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Skip to comments.Threat Matrix: July 2007
Posted on 07/01/2007 2:42:24 PM PDT by nwctwx
United States Department of State
Bureau of Consular Affairs
Washington, DC 20520
This information is current as of today, Mon Jul 09 2007 23:44:56 GMT-0700.
December 05, 2006
Note: The following news brief is a quote:
Bangkok on alert after Muslim separatist warning
Published: 07.10.07, 07:44 / Israel News
Police have beefed up security in Bangkok after an army intelligence report suggested separatists in the rebellious Muslim south might take their insurgency to the Thai capital, a spokesman said on Tuesday.
Metropolitan police chief Lieutenant-General Adisorn Nonsee had ordered more checkpoints and patrols, especially in Muslim communities, to look for tip-offs or suspects, the spokesman said. (Reuters)
TRAVEL.STATE.GOV - Consular Information Sheet: “THAILAND”
Note: The following text is a quote:
July 08, 2007
Jibril’s PFLP-GC Has Hand in Gemayel’s Killing That was Carried Out by Fatah al-Islam
Beirut, 06 Jul 07, 16:19
The Fatah al-Islam terrorist group has carried out the assassination of Industry Minister Pierre Gemayel as reliable sources informed of the investigation told Naharnet that Ahmed Jibril’s Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command played a role in the crime.
The daily An Nahar said Saturday that Police have finalized the investigation into the murder of Gemayel, scion of Lebanon’s most prominent Christian family and a leading opponent of Syria, who was gunned down near Beirut Nov. 22, 2006.
Citing well-informed sources, the paper said interrogation with Fatah al-Islam detainees revealed that the “executor” of the Gemayel crime was the al-Qaida inspired terrorist group led by Shaker Abssi.
An Nahar’s report came a day after reliable sources told Naharnet that a vehicle used in the Gemayel assassination, a Honda VRC, was stolen from the mountain resort of Brummana in October 2006 and taken to an area in the northern sector of the eastern Bekaa valley where car bandits operate.
Shortly after that, a member of Jibril’s Syrian-backed PFLP-GC approached the gang and bartered the car for a quantity of weapons, the sources added.
The car was used in the assassination of Gemayel in suburban Jdaideh, almost a month after it was stolen from Brummana, the sources added.
The vehicle was later driven to Syria, which turned it back to Lebanon in Dec. 2006 in line with a warrant issued by the Interpol, they explained.
One source said lab tests showed that the car was used in the Gemayel murder and two of the gunmen who used it were killed later in clashes between Lebanese Forces and Fatah al-Islam terrorists in Tripoli’s Mitein street on May 20.
Bodies of the gunmen and samples taken from the car were under lab tests to determine identities of all the culprits who gunned down Gemayel, the source added.
He said all details related to the investigation in Gemayel’s killing and the Fatah al-Islam link have been relayed to the U.N. committee investigating the 2005 killing of ex-Premier Rafik Hariri and related crimes.
Posted on 08 July 2007 @ 13:19 GMT
Note: The following text is a quote:
United States Department of State
Bureau of Consular Affairs
Washington, DC 20520
This information is current as of today, Mon Jul 09 2007 23:56:58 GMT-0700.
June 14, 2007
This Travel Warning alerts American citizens to the ongoing fighting and political tensions in Lebanon and advises them of safety and security concerns. The Department of State continues strongly to urge that Americans defer travel to Lebanon, and that American citizens in Lebanon consider carefully the risks of remaining. This Travel Warning supersedes the Travel Warning issued on December 22, 2006.
This warning alerts U.S. citizens to the renewed threat of attacks against western and Lebanese government interests by the extremist group Fatah Al-Islam. Similar threats also were made by the militant groups Jund Al-Sham and Al-Qaeda. The Department of State remains concerned about the personal safety and security of American citizens as the fighting continues at the Nahr El-Barad refugee camp. Sporadic fighting also has occurred outside several other refugee camps. U.S. citizens who visit refugee camps in Lebanon risk becoming trapped during hostilities. On June 7, a bomb exploded in the town of Zouk Mousbeh, north of Beirut . This was the fifth small-scale bomb attack in greater Beirut in recent weeks and follows the June 7 discovery of explosives-laden vehicles in eastern Lebanon . Since May 20, explosions have occurred in the Beirut neighborhoods of Achrafieh and Verdun, the Beirut suburb of Sad Al-Bouchrieh, and the resort town of Aley . The possibility of related episodes of violence in popular districts of Beirut and other tourist areas in Lebanon remains high.
