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Bleakest climate report approved
AP on Yahoo ^ | 4/6/07 | Seth Borenstein - ap

Posted on 04/06/2007 8:53:59 PM PDT by NormsRevenge

BRUSSELS, Belgium - As the world gets hotter by degrees, millions of poor people will suffer from hunger, thirst, floods and disease unless drastic action is taken, scientists and diplomats warned Friday in their bleakest report ever on global warming.

All regions of the world will change, with the risk that nearly a third of the Earth's species will vanish if global temperatures rise just 3.6 degrees above the average temperature in the 1980s-90s, the new climate report says. Areas that now have too little rain will become drier.

Yet that grim and still preventable future is a toned-down prediction, a compromise brokered in a fierce, around-the-clock debate among scientists and bureaucrats. Officials from some governments, including China and Saudi Arabia, managed to win some weakened wording.

Even so, the final report "will send a very, very clear signal" to governments, said Yvo de Boer, the top climate official for the United Nations, which in 1988 created the authoritative climate change panel that issued the starkly worded document.

And while some scientists were angered at losing some ground, many praised the report as the strongest warning ever that nations must cut back on greenhouse gas emissions.

The report is the second of four coming this year from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a United Nations network of 2,000 scientists. The new document tries to explain how global warming is changing life on Earth; the panel's report in February focused on the cause of global warming and said scientists are highly confident most of it is due to human activity.

All four reports must be unanimously approved by the 120-plus governments that participate, and all changes must be approved by the scientists.

That edict made for a deadline-busting contentious final editing session that was closed to the public. However, The Associated Press witnessed the hectic final 3 1/2 hours of objections and conflict.

At one point, Chinese and Saudi Arabian delegates tried to reduce the scientific confidence level about already noticeable effects of global warming. They lower the confidence level from 90 percent to 80 percent. Scientists objected, and one lead author from the United States, NASA's Cynthia Rosenzweig, left the building after filing an official protest.

"There is a discernible human influence on these changes" that are already occurring through flooding, heat waves, hurricanes and threats to species, she said.

Under a U.S.-proposed compromise, the final report deleted any mention of the level of confidence about global warming's current effects. And that may have saved the day, according to some scientists who said the report had appeared doomed over that issue.

There were other disputes where scientists lost out:

_Instead of saying "hundreds of millions" would be vulnerable to flooding under certain scenarios, the final document says "many millions."

_Instead of suggesting up to 120 million people are at risk of hunger because of global warming, the revised report refers to negative effects on subsidence farmers and fishers.

Often it was the U.S. delegation who stood with scientists and helped reach compromise, said Stanford University scientist Stephen Schneider, a frequent critic of the Bush administration's global warming policies.

British scientist Neil Adger said he and others were disappointed that government officials deleted parts of a chart that highlights the devastating effects of climate change with every rise of 1.8 degrees in temperature.

Some scientists bitterly vowed never to take part in the process again.

Still, Adger and other scientists and even environmental groups hailed the final report as the strongest ever.

"This is a glimpse into an apocalyptic future," the Greenpeace environmental group said of the final report.

The tone of the report is urgent, noting those who can afford the least get hit the most by global warming.

"Don't be poor in a hot country, don't live in hurricane alley, watch out about being on the coasts or in the Arctic, and it's a bad idea to be on high mountains with glaciers melting," said Schneider, the Stanford scientist who was one of the study author's.

Africa by 2020 is looking at an additional 75 million to 250 million people going thirsty because of climate change, the report said. Deadly diarrheal diseases associated with floods and droughts will increase in Asia because of global warming, the report said.

The first few degrees increase in global temperature will actually raise global food supply, but then it will plummet, according to the report.

"The poorest of the poor in the world — and this includes poor people in prosperous societies — are going to be the worst hit," said Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. "People who are poor are least able to adapt to climate change."

But even rich countries, such as the United States say that the report tells them what to watch for.

James Connaughton, the head of the White House Council on Environmental Quality noted that food production in North America would rise initially, but so will increased coastal flooding.

The head of the U.S. delegation, White House associate science adviser Sharon Hays, said a key message she's taking home to Washington is "that these projected impacts are expected to get more pronounced at higher temperatures," she said in a conference call from Brussels. "Not all projected impacts are negative."

Schneider said a main message isn't just what will happen, but what already has started: melting glaciers, stronger hurricanes, deadlier heat waves, and disappearing or moving species.

It all can be traced directly to greenhouse gases from the burning of fossil fuels, according to the report.

Martin Parry, who conducted the tough closed-door negotiations, said that with 29,000 sets of data from every continent include Antarctica, the report firmly and finally established "a man-made climate signal coming through on plants, water and ice."

"For the first time, we are not just arm-waving with models," he said.

