Skip to comments.Giuliani leads, Thompson 2nd in new GOP Poll
Posted on 06/06/2007 8:16:14 AM PDT by John Cena
Is Fred Thompson No. 2? Well, now we have the second poll released just today that says "yes."
After the jump, we reproduce a memo just sent out by McLaughlin & Associates (now-confirmed pollsters for the Thompson campaign though this poll was not done for the campaign). It breaks down as follows (change since the last time the poll was taken in April in parentheses):
Rudy Giuliani: 24% (-4) Fred Thompson: 18% (+5) John McCain: 17% (+1) Mitt Romney: 7% (-1)
UPDATE: A survey just released by Pew also shows Mr. Thompson second to Mr. Giuliani in how many voters say there's a "good chance" or "some chance" that they'd vote for either candidate Messrs. Giuliani and Thompson are actually tied on the "good chance" number. More below...
(Excerpt) Read more at latestpolitics.com ...
Hmmm. No one called me..
Wake me up about the 7th inning.
Looks like Mary Matalin coming on board gave a big boost to Fred’s sagging campaign....
(that’s sarcasm, by the way)
“Rudy Giuliani: 24% (-4) Fred Thompson: 18% (+5)”
That’s without even being in the race. Rudy is toast.
Who are these 17% that support McCain?
What a blatant mischaracterization of Thompson's statement and position!
"then January 19, 2004, Dean's campaign suffered a blow when a last-minute surge by rivals John Kerry and John Edwards led to an embarrassing third-place defeat for Dean in the 2004 Iowa Democratic caucuses",
All the pre election polls in the world can make claims , but nothing matters until the voters see the Candidates, and vote.
Fred’s pro-choice? I didn’t know that. If this is the case, I may have to rethink my primairy vote.
With Thompson apparently coming out as pro choice as per last nights interview this race is about to get more interesting.”
I don’t think so.
Fred Thompson on Abortion
Voted YES on maintaining ban on Military Base Abortions. (Jun 2000)
Voted YES on banning partial birth abortions. (Oct 1999)
Voted YES on banning human cloning. (Feb 1998)
Who wha ?
Yea, I just dont get it. It must be the choice of people NOT PAYING ATTENTION at all. Every position the guy takes is unpopular with the base, it seems.... I guess thats the power of noteriety..
Go, Fred, Go!!!!
He seems to be taking the same position that he took in the 90’s. It is unfortunate that Hannity cut him off and he couldn’t finish his thought. His position seems to be that he opposes Roe on federalist grounds but at the state level doesn’t think abortion should be criminalized. We will need clarification on that.
Rudy will back out, again, on a potential match with Hillary. McLame is too old. Romney is non-descript. The rest are unkown. This leaves a big opening for FRED.
With Thompson apparently coming out as pro choice as per last nights interview this race is about to get more interesting.
You keep making that statement on various threads and have been successfully rebutted each time. Don’t you even read posts to you, or are do you just want to keep repeating a lie?
I would suggest you investigate the matter yourself and make up your mind rather than take the statement of someone who MAY have an axe to grind or a candidate to promote's word for it.
Unless you are one of those that think the Constitution is only valid when it protects those things with which you personally agree, then by all means go right ahead and call him pro choice.
He reads them all right. There have been a slew recently planting inuendo and disinformation.
I see Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson as the top two going all the way to the Convention. When Fred gets into the debate cycle, he will have to think quick on his feet. There will be no script and he will need to show the electorate that he is as adept to the changing situation as Rudy has demonstrated so far.
The lightning bolts were the telling indicator.
and their “unknowns” too. GO Fred... Rudy’s trend numbers have been down and down (with the exception of a small bump after the Ron Paul thing) and Fred has been up and up even without playing the pre-primary waste your money game the other candidates have been engaged in.
McLaughlin & Associates conducted a national survey of 1,000 likely general election voters between May 28th and June 1st, 2007. Within this sample, 350 voters were Republicans. All interviews were conducted via telephone by professional interviewers. Respondents were randomly selected within predetermined election units structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a national election. The survey of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of + 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. For the subsample of 350 Republicans, the accuracy is +5.2% at a 95% confidence interval.
The opinion of likely PRIMARY voters (not general election voters) will give anything resembling a pseudo-prediction right now.....if at all. AND "national" surveys for a state-by-state election...just more polistat lies to make a nice headline and try to get some respectability in the polling world.
...and the PEW survey is even more atrocious:
Results for this survey are based on telephone interviews conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International among a nationwide sample of 1,503 adults, 18 years of age or older, from May 30-June 3, 2007
A nationwide survey of "adults" and who they would vote for is and will always be irrelevant pertaining to presidential elections.
Fred - time to cr_p, and get off the pot...
I saw him on another talk show and the host asked him a straight up question and his straight up answer was that he was “pro life.” His words, not mine or the hosts.
Fred is pro life, and he’s no idiot.
If somehow he has muddied the water, look for some clarity real soon. He will run as a pro life, anti-Roe conservative. And he will win.
LOL.....MM is desperate to be relevant. A good sign for Fred that she is chasing after him.
Fred will pull mostly from Rudy. What happens to McClame when he can't ever get above 20%? Where do his voters go? Too early to say. But it's silly to write off Rudy.
What interview did YOU watch. Thompson is NOT pro-choice.
Please FReepmail jellybean if you want on/off this list. WARNING: This ping list is EXTREMELY active.
I believe post #24 describes the matter accurately.
I hope Giuliani enjoys the last few days of (supposedly) being #1.
You are a LIAR.
I don’t know about this poll, but the recent USA Today poll had a margin of error of 6. If this is the case for this poll, we’re just about at a statistical tie.
Time will tell.
>> With Thompson apparently coming out as pro choice as per last nights interview <<
What the hell are you talking about???
Ah yes, the home phone poll...I have yet to see a MSM piece on how the pollsters are dealing with people like me and my two voting age sons who use cell phones and internet phones that are not listed.
Whatever it is you're smokin', it ain't a cigarette....
>> 4.Some consider Pro-Choice to mean being against Roe Vs Wade, and letting the issue be decided by the States. (Federalist) <<
That’s a definition of Pro-Choice I have never before heard in my life!
Fred had better keep the girl away from any real info... she just spies for the dims!
It was a BS statement!
>> 2.Some consider Pro-Life to mean being against Roe Vs Wade, and letting the issue be decided by the States. (Federalist) <<
And this definition, while not quite insane, is pretty strange. It’s only true inasmuch as some politicans have opposed Roe-v-Wade on the basis that it’s anti-Democratic, allowing themselves to align with pro-lifers by taking pro-life positions on federal legislation without getting labelled “anti-choice.” Kay Bailey Hutchinson comes to mind first. But even so, it’s merely a matter of some peope perceiving pro-choice moderates who happen to be federalists as pro-life.
The fact that you and your sons have cell phones and VOI, and thus wouldn't be polled, doesn't matter (sorry to burst your bubble). Statistically speaking, pollsters call a few hundred people, possibly at most a couple of thousand, and use these responses to statistically approximate (with MoE depending on sampling size) for the much larger population from which the respondants were sampled. In a country our size, the likelihood of any one person being randomly chosen for participation in a poll is miniscule anywise, so you are practically as likely not to be polled, even if you had a traditional landline - and this wouldn't affect the validity of the poll in the least. The math still works out the same, regardless of whether any one member of the population is sampled.
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