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GOP Focus Group Is Down on Bush (But like Fred Thompson)
U.S. News & World Report ^ | November 5, 2007 | Kenneth T. Walsh

Posted on 11/06/2007 12:58:21 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

RICHMOND, Va.—There's no shortage of polls underscoring America's sour mood these days. Surveys generally show that 7 in 10 Americans say the country is headed in the wrong direction and that most Americans believe their leaders in Washington are doing a poor job. U.S. News led the way in explaining this trend with a recent special report on why Americans think Washington is broken and what can be done about it.

If anything, the warning signs are getting gloomier. A new focus group of Republican voters from the Richmond area, conducted last Thursday evening, was a case in point. All 12 participants agreed that the next generation won't be better off than they are—a remarkable degree of pessimism in a country known for its optimistic outlook. The participants had different reasons for their downbeat assessments, including the Iraq war, the growing national debt, the high cost of housing that puts owning a home out of reach for many, a decline in moral values in the country, and politicians who don't follow the people's will. But all felt that things are getting worse and that their kids will pay the price.

There was much criticism of President Bush, which was remarkable since this was an all-Republican group. He was faulted for being too stubborn, "mediocre," "hard-headed," and not conservative enough as well as for governing "in a vacuum." Only one participant argued that Bush is "doing a great job." Instead, most appeared to agree with a self-described conservative panelist who said, "We need a breath of fresh air, new perspective."

There were also trouble signs for presidential candidate Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts. Romney is leading in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire but lags in national polls behind former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and former Sen. Fred Thompson of Tennessee. Many of the focus-group participants were very concerned about Romney's Mormon faith. Most said Mormonism really isn't a form of Christianity even though they weren't sure of the religion's precepts. All said they would prefer Romney over any Democratic nominee, but even on this score, the perception of Romney's faith wasn't good. One participant said, "There's Mormon, there's insect, and then there's Democrat."

Thompson, however, was a bright spot. Most said they liked him and could easily support him in the GOP race, even though the media and his political critics have billed his campaign as lackluster. But Thompson appeared to have a reservoir of goodwill that goes deeper than his critics think. He was praised for being a true conservative, "grandfatherly," "fatherly," "competent," and "personable." He reminded several panelists of Ronald Reagan, a conservative icon. Democratic pollster Peter Hart, who conducted the two-hour focus group for the Annenberg Public Policy Center, said afterward that the mainstream media would do well not to write Thompson off.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts; US: New York; US: Tennessee; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008; alinsky; christianity; christianvoters; conservatism; conservatives; dixie; drivebymedia; election; electionpresident; elections; evangelicals; focusgroups; fred; fredthompson; georgebush; gop; gramsci; latterdaysaints; lds; mainstreammedia; media; mittromney; mormonism; mormons; msm; politics; polls; primaries; projection; propaganda; reaganesque; religion; religiousright; religiousvoters; republicans; rinorudy; rudygiuliani; socons; solidsouth; southernstrategy; thebase; thompson; trysellingthetruth; va2008; valuesvoters
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Read the last paragraph as many times as it takes you to see why Fred Thompson MUST be the nominee if we are to energize the base and beat Hillary Clinton!!
1 posted on 11/06/2007 12:58:23 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes, Fred does remind one of a grandfather. Old. Reminds me more of Dole than Reagan.


2 posted on 11/06/2007 1:55:35 AM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The media has made an effort to "black out" Fred Thompson. It's succeeding. He's never going to get the name recognition unless he really starts making waves. I hope he can pull it off.
3 posted on 11/06/2007 2:06:35 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Sorry. No matter how many times I read it, I’ll not be convinced that Fred MUST be the nominee. While he may appeal to moderates (the reason he was recruited), IMO, his federalism over conservatism will NOT energize the base. The only way to energize the base and beat the Democratic candidate is for conservatives to stand firm behind their principals and unite before the primaries to support Duncan Hunter as our CONSERVATIVE candidate. If we do not stand united, the split of supporters among the top tier RHINOs, including Fred Thompson, will result in Guiliani as the nominee.

Based on site-wide posts by Fredheads, if he were not in the race, it appears most would be supporting Duncan Hunter... in which case, at least on FR, Hunter would be the front runner, uniting the base, and easily defeating Guiliani. Frankly, if Guiliani becomes our nominee, IMO, the recruiters of Fred Thompson will be responsible.