The Department continues strongly to urge that Americans defer travel to Lebanon , and that American citizens already in Lebanon consider carefully the risks of remaining. Americans who remain in Lebanon despite this Travel Warning are urged to maintain a high level of vigilance; take appropriate steps to increase their security awareness; confirm that passports and U.S. travel documents for themselves and for family members are up-to-date; and be alert to any deterioration of the security situation.
In a crisis situation, U.S. citizens are responsible for arranging commercial or private means of transportation to depart Lebanon . If evacuation is warranted, only when all other transportation options are unavailable will the U.S. government assist U.S. citizens in leaving a country. This service will be provided on a cost-recovery basis. The lack of valid travel documents will slow the U.S. embassys ability to provide assistance. Further information on the departments role during emergencies is provided at http://www.travel.state.gov/travel/tips/emergencies/emergencies_1212.html .
The Department of State considers the threat to U.S. government personnel in Beirut sufficiently serious to require them to live and work under strict security restrictions. These practices limit, and may occasionally prevent, access by U.S. Embassy officials to certain areas of the country. Unofficial travel to Lebanon by U.S. government employees and their family members requires prior approval by the department of state.
Landmines and unexploded ordnance pose significant dangers throughout southern Lebanon, particularly south of the Litani River, as well as in areas of Lebanon where civil war fighting was intense. More than a dozen civilians have been killed and over 100 injured by unexploded ordnance following the armed conflict in July-August 2006. Travelers should watch for posted landmine warnings and strictly avoid all areas where landmines and unexploded ordnance may be present.
The embassy is located in Awkar, near Antelias, Beirut, Lebanon . Public access hours for American citizens are Monday through Thursday, 8:00 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. however; American citizens who require emergency services outside of these hours may contact the embassy by telephone at any time. The telephone numbers are (961-4) 542-600, 543-600, and fax 544-209. American citizens may register with the embassy online by visiting https://travelregistration.state.gov/ibrs . Information on consular services and registration can also be found at http://beirut.usembassy.gov or by phone at the above telephone numbers between 2:00 p.m. and 4:00 p.m., Monday through Friday local time.
Updated information on travel and security in Lebanon may be obtained from the Department of State by calling 1-888-407-4747 within the United States or, from overseas, 1-202-501-4444. Additional details can be found in the Department of State’s Consular Information Sheet for Lebanon, the Worldwide Caution Public Announcement, the Middle East and North Africa public announcement and A Safe Trip Abroad, all of which are available on the Department’s Internet site at http://travel.state.gov .
Special Dispatch Series - No. 1649
July 10, 2007 No.1649
“Islamist Websites Monitor No. 120”
“Early Troop Withdrawal Would Leave Iraq More Violent, General Says”
By Fred W. Baker III
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, July 9, 2007
“Saudi religious scholars come out against Al-Qaedas use of religious edicts permitting suicide attacks against Muslims”
Dr. Asaf Maliach
July 8, 2007
ARTICLE SNIPPET: “The Islamic world is divided in its opinion over suicide attacks carried out by Islamic terrorist organizations, especially when the target is other Muslims. In all of the cases, the questions that arise are, first, are suicide attacks permitted in Islam? And the second question is over the alleged reward given to the person who committed suicide, as some Muslims scholars and clerics claim that those who perpetrate suicide attacks win a place in paradise as they are shuhad?a (martyrs). However, there are those clerics and scholars who suggest that suicide attacks are an offense against Allah and those who perpetrate them go to hell.”
