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(Rasmussen) Daily Presidential Tracking Thread (12-3) [Holy cow!]
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 12-3-7 | Rasmussen

Posted on 12/03/2007 8:16:04 AM PST by Petronski

Monday, December 03, 2007 Advertisment

If the current round of Huck-a-mania is nothing more that Mike Huckabee’s fifteen minutes of fame, the former Arkansas Governor is certainly making the most of it. Today, in the first full round of national polling completed since last week’s “debate” among Republican Presidential hopefuls, Huckabee has pulled to within three points of the frontrunning Rudy Giuliani. Heading into the debate, Giuliani led Huckabee by twelve.

Not only that, new polling data released today shows that Huckabee has pulled to within a single percentage point of Hillary Clinton in a general election match-up. Huckabee is also a frontrunner in Iowa and essentially tied for second in New Hampshire. Some pundits believe Huckabee’s numbers will surely go down as fast as they’ve gone up while others are beginning to consider the possibility that the bass-guitar playing Governor may become a serious contender for the Republican nomination.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Giuliani with 20% support nationwide while Huckabee attracts 17%. Fred Thompson is at 14%, John McCain at 13% and Mitt Romney at 11%. Ron Paul attracts 7% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide and no other Republican candidate reaches 2% (see recent daily numbers). During the past week, three events—a debate, an endorsement, and Huck-a-mania—have created new challenges and uncertainties for the GOP frontrunners.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; fred; fredthompson; hillary; huckabee; ia2008; mitt; nh2008; poll; rudy
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Rudy 20

Huck 17

Fred 14
John 13

Myth 11

LRon 7

Rest 2

MOE 4

1 posted on 12/03/2007 8:16:05 AM PST by Petronski
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To: Politicalmom; greyfoxx39; Jim Robinson; ejonesie22; jdm; RockinRight; Reagan Man; jellybean

Look at Rudy’s number!


2 posted on 12/03/2007 8:17:45 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Petronski

Sigh. Wish it was Thompson / Hunter at the top of the polls. Fred’s hanging in there though. It looks like Huck is taking Guilianni’s voters . . . Battle of the big government conservatives and the Christian is moving up fast.


3 posted on 12/03/2007 8:19:40 AM PST by Greg F (Duncan Hunter is a good man.)
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To: Petronski
Huckabee new GOP leader in Iowa Poll
4 posted on 12/03/2007 8:20:16 AM PST by colorcountry (To anger a conservative, lie to him. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Petronski
It has been a horrible week for Rudy, and a great week for Huck. Let's see if either are sustainable.

Another interesting part of this article is the fact that Huckabee is now within one point of Hillary.

I am not backing Huck, (I am actually for McCain or Rudy), but he may be the insurgent candidate of this election.

Free Republic prerequisite - "all within marjin of error" -

5 posted on 12/03/2007 8:20:19 AM PST by codercpc
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To: Petronski

Bwahahaha!!

I knew these bodyguard scandals would bring him down. Now if we can put a stake in the Huckster....


6 posted on 12/03/2007 8:20:55 AM PST by Politicalmom (Huckabee is the GOP's Jimmy Carter. Are you ready for the plundering of your pocketbook?)
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To: Petronski

20% is bad news for Rooty.

Fred holding steady is good news for conservatives.

Huckabee at 17% is still baffling.


7 posted on 12/03/2007 8:21:22 AM PST by Reagan Man (FUHGETTABOUTIT Rudy....... Conservatives don't vote for liberals!)
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To: Petronski
Giuliani with 20% support nationwide while Huckabee attracts 17%. Fred Thompson is at 14%, John McCain at 13% and Mitt Romney at 11%. Ron Paul attracts 7% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide

This is a national poll?

HOLY GUACAMOLE! I had no idea Huggabee was this high, I thought it was only in Iowa.

Time to get out the check book. Sadly FRed may not see another dime from me unless he gets in gear.

8 posted on 12/03/2007 8:22:54 AM PST by Clint N. Suhks (Tagline war is the answer!©®™)
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To: Petronski

Another drop for Giuiani again!! Anything that shows another DROP in support for a liberal like Rudy is a good thing—A VERY GOOD THING!!!