But many of the worst effects aren't locked into the future, the report said in its final pages. People can build better structures, adapt to future warming threats and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, scientists said.

"There are things that can be done now, but it's much better if it can be done now rather than later," said David Karoly of the University of Oklahoma, one of the report authors.

"We can fix this," Schneider said.

___

AP Correspondent Arthur Max contributed to this report.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: approved; bleakest; climatechange; climatereport; globalwarming; ipcc
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The drought-ravaged Gayngaru wetlands in Australia's Northern Territory. Climate change is set to inflict damage in every continent, hitting poor countries hardest and threatening nearly a third of the world's species with extinction, UN experts warned Friday.(AFP/File/Torsten Blackwood)


1 posted on 04/06/2007 8:54:00 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
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On the Net:

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: http://www.ipcc.ch/

The summary of the report: http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM6avr07.pdf


2 posted on 04/06/2007 8:54:18 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... BumP'n'Run 'Right-Wing Extremist' since 2001)
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To: NormsRevenge

The smell of desperation.


3 posted on 04/06/2007 8:55:51 PM PDT by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: NormsRevenge

What a bunch of dumb bastards.


4 posted on 04/06/2007 8:56:54 PM PDT by vpintheak (Like a muddied spring or a polluted well is a righteous man who gives way to the wicked. Prov. 25:26)
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To: NormsRevenge
UN experts warned Friday

Since when has the UN been expert on anything?

5 posted on 04/06/2007 8:59:28 PM PDT by Mr_Moonlight
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To: NormsRevenge
This is so OrsonWellian!
6 posted on 04/06/2007 9:01:53 PM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Mosquitoes remind us that we are not as high up on the food chain as we think...)
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To: NormsRevenge

But look at the bright side. If millions of poor people die, think what it will do for the average standard of living! /sarc


7 posted on 04/06/2007 9:04:30 PM PDT by weaponeer
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To: NormsRevenge

There’s enough bravo serria in this report to forstall any drought.


8 posted on 04/06/2007 9:04:48 PM PDT by SeaWolf (Orwell must have foreseen the 21st Century Democratic Party when he wrote 1984)
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To: NormsRevenge

i wanna bumper sticker that sez:

stop global stupidity.


9 posted on 04/06/2007 9:07:04 PM PDT by ken21 (it takes a village to brainwash your child + to steal your property! /s)
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To: NormsRevenge
millions of poor people will suffer from hunger, thirst, floods and disease unless drastic action is taken

That is the recurring theme of every liberal/socialist cause.

I guess they haven't been able to replace or update some of their aging "newspeak" spinmeisters.

10 posted on 04/06/2007 9:08:06 PM PDT by capt. norm (Be thankful we're not getting all the government we're paying for.)
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To: NormsRevenge
WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!! More liberal doom and gloom alarmism.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

11 posted on 04/06/2007 9:09:56 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: HawaiianGecko

Orwellian.


12 posted on 04/06/2007 9:10:37 PM PDT by Hilltop (?)
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To: goldstategop

Snow flurries in North Alabama tonight. Thank the Lord for global warming or we’d be in 5 foot drifts. /s


13 posted on 04/06/2007 9:12:28 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter ( Who is the Democrat's George Galloway?)
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To: NormsRevenge
Personally I think we should be allowed to know exactly what species are included in that one third.  If it includes house flies, horse flies, mosquitoes, walruses, rhinos, rinos, manatees, liberals, termites, carpenter ants, fanatics, squirrels and the French... we should speed the process up a bit.
14 posted on 04/06/2007 9:12:30 PM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Mosquitoes remind us that we are not as high up on the food chain as we think...)
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To: NormsRevenge

2000 scientists...and not one dissent ? not possible, except.....

2000 scientists all having the same premise, come to the same conclusion, based on data that allows for no other conclusion.

Brilliant !


15 posted on 04/06/2007 9:13:05 PM PDT by stylin19a (If you are living on the edge...MOVE OVER ! Some of us are ready to jump !)
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To: NormsRevenge

It’s time to tell the liberals that the thing to do is outlaw global warming, declare victory and go home.


16 posted on 04/06/2007 9:17:00 PM PDT by stevem
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To: Hilltop
Orwellian. 

LOL, no I'm speaking of Orson Welles not George Orwell, as in War of the Worlds, October 1938... where people packed the roads, hid in cellars, loaded guns, even wrapped their heads in wet towels as protection from Martian poison gas, in an attempt to defend themselves against aliens, oblivious to the fact that they were acting out the role of the panic-stricken public that actually belonged in a radio play

New York Tribune's Dorothy Thompson foresaw that the broadcast revealed the way politicians could use the power of mass communications to create theatrical illusions, to manipulate the public.