Note: The following post is a quote:
They Honor Us With Their Hate
Real Clear Politics ^ | They Honor Us With Their Hate | Richard Cohen
Posted on 07/09/2007 8:57:10 PM PDT by gpapa
Tidying up the other day, I came across an old newspaper and, flipping through it, saw a picture on page 22 that made my heart stop. It showed Palestinians, most of them young, all of them males, reacting with glee to a particularly heinous terrorist attack. The date was Sept. 12, 2001, and the Palestinians were cheering the deaths of about 3,000 innocent Americans the day before. You can, as they say, look it up.
What you don’t have to look up, though, is the fact that this was before America’s retaliatory invasion of Afghanistan or the war in Iraq. It was also before Guantanamo became shorthand for abuse of the president’s constitutional authority and before the outrage of Abu Ghraib, the U.S.-run prison in Iraq where suspected terrorists were sometimes sexually abused. In other words, the demonstration by Palestinians (in the Lebanese refugee camp of Shatila) preceded most of the usual reasons given for why America today is held in contempt by much of the world.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
“THE SPYING GAME
Tricks of Todays Trade”
New Initiative Offers Tips for Businesses”
“Perspective: Is an antivirus gap looming?”
By Jose Nazario
Published: July 9, 2007, 10:00 AM PDT
“Google to buy e-mail security company for $625 million”
Published: July 9, 2007, 5:28 AM PDT
Last modified: July 9, 2007, 7:38 AM PDT
ARTICLE SNIPPET: “Update Google said on Monday it has agreed to acquire e-mail security company Postini for $625 million expanding its package of online applications to compete with Microsoft’s Office software.
Postini supplies security and encryption services, protecting instant messaging, e-mail and other communications to more than 35,000 businesses and 10 million users worldwide. Google said the deal could enable it provide organizations with more hosted services similar to its Google Apps package, which includes its e-mail service Gmail, Calendar, and Talk, its messaging service.”
“Russia set to test first serial S-400 SAM system next week-1”
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070705/68405566.html ^ | 07/05/07
Posted on 07/10/2007 2:37:20 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
Russia set to test first serial S-400 SAM system next week-1
14:46 | 05/ 07/ 2007
(Clarifies the official’s position in the lead, adds quotes, details, background in paras 4-10)
MOSCOW, July 5 (RIA Novosti)
Thanks for the airport alert.
Thanks to Clive for the ping to this thread.
Note: The following post is a quote:
RFuel Shortage Brings Zimbabwe To Halt
The Telegraph (UK) ^ | 7-10-2007 | Byron Dziva
Posted on 07/09/2007 6:49:40 PM PDT by blam
Fuel shortage brings Zimbabwe to halt
By Byron Dziva in Harare
Last Updated: 2:03am BST 10/07/2007
Zimbabwe’s economy was approaching paralysis yesterday as petrol stations across the country ran dry.
President Robert Mugabe’s regime has ordered all retailers to cut fuel prices by 60 per cent, a move that forces them to sell petrol at a loss.
As a result, filling stations across the country have stopped selling altogether and petrol is only available on the black market, at five times the official price.
Without fuel, the entire economy is steadily shutting down.
“It is certainly making a bad situation worse. Many companies will stop functioning,” said John Robertson, an independent economist in the capital, Harare.
A bus driver in Harare said: “At the moment, even on the black market, there is nothing.”
Basic foodstuffs have already vanished from supermarket shelves thanks to the regime’s order that all retail prices should be frozen at their June 18 level.
Inflation has reached such a level that one banana costs the same amount as 15 four-bedroom houses seven years ago. The regime’s behaviour has dismayed many business people.
Masimba Kambarami, the chairman of the petroleum association, said: “Fuel is not indigenous, it has to be treated carefully.
“If you arbitrarily introduce new prices you trigger panic buying, then subsequent shortages.”
Inflation officially runs at 4,530 per cent - the highest level in the world.
“Media Silence on Antiwar Violence”
By Patrick Poole
FrontPageMagazine.com | July 10, 2007
Last Updated: Tuesday, 10 July 2007, 08:59 GMT 09:59 UK
“21/7 ‘failings could be repeated’”
“The jury have found four men guilty of conspiracy to murder”
ARTICLE SNIPPET: “”Systemic” failings allowed the ringleader of the 21 July bomb plotters to slip through the police’s net, the shadow home secretary has said.
