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Sunspots reaching 1,000-year high
BBC News ^ | Tuesday, 6 July, 2004 | Dr David Whitehouse

Posted on 04/10/2007 7:30:56 AM PDT by George W. Bush

Sunspots reaching 1,000-year high

By Dr David Whitehouse
BBC News Online science editor

The Sun, Stanford University
Sunspots are plentiful nowadays

A new analysis shows that the Sun is more active now than it has been at anytime in the previous 1,000 years.

Scientists based at the Institute for Astronomy in Zurich used ice cores from Greenland to construct a picture of our star's activity in the past.

They say that over the last century the number of sunspots rose at the same time that the Earth's climate became steadily warmer.

This trend is being amplified by gases from fossil fuel burning, they argue.

'Little Ice Age'

Sunspots have been monitored on the Sun since 1610, shortly after the invention of the telescope. They provide the longest-running direct measurement of our star's activity.

The variation in sunspot numbers has revealed the Sun's 11-year cycle of activity as well as other, longer-term changes.

In particular, it has been noted that between about 1645 and 1715, few sunspots were seen on the Sun's surface.

This period is called the Maunder Minimum after the English astronomer who studied it.

Ice core disc, Epica
Ice cores record climate trends back beyond human measurements

It coincided with a spell of prolonged cold weather often referred to as the "Little Ice Age". Solar scientists strongly suspect there is a link between the two events - but the exact mechanism remains elusive.

Over the past few thousand years there is evidence of earlier Maunder-like coolings in the Earth's climate - indicated by tree-ring measurements that show slow growth due to prolonged cold.

In an attempt to determine what happened to sunspots during these other cold periods, Dr Sami Solanki and colleagues have looked at concentrations of a form, or isotope, of beryllium in ice cores from Greenland.

The isotope is created by cosmic rays - high-energy particles from the depths of the galaxy.

The flux of cosmic rays reaching the Earth's surface is modulated by the strength of the solar wind, the charged particles that stream away from the Sun's surface.

And since the strength of the solar wind varies over the sunspot cycle, the amount of beryllium in the ice at a time in the past can therefore be used to infer the state of the Sun and, roughly, the number of sunspots.

Latest warming

Dr Solanki is presenting a paper on the reconstruction of past solar activity at Cool Stars, Stellar Systems And The Sun, a conference in Hamburg, Germany.

He says that the reconstruction shows the Maunder Minimum and the other minima that are known in the past thousand years.

But the most striking feature, he says, is that looking at the past 1,150 years the Sun has never been as active as it has been during the past 60 years.

Over the past few hundred years, there has been a steady increase in the numbers of sunspots, a trend that has accelerated in the past century, just at the time when the Earth has been getting warmer.

The data suggests that changing solar activity is influencing in some way the global climate causing the world to get warmer.

Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant, yet the average temperature of the Earth has continued to increase.

This is put down to a human-produced greenhouse effect caused by the combustion of fossil fuels.

This latest analysis shows that the Sun has had a considerable indirect influence on the global climate in the past, causing the Earth to warm or chill, and that mankind is amplifying the Sun's latest attempt to warm the Earth.



TOPICS: Extended News; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: algore; bees; bushesfault; climate; climatecycles; climatology; globalhotting; globalwarming; godsgravesglyphs; honey; honeybees; sun; sunspots; weathercycles
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Some obligatory envirofascist quotes:
The right to have children should be a marketable commodity, bought and traded by individuals but absolutely limited by the state.
--Kenneth Boulding, originator of the "Spaceship Earth" concept (as quoted by William Tucker in Progress and Privilege, 1982)

We have wished, we ecofreaks, for a disaster or for a social change to come and bomb us into Stone Age, where we might live like Indians in our valley, with our localism, our appropriate technology, our gardens, our homemade religion--guilt-free at last!
--Stewart Brand (writing in the Whole Earth Catalogue).

Free Enterprise really means rich people get richer. They have the freedom to exploit and psychologically rape their fellow human beings in the process.... Capitalism is destroying the earth.
--Helen Caldicott, Union of Concerned Scientists

We must make this an insecure and inhospitable place for capitalists and their projects.... We must reclaim the roads and plowed land, halt dam construction, tear down existing dams, free shackled rivers and return to wilderness millions of tens of millions of acres of presently settled land.
--David Foreman, Earth First!

