Yes, for two reasons:
Most of the current polls show Hillary farther ahead of Rudy than just 2 points.
There are a number of social conservatives who just can't bring themselves to vote for someone who is so liberal on the social issues. I'm one of them.
Well, then you should have posted one of them rather than the one you posted which shows Hitlery only 2 points ahead with no third party.
Saying someone can't win when their only 2 point behind more than a year before an election is ridiculous.