PM PST by edmond246 (God Bless America)
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To: rhinohunter

Can't believe the Chronicle would sponsor a poll that would be favorable to a Republican.


8 posted on 10/29/2006 9:33:26 PM PST by daybreakcoming
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To: rhinohunter

The gloomsters over at NR have been quoting people saying it would take an act of God to win this seat. However, frrom this article, it appears that all it is going to take is well-informed Republican voters.


9 posted on 10/29/2006 9:34:24 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: edmond246

I read she was trailing in polls (and in cash on hands). I hope Bush will help her. We'll see.


10 posted on 10/29/2006 9:34:34 PM PST by Alex1977
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To: rhinohunter

**Shelley Sekula-Gibbs**

Great news. Keep the seat.


11 posted on 10/29/2006 9:36:37 PM PST by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: rhinohunter

If she wins this will be utterly demoralizing to Demonrats nationwide.


12 posted on 10/29/2006 9:38:33 PM PST by YdontUleaveLibs (Reason is out to lunch. How may I help you?)
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To: rhinohunter
Voters in Sugarland didn't like the courts and Democrats telling them they couldn't send a replacement Republican to Congress. I'd love it if the Texas Rat/Judicial establishment was told to shove their deceit and chicanery where the sun don't shine!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

13 posted on 10/29/2006 9:40:09 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: rhinohunter
The poll was conducted 7 to 5 days ago!

We need to help her: CONTRIBUTE, IF YOU CAN.

14 posted on 10/29/2006 9:41:43 PM PST by Alex1977
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To: rhinohunter
So even the the Chonicle's biased polls shows that a dim bulb like Lampson could actually lose to a write in candidate. If this happens, wouldn't that just about destroy what's left of Lampson's political career?
15 posted on 10/29/2006 9:43:29 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: LS

Even I, optimist that I am, was writing this seat off. IF we win this, it's a blowout.


16 posted on 10/29/2006 9:45:56 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

Bush will help her to win, and the USA will be saved.


17 posted on 10/29/2006 9:47:27 PM PST by Alex1977
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To: rhinohunter

Can a write in candidate like her put (R) behind her name? In any case, W's visit will surely be helpful for her.


18 posted on 10/29/2006 9:47:34 PM PST by paudio (Universal Human Rights and Multiculturalism: Liberals want to have cake and eat it too!)
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To: rhinohunter

I would encourage every Freeper within 100 miles of Houston to drive over to the Sekula Gibbs Hq and help out with the campaign at least one day before November 7.

Tom Delay "cut and run" with his tail between his legs and got us in this mess. Now, it's gonna take a lot of work to keep a very, very liberal Dem, Nick Lampson, from taking this seat.


19 posted on 10/29/2006 9:49:05 PM PST by no dems (LYNN Cheney for President in '08)
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To: paudio
Yes! The Dems and the courts have pulled off every legal strategem and underhanded dirty trick to coerce Sugarland voters to seat a Democrat. Its backfired on them big time.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

20 posted on 10/29/2006 9:50:21 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: Alex1977
I think she'll win, but we'll still lose the house.

Dems are going to pick up about 18 seats. There's a chance to hold, but not likely.
21 posted on 10/29/2006 9:51:25 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: rhinohunter
This is encouraging news! I live in this Texas district (TX 22) formerly represented by Tom DeLay.

We're bringing two dozen conservatives with us to the polls on Nov. 7th in a van pool. They are all hopping mad that a corrupt, partisan D.A. from Austin forced a good man out of office, and everybody knows exactly how to write in Shelley Sekula Gibbs for the U.S. House race!

I promise we will do our part to keep a liberal Democrat from stealing Tom DeLay's seat in the U.S. House.

22 posted on 10/29/2006 9:52:02 PM PST by Unmarked Package
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

A republican with the name Joe Smith should have ran an easier name to right.


23 posted on 10/29/2006 9:53:58 PM PST by Brimack34 (I hate the MSM)
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To: Salvation
If her daughter marries Mr. Jones-Smith, that last name could get really ugly in a hurry! Maybe, just maybe, that is why our ancestors made the female take the male's last name?
24 posted on 10/29/2006 9:59:33 PM PST by raftguide
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To: Brimack34

Her name is brutal. You're correct, she'd win if her name was Jane Smith! or Jones for that matter. :)


25 posted on 10/29/2006 10:02:01 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

If she wins, Rats could pick up no more than 15 seats.


26 posted on 10/29/2006 10:04:51 PM PST by Alex1977
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

Do you think at all about what you type before you type it? At all?


27 posted on 10/29/2006 10:06:15 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better
How do Texans vote in a write-in candidate? Is it so difficult? How about absentees? Thanks in advance.
28 posted on 10/29/2006 10:06:26 PM PST by Alex1977
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To: Alex1977

Ahem...

What would it tell you about the 'conventional wisdom' about how election night is supposed to go if she DID win?


29 posted on 10/29/2006 10:07:28 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

Obviously not.


30 posted on 10/29/2006 10:07:35 PM PST by dc-zoo
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better
I think she'll win, but we'll still lose the house.

Dems are going to pick up about 18 seats. There's a chance to hold, but not likely.

I cant believe it how negative some freepers are. The dems will be lucky if they get 5 seats in the house and 2 in the senate. Not only will we win and will keep both the House and the Senate. But the democrats will be the minority partey for years if not generations to come

31 posted on 10/29/2006 10:09:50 PM PST by Kaslin (No matter what the left says. G.W. Bush will be remembered as the best president of this century)
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To: rhinohunter

Strom Thurmond was able to do it. Albeit back in his dixiecrat days.


32 posted on 10/29/2006 10:10:34 PM PST by LukeL (Never let the enemy pick the battle site. (Gen. George S. Patton))
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To: Kaslin

Thank you! You need to hang around more and help us fight off these negative fools. It's ridiculous! They have no frame of reference, yet predict doom and gloom like it's a given!


33 posted on 10/29/2006 10:12:05 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better; Brimack34
"Her name is brutal. You're correct, she'd win if her name was Jane Smith!"

Keep in mind that it's not necessary for all three names to be entered and spelled correctly for the write-in vote to count in TX 22. I know that a select set of partial entries is authorized to be acceptable, but I don't know exactly what they are. Other variations will be reviewed by a panel of county reps and if the intent of the voter is clear the vote will be counted.

34 posted on 10/29/2006 10:14:40 PM PST by Unmarked Package
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To: rhinohunter

This would be a g-dsend.


35 posted on 10/29/2006 10:15:13 PM PST by bpjam (Hezbollah, Hamas, Al Qaida - The Religion of Peace)
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To: no dems

Sekula Gibbs is going to win and unlike the Demonics we Republicans do believe in Miracles . The first ones on wed. Nov. 8 to confirm Miracles will be the Demonics. They and the Media have thrown the kitchen sink , bathtub and the whole house on top of the Republicans for 1 year straight. They have given the Dems 1 Trillion of free negative commercials against President Bush and the Republicans.On Nov.8 the Republican Party should start asking the Psychiatrist accross the Country for a commission for all the DEPRESSED Demonics coming to see them


36 posted on 10/29/2006 10:23:49 PM PST by 77rommell
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
"Do you think at all about what you type before you type it? At all?"


Yes, I do. I think quite a bit actually. I've analyzed each contested race thoroughly. I've reviewed several polls for each and weighed them against their historical accuracy.

The reason I say we have a chance is our superior ground game, which is difficult to quantify; however it could offset the Dems lead some races, but it's a long-shot.

Let's talk again on election night and we'll see who is more thoughtful.
37 posted on 10/29/2006 10:26:43 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: rhinohunter

It sure would be nice to keep that hack Nick Lampson out of the house of representatives.


38 posted on 10/29/2006 10:30:18 PM PST by NapkinUser (Why isn't there a 'virtual fence' around the White House?)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

Yes, lets do that. You say we have a chance at what? Losing 18 house seats? And that's WITH our 'superior ground game'. Only in a DUer's wet dream. I frankly don't believe you that you've analyzed anything and come up with those numbers.


