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Tropical Storm Ingrid
NOAA/NHC ^ | 13 September 2007 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/13/2007 7:44:54 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: RDTF

The ground instruments used by Weather Underground for Stowell, Tx. showed a high sustained impact wind of 62mph and gusts to 86mph; by yesterday at noon wind speeds in the area were all below 35mph when I searched surrounding locations.


41 posted on 09/14/2007 11:46:31 AM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: brothers4thID

Most tornadoes, which pack far fiercer winds than Humberto, give you maybe 15 minutes.

Rainfall at the rate of 1.5in/hr lasted for about 1.6 hours and total for the impact area was between 3-6 in depending on station reporting.


42 posted on 09/14/2007 11:50:04 AM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: Old Professer
I don’t expect a landfall

Fish are good.

43 posted on 09/14/2007 12:45:48 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse

Repeat after me.. Fish are friends, not food.

Sorry, too much “Finding Nemo” with the boys.


44 posted on 09/14/2007 1:39:09 PM PDT by brothers4thID (FDT: "Every notice that while our problems are getting bigger, our politicians are getting smaller?")
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To: SouthTexas
The late 19th century saw a Hurricane and Yellow Fever wipe out the Florida Territorial capital, Saint Joseph (part of it was later rebuilt as Port St. Joe). Around the turn of the 20th century the manufacturing and transportation city on Florida’s Big Bend country, Cedar Key, was virtually wiped out, with only an outlying island left as the modern Cedar Key.
45 posted on 09/14/2007 2:14:13 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (IF TREASON IS THE QUESTION, THEN MOVEON.ORG IS THE ANSWER!)
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To: GregB
See Isaac's Storm referred to above. Cline's life was ruined by what he did and didn't do.
46 posted on 09/14/2007 2:16:56 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (IF TREASON IS THE QUESTION, THEN MOVEON.ORG IS THE ANSWER!)
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To: NautiNurse

bttt


47 posted on 09/14/2007 2:50:35 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: NautiNurse

Ingrid. I hope she wusses out.


48 posted on 09/14/2007 4:16:39 PM PDT by floriduh voter (Terri Anti-Euthanasia Ping List: 8mmmauser DUNCAN HUNTER FOR PRESIDENT OF U.S.)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

That must prove global warming if it was here and there too!


49 posted on 09/14/2007 4:38:55 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: steveegg

It still would have been considered one 20 years ago-the Saffir Simpson scale has been in use since the ‘60s.


50 posted on 09/14/2007 5:12:50 PM PDT by Santa Fe_Conservative
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To: floriduh voter
Ingrid. I hope she wusses out.

...Ingrid forecast to remain out to sea and weaken...

She's smelling fishy...

51 posted on 09/14/2007 5:22:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the updates as always. Bye, bye Ingrid.


52 posted on 09/14/2007 5:53:41 PM PDT by floriduh voter (Terri Anti-Euthanasia Ping List: 8mmmauser DUNCAN HUNTER FOR PRESIDENT OF U.S.)
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To: SouthTexas

In all fairness they kept Humberto on the maps for a long time as an interest, and told us to keep an eye on him. He was even taken off at one point and then put right back on. You and I, and everyone here know that this time of year, anything in the Gulf bears watching caz they can blow up fast. It bothers me how new people moving to the coast are....I don’t know...just no cares.


53 posted on 09/14/2007 6:13:38 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg
Well I guess we are part of the problem with all the amateur forecasters we have around here. LOL

It is sort of frustrating when the state spends 7-9 million to elevate the road off the island so those that live there can wait for the last minute to evac.

54 posted on 09/14/2007 6:21:16 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: SouthTexas

Tracking storms is fun:’)


55 posted on 09/14/2007 6:25:41 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

I like it! :)


56 posted on 09/14/2007 6:32:39 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: NautiNurse

57 posted on 09/14/2007 6:54:39 PM PDT by TheLion (How about "Comprehensive Immigration Enforcement," for a change)
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To: TheLion

Ingrid swims with the fishes...


58 posted on 09/14/2007 7:02:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse
Ingrid swims with the fishes...

And you didn't even read the 11 pm discussion :-)

That'll be up shortly.

59 posted on 09/14/2007 9:19:12 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: All
Tropical Storm Ingrid Discussion Number 11

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 14, 2007

A NOAA hurricane hunter has been flying through Ingrid tonight and
found a rather poorly organized system with the 700 mb center
displaced to the south of the low-level center.  In addition...
there is a possibility of multiple centers as indicated by
microwave passes from this evening.  As far as the intensity...the
plane reported SFMR winds of 38 kt several hours ago...but has not
seen winds above 34 kt since that time.  Given the amorphous
pattern on satellite...the initial intensity will be kept at 35 kt.
 
The tropical cyclone is staring down the barrel of a gun this
evening. Rather strong upper-tropospheric westerlies are in the
storm's path for at least 48 hours or so.  Some weakening
is forecast and it seems likely that Ingrid will diminish to
depression strength in the next couple of days...and possibly
dissipate during this time.  In a few days...some of the global
models forecast the upper environment to get slightly less hostile
as the system tries to squeeze between upper lows in the
mid-oceanic trough.  The system could try to re-intensify at the
longer-ranges...but there might not be much left of it by then.  The
NHC forecast is similar to the previous one...and is a compromise
between the GFDL/HWRF/SHIPS models.

The initial motion estimate is a rather uncertain 295/8...a little
to the left and faster than earlier today.  The movement should be
between west-northwest and northwest for the next few days as 
steering varies according to the vertical depth of Ingrid.  A turn
toward the north-northwest is probable in the long-range as the
tropical cyclone interacts with a middle-level trough to the north. 
The official forecast is shifted to the west in the near-term to
account for the initial motion...then is adjusted eastward near the
end of the forecast as most models are now calling for recurvature
of this system before 61w.
 
 
Forecast positions and Max winds
 
initial      15/0300z 15.9n  51.5w    35 kt
 12hr VT     15/1200z 16.4n  52.6w    35 kt
 24hr VT     16/0000z 17.4n  53.9w    30 kt
 36hr VT     16/1200z 18.4n  55.2w    30 kt
 48hr VT     17/0000z 19.3n  56.4w    30 kt
 72hr VT     18/0000z 20.8n  58.2w    30 kt
 96hr VT     19/0000z 22.5n  59.5w    30 kt
120hr VT     20/0000z 24.5n  60.0w    30 kt
 
$$
forecaster Blake

60 posted on 09/14/2007 9:21:25 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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