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Giuliani Gains as McCain Slips in the Race for the Republican Nomination (New Harris Poll)
Yahoooo Finance via Harris ^ | 3/16/07

Posted on 03/16/2007 10:13:28 AM PDT by areafiftyone

Giuliani Gains as McCain Slips in the Race for the Republican Presidential Nomination


Friday March 16, 11:47 am ET

Almost one-quarter of Republicans say that they would consider voting for Former Speaker Newt Gingrich

ROCHESTER, N.Y., March 16 /PRNewswire/ -- Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani has widened his lead over United States Senator John McCain, and is now the clear front runner in the race for the Republican presidential nomination for the 2008 election. In February, The Harris Poll® showed that support for Giuliani and McCain was fairly close, but this is no longer true. Evidence of Giuliani's gain includes:

    * Over one-third (35%) of adults would now consider voting for him,
      compared to 29 percent who said so in February. The percentage of
      those who would consider voting for McCain is unchanged at 26 percent.
    * The proportion of Republicans who would consider voting for Giuliani has
      increased from 58 percent in February to 64 percent. During this time,
      the proportion of those who would consider voting for McCain has slipped
      from 46 percent to 42 percent.
    * Independents who would consider voting for Giuliani have increased from
      27 percent to 34 percent, while the percentage of those who would
      consider voting for McCain is virtually unchanged at 28 percent.
    * When it comes to their first choice for president, 11 percent of all
      adults (and 28% of Republicans) prefer Giuliani, compared to five
      percent of adults (and only 11% of Republicans) who choose McCain.
      Giuliani has gained seven points among Republicans since February, while
      McCain has lost four points.

(Excerpt) Read more at biz.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; giuliani; harrispoll
sorry I'm really bad at posting the tables so I had to excerpt it.
1 posted on 03/16/2007 10:13:34 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: Blackirish; Jameison; Sabramerican; BunnySlippers; tkathy; veronica; Roccus; Jake The Goose; ...

((((((RUDY PING)))))


2 posted on 03/16/2007 10:15:02 AM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: areafiftyone

Good news bump.


3 posted on 03/16/2007 10:16:52 AM PDT by Ciexyz (Is the American voter smarter than a fifth grader?)
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To: areafiftyone

But, but, but just wait till the voters learn more about this mystery man then you'll see.


4 posted on 03/16/2007 10:18:45 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: areafiftyone

A quarter of Republicans would vote for Gingrich and he's not even running. If you could have Rudy as President and Newt as VP, that would be one out of control ticket. It would be the best of both worlds. Leadership and Intellectual.


5 posted on 03/16/2007 10:24:53 AM PDT by VoteNewt (www.votenewt.net)
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To: justshutupandtakeit

Yea I don't know how much more they can learn about him. Maybe his shoe size?


6 posted on 03/16/2007 10:25:22 AM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: areafiftyone
If the majority of the GOP electorate knew of McCain's anti-2nd Amendment, pro-illegal alien, anti-1st Amendment, and pro-tax positions he be out of this race before it started. But alas, it's all about name recognition these days.
7 posted on 03/16/2007 10:26:03 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: areafiftyone

At the end of the day, it will be Rudy and Fred Thompson vying for the nomination. I will vote for Thompson if it seems likely he can beat Hillary. I will particularly look to whether Fred is competitive in Pennsylvania and Ohio, as Rudy certainly is. It's very hard for us to win without one of those two states.


8 posted on 03/16/2007 10:26:33 AM PDT by MittFan08 (Anybody but McCain)
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To: MittFan08

GO THOMPSON. My check to him will be in the mail once he announces.


9 posted on 03/16/2007 10:31:32 AM PDT by unkus
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To: Mr. Mojo
anti-1st Amendment

McCain loses my vote right there

10 posted on 03/16/2007 10:35:22 AM PDT by Mr_Moonlight
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To: areafiftyone


HOUSTON, March 13, 2007
(AP) Rep. Ron Paul, a nine-term Texas congressman who describes himself as a lifelong libertarian, formally announced his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination Monday.

"I'm very confident the Republican party has gone in the wrong direction," Paul said in his C-SPAN appearance. "We used to be the party of small government. Now we're the party of big government."