The failure to track Muktar Ibrahim could happen again, David Davis warned.
Ibrahim, 29, Yassin Omar, 26, Ramzi Mohammed, 25, and Hussain Osman, 28, were convicted on Monday of plotting to bomb transport in London in 2005.
Jurors are still considering verdicts on Manfo Kwaku Asiedu, 34, and Adel Yahya, 24, who deny all charges.
The Conservatives have called for a public inquiry to examine why Ibrahim was allowed to leave the UK to go to a jihadi training camp in Pakistan, despite having been charged with threatening behaviour, related to the distribution of extremist material.
Mr Davis told the BBC’s Today programme: “There is a systemic problem.
“It’s partly a question of volume of suspects. It’s partly a question of volume of people crossing the border.
Referring to the former Metropolitan Police Commissioner, he added: “John Stevens used to talk about our porous borders. This is most startling example I have ever seen.””
“President Bush Participates in a Conversation on the Americas”
Hyatt Regency Crystal City
White House Conference on the Americas
Fact Sheet: White House Conference on the Americas
10:30 A.M. EDT
“Summer gun wars: Jesse Jackson leads the way”
By Michelle Malkin July 9, 2007 04:53 PM
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
Office of the Spokesman
This information is current as of today, Tue Jul 10 2007 03:59:20 GMT-0700.
April 10, 2007
Thanks. A few months ago i managed to catch the thread in the latest posts section on the site. I can see from the archives i’m a little bit late but it’s nice to know there is a group that is actually aware of this clear and present danger.
Most i talk to are oblivious to the facts and because of our selective vivid entertainment we envelop ourselves in, have unfortunately fallen back into 9/10 mode. I can’t even bring it up with a colleague or friend without being mocked, thats how bad i believe that frame of mind has gotten.
Sorry for my rant, but glad to be onboard!
Welcome, and I give you fair warning...........once here, no one ever leaves. Best and most informative thread on FR.
I wonder if this tape was in transit when the failed London/Glasgow attacks occured and the ‘center of London’ reference was intended to refer to those (assuming that they would be successful)
Agreed and the reference to the 'center of London' is generic enough to cover a lot.
He's looking to incite people to rise up and possibly alluding to the "spectacular" event we have now seen several intelligence agencies mention.
That generated a lot of response, so his follow-up to maintain the momentum makes sense. Time will tell if frequency = pre attack troop rallying.
“Indian slave(s)” (not just a reference to Rushdie)
Al-Qaida declares holy war on India
By Aijaz Hussain, Associated Press Writer | June 9, 2007 (excerpt)
SRINAGAR, India —A group claiming to represent the al-Qaida terror network declared a holy war on India over its partial control of the divided Himalayan region of Kashmir, Indian officials said Saturday. A statement and video was sent Friday to the Current News Service, in Srinagar, the main city of India’s Jammu-Kashmir state, in which a masked man standing next to an automatic weapon read the declaration.
“We declare righteous holy war against India on behalf of God the great in which Jammu and Kashmir will be the launch pad for holy war in India,” said the statement signed by Abu Abdul Rehman al-Ansari, purportedly the chief of al-Qaida Fil Hind or al-Qaida in India.
While this is the first time the group has been heard from since it announced its establishment in July, police said they were taking the threat seriously. . .
There have been allegations that Islamic militants fighting to wrest predominantly Muslim Kashmir from India have ties to al-Qaida, but these links have not been proven. . .
Bin Laden speeches found in terror suspect’s house in Bangalore
Tuesday 10 July 2007 13:30 (excerpt)
Inflammatory speeches by al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden and propaganda against the United States and Britain have been seized by police from the house of a British terror plot suspect in the southern Indian city of Bangalore, a news report said Tuesday.
The material was found in three CDs that were seized along with a computer hard disk from the house of Kafeel Ahmed, who is suspected of being the person who drove a flaming vehicle into Glasgow airport, the Times of India newspaper reported.
