Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Forecaster sees active Atlantic hurricane season (London-based forecaster Tropical Storm Risk)
Reuters on Yahoo ^ | 3/21/07 | Reuters

Posted on 03/21/2007 7:35:25 PM PDT by NormsRevenge

MIAMI (Reuters) - The Atlantic hurricane season will be exceptionally active this year, according to a British forecasting group, raising the possibility that killer storms like Hurricane Katrina could again threaten the United States.

London-based forecaster Tropical Storm Risk on Tuesday said the six-month season, which begins on June 1, was expected to bring 17 tropical storms, of which nine will strengthen into hurricanes with winds of at least 74 miles per hour.

Four of those are expected to become more destructive "intense" hurricanes, TSR said.

The long-term average for the Atlantic is for 10 storms to form during the hurricane season and for six of those to reach hurricane strength.

The United States emerged unscathed from the 2006 season after it spawned a below-average nine storms, of which five became hurricanes. Experts had universally -- and erroneously -- predicted 2006 would be a busy year for Atlantic storms.

None of the hurricanes hit the United States, bringing welcome relief to beleaguered residents of the U.S. Gulf Coast, where Katrina killed 1,500 people, swamped New Orleans and caused about $80 billion in damage the year before.

But TSR said current and projected climate signals indicate that Atlantic basin and U.S. landfalling hurricane activity will be 75 percent above the 1950-2006 average in 2007.

TSR had predicted in December that Atlantic basin and U.S. landfalling hurricane activity would be just 60 percent above average this year. It raised the projected activity level because of the sudden dissipation in February of last year's El Nino weather phenomenon.

An unusual warming of the eastern Pacific waters, El Nino events tend to suppress Atlantic storm activity.

Other experts, including hurricane forecast pioneer Dr. William Gray and his team at Colorado State University, have also warned that the 2007 hurricane season is likely to be busier-than-average.

The relative calm of last year's hurricane season, which forecasters had mistakenly predicted would be busy, came on the heels of a record 28 storms and 15 hurricanes in 2005 and only a slightly less furious season in 2004.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; United Kingdom; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: active; atlantic; forecaster; hurricaneprediction; hurricaneseason; predictions; weatherprediction

1 posted on 03/21/2007 7:35:29 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

This could spell the end for a certain mayor's chocolate city.


2 posted on 03/21/2007 7:39:18 PM PDT by verity (Muhammed is a Dirt Bag)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
Another "sky is falling" prediction that will probably be proved as pure non sense.

But hey, my oil refining stocks will go up based on this stuff and this time I'll cash out before the so called experts out there learn they were taken for a walk once again.
3 posted on 03/21/2007 7:39:23 PM PDT by The South Texan (The Drive By Media is America's worst enemy and American people don't know it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

Let's hope their "predictions" are as accurate as last years!


4 posted on 03/21/2007 7:39:37 PM PDT by loboinok (Gun control is hitting what you aim at!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
My first reaction to this was 'How do they know?' Then i came to my senses and remembered they don't have a F'in clue.

I predict the Cubs will win the Series this year and that tomorrow's lotto numbers are 4-3-6
5 posted on 03/21/2007 7:40:52 PM PDT by tfecw (It's for the children)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

That's what you said last year -- eventually you will be correct....


6 posted on 03/21/2007 7:41:24 PM PDT by expatpat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
Might as well get this out of the way.

It's Bush's fault for not signing Kyoto and not listening to Al Gore on global warming.

7 posted on 03/21/2007 7:42:17 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (Bush Derangement Syndrome Has Reached Pandemic Levels on Free Republic.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge; NautiNurse
Let me be the first to post"

BUSH'S FAULT -- women and minorities to be hardest hit, and

WE'RE ALL DOOOOOOOOOOOMED!

8 posted on 03/21/2007 7:42:37 PM PDT by Malacoda (A day without a pi$$ed-off muslim is like a day without sunshine.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

that's what they said last year, and it was pretty much a snooze.


9 posted on 03/21/2007 7:43:43 PM PDT by smonk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
Experts had universally -- and erroneously -- predicted 2006 would
be a busy year for Atlantic storms.


Climatologists: guys that can't tell you how many hurricanes
that will pop up within a year...
but they know exactly what's gonna' happen 100 years from now...
10 posted on 03/21/2007 7:46:40 PM PDT by VOA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

Didn't they say the same thing last year?


My husband's great uncle was an old timey General Practitioner who claimed he was 100% accurate in determining the sex of babies his patients expected. He told all mothers they would have a boy, but recorded girl in his notebook. If the baby was a boy mom and dad were pleased and all was well. If the baby was a girl, he showed them his notebbook and claimed they must have misunderstood what he originally told them. I have a feeling the hurricane predictors are trying the same scam, only difference is their predictions are spread abit further than their own notes.


11 posted on 03/21/2007 7:47:56 PM PDT by kalee (The offenses we give, we write in the dust; Those we take, we write in marble. JHuett)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COEXERJ145
I believe 2007 may be the worst hurricane year YET, as the heating up of Mars leaks off to Earth, causing Category 6+ hurricanes to form. This can only get worse in years to come.

Unless we do something about it. Now!

12 posted on 03/21/2007 7:50:44 PM PDT by C210N (Bush SPIED, Terrorists DIED!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

Subprimes and canes, oh my!


13 posted on 03/21/2007 7:58:03 PM PDT by Sender (Try to look unimportant; they may be low on ammo.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: smonk

Yeah ,but if they keep saying it --sooner or later they will get it. Then they will say "we told ya so".


14 posted on 03/21/2007 8:01:52 PM PDT by sgtbono2002 (I will forgive Jane Fonda, when the Jews forgive Hitler.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: The South Texan

LOL... I'm excited about this "prediction"...

However, I'll wait for Gray's ... as well as his REAL expert evaluation of last year as well as its relation to this year.


15 posted on 03/21/2007 8:08:58 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: C210N

I predict that the Little Red Spot on Jupiter will strengthen and bring doom upon New JupitOrleans ... due to an excess of methane spewing cows on that planet.


16 posted on 03/21/2007 8:10:46 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: verity
This could spell the end for a certain mayor's chocolate city.

I've been thru 5 hurricanes here in Panama City, FL (Eloise 1975, Elena 1985, Kate 1985, Erin 1995, Opal 1995) plus getting slammed by some other close ones.

The big difference seems to be that we know how to handle hurricanes here. We pitch in, we clean it up, we get over it and we don't go around belly-aching for the next two years about how bad it was.

New Orleans needs to grow up and stop being dependent on the rest of the country.

17 posted on 03/21/2007 8:10:56 PM PDT by capt. norm (Be thankful we're not getting all the government we're paying for.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
Norm, why is it people that live in England and Colorado seem to know more about hurricanes than those that live along the Eastern Seaboard and the Gulf of Mexico?
18 posted on 03/21/2007 8:36:56 PM PDT by vetvetdoug
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: vetvetdoug

Good question...


19 posted on 03/21/2007 8:39:02 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ......)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

When they accurately predict the weather 10 days out, I'll begin to pay attention to them.


20 posted on 03/21/2007 8:43:51 PM PDT by Rembrandt (We would have won Viet Nam w/o Dim interference.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge

It was supposed to be exceptionally active last year. It was exceptionally quiet. Climatology is an inexact science. You heard it here first.


21 posted on 03/21/2007 9:12:46 PM PDT by Torie (The real facts can sometimes be inconvenient things)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson