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Rocket chief: Russia could fall behind in space race if it doesn't develop new spacecraft
Houston Chronicle ^ | Jan 11, 2007 | VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV, AP

Posted on 01/12/2007 5:04:59 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

MOSCOW — Russia could fall further behind the United States and other nations in space research if it fails to quickly build a replacement to its Soviet-designed spacecraft, the head of the nation's top rocket builder said Thursday.

Nikolai Sevastyanov, the head of state-controlled RKK Energiya, said it was continuing design work on a new reusable spacecraft called the Clipper, which he said would cost an estimated $1.5 billion to develop, and build a fleet of five such ships.

''If we don't conduct the Clipper program, we may fall behind irreparably in five years or so,'' Sevastyanov said at a news conference. ''We mustn't lose our chance to secure our positions in competition with the Americans and others.''

Energiya said that the Clipper, which will have six seats compared to three on the existing Soyuz spacecraft, would be capable of delivering crews to the international space station and could also become the basis for future moon missions.

Sevastyanov said that the Clipper would make space travel more comfortable for the crew, easing requirements for space tourists to go to orbit and would also reduce the costs of delivering crews to orbit by three times compared to the Soyuz craft now in use.

The Russian government so far has been noncommittal about Energiya's pleas for funding, and Sevastyanov voiced hope that the European Space Agency could share the costs. Energiya, which builds both the Soyuz manned and Progress unmanned space vehicles, has been financing the initial design work from its own funds, he said.

NASA is planning on using a new manned vehicle, the Orion, and new Ares rockets to return to the Moon. NASA hopes to begin flying Orion with astronauts by 2014 and return to the moon no later than 2020.

Energiya also has laid out bold plans for exploring the moon and Mars, but the government has made no specific commitments.

As a stopgap measure, Energiya plans to modernize the 40-year old Soyuz spacecraft by fitting it with new digital control systems, Sevastyanov said. He added that the company also was developing the Parom (Ferry) cargo ship to replace the existing Progress supply vehicles.

Meanwhile, the company hopes to win new orders for Soyuz and Progress craft, which are becoming increasingly important as the main link to the space station as the United States prepares to retire its shuttle fleet.

Energiya currently builds 2 Soyuz and 4 Progress spacecraft a year to send crews and cargo to the station, and their number is expected to grow to 4 and 7 respectively starting in 2009, he said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: aerospace; exploration; moon; space
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1 posted on 01/12/2007 5:05:05 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Why? Its heavy lift boosters are some of the best tools in the business!


2 posted on 01/12/2007 5:18:33 AM PST by Little Ray
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To: Little Ray

I guess they want to go to the Moon.


3 posted on 01/12/2007 5:30:49 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Little Ray
Why? Its heavy lift boosters are some of the best tools in the business!

It's the people tank at the end of the booster that they need. The Russians have always scrimped on habitability.

I used to talk with Shannon Lucid on ham radio when she was aboard Mir. There was always a loud metallic grinding noise in the background that sounded very ominous. She said the specs were a little loose when Mir was built and the industrial noise was simply the spacecraft expanding and contracting as it heated up and cooled down in each orbit. She had to put up with that for months.
4 posted on 01/12/2007 5:38:18 AM PST by Thrownatbirth (.....when the sidewalks are safe for the little guy.)
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To: Thrownatbirth

A brave woman to ride in a Russian spacecraft. I was in the US Submarine Navy but I would never go to sea in one of their subs.


5 posted on 01/12/2007 5:41:50 AM PST by bmwcyle (Don't forget to send the bouquet of pork chops for Saddam's family)
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To: Little Ray; Former Proud Canadian

What heavy-lift boosters? Energia does not exist for all intents and purposes. Heavy lift is > 100mT. Currently no booster exists to put that much anything into orbit.

And the Russians aren't losing the space race. The US will be buying seats on Soyuz capsules for 2 to 4 years after the Shuttle is retired. You'd think for $22m a pop that we could develop an inexpensive way to get our boys to the station, but instead we get years of development on "the Stick" and a heavy lifter that may never see the light of day.

Hopefully SpaceX and RPK can pick up the slack.


6 posted on 01/12/2007 5:51:04 AM PST by AntiKev ("No damage. The world's still turning isn't it?" - Stereo Goes Stellar - Blow Me A Holloway)
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To: Thrownatbirth
By OSHA standards, that particular Russian module is considered a health hazard for hearing damage.

The article I read was referring to the machinery, but I don't recall anything about expansion/contraction.

7 posted on 01/12/2007 6:12:04 AM PST by Calvin Locke
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To: AntiKev

Unfortunately, NASA could never develop launch capability cheaply. A commercial company probably could, but NASA would dedicate itself to quashing any rivals.
NASA is not about space any more, its about power, pork and job security these days.


8 posted on 01/12/2007 6:32:45 AM PST by Little Ray
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To: Calvin Locke
I don't recall anything about expansion/contraction.