"All unwittingly, Mr. Orson Welles and the Mercury Theater of the Air have made one of the most fascinating and important demonstrations of all time," she wrote. "They have proved that a few effective voices, accompanied by sound effects, can convince masses of people of a totally unreasonable, completely fantastic proposition as to create a nation-wide panic.

 

17 posted on 04/06/2007 9:19:34 PM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Mosquitoes remind us that we are not as high up on the food chain as we think...)
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To: NormsRevenge

If BS was a viable energy source we could process Liberal Politicians faster and cheaper than growing and processing Corn for Ethanol.


18 posted on 04/06/2007 9:21:07 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists...call 'em what you will...They ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Mr_Moonlight

Well...they are pretty good at rape, pedophilia and kickbacks. That oil for food thing WAS expertly done.


19 posted on 04/06/2007 9:24:28 PM PDT by rlmorel (Liberals: If the Truth would help them, they would use it.)
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To: NormsRevenge

20 posted on 04/06/2007 9:25:21 PM PDT by rlmorel (Liberals: If the Truth would help them, they would use it.)
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To: Mr_Moonlight

I don’t know when they became experts, but I do know what a “warning” means from them. Keep doing what you’re doing, ‘cause ain’t sh*t gunna happen.


21 posted on 04/06/2007 9:28:23 PM PDT by MacDorcha (In Theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is.)
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To: Mr_Moonlight
Since when has the UN been expert on anything?

Did you forget about banning DDT? See how many poor people that saved? /s

22 posted on 04/06/2007 9:30:41 PM PDT by LaineyDee (Don't mess with Texas wimmen!)
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To: NormsRevenge

The game is up on Climate change. They have spent any credibility they had with an extreme overstatement of case. Even if what they say is true (which I don’t believe) they are still insisting on itemizing a list of potential negative consequences of climate change without acknowledging the real probability of some long term positives. The are no different than the religious apocalyptics. Anytime a prediction doesn’t pan out they change their analysis to explain why the negative result is actually even more proof of why they are right. It is pitiful.


23 posted on 04/06/2007 9:33:24 PM PDT by Maelstorm (A wise man develops a philosophy that drives his politics not the other way around.)
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To: NormsRevenge
As the world gets hotter by degrees,

Not tonight in the middle of Missouri.

Predictions are that the all-time recorded low for April 7 of
25 degrees...will be solidly busted by a low of 19 degrees in
the early morning hours.

And this cold snap will be at least a week long.
24 posted on 04/06/2007 9:35:11 PM PDT by VOA
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To: HawaiianGecko

If all the polar bears die, that just means more baby seals for us to club.


25 posted on 04/06/2007 9:37:03 PM PDT by Valin (History takes time. It is not an instant thing.)
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To: NormsRevenge; OKSooner; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; gruffwolf; BlessedBeGod; ...

Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown

FReepmail me to get on or off


New!!: Dr. John Ray’s
GREENIE WATCH

Please ping me if you find one I’ve missed.
OKSooner and I are doing the POGW
ping list while xcamel is on vacation.



26 posted on 04/06/2007 9:41:54 PM PDT by honolulugal (pingadingaling)
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To: HawaiianGecko

Someday the will say of Al Gore,
the former divinity school dropout who’s become
the Elmer Gantry of the Global Warming faith:
“He Preyed upon our fears.”
The politicians are selling fear, and they of all people know that fear is the best way to get people to do what you want.


27 posted on 04/06/2007 9:42:54 PM PDT by WOSG (The 4-fold path to save America - Think right, act right, speak right, vote right!)
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To: NormsRevenge
with the risk that nearly a third of the Earth's species will vanish if global temperatures rise just 3.6 degrees above the average temperature in the 1980s-90s, the new climate report says.

It won't make this species vanish. If the max temp in my backyard goes from 115 to 118.6, I don't think I'm going to notice much difference. It's freakin' hot anyway!

28 posted on 04/06/2007 9:45:19 PM PDT by FlyVet
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To: NormsRevenge

2 inches of April Globalgore Warmink on the Maryland tulips and daffodils tonight.


29 posted on 04/06/2007 9:53:42 PM PDT by bikerMD (Beware, the light at the end of the tunnel may be a muzzle flash.)
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To: everyone

I’m not afraid of global warming.

I am afraid of the bread box of the world (us) getting crippled due to fears of global warming.

We can hardly be a global superpower if we’re all focussed on reducing our emissions and carbon “footprints.”


30 posted on 04/06/2007 9:54:43 PM PDT by Marie2 (I used to be disgusted. . .now I try to be amused.)
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To: bikerMD

We could sure use it here for the Sierra Nevada snowpack.. a lot of it


31 posted on 04/06/2007 9:55:37 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... BumP'n'Run 'Right-Wing Extremist' since 2001)
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To: NormsRevenge

Oh well...