9 posted on 12/03/2007 8:23:03 AM PST by stockstrader (We need a conservative who will ENERGIZE the Party, not a liberal who will DEMORALIZE it!)
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To: Petronski

This could be Rudy tanking after the poor debate performance. It takes a few days for these effects to set in.


10 posted on 12/03/2007 8:23:20 AM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Petronski
Look at Rudy’s number!

Yep. I was wondering when DBM would no longer be able to keep Rooty-toot in the air.

Fred v. Mike. Yea, Fred can do that.

11 posted on 12/03/2007 8:24:03 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: Petronski
Look at Rudy’s number!

That's the lowest I've ever seen. But we still need to watch RCP.

12 posted on 12/03/2007 8:24:04 AM PST by Clint N. Suhks (Tagline war is the answer!©®™)
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To: Petronski

huckabee one point behind clinton now too

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_huckabee_vs_clinton_obama


13 posted on 12/03/2007 8:24:42 AM PST by philsfan24
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To: Politicalmom

HuckChuckFacts:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZxCdWlCskJA


14 posted on 12/03/2007 8:25:54 AM PST by Andy'smom
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To: Petronski

RCP still not changed.

RCP Average
Giuliani27.7%
Thompson14.8%
McCain12.8%
Romney12.2%
Huckabee10.0%

Giuliani +12.9%


15 posted on 12/03/2007 8:26:01 AM PST by Clint N. Suhks (Tagline war is the answer!©®™)
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To: Greg F

Sure would be a good time for the NRA to weigh in.


16 posted on 12/03/2007 8:27:36 AM PST by mmichaels1970
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To: Reagan Man

I think that Huck is getting all the pro-life Christians. I think they are thinking that saving lives is more important than having a few extra dollars in their pockets. Huck is extremely pro-life but sometimes raises taxes. I think people looked at the priorities and picked the babies. Me I am only for Duncan Hunter!!!!! However if Huck makes it I won’t be down in the dumps.


17 posted on 12/03/2007 8:27:39 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: Clint N. Suhks

RCP is by it’s very nature a trailing indicator.


18 posted on 12/03/2007 8:27:54 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Petronski

This race is Fred’s if he wants it.

Huck’s number is rising but Rudy is falling and Fred can pick up a few of those. In addition, he can knock at least a few of Huck’s off if he plays his cards right.


19 posted on 12/03/2007 8:28:05 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: Petronski
Battle is a highly fluid situation.
---Vic Deakins
20 posted on 12/03/2007 8:28:14 AM PST by samtheman
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To: Reagan Man

This Huck run is truly astonishing. I don’t think anyone saw this coming.

But I certainly don’t agree that Fred is exactly holding steady. The more he campaigns, the less GOP voters like him. He is decling steadily, and that is really a pity.

I can’t see that Giuliani can be stopped if Huck knocks out Mitt in Iowa, which now appears to be basically done. Such momentum at this late stage (especially unexpectedly) is probably unstoppable in Iowa. So unless Huck translates that into a victory in SC (I see Mitt holding NH and MI), then Iowa may be his first and last victory. But who knows at this stage.

I really do think that a Giuliani/Huckabee ticket might be the result of all this. Doesn’t do much for fiscal conservatives, but I think that ticket will make sure that social conservatives come out against the D, and that is a good thing (though far from ideal, obviously).

If nothing else, though, this race has become interesting - and not because of Fred (which is in itself surprising).


21 posted on 12/03/2007 8:28:52 AM PST by ConservativeDude
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To: RockinRight

This race is Fred’s if he wants it.”

Sadly, I think Fred wanting this is something that has never been in the equation.....


22 posted on 12/03/2007 8:29:50 AM PST by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude
But I certainly don’t agree that Fred is exactly holding steady. The more he campaigns, the less GOP voters like him.

Demonstrably false.

23 posted on 12/03/2007 8:30:28 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: Petronski

A couple weeks ago, I posted on another FR thread I think Huckabee will be the Republican nominee. I also think the guy has a good chance to be our next President. Americans want a President they can “like.” I think he has that appeal.


24 posted on 12/03/2007 8:30:44 AM PST by NoControllingLegalAuthority
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To: ConservativeDude
Sadly, I think Fred wanting this is something that has never been in the equation.....

Ridiculous.

