Skip to comments.Quiet Hurricane Season Raises Questions About Global Warming Forecasts
Posted on 11/30/2006 10:27:05 PM PST by george76
As a largely inactive 2006 hurricane season came to an official end Thursday, predictions that temperature increases in the earth's atmosphere and oceans would lead to more intense hurricanes are facing scrutiny from some "global warming" skeptics.
Climatologists last May predicted that the 2006 hurricane season would be more intense than last year's season, which brought destruction to the Gulf Coast in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
But the 2006 season brought fewer hurricanes than predicted, and none of the hurricanes made landfall. Experts attribute this to the unexpected early formation of El Nino, a periodic warming of tropical Pacific Ocean waters.
According to Gerry Bell, a hurricane forecaster with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), El Nino produces a "sinking motion" and increased wind shear in the Atlantic atmosphere, both of which kill hurricanes.
In a September 2005 speech, former Vice President Al Gore warned that "the average hurricane will continue to get stronger because of global warming" as "unusually warm waters" create "much stronger" hurricanes.
But Gore has also linked global warming to El Nino - which according to Bell, may actually have the effect of killing hurricanes.
In November 1997, Gore was quoted as suggesting that rising temperatures might be leading to more frequent and powerful El Nino systems.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnsnews.com ...
AlbertArnoldAlgore, Jr. is deeply saddened.
My eyebrows almost blew off taking in my trash cans. I guess the warming we enjoyed is officially over!
Algore invented 'no controlling legal authority.'
Another "inconvenient truth" for Al.
It's time to dust off those dire predictions of global cooling and nuclear winter that were so popular among the doom and gloom crowd 30 years ago.
" look out the window and give his report on the weather..."
Excellent plan !
Climate forcecasts and weather forecasts are not done the same way. Climate can be predicted 50-60 years in the future; weather can't be.
Primarily a warming of the ocean surface, which transfers heat to the atmosphere.
The main effect of El Nino on Atlantic hurricanes is to increase wind shear in the Atlantic basin, which makes it more difficult for the storms to form.
Great composition of gifs devolve!!
Actually....... NOAA says that large sand storms blowing off of Africa had something to do with the dampening effect as well.
As Rummy said; there are the known knowns, there are the unknown knowns, there are unknown unknowns and then there's Al Gore.
or something like that!
Winter happens. It'll still happen if the world is 3 degrees warmer (on average). There might even be more snow.
I don't think he's ever been right, well, correct on any thing.
MA voters, in general, don't have a great track record either, but I guess they get what they want and deserve.
Unfortunately, the rest of the nation pays the price.
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