Thompson Takes Bites Out of Giuliani, Romney

NY Sun ^ | March 26, 2007 | RYAN SAGER

[Jet Jaguar]

posted 5:21 pm EDT A D V E R T I S E M E N T A D V E R T I S E M E N T

The latest USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted Friday through Sunday, on the presidential race is out, and it's a humdinger. It's hard to say what the headline even is. Here are a few tries, though:

* Romney's support drops to within the margin of error of not existing (that's 3% support in a poll where the margin of error is 3%).

* Giuliani's support drops 13 percentage points since the last USA Today/ Gallup poll, March 2-4 (that's gotta hurt).

* Fred Thompson (not running, by the way) is now the No. 3 in the GOP field, at 12%.

Read the whole story at NYSunPolitics.com.

[dynachrome]

"Giuliani's support drops 13 percentage points since the last USA Today/ Gallup poll, March 2-4"
Ah, some good news for a change!

[Rodney King]

Hooray! Finally, a real supply sider, who is a social conservative, who can fight the war on terror. None of the other major candidates have all three attributes, well except Hunter.

[Jet Jaguar]

Move to Blogs.

My mistake.

[zarf]

well except Hunter.

Who?

[MamaB]

Great. I think he could be the one I support.

[Jet Jaguar]

It is good news!

[randog]

What does it all mean? Partly, that polls this early swing wildly based on name recognition.

IOW, "I wrote this column for nothing."

But also that — and this may end up being quite important as the race wears on — John McCain's numbers do not seem to be as susceptible to wild fluctuations as those of some of the other candidates. Conservatives, and Republicans generally, don't like him.

LOL!!

[KoRn]

ping

[pissant]

Hopefully, all the Rudyfiles can get just as excited for a more conservative celebrity. If not for Rudy being on 24/7 post 9-11, he'd be as viable a GOP nomineee as Bloomberg.

[Conservativegreatgrandma]

Waiting for Fred.

[dynachrome]

"It is good news!"
Thought you were one that wasn't one of the rudy-tooters!

[Coldwater Creek]

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahha!

[Emmett McCarthy]

A rather astute friend of mine puts it this way, "The public joke that was Rudy was given a "makeover" because of 9/11".

[USFRIENDINVICTORIA]

"* Romney's support drops to within the margin of error of not existing (that's 3% support in a poll where the margin of error is 3%). "

This statement is a bit right -- but the margin of error on it is so large, that it's actually wrong. </smarmy sarcasm>

Let's assume that 1,000 people were polled (the exercpt doesn't make that clear) -- Romney got the support of 3% of those polled -- i.e. 30 people. Even if, by some incredible fluke, those were the only Romney supporters in existence -- they still exist. Therefore, it's not correct to say the support has dropped: "to within the margin of error of not existing".

If Romney had polled 4%, it would be fair to say that his support could be as low as 1% (provided you also added the confidence level. I.e. how many times out of 20 would a smaller result be expected?)

It's important to be picky on poll results -- they have become a political weapon.

[Jet Jaguar]

No fan of Rudy.

[pissant]

It is a joke. Rudy was fine to run NYC. He should move to CA and run for mayor of LA now.

[jmc813]

Thompson ping

[bjs1779]

* Giuliani's support drops 13 percentage points since the last USA Today/ Gallup poll, March 2-4 (that's gotta hurt).

Ohhh Rudy...don't take your love to town.