32 posted on 04/06/2007 9:56:26 PM PDT by Dallas59 (AL GORE STALKED ME ON 2/25/2007!)
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To: NormsRevenge
...unless drastic action is taken...

when they get this power for 'drastic action' they'll keep stringing everyone along by saying, "yes the world is still here because we took action, but unless we take even more drastic action we're doomed'

33 posted on 04/06/2007 9:57:09 PM PDT by Swordfished
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To: Swordfished

For two years in a row now, the weather in Albuquerque has been so cold that our usual winter golfing has been sporadic. GW will help improve our year-round enjoyment of leisure activities. Otherwise, all this rain and snow is just going to ruin our desert climate.


34 posted on 04/06/2007 10:00:19 PM PDT by Thickman (Term limits are the answer.)
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To: NormsRevenge

I assume “drastic action” is defined as filling the coffers of the left with our hard earned tax dollars and giving them even more sway at the ballot box.


35 posted on 04/06/2007 10:02:49 PM PDT by TheLion (How about "Comprehensive Immigration Enforcement," for a change)
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To: NormsRevenge
Debate, diplomats, bureaucrats.

Three words that shouldn't be in a scientific report.

36 posted on 04/06/2007 10:06:39 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: NormsRevenge

“The longest suicide note in history”
—Dr. Benny Peiser


37 posted on 04/06/2007 10:07:00 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Democrat Happens!)
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To: NormsRevenge

I have trouble sympathizing as temperatures right now are about 19 degrees BELOW normal and snow flurries fly.


38 posted on 04/06/2007 10:08:08 PM PDT by RockinRight (Support FREDeralism. Fred Thompson in 2008!)
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To: NormsRevenge
IMHO, global warming and government schools have a lot in common: No matter how much we spend or what we do, it will never, ever be enough to solve the problem.

I can remember in the 1980s when all the “experts” said we’d be dead by 2005 due to overpopulation.

39 posted on 04/06/2007 10:09:54 PM PDT by upchuck (A living, breathing example of the Peter Principle. Oh, forgetful, too :)
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To: RockinRight

LOL....we’re having ice and snow in North Texas right now....


40 posted on 04/06/2007 10:10:05 PM PDT by Jrabbit ('scuse me??)
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To: Jrabbit

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1551707/posts


41 posted on 04/06/2007 10:18:33 PM PDT by TheConservator (Confutatis maledictis flammis acribus addictis. . . .)
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To: NormsRevenge; algore
Even if Gore and his fellow idiots in the scamscientific community were absolutely correct in their hysterical rantings, their worst nightmare scenario would still be Edenly, compared to the alternatives they propose.

The fittest will survive whatever comes, while the wimpy @$$ed alarmists such as Albert, perish. And “frankly my dear.....I don’t give a damn”.

42 posted on 04/06/2007 10:19:34 PM PDT by F.J. Mitchell (Peloosi lips sink ships,but her Acid tongue dissolves entire fleets.)
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To: WOSG
Elmer Gantry:   Just when you think Gore is rightly and fully discredited, he emerges as a new thought evangelist with even more status then before.  Good comparison, wish I had thought of it.

 

43 posted on 04/06/2007 10:24:56 PM PDT by HawaiianGecko (Mosquitoes remind us that we are not as high up on the food chain as we think...)
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To: Mr_Moonlight
Since when has the UN been expert on anything?

Corruption seems to be their area of expertise

44 posted on 04/06/2007 10:37:23 PM PDT by Inquisitive1
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To: NormsRevenge

Be in the 30’s in North Louisiana tonite,,,BS sez me.


45 posted on 04/06/2007 10:39:56 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: WOSG

Exactly right. Check my tagline. More pertinent now than when H.L. mouthed it ...


46 posted on 04/06/2007 10:45:40 PM PDT by JennysCool ("The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule." -Mencken)
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To: NormsRevenge

Let’s see. Here in flyover country we had 3-4 inches of rain last weekend. Now we’re having snow flurries in April - our normal temps in April are in the mid-70s during the days and mid-50s at night. Perhaps I’m missing the big picture.


47 posted on 04/06/2007 11:58:02 PM PDT by Free Thinking Conservative
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To: All

The local nightly news ran with this story, as well as PBS.

It’s clear to see the start of income redistribution to the poor countries near the equator...

Guess where the money will come from??


48 posted on 04/07/2007 1:07:51 AM PDT by az_gila (AZ - need less democrats)
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To: NormsRevenge

Gore’s fault


49 posted on 04/07/2007 1:33:43 AM PDT by kanawa (Don't go where you're looking, look where you're going.)
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To: FlyVet

I knew I’d see that Zonie flag if I clicked on your name! I miss Arizona sometimes!


50 posted on 04/07/2007 2:56:51 AM PDT by TenthAmendmentChampion (Pray for our President and for our heroes in Iraq and Afghanistan, and around the world!)
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