While Kafeel Ahmed is in a hospital in Glasgow with burn injuries over 90 per cent of his body, his brother Sabeel Ahmed is being detained by the British police. Their cousin Mohammed Haneef is being questioned by the police in Brisbane, Australia. . .
The Times of India quoted police sources as saying that Kafeel Ahmed and his associates were believed to have visited Pakistan more than once to seeek approval for the Britain terror plot.
The police also suspect that al-Qaeda operatives have been at work in India recruiting young people.
“Al-Qaeda operatives have infiltrated the country in a big way and are acting as sleeper cells, spreading messages brainwashing youths. They have a long-term, methodical plan. It will not be long before these sympathisers turn operatives,” an official of Karnataka Police’s anti-terrorist cell was quoted as saying.
The official said al-Qaeda was targetting young educated Muslims who could be sent to the United States and Europe for terrorist activities. . .
from the July 10, 2007 edition
Global terror’s India connection
The Glasgow attack is the first known act of global terror involving an Indian Muslim.
By Mark Sappenfield | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor
and Mark Rice-Oxley | Correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor
NEW DELHI and LONDON (excerpt)
When President George Bush visited this country of 150 million Muslims last year, he introduced his wife to the prime minister with a fact surely intended to amaze: “Not one Indian Muslim has joined Al Qaeda,” he said.
At a time when Muslim nations from Algeria to Indonesia have emerged as incubators for anti-Western extremists, India by some estimates the world’s second-most-populous Muslim nation has remained a unique case.
Yet reports from Britain suggest that, for the first time, an Indian Muslim is likely to be implicated in an act of international terrorism. Khafeel Ahmed, the man who police say crashed a Jeep into Glasgow’s airport on June 30, is an engineer from Bangalore, a city previously known only as the high-tech capital of the new India.
Until now, Indians’ disinterest in the global jihad had been largely taken for granted, experts say. In recent days, however, the nation has been left to try to piece together why a man who holds a PhD in aeronautics from India’s golden city was driven to such rage against the West and whether there will be more to follow. . .
WASHINGTON (AP) U.S. counterterror officials are warning of an increased risk of an attack this summer, given al-Qaidas apparent interest in summertime strikes and increased al-Qaida training in the Afghan-Pakistani border region.
On Tuesday, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff told the editorial board of The Chicago Tribune that he had a gut feeling about a new period of increased risk.
He based his assessment on earlier patterns of terrorists in Europe and intelligence he would not disclose.
Summertime seems to be appealing to them, Chertoff said in his discussion with the newspaper about terrorists. We worry that they are rebuilding their activities.
Rushdie is a brave man.
Thanks nw for the heads up.
OAKLAND -- Operations at Oakland Airport were shut down for nearly two hours this morning after someone ran past the security screeners, officials said.
The security breach occurred at 9:05 a.m. in Terminal One, said spokeswoman Joanne Holloway. Alameda Sheriff's Sgt. J.D. Nelson said a man somehow bypassed the Transportation Security Administration screeners and ran into the terminal.
Both terminals reopened their security screening operations at 10:52 a.m., Holloway said, and flights are beginning to resume. Security lines are extremely long, she said, snaking out of both terminals and down the sidewalks in front of the airport. Delays are expected to continue for sometime, Holloway said. Travelers should check with their airline or visit www.flyoakland.com for more information on their flight status, she said.
Imam Accused in JFK Plot Wanted Help From Iran
July 10, 2007
A Shiite imam accused of plotting to blow up fuel tanks at John F. Kennedy International Airport wanted to seek Iranian backing for the terrorist plot. The disclosure came yesterday in a court decision denying bail to the Trinidadian-based cleric, Kareem Ibrahim.
Mr. Ibrahim, 62, is one of four men arrested last month on charges connected to the plot. At the time, American law enforcement officials said Mr. Ibrahim encouraged his co-conspirators to seek funding for the attack from outside their home countries of Trinidad or Guyana. While American authorities have not provided more details, a judge in Trinidad wrote that evidence, including tape recordings, suggests Mr. Ibrahim intended to seek backing for the plot from individuals in Iran or Britain.
