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GOP may keep Senate seat in Rhode Island
McClatchy Washington Bureau ^ | November 5, 2006 | Ron Hutcheson

Posted on 11/05/2006 9:48:50 AM PST by Clintonfatigued

If Sen. Lincoln Chafee wins re-election in Rhode Island on Tuesday - and a new McClatchy Newspapers-MSNBC poll indicates he might - it will be because he is one of the most rebellious Republicans in Congress.

Although Chafee had been trailing Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse in previous polls, the latest McClatchy poll showed him with 46 percent support, compared to 45 percent for Whitehouse. About 9 percent of voters remained undecided.

While Chafee's slim lead was within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, it was the first indication in weeks that he might survive the anti-Bush mood in his state. The poll of 625 Rhode Island residents was conducted Oct. 31 to Nov. 2.

(Excerpt) Read more at realcities.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Rhode Island
KEYWORDS: 2006; lincolnchafee; polls; rino

1 posted on 11/05/2006 9:48:51 AM PST by Clintonfatigued
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To: Clintonfatigued

Do you have some good news? Talent, Steele or Allen pulling ahead? Santorum rebounding?


2 posted on 11/05/2006 9:50:14 AM PST by Ol' Sparky
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To: Clintonfatigued

Here is the movement in the Mason-Dixon polls from their previous round of polling in October.

Montana: GOP +3
Missouri: GOP +2
Tennessee: GOP +10
Virginia: Dem +5
Rhode Island: GOP +6
New Jersey: Dem +4
Pennsylvania: Dem +1
Ohio: GOP +2
Washington: Dem +1

http://www.time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/


3 posted on 11/05/2006 9:51:54 AM PST by bnelson44 (Proud parent of a tanker! (Charlie Mike, son))
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To: Ol' Sparky

While Chafee is really a RINO, we need his seat so just grin and bear it as hard as it may be.


4 posted on 11/05/2006 9:52:02 AM PST by LegalEagle61 (You have 2 choices vote republican or whine about how bad the country is when the liberals take over)
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To: Clintonfatigued

NOOOOOO!!!!Say it isn't so.


5 posted on 11/05/2006 9:52:26 AM PST by tobyhill (The War on Terrorism is not for the weak.)
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To: Ol' Sparky

LOL its a crying shame. I hope we keep a big enough margin so he can't pull a Jeffords on us.


6 posted on 11/05/2006 9:53:28 AM PST by linn37 (Love your Phlebotomist)
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To: Clintonfatigued

AS pissed off as I figure to be on Wednesday morning, Chaffee winning will only make it worse.


7 posted on 11/05/2006 9:55:03 AM PST by Jim Noble (If we can't leave a democracy behind, we should at least leave the corpses of our enemies.)
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To: LegalEagle61
While Chafee is really a RINO, we need his seat so just grin and bear it as hard as it may be.

I can't shake the feeling that he might pull a Jim Jeffords. Maybe because he's publicly toyed with the idea of switching parties. If he wins, I'd put him in the ? column until further notice.

8 posted on 11/05/2006 9:55:11 AM PST by maryz
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To: maryz

He will cross the aisle if he finds himself as the tie breaker or in the minority.


9 posted on 11/05/2006 9:56:29 AM PST by Reily
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To: oceanview; zbigreddogz; JohnnyZ; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; LS; Liz; neverdem; ...

So, Chafee has taken a 46% to 45% lead. His attacks on Sheldon Whitehouse's tolerance of corruption are working.


10 posted on 11/05/2006 9:56:29 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: Jim Noble

Are you saying that it would be a good thing for Sheldon Whitehouse to be in the Senate?


11 posted on 11/05/2006 9:57:42 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Undecided voters seldom come down on the incumbent side. While this is better news than last week, it still favors the Dim.


12 posted on 11/05/2006 9:57:46 AM PST by Poser (Willing to fight for oil)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Are you saying that it would be a good thing for Sheldon Whitehouse to be in the Senate?

It is a bad thing for either of them to be in the Senate.

I'm a big "vote for the RINO" guy, but Chaffee has gone too far. I hope he loses.

13 posted on 11/05/2006 9:59:33 AM PST by Jim Noble (If we can't leave a democracy behind, we should at least leave the corpses of our enemies.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Seriously, I think it should be in Washington D.C. inside the capitol building.


14 posted on 11/05/2006 9:59:56 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Stop the DemocRATS' Jihad against America! Vote Republican on November 7th!!!!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I don't know what will happen in RI. I suspect RI's political gravity would pull Whitehouse over the finish line. Just as I think VA's political gravity would pull Allen over the top.


15 posted on 11/05/2006 10:00:11 AM PST by Kuksool (Design your Own Polls. Go Vote and Take a Few Others With You)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I think Chafee will win, considering that he does well on the actual elections rather than the polls. Polls showed him losing to Laffey but he won the primary quite strongly.


16 posted on 11/05/2006 10:02:58 AM PST by GregH
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To: maryz

Chafee is and will always be a RINO, but considering the fact that Liddy Dole, Karl Rove and Ken Mehlman have pumped millions into his campaign I doubt he'd ever switch. He'd rather be a thorn in our side in the same mold as Snowe, Collins, DeWine, Graham and McCain (probably without DeWine after 11/7).


17 posted on 11/05/2006 10:04:03 AM PST by moose2004 (You Can Run But You Can't Hide!)
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To: moose2004

Oh well, I guess we cannot win them all.