4 posted on 11/06/2007 2:10:02 AM PST by Kimberly GG (Support Duncan Hunter in YOUR State....http://duncanhunter.meetup.com/1/)
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: Kimberly GG
Based on site-wide posts by Fredheads, if he were not in the race, it appears most would be supporting Duncan Hunter... in which case, at least on FR, Hunter would be the front runner, uniting the base, and easily defeating Guiliani. Frankly, if Guiliani becomes our nominee, IMO, the recruiters of Fred Thompson will be responsible.

Not in your wildest dreams. You think the reason Duncan Hunter is stalled out at 1.3% is because Fred Thompson is in the race? That's laughable self-delusion.

If Fred Thompson dropped out tomorrow, Duncan would get a surge up to, say 1.7%, about where he was before Fred came in.

6 posted on 11/06/2007 2:17:57 AM PST by John Valentine
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To: John Valentine
Brilliant response!
7 posted on 11/06/2007 2:21:17 AM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: Coldwater Creek

I’m capable of better. But seriously, all politics aside, I’ll confess to very much enjoying lying on a grassy bank and rolling my head back into an icy stream. The cold is a shock at first, but it’s VERY refreshing. But I don’t know if it’s enough to move you off Mitt, or Duncan or whoever.


8 posted on 11/06/2007 2:49:56 AM PST by John Valentine
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To: Coldwater Creek

Coldwater Creek wrote: “Yes, Fred does remind one of a grandfather. Old. Reminds me more of Dole than Reagan.”

I like Fred (as well as Duncan Hunter and Tancredo), but I do agree he looks pretty old. That doesn’t dissuade me, because I’m far more interested in what the guy believes and does than his age, but I do worry it detracts from his appeal. That’s why I’d love to see him team up with Duncan Hunter as VP. That would be my dream team.


9 posted on 11/06/2007 2:52:18 AM PST by CitizenUSA
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To: CitizenUSA

That would work for me!


10 posted on 11/06/2007 2:55:42 AM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: John Valentine

Actually, I think that we have a pretty poor pool to choose from. I have no clue who I am going to support, just who I won’t.


11 posted on 11/06/2007 2:57:31 AM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...Fred Thompson MUST be the nominee if we are to energize the base and beat Hillary Clinton!!

He's the only true conservative who has a chance to beat Hitlery.

Any other viable candidate is just Hitlery lite.

12 posted on 11/06/2007 3:46:52 AM PST by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Coldwater Creek

For some this could be a negative. I was 6 when Reagan was elected president and I remember being glued to the TV whenever he was on for the very reason that he seemed like such a nice grandfatherly figure. Although I loved my own grandfather deeply, I remember wishing Reagan was my grandpa too!

Of course, today i love him for different reasons.


13 posted on 11/06/2007 4:55:37 AM PST by bethelgrad (Combat Chaps)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
the mainstream media would do well not to write Thompson off

If the MSM perceives Thompson to be a threat to Hillary they will do their utmost to denigrate and destroy him.

14 posted on 11/06/2007 5:01:43 AM PST by no_go_lie
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To: Coldwater Creek

Definitely more Dole than Reagan.


15 posted on 11/06/2007 5:42:00 AM PST by Huck (Soylent Green is People.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Read the last paragraph as many times as it takes you to see why Fred Thompson MUST be the nominee if we are to energize the base and beat Hillary Clinton!!


It’s sad when the MSM denegrates, fails to cover, refuses to publish info, etc about Mr. Thompson and thus leaves him flounding around trying to win the nomination..... If Mr. Thompson could only get some postitive MSM attention he’d blow away the competition.....

57 Days and the selection process begins in earnest......


16 posted on 11/06/2007 5:50:22 AM PST by deport (>>>--Iowa Caucuses .. 57 days and counting--<<< [ Meanwhile:-- Cue Spooky Music--])
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To: Kimberly GG
Based on site-wide posts by Fredheads, if he were not in the race, it appears most would be supporting Duncan Hunter

That's why Hunter was doing so well before Thompson joined the race, huh?

17 posted on 11/06/2007 6:14:57 AM PST by kevkrom (*** THIS SPACE FOR RENT ***)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Many of the focus-group participants were very concerned about Romney’s Mormon faith. Most said Mormonism really isn’t a form of Christianity even though they weren’t sure of the religion’s precepts.”

This is the Achilles heel of the Romney campaign. The five percent of Republicans and independents who won’t pull the lever for a Mormon at election time make him nigh unelectable as president. In a divided field though, it might win the nomination.

I am among those who won’t pull the lever for Romney.


18 posted on 11/06/2007 7:04:48 AM PST by FastCoyote
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To: Huck

“Definitely more Dole than Reagan.”

Fred just did well on Meet The Press. He also chewed Huckleberry up and spit him out in another interview. Bob Dole was the inside party nominee, Fred’s doing it on his own (Giuliani is the Bush and insider pick).

I think you guys are the Bob Dole wing of the party, not Fred.


19 posted on 11/06/2007 7:10:11 AM PST by FastCoyote
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To: FastCoyote

The Bob Dole comparison is not a compliment. As for how Fred did on MTP, that’s all subjective opinion, isn’t it? I thought he didn’t do very well. The comparison to Dole is in his demeanor. He’s likeable, presents himself as down to earth, but is old, tired, and not terribly motivated. That’s how he comes across to me. Even so, looks like there’s no other good options out there, so we can only hope he improves over time.


20 posted on 11/06/2007 7:14:15 AM PST by Huck (Soylent Green is People.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

‘There was much criticism of President Bush, which was remarkable since this was an all-Republican group.’

Its only ‘remarkable’ if your a leftwinger. Liberals won’t admit a mistake. Conservatives will.

As the disgust with the President by conservatives demonstrated in relation to Harriet Miers, border security and amnesty, and playing ‘not to lose’ in Iraq from 2004 to 2006 shows clearly.

President Bush is still miles and miles and miles better for this nation than Gore, or Kerry.

But that doesn’t make him above reproach with conservatives on issues where he’s clearly wrong.

Contrast that with the Democrats view anything Clinton says or does is ‘great’.


21 posted on 11/06/2007 7:17:56 AM PST by Badeye ('I'll bet Badeye laughs his a$$ off at you twinks' - (yes, I do...chuckle))
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To: jellybean; Politicalmom; girlangler; KoRn; Shortstop7; Lunatic Fringe; Darnright; babygene; ...
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket

Fredipedia: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference

WARNING: If you wish to join, be aware that this ping list is EXTREMELY active.

22 posted on 11/06/2007 8:21:28 AM PST by Politicalmom (Of the potential GOP front runners, FT has one of the better records on immigration.- NumbersUSA)
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To: Coldwater Creek

Dole never would have had a MTP interview Sunday like Fred did.

Dole would have NEVER recorded a video smacking down Michael Moore.

Dole never had videos done on his bus while campaigning discussing various issues.

Dole didn’t have much understanding of Federalism.


23 posted on 11/06/2007 8:24:12 AM PST by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: Kimberly GG

The 20-odd percent of Fred’s support in the national polls was not, never, and never would be, Hunter’s support. It wasn’t before Fred entered the race, either.


24 posted on 11/06/2007 8:25:06 AM PST by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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Fred bump!


25 posted on 11/06/2007 8:29:12 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: John Valentine

He was at 1-3% BEFORE Fred entered the race.

So...


26 posted on 11/06/2007 8:29:29 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

http://mypetjawa.mu.nu/archives/190027.php
You’re gonna like this one!
It might need it’s own post, but there is some “rough language” on that site.


27 posted on 11/06/2007 8:34:48 AM PST by Uriah_lost ("I don't apologize for the United States of America," -Fred D Thompson)
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To: RockinRight

“The 20-odd percent of Fred’s support in the national polls was not, never, and never would be, Hunter’s support. It wasn’t before Fred entered the race, either.”

Is that right? So if Fred were never recruited, which top tier RHINO would Fredheads be supporting instead?


28 posted on 11/06/2007 8:40:24 AM PST by Kimberly GG (Support Duncan Hunter in YOUR State....http://duncanhunter.meetup.com/1/)
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To: Kimberly GG

Much of his support came from the “rest of the field/none of the above” contingent.

I’d guess about a third to Rudy, a third to Romney, and the rest split between Hunter, McCain, Huckabee, and Tancredo.


29 posted on 11/06/2007 8:46:36 AM PST by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: ejonesie22

That’s my point. It wasn’t Fred’s entry ino the race that botched Duncan Hunter’s chances. He did that all by himself.

And if Fred dropped out, it is naive to think that we’d all natually gravitate to Hunter.


30 posted on 11/06/2007 8:55:43 AM PST by John Valentine
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To: Kimberly GG

his federalism over conservatism


Please explain your perceived difference between the two. Just asking, not starting a fight..................


31 posted on 11/06/2007 8:56:55 AM PST by PeterPrinciple ( Seeking the truth here folks.)
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To: John Valentine

No more so than those who came FROM Hunter to Fred’s camp when he entered.


