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Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Race42008 ^ | 4/16/07

Posted on 04/19/2007 6:00:16 AM PDT by areafiftyone

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National WaPo/ABC Primary Poll

The bottom line (parentheses are from the last poll in February):

Giuliani - 33% (44)
McCain - 21% (21)
Romney - 9% (4)
F Thompson - 9% (-)
Gingrich - 6% (15)
T Thompson - 2% (2)
Everyone else - 1%
Undecided - 6%

If Gingrich does not run:

Giuliani - 35% (53)
McCain - 22% (23)
Romney - 10% (5)
F Thompson - 10% (-)
Gilmore - 2% (1)
T Thompson - 2% (2)
Everyone else - 1%

The poll was of 1141 adults, not likely or even registered voters, so take it for what it’s worth.

YOU CAN SEE THE WHOLE POLL ON THE WASHINGTON POST WEBSITE HERE Washington Post/ABC News Poll


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fred; fredthompson; runfredrun; thompson
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1 posted on 04/19/2007 6:00:17 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone

Fred Thompson and Romney are sucking the wind out of the Rudy express.


2 posted on 04/19/2007 6:04:58 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Blackirish; Jameison; Sabramerican; BunnySlippers; tkathy; veronica; Roccus; Jake The Goose; ...

((((RUDY PING)))))


3 posted on 04/19/2007 6:05:09 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: Always Right

Actually the more people running the smaller the poll numbers get for each candidate.


4 posted on 04/19/2007 6:06:26 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone

McCain holding on. Romney gaining slow momentum. Gingrich’s momentum is over. Thompson gaining good momentum. Rudy dropping.


5 posted on 04/19/2007 6:07:04 AM PDT by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President in 2008!)
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To: areafiftyone

Pretty much right in line with all other polls and surveys done in the past month.

Rudy is still solid rock. Thompson has slipped a bit.

Notice how Rudy gained two points when Newt dropped out, while the rest only gained 1.

Even if Thompson announces he’s in, I don’t think these numbers will change much. Rudy has made it well known where he stands, and in spite of all the rhetoric, he is accepted from coast to coast by a broad range of voters.

Clearly, he is not the evil politician many here would have us believe. His likability and steady popularity speaks for itself


6 posted on 04/19/2007 6:09:47 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
Rudy is still solid rock. Thompson has slipped a bit.

How do you get that?

7 posted on 04/19/2007 6:13:02 AM PDT by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President in 2008!)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

“Rudy is still solid rock. Thompson has slipped a bit.”

Huh? Rudy lost 1/4 of his support since the last poll.


8 posted on 04/19/2007 6:15:19 AM PDT by Hoodlum91 (I support global warming.)
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To: Always Right

So, maintaining a 30%+ share of the votes in a field of @15 candidates equals to having your wind sucked out?

LMAO!!!!


9 posted on 04/19/2007 6:15:46 AM PDT by Luis Gonzalez (Some people see the world as they would want it to be, effective people see the world as it is.)
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To: Luis Gonzalez

No, dropping to 33% from 44% does.

LMAO!


10 posted on 04/19/2007 6:17:29 AM PDT by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President in 2008!)
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To: alicewonders

So...what happens to Thompson if he drops 10 percentage points?

Would maintain the lead?

Oh wait...

LMAO!!!!


11 posted on 04/19/2007 6:19:06 AM PDT by Luis Gonzalez (Some people see the world as they would want it to be, effective people see the world as it is.)
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To: Luis Gonzalez
So, maintaining a 30%+ share of the votes in a field of @15 candidates equals to having your wind sucked out?

Rudy dropped 12 points in the first poll and 18 points when Gingrinch is not included. That is a major drop anyway you cut it. If you wish to poo-poo it, go right ahead. But there is good reason why Rudybots are ramping up their attacks on Fred.

12 posted on 04/19/2007 6:19:22 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Always Right

11 points...


13 posted on 04/19/2007 6:19:52 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Luis Gonzalez

I really doubt that Fred will drop 10 points. He hasn’t even officially announced and he’s already sucking points from Guiliani. I expect his points to rise if he does announce. I think, unless something dramatic happens - or if Fred doesn’t enter the race - Rudy’s momentum has stopped climbing.


14 posted on 04/19/2007 6:21:55 AM PDT by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President in 2008!)
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To: areafiftyone
Actually the more people running the smaller the poll numbers get for each candidate.

So if everybody ran, Rudy would go to zero? Fred and Romney have taken away support for Rudy no matter how you spin it.

15 posted on 04/19/2007 6:23:04 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: Luis Gonzalez
So...what happens to Thompson if he drops 10 percentage points?

Fred's support is going nowhere but up. You need to start worrying about when Fred adds another 10+ points when he announces next month.

16 posted on 04/19/2007 6:24:19 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: alicewonders

Thompson went from 12 to 13% from the last week, to 9%.

Rudy, with a 10 point lead, could be considered strong. Solid, because that lead has remained at an average of 10 points since the beginning, now matter how many candidates enter or leave the race.


17 posted on 04/19/2007 6:25:46 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP
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To: areafiftyone
If Rudy doesn’t win the primary, are you still going to vote for the Republican candidate?
18 posted on 04/19/2007 6:26:07 AM PDT by stevio ((NRA))
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To: Always Right

Also, I expect as the race goes on & the smaller candidates drop out - a lot of those supporters will move to Romney or Thompson, since those people seem to have the upward momentum going for them. Anyone that would/could support Rudy, probably already does & anyone that finds him unsuitable for nomination has already expressed support for one of the other candidates - or “other”.


19 posted on 04/19/2007 6:26:30 AM PDT by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President in 2008!)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

The poll I’m looking at - at the top of this thread - shows Rudy’s numbers dropping. Significantly.

You’re spinning the figures as fast as you can, but be careful - you might get dizzy.


20 posted on 04/19/2007 6:30:40 AM PDT by alicewonders (I like Duncan Hunter for President in 2008!)
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