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Why Is the Teen Pregnancy Rate Dropping?
cwfa.org ^ | 8/3/2007 | Janice Shaw Crouse

Posted on 08/04/2007 9:26:57 PM PDT by monomaniac

Why Is the Teen Pregnancy Rate Dropping?     8/3/2007
By Janice Shaw Crouse

Newly-released data indicates great news about the nation's children -- girls aged 10-14 -- are not getting pregnant nearly as often as they did just a few years ago. This is further evidence that abstinence programs are having an impact, that they are making a difference for teens -- including children as young as 10 years of age. How can anyone hesitate to recommend abstinence for children? How, in good conscience, can a supposedly-responsible adult support public policies that would communicate to such girls and boys that "safe-sex" is an appropriate option? Even if pregnancy were not a consideration, youngsters are not physically or psychologically ready for sexual activity. Even if morality were not an issue, the earlier a child begins sexual activity, the more partners he or she will have and the more risk he or she will face for sexually-transmitted diseases -- now at epidemic stages among youths under 25.

Looking at the trend of the pregnancy rate of 10-14 year-olds we see the amazing turn-around that has taken place as the abstinence message has taken root. This means not only that more of the nation's young girls will be able to realize their dreams and goals for the future; it also means fewer precious babies will grow up in the crushing grip of poverty.

It is imperative that we understand that an increase in abortions is not what has reduced births to young adolescents, as many would have guessed. Fewer births are occurring because there are fewer pregnancies. The sharp decline in births to young adolescents (down 43 percent between 2002 and their peak in 1992) occurred at the same time as a similar decline occurred in abortions to young adolescents (down 36 percent from 1992 to 2002). Congress should consider these facts and not be swayed by the special interests who have profited for decades by providing government-funded abortions to the poor and needy.

Amazingly, data from the left (The Alan Guttmacher Institute, et. al.) show these dramatic reversal of the trends, too. The websites of Planned Parenthood and likeminded groups express near panic as the facts threaten to undermine the monopoly the left previously has had on government funding. Yet they continue to oppose abstinence education with the flimsiest of arguments and manufactured evidence.

How can a legislator vote for legislation which would curtail the implementation of abstinence programs when the dramatic decline in birth rates and abortions to young girls reflects the more widespread implementation of abstinence programs across the nation? Yet, the House just passed H.R. 3162 -- a bill that may hamper the implementation of abstinence programs at a time when the drop in pregnancies, births, and abortions for the youngest teens and pre-teens -- girls just 10-14 years of age -- is progressing in such a positive fashion. Amazingly though, the people who talk the loudest about caring for children are the ones who want to deny them access to the truth about the benefits of abstinence.

Reading some of the criticisms of teaching abstinence, I am reminded of the comic strip dodge, "It was already broken. I didn't break it. Nobody saw me break it. You can't prove that I broke it." The left revision goes like this: "It can't work. It has never worked. Nobody can measure it working. You can't prove it was the abstinence program that caused the change."

Yet people with common sense can look at the reversal of the trend in birthrates to young teens and pre-teens and react in the similar manner to the British economist and politician, Lord Courtney, who said, "After all, facts are facts, and . . . there are some easy figures the simplest must understand, and the astutest cannot wriggle out of." Sadly, Lord Courtney had not run into one of today's pathetic feminists and their liberal supporters who are hell-bent on de-funding government support for teaching abstinence to the nation's children and teens.

One can only demand in frustration and righteous anger, "Why?"






TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: abortion; plannedparenthood; prolife; teenpregnancy

1 posted on 08/04/2007 9:27:03 PM PDT by monomaniac
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To: monomaniac

A correlation does NOT indicate that the abstinence program is the nationwide cause of the reported lower birth rate for teens.


2 posted on 08/04/2007 9:49:23 PM PDT by Rudder
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To: Rudder

The correlation does not prove that abstinence programs are working, but it certainly does not disprove it. The hypothesis remains valid, even though the statistical proof for such is not supplied here. Are you arguing that such programs are not at all worthwhile, or just the point that correlation does not equal causation? But it does not rule it out, either. What are possible counter hypothesis if you distrust the author’s and poster’s apparent conclusion? I would be interested (and so would Russia, Spain and Italy, to start with) on what is lowering birth rates, even if the numbers here concern births to minors.