18 posted on 11/05/2006 10:05:44 AM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: LegalEagle61

I'm just sooo worried for Linc, he's such a leader.


19 posted on 11/05/2006 10:07:48 AM PST by Mashood
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To: Clintonfatigued
Chafee will probably cross to the Dems.

The question is...who is a worse Dems....Chafee or Whitehouse?

My guess is Whitehouse.

20 posted on 11/05/2006 10:14:09 AM PST by Siena Dreaming
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To: Clintonfatigued
"...he might survive the anti-Bush mood in his state."

Love of country and concern over islamfascism trumps hatred for Bush, his spending spree and border insecurity, every time!
21 posted on 11/05/2006 10:15:32 AM PST by raftguide
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To: Siena Dreaming

Chaffee is not going to switch as his Dad was a lifelong Republican and his family would not hear of such nonsense.


22 posted on 11/05/2006 10:21:51 AM PST by PhiKapMom ( Go Sooners! Thanks Aggies for your 12th Man!)
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To: Siena Dreaming

Secondly, you people don't have a clue that prefer the Dem or ask which would be better. Do you want Reid as Majority Leader. If Chaffee was going to switch, he would have gone with Jeffords and gotten a committee chairmanship with the Dems but he stayed!

Some of you need to get a grip and realize in some states they are NOT going to elect a conservative right now and most of NE falls in that category.


23 posted on 11/05/2006 10:23:31 AM PST by PhiKapMom ( Go Sooners! Thanks Aggies for your 12th Man!)
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To: Clintonfatigued
About 9 percent of voters remained undecided.

What percentage of "undecideds" end up voting? My guess is that most do not even show up at the polls.

24 posted on 11/05/2006 10:26:08 AM PST by Cowboy Bob (Liberalism in a parasite that ALWAYS kills its host.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

This is one seat I want to keep Republican. I know most think Chaffee is RINO, but better than Whitehouse who says very disturbing things. Next to Pennsylvania this is a race I care for. It seems no matter what happens on Tuesday, our Senate will be moving towards the left regardless of who wins. That should be a concern for all of us.


25 posted on 11/05/2006 10:33:54 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: PhiKapMom
Secondly, you people don't have a clue that prefer the Dem or ask which would be better

Please don't put me in the "you people" category. I certainly am not one who doesn't see the advantage of a RINO over a Dem (namely chairmanships).

However, from my vantage point Chafee is as bad as it gets as far as liberal Repubs. If he saw a 1 seat advantage for the Pubs I would think the temptation might be there to jump like Jeffords. That's all I'm saying. If he doesn't...great. But if he did make the jump, I wouldn't be surprised judging from his very liberal voting record.

Strange things will be going on in the NE after this election. Lieberman as an (I) will put a whole new dynamic in the mix. Who knows how Chafee will act? You say he won't jump because of his Repub family. I hope you're right. We'll see.

26 posted on 11/05/2006 10:47:21 AM PST by Siena Dreaming
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To: Clintonfatigued

its amazing how tight these all are, a swing of +/- 3 senate seats is going to come in races with a 1-2% spread.


27 posted on 11/05/2006 11:31:50 AM PST by oceanview
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To: Ol' Sparky

Yeah, Talent, Steele or Allen pulling ahead? Santorum rebounding? Or good news for Tan?

Who cares about democrats vs democrats


28 posted on 11/05/2006 11:45:39 AM PST by MaineVoter2002 (If you dont vote on election day, then who are you electing?)
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To: moose2004

Just wondering, have you seen Spector out campaignign for Rick Santorum?


29 posted on 11/05/2006 12:02:28 PM PST by ken5050
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To: bnelson44

Wow, Mason has Dem +5 in VA?

Yikes.

The others are good though. NJ was a long shot anyway.


30 posted on 11/05/2006 12:14:02 PM PST by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: LegalEagle61

I was of the mind earlier this month that Chafee could go.

But, with mixed polling on VA, we may need Chafee, as horrible as he is.


31 posted on 11/05/2006 12:15:37 PM PST by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: MaineVoter2002

Michael Steele has momentum. Whether it'll be enough to pull him over the top remains to be seen.

In Missouri, the momentum has returned to McCaskill, but her lead is within the margin of error. Anything can happen there.

In Virginia, Allen and Webb are running even. Turnout will be the key.


32 posted on 11/05/2006 12:34:55 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Thanks for the info


33 posted on 11/05/2006 2:35:13 PM PST by MaineVoter2002 (If you dont vote on election day, then who are you electing?)
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To: Clintonfatigued

As you say turnout is the key. I read a thread here where the GOTV effort in Missouri is 70% greater than in 2004. This should help Talent win a close race. If the GOTV effort is as intense in other states, the GOP hasa shot to acutally pick up seats in the Senate. I think they're more likely to lose one. But it's possible that they could pick up a couple.


34 posted on 11/05/2006 2:48:18 PM PST by lostinmaine
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To: Clintonfatigued

I guess this is good news. But I kind of wish it were DeWine or especially Santorum that were pulling even.


35 posted on 11/05/2006 3:11:10 PM PST by zbigreddogz
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To: Clintonfatigued

Still a RAT seat for all intensive purposes.


36 posted on 11/05/2006 3:12:50 PM PST by balch3
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To: Clintonfatigued

Can I trade this for a lead in Pennsylvania?


37 posted on 11/06/2006 9:29:54 AM PST by WinOne4TheGipper (Sometimes those who scream loudest for "justice" are the ones that want real justice the least.)
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