Everything we have developed over the last 100 years should be destroyed.
--Pentti Linkola

If you ask me, it'd be a little short of disastrous for us to discover a source of clean, cheap, abundant energy because of what we would do with it. We ought to be looking for energy sources that are adequate for our needs, but that won't give us the excesses of concentrated energy with which we could do mischief to the earth or to each other.
--Amory Lovins in The Mother Earth-Plowboy Interview, Nov/Dec 1977, p.22

The only real good technology is no technology at all. Technology is taxation without representation, imposed by our elitist species (man) upon the rest of the natural world.
--John Shuttleworth

What we've got to do in energy conservation is try to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, to have approached global warming as if it is real means energy conservation, so we will be doing the right thing anyway in terms of economic policy and environmental policy.
--Timothy Wirth, former U.S. Senator (D-Colorado)

I suspect that eradicating smallpox was wrong. It played an important part in balancing ecosystems.
--John Davis, editor of Earth First! Journal

Human beings, as a species, have no more value than slugs.
--John Davis, editor of Earth First! Journal

The extinction of the human species may not only be inevitable but a good thing....This is not to say that the rise of human civilization is insignificant, but there is no way of showing that it will be much help to the world in the long run.
--Economist editorial

We advocate biodiversity for biodiversity's sake. It may take our extinction to set things straight.
--David Foreman, Earth First!

Phasing out the human race will solve every problem on earth, social and environmental.
--Dave Forman, Founder of Earth First!

If radical environmentalists were to invent a disease to bring human populations back to sanity, it would probably be something like AIDS
--Earth First! Newsletter

Every time you turn on an electric light, you are making another brainless baby.
--Helen Caldicott, Union of Concerned Scientists

To feed a starving child is to exacerbate the world population problem.
--Lamont Cole

The only hope for the world is to make sure there is not another United States: We can't let other countries have the same number of cars, the amount of industrialization, we have in the U.S. We have to stop these Third World countries right where they are. And it is important to the rest of the world to make sure that they don't suffer economically by virtue of our stopping them.
--Michael Oppenheimer, Environmental Defense Fund

The continued rapid cooling of the earth since WWII is in accord with the increase in global air pollution associated with industrialization, mechanization, urbanization and exploding population.
--Reid Bryson, "Global Ecology; Readings towards a rational strategy for Man", (1971)

The battle to feed humanity is over. In the 1970s, the world will undergo famines. Hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. Population control is the only answer.
--Paul Ehrlich, in The Population Bomb (1968)

I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000.
--Paul Ehrlich in (1969)

In ten years all important animal life in the sea will be extinct. Large areas of coastline will have to be evacuated because of the stench of dead fish.
--Paul Ehrlich, Earth Day (1970)

Before 1985, mankind will enter a genuine age of scarcity...in which the accessible supplies of many key minerals will be facing depletion.
--Paul Ehrlich in (1976)

This [cooling] trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century.
--Peter Gwynne, Newsweek 1976

There are ominous signs that the earth's weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production--with serious political implications for just about every nation on earth. The drop in food production could begin quite soon... The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologist are hard-pressed to keep up with it.
--Newsweek, April 28, (1975)

This cooling has already killed hundreds of thousands of people. If it continues and no strong action is taken, it will cause world famine, world chaos and world war, and this could all come about before the year 2000.
--Lowell Ponte in "The Cooling", 1976

If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder by the year 2000. ... This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age.
--Kenneth E.F. Watt on air pollution and global cooling, Earth Day (1970)

1 posted on 04/10/2007 7:30:56 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: George W. Bush
Gee, sunspots at a 1,000 year high.

But it's SUVs that cause global warming. Just ignore the warming on other planets - it's all a plot by Exxon-paid scientists.

2 posted on 04/10/2007 7:32:56 AM PDT by dirtboy (Duncan Hunter 08/But Fred would also be great)
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To: George W. Bush

Please.. allow me to be the first...

ahem....

IT’S BUSH FAULT


3 posted on 04/10/2007 7:33:05 AM PDT by Mr. K (Some days even my lucky rocketship underpants don't help)
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To: George W. Bush
They say that over the last century the number of sunspots rose at the same time that the Earth's climate became steadily warmer.

This trend is being amplified by gases from fossil fuel burning, they argue.

Well, they only say that because they are fools.

4 posted on 04/10/2007 7:33:27 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell was right.)
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To: George W. Bush

OK everybody. Get rid of those SUV’s and buy a hybrid to get rid of those sunspots!