32 posted on 11/06/2007 8:58:37 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
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To: ejonesie22

I can’t figure out where you are trying to take this. Have you actually read my posts?


33 posted on 11/06/2007 9:00:06 AM PST by John Valentine
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To: John Valentine

Yes, I am agreeing with you. There is no reason to think that Fred’s supporters would move to Hunter and more than Hunter’s people jumped to Fred when he entered. It had nil effect either way.


34 posted on 11/06/2007 9:03:20 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
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To: ejonesie22; John Valentine
I was a Hunter supporter at one time, but came to realize that he had little hope of being nominated. When it appeared that Fred was showing some interest, I began reading about him. I think he's a better candidate than Hunter, and has a very good chance of winning the nomination. I also think he can win the presidency.

I don't see him dropping out.

35 posted on 11/06/2007 9:10:37 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: trisham
Sheesh, there is always that one level headed person who skews the entire result;-)
36 posted on 11/06/2007 9:11:46 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
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To: Kimberly GG
IMO, his federalism over conservatism will NOT energize the base.

Federalism IS conservatism! There was a time when conservatives understood this and were for a smaller, less intrusive federal government. It's sad to see conservatives looking to the federal government to solve all their problems.

37 posted on 11/06/2007 9:11:47 AM PST by jellybean (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=dailyfread Proud Ann-droid and a Steyn-aholic)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It is 1980 all over again.


38 posted on 11/06/2007 9:14:57 AM PST by My Favorite Headache (No One Gets To Their Heaven Without A Fight)
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To: Coldwater Creek
Yes, Fred does remind one of a grandfather. Old. Reminds me more of Dole than Reagan.

Nice cheap shot. How's the years wearing on you?

39 posted on 11/06/2007 9:22:25 AM PST by McGruff (Anybody remember "Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican."?)
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To: Kimberly GG

I would never expect anything else from you, than what you just posted here.

The more I found out about Duncan Hunter, the less I liked him. He has problems. As long as his supporters keep going on about him being a perfect conservative, the longer it will take for him to overcome his problems. He isn’t a perfect conservative, and you don’t sell him by saying that when he isn’t.

Fred can bring people together and stands on principles and his principles have been consistent throughout his public service. He appeals to conservatives because of his federalist principles which many don’t understand. On many issues Fred gets it, understands it while other candidates give sound bites but they don’t understand the principles behind the words.

I think the reason you don’t see it is because you really don’t understand federalism. This concept of federalism is behind so many of the complaints about President Bush and the big spending bills he has signed. And the way he handled illegal immigration, President Bush didn’t get it when he needed to get it.

Fred is the only candidate that communicates that he understands what federalism means, and why voters want that. Some have said that is why the 2006 election went so badly, because Republicans turned away from the limited government/federalism.

If Duncan Hunter understands it, I see no sign of it. I see nothing in anything he says that shows he understands what limited government means and how to do it. I don’t see much in his voting record to indicate that he gets it in any way.

I’m not saying I want or expect perfection, but I do want and expect limited government, federalism.


40 posted on 11/06/2007 9:29:13 AM PST by daylilly
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To: Uriah_lost
That one deserves posting...

"_________ is Too Important to be Left to the States."

Jonathan Adler on Fred Thompson's federalism:

Many politicians say such things. President Bush, for one, spoke quite a bit about the need for state flexibility when he was a Governor and a candidate, but seems to have forgotten about such things over the past six years. It appears Thompson actually means it, however, as he stuck to his federalist guns even when confronted with issues where many "conservatives" abandon federalism and embrace federal power. He even endorsed state autonomy where such a position meant rejecting policy positions favored by significant portions of the GOP base....

I have no idea whether Thompson's positions will help or hurt his electoral chances. But I also suspect I am not the only one who finds this apparent commitment to principle refreshing.

I think Jonathan raises a good question. In this modern age, where the federal government appears to be "the solution of first resort" for political activists left, right and center, is there still a place for a consistent champion of federalism?

Few, of course, are openly opposed to federalism across the board. Most political activists are OK with decentralization except as to their pet issue, "X". While state-level decision-making is all fine and good for most areas of law, "X" is invariably "too important to be left to the states."

It wasn't that long ago that the proponents of nationalization were found almost exclusively within the ranks of the left. Unfortunately, this is no longer the case. These days, if you're FOR or AGAINST something, you apparently want a national resolution of the issue. It's no longer enough to answer the question for yourself, for your community, or even for your entire state. These days, once you've made your decision on an issue, you're likely to be bound and determined that the ENTIRE COUNTRY goes along with it.

"X" can be anything. Examples include: children's health care, personal injury law, primary education, family law, traffic regulations, wills and estates, protection of snail darters, drug policy, marriage, matters of life and death, stem cell research, etc., etc. Time and again, we hear the refrain, "X is just too important to be left to the states."

At one time in the not-too-distant past, there were a whole lot of Americans who believed "X is too important to be managed by federal bureaucrats." Are those days behind us?

Follow-up question: for any of you who are fond of the "X is too important..." argument, how am I, a third-party observer with no particular dog in the fight, supposed to decide which of the "too important" issues and pet projects really are "too important for states," and which aren't?

UPDATE: Hot Air has video.

Remember, you can vote once a day. Please Vote Jawa! .


41 posted on 11/06/2007 10:16:17 AM PST by kevkrom (*** THIS SPACE FOR RENT ***)
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To: Coldwater Creek

And joked that today , on Fox, he probably would not win the Presidency. Ha Ha. Yeah , I want that in my candidate. I want a killer instinct, great energy, not gloom and doom in attitude. That is why the race is between Rudy and Mitt.


42 posted on 11/06/2007 10:16:35 AM PST by phillyfanatic
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To: kevkrom

Pretty much every thread I have started has been locked or deleted so I’m always hesitant to start one. Maybe I’ve been on “double secret probation” all this time....


43 posted on 11/06/2007 10:24:41 AM PST by Uriah_lost ("I don't apologize for the United States of America," -Fred D Thompson)
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To: phillyfanatic

That’s a joke!


44 posted on 11/06/2007 11:25:36 AM PST by W04Man (I'm Now With Fred http://Vets4Fred.net)
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To: Kimberly GG

Kimberly GG wrote: “Is that right? So if Fred were never recruited, which top tier RHINO would Fredheads be supporting instead?”

I can only speak for myself. I would have voted for Duncan Hunter or possibly Tancredo. However, I doubt either of those two will last until my primary. If I was forced to select between Rudy McRombee, I think I would have sat the primaries out.


45 posted on 11/06/2007 12:43:22 PM PST by CitizenUSA
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To: daylilly

daylilly wrote: “I’m not saying I want or expect perfection, but I do want and expect limited government, federalism.”

Another point about federalism...it SHOULD sell well even in the left-leaning states. I think many people on the left and right are quite tired of business as usual in Washington. Neither side really gets what they want or even CAN get what they want. Without a clear majority either way, neither side wins. With federalism, those states that want to experiment with socialized medicine or other leftist pet projects can do so, while those states that want to remain conservative can do so. Federalism works!


46 posted on 11/06/2007 12:51:10 PM PST by CitizenUSA
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To: Coldwater Creek
Yes, Fred does remind one of a grandfather. Old. Reminds me more of Dole than Reagan.

You again LOL

Yea, some grandfather. Has a 40yo babe for a wife, a toddler and a four year old. I seem to recall Dole doing Viagra commercials. Fred doesn't appear to have any problems in that area.

I also saw some of his Russert MtP interview on YouTube. Looked (and sounded) sharp, intelligent, thoughtful, and stuck to his guns and didn't let Timmy get away with out of context quotes.

Yea, I can see how you could compare him to Dole. :roll eyes:

47 posted on 11/06/2007 1:22:28 PM PST by AFreeBird (Will NOT vote for Rudy. <--- notice the period)
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To: AFreeBird

It might interest you to know that Fred is getting a lot of flack here in Tenn.


48 posted on 11/06/2007 3:05:06 PM PST by Coldwater Creek
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To: Coldwater Creek; AFreeBird
It might interest you to know that Fred is getting a lot of flack here in Tenn.

Really? It would interest me, since I live in the heart of East Tennessee and have heard nothing but support for him. I'm curious what the basis of your statement is.

49 posted on 11/06/2007 3:22:32 PM PST by TN4Liberty (A liberal is someone who believes Scooter Libby should be in jail and Bill Clinton should not.)
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To: TN4Liberty; Coldwater Creek
Really? It would interest me, since I live in the heart of East Tennessee and have heard nothing but support for him. I'm curious what the basis of your statement is.

Just a guess on my part but - F.U.D. ?

50 posted on 11/06/2007 3:42:33 PM PST by AFreeBird (Will NOT vote for Rudy. <--- notice the period)
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