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Natural disasters have quadrupled in two decades: study (Oxfam study largely blames global warming)
AFP on Yahoo ^ | 11/25/07 | af

Posted on 11/25/2007 6:23:44 PM PST by NormsRevenge

LONDON (AFP) - More than four times the number of natural disasters are occurring now than did two decades ago, British charity Oxfam said in a study Sunday that largely blamed global warming.

"Oxfam... says that rising green house gas emissions are the major cause of weather-related disasters and must be tackled," the organisation said, adding that the world's poorest people were being hit the hardest.

The world suffered about 120 natural disasters per year in the early 1980s, which compared with the current figure of about 500 per year, according to the report.

"This year we have seen floods in South Asia, across the breadth of Africa and Mexico that have affected more than 250 million people," noted Oxfam director Barbara Stocking.

"This is no freak year. It follows a pattern of more frequent, more erratic, more unpredictable and more extreme weather events that are affecting more people."

She added: "Action is needed now to prepare for more disasters otherwise humanitarian assistance will be overwhelmed and recent advances in human development will go into reverse."

The number of people affected by extreme natural disasters, meanwhile, has surged by almost 70 percent, from 174 million a year between 1985 to 1994, to 254 million people a year between 1995 to 2004, Oxfam said.

Floods and wind-storms have increased from 60 events in 1980 to 240 last year, with flooding itself up six-fold.

But the number of geothermal events, such as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, has barely changed.

Oxfam urged Western governments to push hard for a deal on climate change at a key international meeting that runs December 3-14 on the Indonesian island of Bali.

Rich Western nations and the United Nations must act to "make humanitarian aid faster, fairer and more flexible and to improve ways to prepare for and reduce the risk of disasters," it said.

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change conference in Bali aims to see countries agree to launch a roadmap for negotiating cuts in climate-changing carbon emissions from 2012.

The Oxfam study was compiled using data from the Red Cross, the United Nations and specialist researchers at Louvain University in Belgium.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: disasters; globalwarmin; globalwarming; junkscience; natural; oxfam; quadrupled

1 posted on 11/25/2007 6:23:48 PM PST by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge
Junk Science Alert! No one heard of "global warming" twenty years ago!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

2 posted on 11/25/2007 6:27:01 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: NormsRevenge
Not bad. It only took them until the second sentence to get to the “poor hurt worst” part. But what about the “women hurt worst” line. I didn’t see that in there anywhere. I’d give it a 6.5
3 posted on 11/25/2007 6:27:29 PM PST by NurdlyPeon (Thompson / Hunter in 2008)
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To: NormsRevenge

Clearly, this is just one more horror that must be Bush’s fault. [/sarcasm]


4 posted on 11/25/2007 6:29:00 PM PST by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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And... the money quote:

Rich Western nations and the United Nations must act to “make humanitarian aid faster, fairer and more flexible and to improve ways to prepare for and reduce the risk of disasters”


5 posted on 11/25/2007 6:31:30 PM PST by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: NormsRevenge
How much of this was from better communications? There is quite a difference between someone posting a youtube video of flooding vs. the old method of someone from the national government just not finding a village where there one used to be.

Rich Western nations and the United Nations must act to "make humanitarian aid faster, fairer and more flexible and to improve ways to prepare for and reduce the risk of disasters," it said.

Don't send food - just money. Preferably direct deposited to the Leader's Swiss bank account.

6 posted on 11/25/2007 6:35:56 PM PST by KarlInOhio (Government is the hired help - not the boss. When politicians forget that they must be fired.)
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To: NormsRevenge

I’m sure there were just as many natural disasters in 1980 as there are now. The difference is that satellite and internet technology developed over the last quarter-century now enables the whole world to get the news about each and every disaster occurring anywhere.


7 posted on 11/25/2007 6:36:05 PM PST by JennysCool (Don't taze me, Bro!)
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To: NormsRevenge
"Rich Western nations and the United Nations must act to "make humanitarian aid faster, fairer and more flexible and to improve ways to prepare for and reduce the risk of disasters"

Now how will money from Rich "Western nations" do anything to "reduce the risk of disasters"
8 posted on 11/25/2007 6:38:18 PM PST by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: NormsRevenge
In the US, we used to have the occasional tornado outbreak, now we have disaster declarations when a tornado hits.

We used to have the occasional flood, now we have disaster declarations when it floods.

We used to have the occasional hurricane, now we have disaster declarations before the hurricane even hits.

We used to have the occasional wildfire, now we have disaster declarations when a wildfire occurs.

We used to have the occasional drought, now we get disaster declarations when one occurs.

We classify everything as a disaster nowadays. Mabe that is why there are more of them.

9 posted on 11/25/2007 6:38:19 PM PST by w1andsodidwe (Jimmy Carter allowed radical Islam to get a foothold in Iran.)
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To: NormsRevenge

Why is there a greenhouse left standing?


