Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll
Rasmussen ^ | November 15, 2007 | Rasmussen

Posted on 11/15/2007 8:05:25 AM PST by eastsider

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Rudy Giuliani’s national lead growing in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Giuliani attracts 28% support from Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide while four other candidates are bunched in a virtual tie for second place. Mitt Romney earns 13% of the vote. John McCain, Fred Thompson, and Mike Huckabee each attract 11%. Ron Paul's is the top choice for 6% and no other Republican candidate reaches 2% (see recent daily numbers).

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; fredthompson
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-78 next last
Mitt down 4 percentage points since yesterday's scurrilous accusation that Fred bribed the NRLC for its endorsement.
1 posted on 11/15/2007 8:05:26 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: eastsider

Rudy seems to be pulling away with no one stepping up offering a real challenge yet.


2 posted on 11/15/2007 8:07:28 AM PST by Always Right
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Always Right

Someone is going to have to generate some momentum in the first few primaries if they hope to knock Rudy off.


3 posted on 11/15/2007 8:09:29 AM PST by mainepatsfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
Shouldn’t the headline be, Mitt falling like a rock. Since some fool had him surging yesterday! LOL
4 posted on 11/15/2007 8:09:54 AM PST by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Always Right

Rudy’s still stuck somewhere around 30%. IMO, the problem isn’t lack of challengers, it’s too many challengers.


5 posted on 11/15/2007 8:10:31 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

Over the long run, Willard’s support is like a sine wave, ranging from about 10 to 16.


6 posted on 11/15/2007 8:10:40 AM PST by Petronski (Willardcare abortions $50 each, $25 per twin. Ask for S&H Stamps!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
Mitt down 4 percentage points since yesterday's scurrilous accusation that Fred bribed the NRLC for its endorsement.

And the NRLC endorsement seems to have done nothing for Fred's support level.
7 posted on 11/15/2007 8:10:52 AM PST by montanus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Always Right

This may turn ugly for Conservatives, we are just so darn split up right now.

Conservatives may be better served watching the Senatorial and House races, as it would seem we don’t have anyone really moving up to carry the Conservative banner in the POTUS primaries.


8 posted on 11/15/2007 8:11:29 AM PST by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Isaiah 3.3)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: org.whodat

I hope today’s result portends a continued and well-deserved decline for Mitt.


9 posted on 11/15/2007 8:14:20 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: eastsider; Always Right

Obviously all those Rudy supporters will have to be purged from the party. Didn’t they get the memo several people on FreeRepublic disapprove.


10 posted on 11/15/2007 8:14:37 AM PST by tlb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

Good news for Rudy. Today there is also a poll showing that Rudy leads Hillary in Nevada too.

I like Romney, but a Democrat insider said that all of the Dem. candidates want to run against him in the general, because he would be easier to beat. They are scared of Rudy. Maybe polls like these show why they are scared.


11 posted on 11/15/2007 8:16:03 AM PST by ClarenceThomasfan (Don't be a kamikoze Conservative! Vote Republican in 2008!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: montanus

Fred’s percentage today still includes two days of pre-endorsement numbers. If nothing else, the fact that his percentage hasn’t dipped below Tuesday’s 11% indicates that his campaign has successfully staunched the bleeding.


12 posted on 11/15/2007 8:18:17 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: ClarenceThomasfan

I heard the first radio ad that Rudy has put out - he states what NYC was like in 1992 and then the changes he brought and the positive growth and improvements NYC has achieved through his leadership. Like him or not, it doesn’t A) mention 9/11 B) lists real achievements and C) sends a very positive, upbeat message for hope and growth.


13 posted on 11/15/2007 8:19:00 AM PST by princess leah
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: tlb

Mitt’s supporters seem to be purging themselves, bulimic Republicans that they are.


14 posted on 11/15/2007 8:20:57 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

Fred is still at 11%, Hahahhaa, some great conservative hope.


15 posted on 11/15/2007 8:24:05 AM PST by GregH
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

Juan seems to have topped out.


16 posted on 11/15/2007 8:24:24 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

Rasmussen and Zogby were on Hannity’s radio show last week talking about a 3-4 day lead time before current events show in the polls. We probably won’t see any significant changes until maybe tomorrow or Monday after the weekend digestment.