3 posted on 08/04/2007 10:42:58 PM PDT by bajabaja
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To: Rudder

The correlation does not prove that abstinence programs are working, but it certainly does not disprove it. The hypothesis remains valid, even though the statistical proof for such is not supplied here. Are you arguing that such programs are not at all worthwhile, or just the point that correlation does not equal causation? But it does not rule it out, either. What are possible counter hypothesis if you distrust the author’s and poster’s apparent conclusion? I would be interested (and so would Russia, Spain and Italy, to start with) on what is lowering birth rates, even if the numbers here concern births to minors.


4 posted on 08/04/2007 10:43:10 PM PDT by bajabaja
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To: bajabaja
...just the point that correlation does not equal causation...

And that leaves the author subject to well-deserved criticism and undermines credibility.

5 posted on 08/04/2007 10:55:19 PM PDT by Rudder
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To: monomaniac
Without getting into the cause of the drop, I’ll just opine that it’s great there is a drop.
6 posted on 08/04/2007 11:04:12 PM PDT by Wheee The People (Go FRed)
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To: monomaniac
This is further evidence that abstinence programs are having an impact, that they are making a difference for teens -- including children as young as 10 years of age.

Oh the humanities...

Liberals are going to be fuming over this... oh that's right, they can't let any gas escape. My bad!

7 posted on 08/04/2007 11:45:10 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Victory will never be achieved while defining Conservatism downward, and forsaking it's heritage.)
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To: monomaniac

Q: Why are teen pregnancy rates dropping?

A: Just a WAG.... it helps that Bill Clinton is no longer in the WH popularizing any sex, any time, with any one........


8 posted on 08/05/2007 12:19:42 AM PDT by Enchante (Reid and Pelosi Defeatocrats: Surrender Now - Peace for Our Time!!)
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To: Enchante

If you examine the graph, you may note that the greatest decline was during the Clinton years. Guess you’ll have to try again.


9 posted on 08/05/2007 12:32:27 AM PDT by stormer
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To: Enchante
it helps that Bill Clinton is no longer in the WH popularizing any sex, any time, with any one........

The Lewinsky rate increase in middle school age kids accounts for their lower pregnancy rate.

Thank you president Bent Willie.

10 posted on 08/05/2007 2:24:54 AM PDT by ASA Vet (http://www.rinorepublic.com)
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To: Rudder
A correlation does NOT indicate that the abstinence program is the nationwide cause of the reported lower birth rate for teens.

More likely it is an indicator of the success of various public school programs to make them all Queer.

11 posted on 08/05/2007 3:25:45 AM PDT by Gorzaloon (Food imported from China = Cesspool + Flavr-Straw™)
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To: Gorzaloon

Or it could be that they had already acquired enough STD’s to make them permanently sterile.


12 posted on 08/05/2007 4:16:05 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like what you say))
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To: monomaniac

A possible reason: Boys are hanging out with boys playing video games or skateboarding. Girls are too much trouble.


13 posted on 08/05/2007 4:36:02 AM PDT by kittymyrib
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To: stormer

Kids are probably too stoned or addicted to drugs to have sex.


14 posted on 08/05/2007 4:38:10 AM PDT by corlorde (New Hampshire)
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To: bajabaja

We will have to blame it on Dr. Laura and the right wing radio, talking about this kind of thing over and over and over and....


15 posted on 08/05/2007 5:35:34 AM PDT by fproy2222
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To: corlorde

They are more likely to use birth control. According to this:
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/ad/ad350.pdf
women who have sex before marriage are much more likely to use birth control during their first “premarital” intercourse than they did in the 80s.


16 posted on 08/05/2007 6:02:52 AM PDT by ciocia
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To: stormer

If you examine the graph, the change happened with the advent of a Republican Congress and the passage of welfare reform.


17 posted on 08/06/2007 5:12:42 AM PDT by bt_dooftlook (Democrats - the "No Child/Left/Behind" Party)
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