5 posted on 04/10/2007 7:34:11 AM PDT by ohioWfan (PRAY for our President and our troops. NOW more than ever!!.)
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To: George W. Bush
This trend is being amplified by gases from fossil fuel burning, they argue.

Argue? More like emphatically state with assurance. But how can they be so absolutely sure when, just a few years ago the argument was for global cooling?...........

6 posted on 04/10/2007 7:34:15 AM PDT by Red Badger (If it's consensus, it's not science. If it's science, there's no need for consensus......)
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To: dirtboy
There was a History Channel show on last night about the Mayan Civilization and there was a commentator discussing the downfall of the culture and his first theory was sunspot activity affecting the climate negatively by causing Global Warming. I kid you not, it came out of his mouth.
7 posted on 04/10/2007 7:35:26 AM PDT by Thebaddog (Labrador Retrievers forever)
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To: George W. Bush
Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant, yet the average temperature of the Earth has continued to increase. This is put down to a human-produced greenhouse effect caused by the combustion of fossil fuels.

What a hoot. If you increase the temp on an electric burner under a pot of water, the temp of the water does not instananeously increase and then stabilize. It takes awhile for the water to reach a new equilibrium.

It's telling that the scientific mainsteam has to discard simple notions of thermodynamics to cling to their human-caused global warming religion.

8 posted on 04/10/2007 7:35:48 AM PDT by dirtboy (Duncan Hunter 08/But Fred would also be great)
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To: Mr. K
IT’S BUSH FAULT

Dagnabbit, it is not my fault!
9 posted on 04/10/2007 7:36:04 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: dirtboy
SUVs reaching 1,000-year high. Correlation with global warming.
10 posted on 04/10/2007 7:36:06 AM PDT by Andy from Beaverton (I'm so anti-pc, I use a Mac)
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To: dirtboy
equilibrium

No fair using those high-falutin' scientific term. The Gorebots will be left milling in confusion at any actual science.

You should focus on talking about feelings. Angry, angry feelings, self-righteousness, doom and gloom.
11 posted on 04/10/2007 7:38:41 AM PDT by George W. Bush
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To: dirtboy
Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant, yet the average temperature of the Earth has continued to increase. This is put down to a human-produced greenhouse effect caused by the combustion of fossil fuels.

How about lag time between the sunspots and impacts on global temperature. After all, it takes a while to bring the temperature of a pot of water up after applying heat and the oceans are the biggest heat source/heat sink on the planet.

12 posted on 04/10/2007 7:39:12 AM PDT by CedarDave
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To: George W. Bush

This is insane.
If you look at a graphic of the sun with the earth next to it
for comparison.....
This planet is smaller than a gnats ass !!!

But it’s our fault.....


13 posted on 04/10/2007 7:39:50 AM PDT by Jeffrey_D. (Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy. Benjamin Franklin)
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To: George W. Bush
Any ‘scientist’ who says with high confidence that man-made emissions are responsible for Global Warming is a liar.
14 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:20 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Red Badger

Short-Term Ocean Cooling Suggests Global Warming ‘Speed Bump’

http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2006/sep/HQ_06318_Ocean_Cooling.html

“This cooling is probably natural climate variability.”

Funny how this is classified as natural variability...


15 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:27 AM PDT by listenhillary
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To: dirtboy
But it's SUVs that cause global warming.

What do you think causes sun spots? ;-)

16 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:33 AM PDT by HoustonTech
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To: George W. Bush
Every time you turn on an electric light, you are making another ... baby

Here's the funny part. When massive power outages occur, more babies are born nine months later than would be otherwise. This is a documented phenomenon the world over. No power = more babies (ie nothing better to do with the darkness).

So really, she's 180 deg out of phase. It's the turning OFF of the lights that makes babies.

17 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:47 AM PDT by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: George W. Bush

“and that mankind is amplifying the sun’s latest attempt at warming the earth.”

they will never, never, never give up the attempt to wrest absolute power. (what a bunch of flaming, %^&%$#, scu&bag, psychotic, revolution-fomenting swine.)


18 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:47 AM PDT by ripley
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To: Andy from Beaverton

.....SUVs reaching 1,000-year high. Correlation with global warming......

Let’s sharpen that up a little.....

The correlation is between SUVs, Global Warming and Sunspots. The logical conclusion has to be that SUV’s are causing global Warming that is now shown to be affecting the Sun and inducing sunspots.