17 posted on 11/15/2007 8:27:44 AM PST by Pistolshot (Never argue with stupid people, they just bring you down to their level and beat you with experience)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
If nothing else, the fact that his percentage hasn’t dipped below Tuesday’s 11% indicates that his campaign has successfully staunched the bleeding.

As is said in surgery, All bleeding eventually stops..

18 posted on 11/15/2007 8:28:48 AM PST by Plutarch
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Petronski
The only one continuously trending up is Huckabee. I'm still hoping to see the NRLC endorsement eat into Huckabee's support, as well as FDT's new immigration ad, which obliquely attacks Huckabee.
19 posted on 11/15/2007 8:30:29 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

Theoretically, if Rudy G wins, which conservative will he pick to be VP to try and make a peace offering? I am having a hard time figuring that one out as well.


20 posted on 11/15/2007 8:30:44 AM PST by Crimson Elephant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
“Rudy’s still stuck somewhere around 30%. IMO, the problem isn’t lack of challengers, it’s too many challengers.”

Correct. the truth is that it’s really a race between many pro-life and one pro-abortion candidate.

When the 2nd tier pro-life candidates exit the race, they will poll for the remaining pro-lifer/s and not for Rudy.

When it comes down to Rooty911 vs. Thompson, Huckabee, McCain or Romney, Rooty will not do so well.

21 posted on 11/15/2007 8:32:37 AM PST by Preachin' (Enoch's testimony was that he pleased God: Why are we still here?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Pistolshot
We probably won’t see any significant changes until maybe tomorrow or Monday after the weekend digestment.
Exactly. On yesterday's thread, I said I expect to see a seven-percentage-point increase in Fred's numbers by Monday, back up to 18%.
22 posted on 11/15/2007 8:33:32 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Plutarch

The operation was a success, the patient died : )


23 posted on 11/15/2007 8:34:36 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: tlb
Obviously all those Rudy supporters will have to be purged from the party.

Or maybe we should let the liberals have the Republican party, and the conservatives can move to another. It wouldn't be long until the Republican party ceased to exist.

24 posted on 11/15/2007 8:38:11 AM PST by MEGoody (Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

I have to admit I’m worried.

I worry about the ignorance of voters, and I worry about the stupidity of the Republican Party pros. The country clubbers are still in charge of the party, and they only give in to the conservative voters when the conservative voters manage to get their act together and force them to.

May the best man win. Unfortunately, it doesn’t always happen that way. Of course the MSM will do their best to muddy the waters and push impossible candidates like Huckabee, to ensure that the conservative base doesn’t coalesce behind the best candidate available.

The MSM can’t prevail if people really wake up. But I don’t think that has happened yet. Let’s hope it does, before it’s too late.


25 posted on 11/15/2007 8:41:54 AM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TLI

I give the guy credit for sticking it out through the dark days of summer when we were all writing him off. Still, I can’t see his pulling off an upset because he simply doesn’t have that kind of money.


26 posted on 11/15/2007 8:43:16 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Pistolshot
I’m expecting a stabilizing of Fred’s numbers and then a slow climb. We shall see.

McCain has spent more but has less cash on hand than Fred. Romney has spent a ton, has about 2 million more than Fred on hand, and is carrying big time debt. Huckabee has less than a million cash on hand. Fred is in a pretty good spot to begin a break out among the group which is statistically tied.

Rudy is rolling in cash and Fred will need support to mount the fight, so those of us who support him should send what we can.

27 posted on 11/15/2007 8:45:29 AM PST by Route66 (America's Main Street - - - President Fred D. Thompson /"The Constitution means what is says.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant

>>>Theoretically, if Rudy G wins, which conservative will he pick to be VP

I had been thinking Thompson but he fizzled. Gov Barbour perhaps. You know, the governor who actually dealt with Katrina rather then hiding under the bed and blaming Bush.


28 posted on 11/15/2007 8:47:51 AM PST by tlb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Preachin'
When it comes down to Rooty911 vs. Thompson, Huckabee, McCain or Romney, Rooty will not do so well.

Correct. The Rasmussen numbers have 26 points "unaccounted for." That is nearly a tie for first place. It is certainly enough to dust Rooty. Looking at the trends since Oct 1, it does not appear as though Juan or Mitt are going much of anywhere which leaves Duncan and Mike. And Mike looks like he has topped out too. Fred has dropped about 10 points but if he keeps presenting solid solutions to the issues of the nation that 10 will come back.