In those recordings, Judge Prakash Moosai wrote, Mr. Ibrahim "refers to an Iranian brother' passing through Trinidad and Tobago, and of sending a trusted brother' to Iran to speak to the top men of the revolutionary movement there about the plan." The judge's decision does not clarify whether "the revolutionary movement there" refers to the government of the Islamic Republic. Nor does Judge Moosai state whether the plotters actually disclosed the plan to contacts in Iran or simply considered doing so. Mr. Ibrahim also spoke of contacting "brothers in England," the decision said.
Mr. Ibrahim's alleged efforts to find foreign backing mark the second Iran connection to surface in a case that initially appeared confined to the Western Hemisphere. At the time of his arrest, another of the defendants, Abdul Kadir of Guyana, was preparing to travel to Iran to attend an Islamic conference, according to news reports. Two of Mr. Kadir's children were studying in Iran at the time of his arrest, according to reports.
In other news:
seems like everything is clear although they haven’t said what was in the bag...
- Saad al-Houssaini, a Moroccan militant arrested in March in a police raid on an internet cafe in Casablanca, lived in Iran before the 2003 Casablanca suicide attacks in which 45 people died, according to police sources in Rabat. Al-Hossaini, an explosives expert, is suspected of involvement in the attacks.
The man allegedly left Afghanistan in 2001 after US troops invaded the country following 9/11 and travelled to Iran, where he received training in a camp of the Revolutionary Guards, the Pasdaran, together with Salafite militants close to al-Qaeda.
According to Moroccan police al-Houssaini, who studied chemistry at the university of Valencia in the 1990s, was specifically trained in Iran in the preparation of bombs for suicide attacks.
Pakistan: Death of radical mosque leader a 'sad moment' says Grand Mufti
Islamabad - The Grand Mufti of Pakistan, Rafi Usmani has referred to Tuesday's killing of the radical mosque leader, Abdul Rasheed Ghazi, as a sad moment. In an interview with Pakistani television channel, the Mufti, who was part of the negotiating team that was trying to bring about a peaceful end to the crisis between the government and Islamabad's Lal Masjid (Red Mosque), said that those who fought for Allah are martyrs while those who died as part of their their jobs because their commanders had asked them to do so, are not.
The Pakistan army has said that at least 50 militants have been killed in the operation and eight soldiers. The military stormed the mosque compound early Tuesday morning after 11 hours of talks between Ghazi and the government failed. The Grand Mufti told Adnkronos International (AKI) that the talks failed after the draft accord reached by the two sides had been rejected by Pakistan's president General Pervez Musharraf.
Pakistan's interior ministry officials confirmed that Ghazi had been killed and that his body was found at the basement of the mosque. The interior ministry spokesperson said that he was initially injured and was asked to lay down his weapon but as he refused and tried to resist, he was killed.
Meanwhile many parts of Pakistan including the tribal areas of Swat, Maland and Bajaur, which lie along the border with Afghanistan, have been rattled with attacks on Pakistani security officials. There have been no reports of casualties so far. Reports also said that armed supporters of the militants in the Lal Masjid had blocked the Himalayan Karakorum Highway linking to China in Pakistan's North-West Frontier Province. They had reportedly taken positions on the mountains along the Silk Route near Batagram.
In recent days, the army has redeployed thousands of troops in northwestern Pakistan where pro-Taliban militants opposed to Musharraf have been carrying out a string of attacks said to be linked to the mosque siege. In his final telephone interview on Pakistan television channels before he was killed, Ghazi said that the Pakistani government had not told the truth about those in the mosque and the amount of weaponry that they had with them.
"The government talked to us not to resolve anything but to break us. The government did a lot of propaganda about our weaponry. I want to tell that we have just 14 AK-47 guns and most of them are licensed," Ghazi said in the interview. The Pakistani authorities had said that there were hardcore militants inside the mosque and that they were well-armed with rocket launches and grenades and that they had been using women and children as human shields.
