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Economic storm brewing in America
The Daily Telegraph (UK) ^ | 12/7/2006 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Posted on 12/06/2006 7:08:36 PM PST by 1066AD

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To: avacado
"America is the largest and most successful free enterprise system in the world. We can take hits. Hits are just cycles. Ups and downs are good. The soil must be tilled in the free enterprise system to stay strong and healthy.

When we cease to have cycles... we'll either be Socialists, or Communists."


Well said. I particularly appreciate the comparison to tilling soil. Not that I know much about soil other than sand is the savior for wet golf courses when dropped by the ton on fairways over several years but I do know my economics.
41 posted on 12/06/2006 8:33:49 PM PST by Bogeygolfer
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To: IncPen
Economists have predicted 7 of the last 3 recessions. Fools, all.

The SKY IS FALLING, THE SKY IS FALLING!!!!!

Not likely. Liberal economists ALWAYS talk about collapse, conservative economists talk about adjustments.

Basically the message should be , stay out of the international stock and commodities market unless you know what you are doing.

42 posted on 12/06/2006 8:34:18 PM PST by Candor7 (Into Liberal flatulance goes the best hope of the West, and who wants to be a smart feller?)
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To: claptrap

whatever his motives they are directly linked to whomever he is writing for.

I don't know much about stock and bonds but I think he is writing for the National Enquirer...ha ha. I sure wish I would have tried and figure out investing in stocks and bonds years ago. A little would be a lot more now.


43 posted on 12/06/2006 8:46:30 PM PST by Bittersweetmd (God is Great and greatly to be praised.)
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To: 1066AD

I can buy more shares at less cost in a down market,

because I 'dollar cost average',

I welcome not buying into high markets.

Now if one had a 10 or less year horizon,

one should invest conservatively.

Also, the 4th quarter of each year,

Oct to Dec,

is when earnings are going to be judged,

it always goes down a little in the beginning of a new year,

and if you miss out on an up-turn,

because of short term advice,

it gets more expensive trying to get back in.


44 posted on 12/06/2006 8:50:45 PM PST by Son House
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To: 1066AD

This is such interesting analysis coming from someone in a country and a continent which would love to have the "problems" that America suffers, i.e., unemployment under 5%, inflation under control, economy riding high, gas at $2.20 per gallon, etc. Compare this with Europe, unemployment 8% - 20% depending on the country, inflation healthy and growing, economies stagnant, gas about $7 - $8 per gallon even though those countries' importers pay the same amount on the global market that we in the U.S. pay. Where does the missing money go? Taxes to make big governments bigger.

I love it when writers from lousy economies analyze our economy and give their suggestions on how to fix the U.S. economy! Sorta like Mankato, MN giving NYC suggestions on how to improve its postal service.


45 posted on 12/06/2006 9:14:35 PM PST by Rembrandt (We would have won Viet Nam w/o Dim interference.)
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To: Perdogg
He wrote a similar article last week.

Seems to me he's been projecting a crash for about 20 years or so.

46 posted on 12/06/2006 9:24:37 PM PST by Jack Black
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To: Holicheese

Anything and everything bad that occurs on the Dem's watch could be referred to as "The Pelosi Curse". (No more it's Bush's fault.) Think about it, she does have "witchy woman" eyes.


47 posted on 12/06/2006 9:25:25 PM PST by 444Flyer (B.S. is B.S. by any other name.)
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To: JasonC
Short of nuclear war, nothing is going to stop the American economy.

Nothing will stop the American idea. Innovators & capital seek the highest returns commensurate with risk - places where private property & the rule of law exist.

All you need to know about investing is to focus on countries which protect these ideals. Through up/down cycles, they will always thrive. But it's not the country itself, it's the idea that is the crucial point.

If these principles are abandoned, talent & capital will once again seek the safest harbors where ever it may exist.

48 posted on 12/06/2006 9:48:44 PM PST by Chuck Dent
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To: 1066AD

It appears here in the Northeast that the "housing slump" is over already.


49 posted on 12/06/2006 9:52:15 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: Chuck Dent
Nothing will stop the American idea. Innovators & capital seek the highest returns commensurate with risk - places where private property & the rule of law exist.

Well, mostly. For now.

50 posted on 12/06/2006 9:53:19 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: Holicheese
Nancy pelosi's fault

No, it will be the "Bush Recession. Bet your booties. Let's just hope it's not the Bush Depression and does for the Republicans, and the Democrats for that matter, what Hoover's Depression did.

51 posted on 12/06/2006 11:28:35 PM PST by El Gato
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To: nmh

I think a Democrat in 08 is an inevitibility unless Ronald Redux rides out of the West to save the day.


52 posted on 12/07/2006 1:47:32 AM PST by arthurus (Better to fight them over THERE than over HERE)
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To: Rushmore Rocks

What was the lumber market on 9-10-01? Upward swing? Sometimes I'm amazed at how strong our economy is when gov't stops taxing/regulating us to death.


53 posted on 12/07/2006 2:03:17 AM PST by sully777 (You have flies in your eyes--Catch-22)
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To: Dog Gone

My 401k just recorded its biggest one month gain in the past 25 years. Gimme some more of that pain.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

I have been averaging about four percentage points gain every DAY for the past few weeks. Obviously that cannot continue forever, in two more years Bill Gates and Warren Buffett would be asking me for financial advice. I am just hoping for a couple more months before I have to go to all cash.


54 posted on 12/07/2006 3:24:22 AM PST by RipSawyer (Does anybody still believe this is a free country?)
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To: arthurus

Oh please ... I'm trying to keep my late lunch down.


55 posted on 12/07/2006 9:59:45 AM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God) .)
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