11 posted on 03/16/2007 10:37:56 AM PDT by ex-snook ("But above all things, truth beareth away the victory.")
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To: areafiftyone

Since McCain is doing a nosedive, I guess that gives the "anyone but Giuliani" crowd an opportunity to try someone new. I would hope that someone else will surpass McCain quickly so that we can see whether there are other serious contenders.


12 posted on 03/16/2007 10:40:17 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: areafiftyone
Great news. With the exception of McCain, this is a great Republican field.

I hope Thompson jumps in too.

13 posted on 03/16/2007 10:40:35 AM PDT by zarf (Her hair was of a dank yellow, and fell over her temples like sauerkraut......)
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To: VoteNewt

THAT is my favorite ticket! Unbeatable!


14 posted on 03/16/2007 10:42:08 AM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: Brilliant

I don't think ANYONE on the forum has expressed support for McCain, let alone the people who have a problem with Mayor Giuliani's liberal positions.


15 posted on 03/16/2007 10:45:29 AM PDT by RabidBartender
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To: MittFan08
At the end of the day, it will be Rudy and Fred Thompson vying for the nomination. I will vote for Thompson if it seems likely he can beat Hillary. I will particularly look to whether Fred is competitive in Pennsylvania and Ohio, as Rudy certainly is. It's very hard for us to win without one of those two states.




Either way works for me. Fred/Rudy, or Rudy/Fred. I hope Fred Thompson or Rudy Giuliani would set their ego's aside and accept a VP spot. Doubtful though.
16 posted on 03/16/2007 10:53:29 AM PDT by KATIE-O (God help me, I truly despise Liberals!)
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To: areafiftyone
Giuliani Gains as McCain Slips...

Excellent!One down!Now all we need to do is get rid of Giuliani.

17 posted on 03/16/2007 10:57:17 AM PDT by kennyo
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To: MittFan08

I think Fred can take Ohio.
Rudy could take Ohio, PA and probably NY.
No Republican can take CA.


18 posted on 03/16/2007 10:58:23 AM PDT by Artemis Webb (Fred Thompson---PLEASE save us from the Giuliani/Hunter wars.)
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To: Artemis Webb

Rudy is doing very well in the polls in CA. He just might do it. But then again you may be right - California is difficult.


19 posted on 03/16/2007 11:01:31 AM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: areafiftyone

Oh, Lord don't tell me it is the dreaded 12E.


20 posted on 03/16/2007 12:10:08 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: justshutupandtakeit

Nope its the dreaded........ TRIPLE EEE!


21 posted on 03/16/2007 12:13:11 PM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: RabidBartender

In the FR poll, while Rudy can't get above 50%, he is beating McCain 45% to 5% among members.

Although I think "Ham Sandwich" would beat McCain here on FR.


22 posted on 03/16/2007 12:21:56 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: areafiftyone
TABLE 1

REPUBLICAN LEADERS ADULTS "WOULD CONSIDER VOTING FOR" FOR PRESIDENT

"Although the U.S. presidential election is not until November, 2008, there are a number of people who may run for president. If you were to vote and had

  to select from the following candidates, for which of the following people
                         would you consider voting?"

    Base: All Adults

                                            Party ID

                      Total       Republican      Democrat       Independent
                   Feb.  March   Feb.   March    Feb.   March    Feb.   March
                     %     %       %       %       %       %      %       %
    Colin Powell    32     30      51     45      18      17      33      34
    Rudy Giuliani   29     35      58     64      12      16      27      34
    John McCain     26     26      46     42      13      14      27      28
    Condoleezza
     Rice           19     18      42     38       5       6      16      18
    Newt Gingrich   11     11      27     29       1       1       7       7
    Elizabeth Dole  10     10      22     20       3       4      10      10
    Mitt Romney      7      9      18     23       1       1       6       7
    George Pataki    5      5      11     10       1       1       4       4
    Mike Huckabee    3      4       7     11       1       1       3       3
    Chuck Hagel      3      3       4      5       3       2       3       3
    Tom Tancredo     3      3       6      9       *       *       3       3
    Sam Brownback    2      2       6      6       *       *       2       2
    Duncan Hunter    2      2       4      6       *       *       1       2

    Note: Multiple-response question
    *Less than 0.5%; "-"No response



                                   TABLE 2
      REPUBLICAN LEADERS PEOPLE WOULD PICK AS FIRST CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT
  "If you could vote for only one candidate, who would you most likely vote
                                    for?"

