Skip to comments.Poll: Romney Gains While Giuliani Slides (NH)
Posted on 11/20/2007 9:54:09 AM PST by Baladas
The WMUR-CNN poll of likely Republican voters conducted by the University of New Hampshire shows Romney with 33 percent support, up from 25 percent in the same poll in September. Giuliani has declined, slipping to 16 percent compared to 24 percent in September.
Those polled also described Romney as the most likely to win the nomination, with 39 percent choosing him and 26 percent saying Giuliani could go the distance.
Just 8 percent said John McCain has what it takes to win the nomination, but 18 percent of voters said they would vote for him, the same as in September. Although his support has remained steady, McCain has moved into second place because of Giuliani's slide.
"The Romney campaign and the McCain campaign have been here a lot more, doing more events than the Giuliani people," said Andy Smith of the UNH Survey Center. "Both Romney and McCain have been on TV awhile. Rudy Giuliani has just gone on the air with his commercials."
Smith said that according to the poll, the most important issues to Republican New Hampshire voters are Iraq, illegal immigration and the economy. More respondents said that McCain would best handle Iraq, while Romney was the choice for illegal immigration and the economy.
"Romney's ads have really been good at pushing traditional Republican positions like low taxes, good management of government, good economy," Smith said.
Coming in fourth for the first time was Ron Paul, who has seen a surge of interest, partially sparked by a one-day online fundraising record of $4.2 million. He was the choice of 8 percent of likely Republican voters, up from 4 percent in September.
Despite the uptick in support and fundraising surge, Paul remains the least popular of the candidates, with 61 percent saying they would not choose him under any circumstances.
Fred Thompson saw a significant slide to 4 percent from 13 percent in September. Thompson had consistently polled in double digits before he entered the race.
Mike Huckabee saw a slight increase to 5 percent from 3 percent in September. Smith said his socially conservative platform hasn't caught on with New Hampshire voters, who placed social issues far down the list of important issues.
Although Romney has a strong lead on the other candidates, only 14 percent of those surveyed said they know for sure who they're supporting. Another 29 percent said they were leaning toward a candidate and 57 percent said they had no idea who they would choose.
Smith said that softness in support means Giuliani can still contend for New Hampshire.
"Certainly, Giuliani has much better numbers than McCain does, more fame, more celebrity than McCain does nationwide," he said.
The date of the New Hampshire primary is still not set. Smith said that with so many states scheduling their primaries, candidates may put more emphasis on the earliest states because they don't have much time to recover from a loss
Take it with a grain of salt. Only poll that matters will be the final vote count after the primary.
I am suspicious, and getting sick, of polls be used as news.
Whats mitt push polling today?
That would be great news.
Any true conservative candidate will do: Huckabee, Tancredo, Romney, Fred, even McCain. However, Giuliani is not conservative and Paul is an obstructionist nut-job.
The media likes Giuliani (Hes basically as far left as Hillary is right) and within the GOP you see lot of support because hes seen as electable. Meaning screw everything we say we believe in, its purely about the GOP and winning 2008, even if this means we have to discard stupid beliefs like the second amendment, family values, abortion, small government. The question is what remains of the GOP after a Giuliani?
Whoever the Republican nominee turns out to be I will support them. The alternative is unbearable. Now there are some I prefer some over others but in the end I will support the nominee.
Snort. Like there's a difference...
Well, my wife just said to me today “Who is Romney? I heard him talk and I like him.”
And she’s a Democrat.
Except on the WoT.
Any other Republican is better than Guilliani - and he’s better than Paul.
Rudy is better than Hitlery.
I just hope I don’t have to pull the lever for him against her.
Only in your mind.
I’m fine with Romney taking away a few north-eastern states from Rudy. Then leaving the south (including Florida), and mid-west to Fred. Then Rudy will be marginalized in his obvious wins in the north...and Fred will get the nomination.
But leave the south alone, Romney...all he would do is sipher from Fred in the beginning, and give Rudy all the momentutum he would need.
I could vote for Romney only if he surrounds himself him hard core conservatives. I say Jim DeMint as his v.p. he is rated the most conservative Senator by the National Journal and he is from the south it makes sense. He would need to put Duncan Hunter as the Secretary of Defense, make Tom Tancredo head of Department of Homeland Security and make John Bolton Secretary of State just for starters. If he would promise do this then he would get my vote easily.
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