You could clearly hear the metallic groan during the first minute as Mir rose above the horizon; a little less so as Mir receded and set. There was definitely thermal stress on the craft that was quite audible on her downlink. In between, she was loud and clear for 4 or 5 minutes while overhead.
9 posted on 01/12/2007 6:42:23 AM PST by Thrownatbirth (.....when the sidewalks are safe for the little guy.)
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To: Little Ray; KevinDavis; Former Proud Canadian
Mainly because they've been tasked by congress to keep the Shuttle work force employed. Those resources could be better spent on developing surface mobility technologies and ISRU for the Moon and Mars when we get there. Instead we're pussy-footing around developing capsules and launch vehicles that should be derived from existing vehicles like Atlas or Delta. Anyone who says that Ares is Shuttle-derived hasn't looked at it very closely. Since they are no longer using the SSMEs the only throwbacks to the Shuttle are the SRB segments which are inefficient and heavy and the colour scheme.

They would do better by reviving the F-1A engine and using an RP-1/LOX first stage, since they're going with a clean-sheet design anyway. If you actually want to use Shuttle-derived technology, then use it DIRECTly!

Or spend the development money on man-rating Delta or Atlas. That would free up some funds that could be used to speed up development of the CEV, thus having first launch in 2010 or 2011 right after the Shuttle is retired. Since we'll still need heavy-lift capability, develop a truly shuttle-derived vehicle such as Shuttle-C or something more akin to Energyia. With 2 strap-on SRBs and a cargo pod on the side where the shuttle goes, with 2 or 3 RS-68's on the bottom of the shuttle ET.

Just by a quick calculation. You could get pretty close to the 100 metric tonne mark. The shuttle orbiter has a mass of 109000 kg at launch. Each RS-68 puts out about 1.5 times the thrust of a SSME (400000lbs vs 650000lbs at S.L.) and has a mass of 6600kg. So we have about 95000 kg to work with. Say a cargo pod (essentially nothing more than an aerodynamic fairing) has a mass of 10000kg (which is a conservative estimate), we still have 85000kg to LEO, much more than any other booster system in production today. And developed significantly cheaper than the current solutions.

That solution would require few if any changes to the launch pads, and the crawlers. Most of the development money would go to Boeing or Lockheed (or both) and to infrastructure changes at KSC and VAB. Now you could interest DOD in the manned infrastructure because they can launch it into polar orbits from Vandenberg. But that's neither here nor there. If Orion could be launched by either Delta or Atlas at any given time, launch rates could skyrocket. This would allow support of the ISS, the Moon AND Mars simultaneously. NASA would have a pseudo-heavy lift launcher and contract out the manned launches.

We would be able to support the ISS by 2011 (just after the Shuttle retires) and the Moon by 2015 or sooner.

10 posted on 01/12/2007 7:33:03 AM PST by AntiKev ("No damage. The world's still turning isn't it?" - Stereo Goes Stellar - Blow Me A Holloway)
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To: AntiKev

Atlas was "man rated" at one time. You are too young to remember the Mercury programme.


11 posted on 01/12/2007 10:39:54 AM PST by Former Proud Canadian (How do I change my screen name after Harper's election?)
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To: Little Ray

Until the Treaty is repealed we will never know.


12 posted on 01/12/2007 10:43:22 AM PST by RightWhale
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To: Former Proud Canadian

That vehicle and the Atlas of today share nothing but a name.


13 posted on 01/12/2007 11:29:35 AM PST by AntiKev ("No damage. The world's still turning isn't it?" - Stereo Goes Stellar - Blow Me A Holloway)
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To: Thrownatbirth

Russia, Russia...the guys in the furry hats with the funny kicking dancing? Ruled an empire once, now like to make noise about how important they are? That Russia?


14 posted on 01/12/2007 11:53:10 AM PST by 50sDad (I respect other religions by allowing them the right to worship. But they still are wrong.)
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To: AntiKev

Atlas is still Atlas. It might have new motors and burn hotter and not use the stage and a half, but it's still Atlas.


15 posted on 01/12/2007 12:17:45 PM PST by RightWhale
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To: RightWhale

It's like the Cheddar family's kitchen knife been in the family for 9,000 years. Blade's been replaced a dozen times and the handle half a dozen, but it's the same knife slicing the same veggies.


16 posted on 01/12/2007 12:20:37 PM PST by RightWhale
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To: RightWhale

As long as the 9,000 year old flint blade was replaced by another flint blade.


17 posted on 01/12/2007 12:29:41 PM PST by AFreeBird (If American "cowboy diplomacy" did not exist, it would be necessary to invent it.)
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To: AFreeBird

They went to bronze when it was available, then iron, then stainless, still the same knife. One of the handles was bone, one was antler, most were wood, still the same knife; still the same cheese; still the same family; still the same farm.


18 posted on 01/12/2007 12:33:25 PM PST by RightWhale
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To: RightWhale

That's like saying Ares is the shuttle. It may not have the orbiter, or the SSMEs, but the SRM and colour scheme are there.


19 posted on 01/12/2007 1:48:17 PM PST by AntiKev ("No damage. The world's still turning isn't it?" - Stereo Goes Stellar - Blow Me A Holloway)
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To: RightWhale
From Wikipedia:

The newest version of Atlas, the Atlas V, is an Atlas in name alone as it contains little Atlas technology. It no longer uses balloon tanks nor 1.5 staging, but incorporates a rigid framework for its first stage booster much like the Titan family of vehicles. The rigid fuselage is heavier, but easier to handle and transport, eliminating the need for constant internal pressure.

Which immediately takes the Atlas ICBM's man rating and throws it out the window.

20 posted on 01/12/2007 1:50:33 PM PST by AntiKev ("No damage. The world's still turning isn't it?" - Stereo Goes Stellar - Blow Me A Holloway)
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