    Base: All Adults

                                             Party ID

                      Total       Republican      Democrat       Independent
                   Feb.  March   Feb.   March   Feb.    March    Feb.   March
                     %      %       %      %       %       %       %       %
    Rudy Giuliani    8     11      21     28       2       2       6       7
    Colin Powell     6      6      12     12       2       2       6       6
    John McCain      6      5      15     11       1       1       5       4
    Newt Gingrich    3      3       8      8       1       -       1       2
    Condoleezza
     Rice            3      3       6      7       *       1       2       2
    Mitt Romney      1      1       3      3       -       -       1       1
    Mike Huckabee    1      1       2      2       *       *       *       *
    Elizabeth Dole   *      1       *      1       *       -       *       *
    Tom Tancredo     *      1       *      2       *       -       *       *
    Sam Brownback    *      *       *      1       *       *       *       *
    Duncan Hunter    *      *       *      1       *       *       *       *

    *Less than 0.5%; "-"No response
    Note: Chuck Hagel and George Pataki were also listed and were chosen by
          less than 0.5%
    Note: Percentages add to less than 100 percent because this list does not
          include Democratic candidate, those with no preferences or who chose
          a third party, and those who say they would not vote.


                                   TABLE 3
    SUMMARY: THOSE WHO WOULD CONSIDER AND CHOOSE ANY OF THE LISTED LEADERS

    Base: All Adults

                                                     Party ID

                            All Adults  Republican   Democrat     Independent
                           Feb.  March  Feb. March  Feb.  March   Feb.  March
                             %      %     %     %     %      %      %      %
    Would consider
     one of the             71     69    41    35    95     94     69     70
     listed Democratic
     leaders
    Would consider one of
     the listed
     Republican leaders     58     59    91    91    35     37     59     60
    lst Choice would be
     one of the listed
     Democratic leaders     45     43     9     8    76     75     38     34
    lst Choice would be
     one of the listed
     Republican leaders     31     30    73    74     7      6     25     24



23 posted on 03/16/2007 12:27:00 PM PDT by SJackson (Muslim women...no lesser role than men in war of liberation...they manufacture men, Hamas Charter)
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To: Artemis Webb

Arnold did Twice....so can Rudy


24 posted on 03/16/2007 7:54:14 PM PDT by texicali (those that can do! Rudy does in spades)
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To: areafiftyone

25 posted on 03/17/2007 4:07:09 PM PDT by cartoonistx
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To: SJackson

Thank you so much! :-)


26 posted on 03/17/2007 4:20:40 PM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: VoteNewt
If you could have Rudy as President and Newt as VP, that would be one out of control ticket. It would be the best of both worlds. Leadership and Intellectual.

I agree entirely! :-)

27 posted on 03/17/2007 4:21:25 PM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: cartoonistx

2000 all over again? Did you see the new Straight Talk Express bus? DEJA VU is right!


28 posted on 03/17/2007 4:22:17 PM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: justshutupandtakeit

Fred Thompson's gonna jump in and take the whole thing.

Mark my words.


29 posted on 03/17/2007 4:30:31 PM PDT by RockinRight ("After two years in Washington, I often long for the realism and sincerity of Hollywood." - FDT)
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To: MittFan08

I think Fred will do OK in both states.

The actor appeal isn't huge, since he's not exactly a household name, but I think it's good for a point or two in the general election.

His direct, non-PC, take-no-prisoners speaking style is also good for a point or two.

IOW, he wins both states, but by small margins.


30 posted on 03/17/2007 4:31:50 PM PDT by RockinRight ("After two years in Washington, I often long for the realism and sincerity of Hollywood." - FDT)
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To: RockinRight

I realize ole Fred is the Great White Hope but believe you are vastly overestimating his political abilities and acument. Hopefully he will do well but I am not counting on him setting the outside world on fire. Here mere sparks set off conflagrations of hope.


31 posted on 03/17/2007 10:45:46 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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