"I know I would be killed so I want to clarify that the government had given information against us, Ghazi said in his last recorded interview telecast on local Pakistani channels. There were religious political clerics who approached me but only to terrify me with the government's wrath," he said. "God would ask them on the Day of Judgment on their role," he said. "I want to thank the press with whom I have spent a good time and they always presented my point of view, Ghazi said.
In other interviews before he died, Ghazi reportedly said that if he was killed, there would be a strong reaction against the Musharraf government.
ON THE NET...
SITE INSTITUTE.org: “’MALICIOUS BRITAIN AND IT’S INDIAN SLAVES’” -
An Audio Speech by Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri Produced by as-Sahab Media”
by SITE Intelligence Group (July 10, 2007)
He “wanted help from Iran.”
And that makes you wonder who all in and/or around the USA is actually receiving help NOW from Iran.
Thanks for that post, Oorang.
ADDING 1 link to post no. 941.
The prospect of al-Qa'ida detonating a nuclear device in a US city is the top security threat facing America - and there is a real chance they will succeed, one of the country's leading weapons experts has warned. "Over a 10-year period, it becomes quite plausible," Robert Gallucci said yesterday. "If you said there was a 20 or 25 per cent probability, that's a hell of a high probability for an event that could kill a quarter or half a million people.
"It's a threat against which the US has neither a defence nor a deterrent." On a visit to Australia hosted by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, Dr Gallucci said a small team of five to 15 people could build a simple bomb with the power of the blast that exploded over Hiroshima in 1945. "The US and Britain are probably the major targets for this kind of enterprise. "This would be a major logistical planning effort for any terrorist group."
Dr Gallucci, the head of Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service, is a former senior US State Department official who served on the UN Special Commission on Iraq and was the lead negotiator for the 1994-agreed framework on North Korea's nuclear program.
He said it was unlikely al-Qa'ida would acquire a ready-made nuclear weapon because the nine nuclear weapon states were "pretty good" at securing their arsenals. "For me, the issue is not could they make the weapon, the issue is could they get the fissile material?" Highly enriched uranium or plutonium could be acquired from a sympathetic Islamist working in Pakistan's nuclear industry or possibly by bribery from Russia. A Hiroshima-type bomb, rather than more sophisticated implosion devices, would involve a carefully machined metal tube in which two pieces of fissile material slammed into each other and generated a nuclear reaction.
"It's not hard, it's not necessary to do tests with it. I think that's within their reach," Dr Gallucci said. "This is not a device that would require someone putting it together either having a nuclear weapons background or being familiar with nuclear weapons. "All they have to do is have a basic understanding of nuclear engineering, some knowledge of materials and of high explosives." Even a small sub-kilotonne device using plutonium or enriched uranium could have a devastating effect in a large city.
Dr Gallucci said the US was making serious efforts to improve its ability to track fissile materials, with the aim of identifying the source either before a detonation or soon afterwards. The more likely scenario was after the bomb detonated, when there would be a race to find what kind of fission material was used and where it was manufactured, even down to the individual nuclear reactor. "This is an objective of our effort," he said. "We have some capability for attribution now, and we expect that capability would get better."
ADDING 2 LINKS to post no. 945:
July 10, 2007
“U.K. jihad suspect linked to al-Qaeda”
July 10, 2007
“U.K. jihad suspect worked in aviation”
This was posted on another thread and pointed out to me by a FReeper FRiend the other day, thought it was interesting enough to put here for research.
The poster added this "Forgot to mention, this poster was found in Pakistan, in one of the camps (Lashkar-e-Toiba) training jehadis to be sent to infiltrate into India."
Looks like they have some long term plans to turn us all “green”. Kinda like Algore. /s
Note: The following text is a quote:
Troops Detain 19 Suspects, Seize Weapons in Iraq
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, July 10, 2007 Iraqi and coalition forces detained 19 suspects and captured weapons caches during recent operations in Iraq.
Tips from two Iraqi residents near Dhour, south of Baghdad, helped coalition forces nab seven suspects yesterday, including an al Qaeda network leader, military officials said.
The first tipster called soldiers of the 10th Mountain Divisions 89th Cavalry Regiment and alerted them to a weapons cache. Soldiers responded, located the buried weapons, and had been digging up the cache for five minutes when they received another phone call.
