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To: beansox
Well for one, he hasnt even announced he plans to run.

I asked why he couldn't win if he did. This is irrelevant.

Secondly, he has been MIA for the last six years while the party has taken a beating. Where has he been?

First, he's been working for a living, unlike the vast majority of his former colleagues in the Senate. Second, and more to the point, the party has been taking a beating because we have too many people like Rudy out in front and not enough people like Thompson!

It (Bush fatigue) is just what I am hearing on the street from peole who dont post on politcal forums. You know..the every day Joe!

This is the most important thing I'm going to write today, so read carefully:

I have learned one thing that is beyond doubt in the political arena: The I-can-tell-the-vote-will-go-this-way-based-on-my-personal-conversations method is about as reliable as reading chicken entrails. It is absolutely, positively worthless in every way for judging a candidate or party's chances.

It's what convinced the DUers they were about to get the White House in '04 (there were umpteen posts about how the exit polls must be right, because I talked to all these people...etc.) and convinced some Freepers that we were going to hold the Congress in '06. I could provide more examples, but you get the point.

And besides, I'm guessing you haven't been asking these people about Thompson.

I'd like to note that for the second time in the same thread, I'm saying someone can win based on their past performance, and you're saying they can't based on speculation that has nothing to do with any empirical fact. Instructive...

416 posted on 03/26/2007 1:19:07 PM PDT by Mr. Silverback (A pacifist sees no distinction between the arsonist and the fireman--Freeper ccmay)
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To: Mr. Silverback

No I havent spoken to kids on the street about Thompson, because they have no idea who he is. I cant convince someone to vote for a guy they never heard of. Someone who isnt even on the thier radar. Can you understand that? What am I supposed to say to young people...ummmm you know that guy..he had a walk on part in Law and Order?

These kids are MTV generation voters... They prefer the far left of Obama! MTV's new politician de jour and I am supposed to come back with "the guy from Law and Order"?


Do you think this election is going to be the status quo? I do not. I think there will be a record turnout and that the these youths will have an huge impact on its outcome.

I want to win those voters to the GOP ticket. Dont you?


417 posted on 03/26/2007 1:36:35 PM PDT by beansox (Burn A Battle In Our Hearts For The Battle At Hand)
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To: Mr. Silverback
I have learned one thing that is beyond doubt in the political arena: The I-can-tell-the-vote-will-go-this-way-based-on-my-personal-conversations method is about as reliable as reading chicken entrails. It is absolutely, positively worthless in every way for judging a candidate or party's chances.

In the past forty years, there have only been THREE presidential elections that, barring some sort of disaster for the incumbent, were "in the bag" a few months out of the election: 1972, 1984 and 1996 (call me whatever names you like, but anyone who is honest by September that Dole didn't have a chance). And these fell into this category because they were incumbents. This is going to be the first election since 1952 when neither party will be nominating either an incumbent president or vice president, there will be a lot more undecided voters than usual.

421 posted on 03/26/2007 1:39:30 PM PDT by wagglebee ("We are ready for the greatest achievements in the history of freedom." -- President Bush, 1/20/05)
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