39 posted on 10/29/2006 10:30:24 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: Kaslin
"I cant believe it how negative some freepers are."


I'm not being negative. I'm attempting to accurately predict what will happen on election night.

I actually have a VERY positive long term outlook. I think with the Dems running the house American will be reminded of just who they are and in what they believe. This will help Repubs to win back the house, grow the lead in the Senate and maintain the presidency in 2008.

I am not a gloom and doomer; however when I sit back and examine the facts, I see the Dems picking up 16-18 seats in the House. (Senate will be 51-47-2, Repubs in control).
40 posted on 10/29/2006 10:32:56 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
"You say we have a chance at what?"


At offsetting the Dems lead in these 18 races with a superior get out the vote effort. We ALWAYS organize this effort better on election night and I could possibly offset a Dem lead in the total likely voter population.<

I can list the 18 I think we'll lose if you like. /p>
41 posted on 10/29/2006 10:35:31 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: rhinohunter
"This will be a BIG win if we can pull it off!!!"

I sure would be and it would also Chap Ronnie Earle's butt!

42 posted on 10/29/2006 10:35:56 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: Alex1977
"How do Texans vote in a write-in candidate? Is it so difficult? How about absentees?"


I think it varies by county. Each county in my state uses different voting equipment.
43 posted on 10/29/2006 10:36:33 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

No, that's quite alright. I've seen everyone's silly 'blah blah in blah blah district is sure to lose' lists.

Seems you've changed your tune though. A few minutes ago we were going to lose these 18 seats and now they are 18 seats that we are offsetting the leads on.



44 posted on 10/29/2006 10:40:29 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

I hope I'm wrong, but these are the 18 that it's looks like we could lose.

1. AZ-08
2. CO-07
3. CT-02
4. CT-04
5. FL-13
6. FL-16
7. IA-01
8. IN-02
9. IN-08
10. IN-09
11. MN-06
12. NC-11
13. NY-24
14. NY-26
15. OH-15
16. PA-06
17. PA-07
18. PA-10


45 posted on 10/29/2006 10:41:10 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: AntiGuv; Torie

An interesting ping...

Even though it's Zogby (big caveat), I kind of suspected that something's been going on with the NRCC spending nearly $1.6 million in the past month on this seat and having Bush come into the CD on Monday or Tuesday. You don't do that for no reason.


46 posted on 10/29/2006 10:41:43 PM PST by Sam Spade
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
"Seems you've changed your tune though. A few minutes ago we were going to lose these 18 seats and now they are 18 seats that we are offsetting the leads on."


I've not changed my tune one bit. Read my first post in this thread. I said: "Dems are going to pick up about 18 seats. There's a chance to hold, but not likely."

I've been consistent throughout that we'll probably lose 18 seats and our only slim chance to avoid this is through a massive get out the vote effort and I've always characterized that as a long shot.
47 posted on 10/29/2006 10:44:39 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

Could be wrong????

I'm too tired and it's too late to go through the list of these...but you've got a bunch of things in there that don't belong. You are WAY off. Perhaps in the morning I"ll go through them, but you are way overweighting polls and underweighting the GOTV in more than a couple states.


48 posted on 10/29/2006 10:47:08 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: rhinohunter
There is usually a "R" and a "D" right at the beginning of the ballot. If you stroke "R", will that vote go to the write in because she is a Repub?
49 posted on 10/29/2006 10:50:44 PM PST by chuckles
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
I hope I'm wrong.

I'll ping you on election night and I GENUINELY hope I'm eating crow that night.

Either way I look forward to a civil discourse on the results.

It's important for us all to remember that two Freepers who are on the same side can look at the same set of facts and come to the different conclusions. As John Wooden said, "we can disagree without being disagreeable."
50 posted on 10/29/2006 10:52:13 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (The UN did such a great job with Oil for Food in Iraq, let's let them run the whole country)
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