The second caller claimed he had the 2nd Brigade Combat Teams top high-value target and would deliver him to coalition custody. This tipster arranged a meeting place to hand the detainee over to Army Capt. Adam Sawyer, the Troop C commander.
Soldiers hastily re-buried the cache and departed for the meeting place, where they took custody of the high-value detainee and two other suspects.
During the exchange, some of the soldiers observed the cache from their vantage point, and were surprised to see a civilian pickup truck stop near the cache. As four men began to load the weapons into the truck bed, troops engaged the vehicle with an M-240 machine gun.
Troop C soldiers detained the suspects as they tried to flee, and called an explosive ordnance disposal team to destroy the weapons.
All of this was possible because of sources we’ve developed, through local-national engagements and working with the residents of the area, Sawyer said. It’s our work with the people in these areas, our relations with them, paying off.
The high-value target allegedly is responsible for shooting down an AH-64 helicopter in April 2006, abducting two soldiers two months later, and mounting complex attacks against patrol bases, coalition forces and Iraqi civilians, military officials said. Additionally, he is believed to be the leader of an al Qaeda network known for murdering and intimidating those who oppose the terrorist organization.
One of the detainees had been wounded in a previous engagement, and was taken to a coalition hospital for treatment. The other suspects six are being held for further questioning.
During two operations in Baghdad July 8, Iraqi special operations forces detained 12 insurgents linked to the rogue Jaysh al-Mahdi militia. These insurgents allegedly are responsible for attacks against Iraqi and coalition forces, military officials said.
In the first operation, the Iraqi special operations forces and coalition advisors detained 11 targeted individuals believed responsible for attacks using explosively formed penetrators against combined forces in the Hay al Aamel area. EFPs are improvised explosive devices designed to penetrate armor.
In the second operation, combined troops detained the alleged leader of a cell responsible for direct and indirect fire, and improvised explosive devices attacks on Iraqi and coalition forces. His capture will disrupt this cell’s ability to carry out death squad activities against innocent civilians, military officials said.
Troops also seized weapons and ammunition, cell phones and assorted documents. No Iraqi or coalition forces were injured during this operation.
(Compiled from Multinational Corps Iraq news releases.)
Note: The following text is a quote:
Guard Plans to Adjust Number of Troops Serving on U.S.-Mexican Border
By Gerry J. Gilmore
American Forces Press Service
WASHINGTON, July 10, 2007 The National Guard plans to adjust the number of personnel performing security duty along the U.S.-Mexican border from about 6,000 to about 3,000 members, a National Guard Bureau spokesman said today.
Last year, President Bush directed the National Guard to assist the U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency in patrolling the 2,000-mile-long border with Mexico, National Guard Bureau spokesman Army Maj. David Kolarik told American Forces Press Service today during a phone interview from the bureaus headquarters in Arlington, Va.
National Guard members have performed superbly in answering the Presidents call to assist on the border during Operation Jump Start, Kolarik said. The Customs and Border Protection Agency is a component of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.
Almost 6,000 Guard members mostly volunteers — have been on border security duty in the states of Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California in support of the U.S. Border Patrol since June 2006, Kolarik said, noting the reduction was part of original planning.
It was never meant to be a permanent solution, Kolarik said of the National Guards participation in Operation Jump Start. It was just an intermediate measure to provide support for border security efforts until they brought the additional resources and personnel in line that they needed.
The Guard redeployment is slated for completion around Sept. 1, he said.
About 3,000 National Guard members will continue assisting the Customs and Border Protection Agency along the U.S.-Mexican border, Kolarik said.
The National Guards presence along the U.S.-Mexican border has helped to bolster border-protection efforts to curtail illegal immigration as well as to circumvent narcotics traffic, Kolarik said.
Guard members on border duty do not perform law enforcement missions, but they do conduct surveillance and operate detection equipment, work with border entry identification teams, analyze information, assist with communications and give administrative support to the Border Patrol.
National Guard members have done just a phenomenal job down there on the border, Kolarik said.
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