10 posted on 11/25/2007 6:40:22 PM PST by Paladin2 (We don't fix the problem, we fix the blame!)
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To: NormsRevenge

Well, Oxfam! /roll eyes/ What do you expect from Oxfam? Deep research?


11 posted on 11/25/2007 6:40:58 PM PST by bboop (Stealth Tutor)
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To: P-40
Now how will money from Rich "Western nations" do anything to "reduce the risk of disasters"

I think you have discovered the real reason for this article.

12 posted on 11/25/2007 6:41:27 PM PST by w1andsodidwe (Jimmy Carter allowed radical Islam to get a foothold in Iran.)
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To: w1andsodidwe

I believe you are the winner.


13 posted on 11/25/2007 6:43:39 PM PST by stylin19a
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To: NormsRevenge

Subsidize it, and then be surprised when you get more of it? Oh well, that scam has been very profitable for legions of bureaucrats here in the US, so why not try it worldwide?


14 posted on 11/25/2007 6:43:47 PM PST by RegulatorCountry
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To: NormsRevenge
The world suffered about 120 natural disasters per year in the early 1980s, which compared with the current figure of about 500 per year, according to the report.

Shouldn't that read "The world reported about 120 natural disasters in the early 1980s, which compared with the current reported figure of 500"?

What, exactly, has changed: The climate? Or the reporting?

15 posted on 11/25/2007 6:44:10 PM PST by okie01
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To: NormsRevenge

If there is more floods occuring, then there’s not less fresh water is there? This article is Shullbit!


16 posted on 11/25/2007 6:47:19 PM PST by Waco
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To: NormsRevenge

Charles Mackay anticipated this human-caused global warming delusion in his 1841 classic, “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds”:

“Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one!” Charles Mackay

When it comes to human nature, not much if anything has changed since 1841.


17 posted on 11/25/2007 6:52:13 PM PST by devere
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To: NormsRevenge
This tactic worked for MADD and the anti-tobacco crowd.

Why shouldn't it work for the global warming zealots?

By and large, they are all one and the same.

18 posted on 11/25/2007 6:53:28 PM PST by elkfersupper
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To: w1andsodidwe
The world suffered about 120 natural disasters per year in the early 1980s, which compared with the current figure of about 500 per year, according to the report.

The most obivous question is what is the definition of a "natural disaster"? I am quite comfortable in stating that the definition has become more "liberal" in the vein of the changing definition of obesity. Change the definition and, wala, more "victims"

The number of people affected by extreme natural disasters, meanwhile, has surged by almost 70 percent, from 174 million a year between 1985 to 1994, to 254 million people a year between 1995 to 2004, Oxfam said.

As dominant as Pres. Bush's popular vote was over Kerry, I felt it was insignifigant to state the fact that Pres. Bush won more votes than any presidential candidate in history. Ditto for Kerry. The point is a consideration of proportionality. That is how many eligible voters vs. actual voters.

19 posted on 11/25/2007 7:07:49 PM PST by torchthemummy ("A Tagline Presidential Endorsement Forfeits A Presumption Of Objectivity")
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To: NormsRevenge
I used to give to Oxfam but I eventually figured out that they were a Marxist organization.They’ll never see another dollar,pound,euro,franc,krone,peso or rupee from me.
20 posted on 11/25/2007 7:08:22 PM PST by Gay State Conservative (Wanna see how bad it can get? Elect Hillary and find out.)
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To: w1andsodidwe

A foot of snow in the Philadelphia, PA area is now a disaster, requiring federal funds to recover from same. Used to be a great holiday fun event, now a disaster!


21 posted on 11/25/2007 7:11:45 PM PST by GregoryFul (is a bear a bomb in a bull?)
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To: torchthemummy
The world suffered about 120 natural disasters per year in the early 1980s, which compared with the current figure of about 500 per year, according to the report.

Gotta love the "about" references not to mention the nice even 120 and 500 figures.

22 posted on 11/25/2007 7:14:51 PM PST by torchthemummy ("A Tagline Presidential Endorsement Forfeits A Presumption Of Objectivity")
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To: NormsRevenge
If GW caused it, it can't be a natural disaster, can it?

After all, us hominids caused GW.

Saint Al told me so.

23 posted on 11/25/2007 7:14:58 PM PST by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: NormsRevenge

Chicken Little.


24 posted on 11/25/2007 7:59:04 PM PST by onedoug
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To: NormsRevenge
More than four times the number of natural disasters are occurring now than did two decades ago

They used to call most of these occurences bad weather.

25 posted on 11/25/2007 8:11:38 PM PST by RoadKingSE (How do you know that that light at the end of the tunnel isn't a muzzle flash?)
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To: NormsRevenge

Well, clearly this is the fault of the U.S.