The key is that 26 points out there. About 10 is spread out among the second tier but "undecided" has been steady at about 16 points. That 16 points is what Fred needs. Also, that 16 points are folks that are waiting for something that they have not gotten yet. His spot-on correct solutions to the issues should do it for them.

29 posted on 11/15/2007 8:51:13 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Cicero
The country clubbers are still in charge of the party, and they only give in to the conservative voters when the conservative voters manage to get their act together and force them to.
Agreed, and we saw an example of that recently during the illegal immigration debate. Would that we could muster that kind of unity in the primary race. Without it, we're stuck with Rudy.
30 posted on 11/15/2007 8:51:16 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
Yeah, but Rudy also gained.

This makes my point again and again. Republicans get NOWHERE by attacking each other. The key to success is to attack Hillary. He who does that most, best, and most often, wins.

31 posted on 11/15/2007 8:52:03 AM PST by LS
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: montanus

And the NRLC endorsement seems to have done nothing for Fred’s support level.

I have heard many FREEPERS saying that endorsements don’t change people’s minds so this is not surprising. People have their candidate in mind already. Unless someone falls out I think that for the most part people’s minds are made up.


32 posted on 11/15/2007 8:54:04 AM PST by napscoordinator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: LS

Rudy’s ceiling is 30%. That’s it.


33 posted on 11/15/2007 8:56:04 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: eastsider; Spiff
Mitt down 4 percentage points since yesterday's scurrilous accusation that Fred bribed the NRLC for its endorsement.

I wondered where Spiff's chart was this morning.

34 posted on 11/15/2007 8:56:08 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (I have a tagline . I just don't think the forum police will allow me to use it. THEY'RE EVERYWHERE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eastsider; mbraynard; Politicalmom; Josh Painter; ejonesie22; Bobbisox; Beagle8U; 2ndDivisionVet; ..

These numbers are indicative of where the Country actually is at the moment.

The GOP knows this, and that’s why they have “anointed” rooty...they want ANYONE in the Oval office, as long as that person has an (R) in front of their name. And, to be sure, rooty most represents what the left and the RINO’s have done to our Country.

This is the reason I say if we don’t have a true Conservative, like Thompson or Hunter, as the nominee, I won’t vote. Period. I have my own mailing list, and I encourage those on that list to do likewise, as I encourage other FReepers to.

We need to stand up for our principles, or fall with them, but not give in to the socialist leaning, liberal compromising, anti-American, self serving POS’s of this world.

We need no better example than that of California to see what happens when RINO’s are elected under the tent of the GOP.

The GOP needs to support US, not the other way around.

If my Country is to be run further into the ground and the abyss that is liberalism, let it be a Dummie that does it, not an f’n RINO that further ruins the virtues, and taints the name, of Conservatism.

The Country has been scared into a compromised position by the left and the RINO’s. Conservatives are in the closet now, they’ve been vilified so much, so often, by so many.

We have to sell Conservatism all over again.


35 posted on 11/15/2007 8:56:47 AM PST by papasmurf (sudo apt - get install FRed Thompson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
I think you said yesterday that you were maintaining a spread sheet of the daily poll numbers. Since yesterday was 13% but today back down to 11% (with I believe 2 days since the endorsement counted) what would his numbers need to be over the next few days to jump him back to the 18%?

Also, since all of these flucuations are within the margin of error (11%-13%) do you factor that in also?

Thanks, math and statistics have never been my strong suit.

36 posted on 11/15/2007 8:57:15 AM PST by codercpc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: eastsider
Mitt down 4 percentage points since yesterday's scurrilous accusation that Fred bribed the NRLC for its endorsement.

I think it's more likely that the 17% number was an outlier -- Weyrich's tantrum wouldn't have had enough time to make that big of an effect, and Romney occassionally hit's 17% only to rapidly drop back to 13-14%, so he tends to get a few positive outliers from time to time (I have yet to determine a pattern).

37 posted on 11/15/2007 8:59:26 AM PST by kevkrom ("Should government be doing this? And if so, then at what level of government?" - FDT)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GregH

Enjoy you newfound gaiety while you can. Remember, a smile is just a frown, turned upside down!


