Posted on 08/04/2007 9:26:57 PM PDT by monomaniac
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Why Is the Teen Pregnancy Rate Dropping? 8/3/2007 Newly-released data indicates great news about the nation's children -- girls aged 10-14 -- are not getting pregnant nearly as often as they did just a few years ago. This is further evidence that abstinence programs are having an impact, that they are making a difference for teens -- including children as young as 10 years of age. How can anyone hesitate to recommend abstinence for children? How, in good conscience, can a supposedly-responsible adult support public policies that would communicate to such girls and boys that "safe-sex" is an appropriate option? Even if pregnancy were not a consideration, youngsters are not physically or psychologically ready for sexual activity. Even if morality were not an issue, the earlier a child begins sexual activity, the more partners he or she will have and the more risk he or she will face for sexually-transmitted diseases -- now at epidemic stages among youths under 25.
Looking at the trend of the pregnancy rate of 10-14 year-olds we see the amazing turn-around that has taken place as the abstinence message has taken root. This means not only that more of the nation's young girls will be able to realize their dreams and goals for the future; it also means fewer precious babies will grow up in the crushing grip of poverty.
Amazingly, data from the left (The Alan Guttmacher Institute, et. al.) show these dramatic reversal of the trends, too. The websites of Planned Parenthood and likeminded groups express near panic as the facts threaten to undermine the monopoly the left previously has had on government funding. Yet they continue to oppose abstinence education with the flimsiest of arguments and manufactured evidence.
How can a legislator vote for legislation which would curtail the implementation of abstinence programs when the dramatic decline in birth rates and abortions to young girls reflects the more widespread implementation of abstinence programs across the nation? Yet, the House just passed H.R. 3162 -- a bill that may hamper the implementation of abstinence programs at a time when the drop in pregnancies, births, and abortions for the youngest teens and pre-teens -- girls just 10-14 years of age -- is progressing in such a positive fashion. Amazingly though, the people who talk the loudest about caring for children are the ones who want to deny them access to the truth about the benefits of abstinence.
Reading some of the criticisms of teaching abstinence, I am reminded of the comic strip dodge, "It was already broken. I didn't break it. Nobody saw me break it. You can't prove that I broke it." The left revision goes like this: "It can't work. It has never worked. Nobody can measure it working. You can't prove it was the abstinence program that caused the change."
Yet people with common sense can look at the reversal of the trend in birthrates to young teens and pre-teens and react in the similar manner to the British economist and politician, Lord Courtney, who said, "After all, facts are facts, and . . . there are some easy figures the simplest must understand, and the astutest cannot wriggle out of." Sadly, Lord Courtney had not run into one of today's pathetic feminists and their liberal supporters who are hell-bent on de-funding government support for teaching abstinence to the nation's children and teens.
One can only demand in frustration and righteous anger, "Why?" |
A correlation does NOT indicate that the abstinence program is the nationwide cause of the reported lower birth rate for teens.
The correlation does not prove that abstinence programs are working, but it certainly does not disprove it. The hypothesis remains valid, even though the statistical proof for such is not supplied here. Are you arguing that such programs are not at all worthwhile, or just the point that correlation does not equal causation? But it does not rule it out, either. What are possible counter hypothesis if you distrust the author’s and poster’s apparent conclusion? I would be interested (and so would Russia, Spain and Italy, to start with) on what is lowering birth rates, even if the numbers here concern births to minors.
The correlation does not prove that abstinence programs are working, but it certainly does not disprove it. The hypothesis remains valid, even though the statistical proof for such is not supplied here. Are you arguing that such programs are not at all worthwhile, or just the point that correlation does not equal causation? But it does not rule it out, either. What are possible counter hypothesis if you distrust the author’s and poster’s apparent conclusion? I would be interested (and so would Russia, Spain and Italy, to start with) on what is lowering birth rates, even if the numbers here concern births to minors.
And that leaves the author subject to well-deserved criticism and undermines credibility.
Oh the humanities...
Liberals are going to be fuming over this... oh that's right, they can't let any gas escape. My bad!
Q: Why are teen pregnancy rates dropping?
A: Just a WAG.... it helps that Bill Clinton is no longer in the WH popularizing any sex, any time, with any one........
If you examine the graph, you may note that the greatest decline was during the Clinton years. Guess you’ll have to try again.
The Lewinsky rate increase in middle school age kids accounts for their lower pregnancy rate.
Thank you president Bent Willie.
More likely it is an indicator of the success of various public school programs to make them all Queer.
Or it could be that they had already acquired enough STD’s to make them permanently sterile.
A possible reason: Boys are hanging out with boys playing video games or skateboarding. Girls are too much trouble.
Kids are probably too stoned or addicted to drugs to have sex.
We will have to blame it on Dr. Laura and the right wing radio, talking about this kind of thing over and over and over and....
They are more likely to use birth control. According to this:
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/ad/ad350.pdf
women who have sex before marriage are much more likely to use birth control during their first “premarital” intercourse than they did in the 80s.
If you examine the graph, the change happened with the advent of a Republican Congress and the passage of welfare reform.
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