19 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:50 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. Don't eat Spinich. The spinich growers are against the war and funding our troops)
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To: George W. Bush

interesting


20 posted on 04/10/2007 7:40:52 AM PDT by TSchmereL ("Rust but terrify.")
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To: George W. Bush

Global Warming! Bush’s Fault! Damn Republicans!


21 posted on 04/10/2007 7:41:04 AM PDT by FreeAtlanta (Search for Folding Project - Join FR Team 36120)
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To: dirtboy

Great minds...

Posted my #12 before seeing your #8.


22 posted on 04/10/2007 7:41:12 AM PDT by CedarDave
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To: Red Badger

(Fingers in ears, rocking back and forth), “La, la la, lala - I can’t HEAR you! La, la la...”


23 posted on 04/10/2007 7:41:14 AM PDT by jagusafr (The proof that we are rightly related to God is that we do our best whether we feel inspired or not")
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To: CedarDave
How about lag time between the sunspots and impacts on global temperature. After all, it takes a while to bring the temperature of a pot of water up after applying heat and the oceans are the biggest heat source/heat sink on the planet.

Yep, when I turn on the burner it takes quite a while before the water boils.

24 posted on 04/10/2007 7:41:48 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Thebaddog
... a History Channel show on last night about the Mayan Civilization and ... I kid you not, it came out of his mouth.

I believe you. By saying that, the production of that History channel show was probably paid for by a government grant, and then some.

25 posted on 04/10/2007 7:41:53 AM PDT by C210N (Bush SPIED, Terrorists DIED!)
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To: George W. Bush

26 posted on 04/10/2007 7:41:58 AM PDT by beeber (stuned)
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To: George W. Bush

That’s a great collection of quotes!


27 posted on 04/10/2007 7:42:07 AM PDT by SIDENET (Now selling carbon offsets. Get some today!)
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To: George W. Bush

When the next mini-ice age hits, we will wish for these warm days. Food production will drop considerably.


28 posted on 04/10/2007 7:42:33 AM PDT by TheDon (The DemocRAT party is the party of TREASON! Overthrow the terrorist's congress!)
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To: George W. Bush
Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant, yet the average temperature of the Earth has continued to increase....mankind is amplifying the Sun's latest attempt to warm the Earth.

The good scientist might do well to go back and study the definition of "amplify". An amplifier multiplies. The scientist is talking about mankind "biasing", or adding to the sun's warming effect.

29 posted on 04/10/2007 7:43:25 AM PDT by randog (What the...?!)
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To: George W. Bush

It is our fault


30 posted on 04/10/2007 7:43:53 AM PDT by A. Pole (Gore:We are the most powerful force of nature.We are changing the relationship between Earth and Sun)
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To: George W. Bush

I think I get it now. If global warming doesnt kill you then you will freeze to death in the global warming ice age because you wont be able to afford the Bush/Cheney/Halliburton oil prices.


31 posted on 04/10/2007 7:43:58 AM PDT by DogBarkTree (The correct word isnt "immigrant" when what they are doing is "invading".)
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To: listenhillary
Funny how this is classified as natural variability...

Yeah, ocean cooling is natural variability but warming is human caused. They have to maintain the correct global warming posture at all times.

32 posted on 04/10/2007 7:44:17 AM PDT by CedarDave
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To: George W. Bush

33 posted on 04/10/2007 7:44:37 AM PDT by Polybius
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To: George W. Bush
Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant,

You can't make a judgment on data from just two cycles. And the sunspot number is never constant...

34 posted on 04/10/2007 7:45:28 AM PDT by steveo (Is there anything else I can help you with today?)
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To: TheDon
When the next mini-ice age hits, we will wish for these warm days. Food production will drop considerably.

That's true. Fortunately, we will have a plan to deal with that particular environmental catastrophe. Here it is: Drive fewer cars, use less oil, and descrease industrialization in the developed world. That will be the prescription. It always is.

35 posted on 04/10/2007 7:46:08 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell was right.)
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To: George W. Bush

You understand, of course, that in the process of depopulationg the world of its human inhabitants, the great thinkers who were promoting this great cleansing would, themselves, be exempt from the general die-back of humanity.

In that, their thinking is as magical as that of the Islamofascists, who seem to entertain the same objective (but under the worldwide Islamic Caliphate, of course).

Humanity can and will continue to develop more and more energy sources, eventually tapping directly into the Sun itself, possibly with the aid of photovoltaic panels in geosynchronous orbits, beaming the power down to earth on a tight beam to an earth receiving station, from whence it shall be distributed to the deserving. There will always be those who are favored, and those who are just not able to participate in the bounty that befalls the entire world. Not because of a game of keep-away, but because of an attitude of won’t-keep-up.