At the end of his second term, before he pardoned the rogues’ gallery, Bubba signed the Kyoto proposal on behalf of the U.S. subject to Senate approval.

The Senate voted 95 - zero against the Kyoto proposal. Trust me, there were not 95 Republican U.S. Senators in December 2000. There were lots of Dimocratz who agreed Kyoto was an idea that stunk like week old feesh.

Still, all of these calamities are Booooshes’ fault, bring in the Savages and the stage crews!

Idjuts.


26 posted on 11/25/2007 8:45:38 PM PST by Rembrandt (We would have won Viet Nam w/o Dim interference.)
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To: NormsRevenge

I have fortunately lived long enough to call this for what it is. Baloney.


27 posted on 11/25/2007 8:50:19 PM PST by Kirkwood
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To: NormsRevenge

Oxfam is really making good use of that $25,000 that Chris McBrainless, er, McCandless gave them before heading off to Alaska.


28 posted on 11/25/2007 8:54:44 PM PST by Larry Lucido (Hunter 2008)
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To: JennysCool
I can see how there would be more disasters, particularly floods. Flooding can be caused by deforestation and poor farming methods, and by poor maintenance. The increase in wind-related disasters could just be caused by the increase in population in areas more vulnerable to wind damage. the same for population increases in flood-prone areas. The world has gained 2 billion people since 1980.
29 posted on 11/25/2007 9:09:38 PM PST by VanShuyten ("Believe me or not, his intelligence was perfectly clear...But his soul was mad.")
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To: Beowulf; Defendingliberty

~~Anthropogenic Global Warming ™~~


30 posted on 11/25/2007 9:50:17 PM PST by steelyourfaith
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To: NormsRevenge

early 1980s....

So the proper headline should read

“Oxfam Acknowledges That Life Under Reagan and Thatcher Was Paradise!”

I don’t trust leftist activists to make any honest and careful comparisons. Did they review centuries of data or just the past 25 years? Oh, you say that we have no good data for a lot of this stuff before 1980? So this trend, even if it were real (big if) could be a short-term cycle.

Did they compare exact specs of every kind of flood and disaster in every locale, or simply how many “disaster declarations” were issued by governments and/or media?

Did they take account of the added 2 billion in populations and where those people might be living, the greatly increased numbers living on coastlines and in vulnerable areas, etc.? A big flood is just as bad for anyone caught in it, but it would be worthwhile to know whether they are describing any serious climate changes or rather the press of human populations into more vulnerable areas???

I doubt that Oxfam bothered with any serious analysis. Anyone know?


31 posted on 11/25/2007 10:21:45 PM PST by Enchante (Democrat terror-fighting motto: "BLEAT - CHEAT - RETREAT - DEFEAT")
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To: NormsRevenge
"She added..."
nuf said. estrogen overload alert!
32 posted on 11/25/2007 11:52:33 PM PST by robomatik
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To: NormsRevenge
"Oxfam study largely blames global warming"

Surpised they didn't blame the guns...

33 posted on 11/25/2007 11:55:21 PM PST by endthematrix (He was shouting 'Allah!' but I didn't hear that. It just sounded like a lot of crap to me.)
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To: NormsRevenge
If the worlds population is an ever increasing number would’nt the number of those affected buy any event also increase? To put it this way if my Wife and I have no children and our house gets flooded only 2 people are affected, then ten years later my wife and I have 3 Children and the same house get flooded then 5 People have now affected. Using just those statistics thats over a 100% increase in those affected but that doesn’t prove the cause is global warming, but just an increase in those affected. It also doesn’t take in to account any other factors such as poor drainage systems, the timing of the storm that caused the flooding (tides are generally higher during full moons, or rental stores where one could buy or rent a pump could be closed at the time of the storm), it doesn't even account for too many people living in area thats too small for them.
34 posted on 11/26/2007 12:26:06 AM PST by KingNo155
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To: NormsRevenge

BTW if global warming is true then there is need to worry about the cost of heating fuel there won’t be any need for it.


35 posted on 11/26/2007 12:28:48 AM PST by KingNo155
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To: NormsRevenge
Reminds me of crime statistics, which are really reported crime.
36 posted on 11/26/2007 12:51:24 AM PST by LZ_Bayonet (There's Always Something.............And there's always something worse!)
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To: NormsRevenge
More than four times the number of natural disasters are occurring now than did two decades ago, British charity Oxfam said in a study Sunday that largely blamed global warming.

Busy creating another teat to milk.
37 posted on 11/26/2007 1:50:51 AM PST by aruanan
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To: stylin19a; w1andsodidwe

I 2nd that assessment. He is the winner.


38 posted on 11/26/2007 5:05:52 AM PST by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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