38 posted on 11/15/2007 8:59:52 AM PST by papasmurf (sudo apt - get install FRed Thompson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

Maybe I should have added that the alternative is to break with the party and start a new one.

But it would be better to continue working on changing the party if we possibly can, offering them victory if they cooperate with us. Starting up a new party wouldn’t be easy. It does happen, but only rarely. Usually you just get something marginal, like the Greens or the Libertarians.

If Rudy wins the nomination, however, there may be no other choice. I really hope that doesn’t happen. Starting new and pure and conservative may be appealing, but it may also prove impossible unless everything falls out in such a way that there’s no other course.

For instance, who would lead this new party? Who has the charisma, the connections, the moneyed friends? Not easy, unless there is no other choice.


39 posted on 11/15/2007 9:01:33 AM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: eastsider

No, not really. Many other polls have had him around 36% or so-—quite a bit considering there are a half-dozen solid competitors. And when you look at the state-by-state SurveyUSA polls that show him whipping Hillary in OH, FL, NM, GA, KS, and tied in WI and within three in CT, then it’s pretty impressive. (Mitt and Fred aren’t within 3 points of Hillary in any of these states except GA and KS, although McCain does better than anyone in all of them.)


40 posted on 11/15/2007 9:08:52 AM PST by LS
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: papasmurf

We have to sell Conservatism all over again...

Indeed...

And the buyers are fickle and easily scared...


41 posted on 11/15/2007 9:11:59 AM PST by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: codercpc
No, I'm not maintaining a spread sheet, although you can find Rasmussen's own chart of the daily numbers here. Fred's percentage yesterday was 12%, he's back to 11% today, and there are still two days in there of pre-endorsement numbers.

Because the daily tracking poll covers four days's results, in order to be at 18% by Monday, Fred either would have to poll 18% each day for the next four days, or to average 18% over the next four days (i.e., Thursday through Sunday).

I'm counting heavily on the margin of error : )

42 posted on 11/15/2007 9:21:08 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: kevkrom

Of course it’s not enough time for that kind of effect. It’s just that Team Mitt had their noses so bent out of shape yesterday over Weyrich’s tantrum that I couldn’t help but take another jab. Chalk up my comment to a cruel sense of humor.


43 posted on 11/15/2007 9:27:03 AM PST by eastsider
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: tlb

I agree Barbour is a good Gov. and a good choice, but I think they’ll be afraid the media will spin him as a “Boss Hogg” southern governor with his accent and all. I know its stupid, but you just know the idiots in the media will play that angle up. They’ll try to make him out to be a reincarnation of a Confederate General or something.

Ticks me off just thinking about it.


44 posted on 11/15/2007 9:43:40 AM PST by Crimson Elephant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: padre35
Conservatives may be better served watching the Senatorial and House races, as it would seem we don’t have anyone really moving up to carry the Conservative banner in the POTUS primaries.

Conservatives would be well served to watch Congressional and state races even if we do have a strong conservative candidate. They're at least as important as the Presidential race.
45 posted on 11/15/2007 9:46:58 AM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.... Valor.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant

Mark Sanford. Bet on it.


46 posted on 11/15/2007 9:48:30 AM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.... Valor.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator
People have their candidate in mind already.

Then why the DROP in Fred's support? And why the large numbers of undecided?

47 posted on 11/15/2007 9:48:43 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: The Pack Knight

“If” Rudy is nominated, the phrase “I will not vote for Guiliani” will be read here over and over again.

To then expect those same people to vote for Senate or House candidates from the homes they are avoiding the polls from is not reality....


48 posted on 11/15/2007 9:50:13 AM PST by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Isaiah 3.3)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: papasmurf
I believe that line came from the song “Back-stabbers”. Good call!

LLS

49 posted on 11/15/2007 9:55:12 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (Support America, Kill terrorists, Destroy dims!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: padre35
Some conservatives they are, then, if they're willing to stay home and concede the whole ball of wax just because they don't get the nominee they want.

They'll get the government they richly deserve. Unfortunately, the rest of us who are actually trying will be along for the ride.
50 posted on 11/15/2007 9:56:00 AM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.... Valor.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-78 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson