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The Rule-Breaking Campaign (William Kristol)
Time Magazine ^ | September 13, 2007 | William Kristol

Posted on 09/15/2007 5:09:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

What a way to begin the fall! Perennial college-football power University of Michigan was ranked No. 5 in the preseason polls. It paid little Appalachian State University of Boone, N.C., about $400,000 to have its football team visit Ann Arbor to serve as a season-opening tune-up for the Wolverines. In a stunning upset, Appalachian State won 34-32-- kicking a field goal with 26 sec. left, then blocking a Michigan field-goal attempt on the game's last play.

Lesson: the improbable sometimes happens. And what's true in sports is true in politics. There hasn't been a major upset in a presidential-nomination race since Jimmy Carter's victory in 1976. We're due. And the 2008 presidential campaign is an especially good candidate to provide a surprise. Why?

1. It's an open-seat election. For the first time since 1952, there will be no incumbent President or Vice President on the ballot. As we know from state and local elections, nonincumbent races are more volatile and less predictable than those with incumbents, which tend to be reasonably predictable referendums on the party in power. But in 2008 there won't be an incumbent, and there won't even be someone who resembles an incumbent: none of the leading Republicans have worked in or been particularly close to the Bush Administration. Indeed, the three leading Republicans and two leading Democrats have never run for national office before. Much more depends in such circumstances on unpredictable factors like candidates' errors, campaign dynamics and external events than in a traditional incumbent contest.

(Excerpt) Read more at time.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; barackhusseinobama; campaigns; democrats; electionpresident; elections; fredthompson; gop; hillary; hillaryclinton; mittromney; obama; primaries; republicans; rudygiuliani; williamkristol

1 posted on 09/15/2007 5:09:05 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

William Kristol moving sideways in life, writing for Time Magazine.


2 posted on 09/15/2007 5:12:47 PM PDT by counterpunch (Ron Paul is gearing up to be Hillary Clinton's Ross Perot.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
No one has gone straight from the studio to the presidency

Let's forget his long political career including being a Senator.

3 posted on 09/15/2007 5:26:37 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Good post. Krystol a better thinker than he is a talker.


4 posted on 09/15/2007 5:48:17 PM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Much more depends in such circumstances on unpredictable factors like candidates' errors, campaign dynamics and external events than in a traditional incumbent contest.
And the TV debate format is designed to produce conservative candidates' errors. The "objective journalist" moderator is generally to the left of most of the Democratic candidates, so the questions he poses are crafted to subject conservatives to pressure/embarrassment. In a very "objective" way, of course . . .

5 posted on 09/15/2007 5:53:48 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters except PR.)
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To: potlatch



6 posted on 09/15/2007 8:37:40 PM PDT by devolve ( ------- ---When fiction becomes reality things get wet--)
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To: devolve

Looks good how the ball bounces from the white up into the colored area. Hillary is getting shorter and stouter, lol. Soon she will bounce too.


7 posted on 09/15/2007 8:41:41 PM PDT by potlatch (MIZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MIKAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_))
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To: potlatch

.

LOL!

How did that happen?

I’ll see if my magick will work with a globe or the Earth

I think her hips & thighs are about like that under her longer designer Chairman Mao suits and jackets now

She now wears long winter coat lengths in the summer when inside or on a hot outside campaign stage in the South


8 posted on 09/15/2007 8:52:19 PM PDT by devolve ( ------- ---When fiction becomes reality things get wet--)
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To: counterpunch

He needs to quit and go into selling tout sheets at the horse tracks. Would probably do better.


9 posted on 09/15/2007 8:54:54 PM PDT by gbs
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To: devolve

10 posted on 09/15/2007 9:00:31 PM PDT by potlatch (MIZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MIKAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_))
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To: devolve
How's that?
11 posted on 09/15/2007 9:08:59 PM PDT by potlatch (MIZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MIKAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; pissant; Ultra Sonic 007

Hmmmmm. Upsets by underdogs, eh?

Methinks of the Old Testament’s Gideon vs. the Midianites.

And of Duncan Hunter.

Prayers up.


12 posted on 09/15/2007 9:09:11 PM PDT by The Spirit Of Allegiance (Public Employees: Honor Your Oaths! Defend the Constitution from Enemies--Foreign and Domestic!)
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To: potlatch

.

Wha-Sizo izza dat?


13 posted on 09/15/2007 9:21:39 PM PDT by devolve ( ------- ---When fiction becomes reality things get wet--)
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To: devolve

It’s 86 by 66 pixels. LOL


14 posted on 09/15/2007 9:23:13 PM PDT by potlatch (MIZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MIKAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_))
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To: potlatch
220x260

15 posted on 09/15/2007 9:32:50 PM PDT by devolve ( ------- ---When fiction becomes reality things get wet--)
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To: devolve

[When fiction becomes reality things get wet]

“When reality becomes fiction, things get dry”!!
snicker.

We are off topic on this thread. - other than Hillary, LOL.


16 posted on 09/15/2007 9:36:48 PM PDT by potlatch (MIZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MIKAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_))
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To: potlatch

.

Vince Foster was “wetwork”


17 posted on 09/15/2007 9:39:56 PM PDT by devolve ( ------- ---When fiction becomes reality things get wet--)
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To: devolve

He was probably pretty dry by the time they found him...


18 posted on 09/15/2007 9:43:51 PM PDT by potlatch (MIZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MIKAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_MAZARU_ooo_‹(•¿•)›_ooo_))
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