36 posted on 04/10/2007 7:46:28 AM PDT by alloysteel (For those who cannot turn back time, there is always the option of re-writing history.)
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To: George W. Bush; y'all
I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000. --Paul Ehrlich in (1969)

Ehrlich was absolutely right, - from a political standpoint. English freedom no longer exists in that totalitarian State.

37 posted on 04/10/2007 7:46:42 AM PDT by tpaine (" My most important function on the Supreme Court is to tell the majority to take a walk." -Scalia)
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To: bert
SUVs creating sunspots!
38 posted on 04/10/2007 7:46:45 AM PDT by Andy from Beaverton (I'm so anti-pc, I use a Mac)
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To: cinives

You might be on to something in the converse. The recent temperature increase started around the time of Roe vs Wade. Liberaldom needs to be convinced with flashy charts to amend their warming ways.


39 posted on 04/10/2007 7:47:14 AM PDT by DancesWithBolsheviks (Demands, marches and media sob stories diminish my compassion.)
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To: George W. Bush
Absolutely, positively and irrefutably... NOT related to global-warming!
40 posted on 04/10/2007 7:47:20 AM PDT by johnny7 ("Issue in Doubt." -Col. David Monroe Shoup, USMC 1943)
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To: George W. Bush
Still going with the "Sun is causing Global Warming" theory.

:)

41 posted on 04/10/2007 7:47:37 AM PDT by Bosco (Remember how you felt on September 11?)
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To: George W. Bush
It coincided with a spell of prolonged cold weather often referred to as the "Little Ice Age". Solar scientists strongly suspect there is a link between the two events - but the exact mechanism remains elusive.

An in-depth study of the "DEFROST" cycle in the refrigerizer might provide a clue.

42 posted on 04/10/2007 7:47:46 AM PDT by azhenfud (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
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To: George W. Bush

I would give Stewart Brand a break. I think he has come to his senses with age.

Sorry I would have to search to find the article that led me to this conclusion and I don’t have time to do it at the moment.

Doesn’t mean he wasn’t a flaming liberal when he did the whole earth catalog. I still have my copy...


43 posted on 04/10/2007 7:47:48 AM PDT by listenhillary
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To: George W. Bush
Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant, yet the average temperature of the Earth has continued to increase.

When you put a pot of cold water on a gas stove at a constant flame, the temperature of the water will continue to increase over a period of time.

44 posted on 04/10/2007 7:48:13 AM PDT by Polybius
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To: George W. Bush

Wow. I read every quote you posted. Paul Erlich has got to stand out as one of THE most deluded minds - ever. I remember reading him way back when and wondering if he might be right. Yikes! I’m thrilled to have lived long enough to see his idiotic thinking exposed:)


45 posted on 04/10/2007 7:48:22 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: TheDon

“When the next mini-ice age hits,”

I don’t know about where you live, but it’s frickin cold here...


46 posted on 04/10/2007 7:48:26 AM PDT by Jeffrey_D. (Beer is living proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy. Benjamin Franklin)
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To: George W. Bush
This latest analysis shows that the Sun has had a considerable indirect influence on the global climate in the past, causing the Earth to warm or chill

INDIRECT!!!????

47 posted on 04/10/2007 7:49:30 AM PDT by jtal
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To: George W. Bush
They mystery of the global warming has been solved !
48 posted on 04/10/2007 7:49:30 AM PDT by ▀udda▀udd (7 days - 7 ways Guero >>> with a floating, shifting, ever changing persona....)
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To: George W. Bush; dirtboy

May I point out something.

Few if anyone says that global warming is not happening.

Some argue that the warming is not man made.

Some argue that global warming is good.

No one says it is not happening.


49 posted on 04/10/2007 7:50:06 AM PDT by staytrue
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To: George W. Bush

I’ve seen research indicating that revolution and war correlates highly with peaks in the 11 year cycle of sunspot activity. There is even a book written by Marxist radicals (I forget the name), suggesting that uprisings be timed for the peak. It is interesting to run backwards in 11 year increments, and look at the years, starting with 2001, the most recent peak. The author worked it all the way back to 1066, which was the year of the Norman Invasion. Is this correlation due to weather-related disruptions such as famine, or could there be some sort psychological effect?


50 posted on 04/10/2007 7:50:30 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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