Skip to comments.The ABC/Washington Post generic ballot preference moved eight points?
Posted on 11/04/2006 10:07:19 PM PST by perfect_rovian_storm
Generic numbers have been volatile all year; will we see any shift to Republicans this weekend? If we do, Obi thinks it could be significant. He sees an interesting glimmer in the Wall Street Journals pollsters noting that Americans are starting to give credit to Bush for good economic growth.
The ABC Washington Post poll generic ballot question, two weeks ago:
Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
10/22/06 LV 55 41 0 1 * 3 10/22/06 RV 54 41 * 1 * 3
The ABC Washington Post poll, today:
Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin. 11/4/06 LV 51 45 1 1 * 2 11/4/06 RV 53 43 1 1 * 3
Are you kidding me? From 14 points to 6 points in two weeks among likely voters?
Now, I know the Newsweek generic ballot is at its worst:
In the Nov. 2-3 Newsweek poll, 53 percent of respondents said they would most like to see the Democrats win control of Congress, compared with 32 percent who wanted to see Republicans maintain control. The Oct. 26-27 poll showed that 50 percent of Americans said they'd like to see Democrats take control and 35 percent said Republicans should retain the majority.
The latest Newsweek poll was taken Nov. 2-3 (which would have been prime Kerry statment fallout). There was a three point shift away from Republicans at the one moment they won the news cycle? It's possible, I guess, but it strikes me as odd.
THANK YOU JON CARRY
I agree with you - and this will be orchestrated by Hillary because she has been exposed so much by talk radio and she will need to muzzle us in order for her to win.
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