25 posted on 12/03/2007 8:31:02 AM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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To: napscoordinator

Do they really think that Huckabee’s net effect would result in one less abortion than Fred’s?

Clue: It won’t. In fact I’d venture to guess Fred will do better in that regard.

Evangelicals, OPEN YOUR EYES. Socialism is NOT compatible with social conservatism over the long run.

Fred is the real deal, even if he doesn’t have the poise or the “down-home preacher” appeal that Huck does.

Think of the results, not the package.

Disclaimer: This PSA has been a production of RockinRight and all real conservatives in America and is in no way connected to or funded by the Thompson Campaign.


26 posted on 12/03/2007 8:31:32 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: Reagan Man

it’s baffling that a pro-life evangelical is getting the pro-life evangelical vote?


27 posted on 12/03/2007 8:31:38 AM PST by ari-freedom (Any theory can appear to explain facts if the theory has enough variables.)
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To: Clint N. Suhks
Time to get out the check book. Sadly FRed may not see another dime from me unless he gets in gear.

Still believing DBM reports on "Fred's Campaigning" is not exactly what he needs it to be?

We are trying to get the best candidate for the Office of President. It’s a issue of best suited for the job, not a popularity contest. Or did some of the reasons why you support Fred somehow change? Fred’s resume looks the same to me as it did in April. Why are you saying you would now support the Huckster?

28 posted on 12/03/2007 8:32:21 AM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: ConservativeDude

Why in God’s name would he go through all this if he didn’t want it?


29 posted on 12/03/2007 8:32:33 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: ari-freedom

It’s baffling that pro-life evangelicals are too stupid to realize that socialism and nannystatism is not compatible with pro-life social conservatism in the long run and that the last thing we need is a guy that’s all of Bush’s bad traits, few of his good ones, and believes in a national smoking ban, higher taxes, and unrestricted illegal immigration.


30 posted on 12/03/2007 8:33:38 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: Andy'smom
and some more proof that while Mike is pro-life, he's no conservative ....

www.huckabeefacts.org

31 posted on 12/03/2007 8:33:42 AM PST by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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To: Clint N. Suhks
HOLY GUACAMOLE! I had no idea Huggabee was this high, I thought it was only in Iowa. Time to get out the check book. Sadly FRed may not see another dime from me unless he gets in gear.

Jeez. Talk about poll driven voters.

32 posted on 12/03/2007 8:34:42 AM PST by McGruff (A "Big Time" Fred Thompson supporter!)
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To: RockinRight

Duncan is the real deal actually! Oh and I am Catholic!


33 posted on 12/03/2007 8:35:54 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: ConservativeDude
While everybody is talking about Fred Thompson, "He's too lazy. He's too lackadaisical. He doesn't seem to have whole lot of energy." Fine and dandy. I'm not going to argue with people about your perceptions of attitudes and so forth. I will say this. I don't think anybody would get into this mess running for the presidency, the media and all of these things. You can't imagine what these people go through. You wouldn't want to go through it, and I can't imagine somebody put themselves through it if they really don't want it. - Rush Limbaugh
34 posted on 12/03/2007 8:35:57 AM PST by mmichaels1970
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To: RockinRight

Evangelicals, OPEN YOUR EYES. Socialism is NOT compatible with social conservatism over the long run.”

Amen, brother


35 posted on 12/03/2007 8:36:25 AM PST by ConservativeDude
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To: napscoordinator

No doubt there, but we’ve discussed this before and I support Fred as the second-best overall but most electable.

Hunter’s a good man. Enjoy voting for him!


36 posted on 12/03/2007 8:37:23 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: napscoordinator
>>>>>I think that Huck is getting all the pro-life Christians.

Mike Huckabee might be getting most of the Evangelical support.... maybe. The pro-life Christian vote is split among all the candidates, with Rooty also getting some of their support. I think the Huckster saw much of his support migrate over to him from Fred. Counting on seeing that trend reverse soon.

37 posted on 12/03/2007 8:37:27 AM PST by Reagan Man (FUHGETTABOUTIT Rudy....... Conservatives don't vote for liberals!)
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To: RockinRight

Bush made a big difference with his stand on stem cell research. It’s not just about an amendment or repealing roe v wade.

Fred doesn’t seem to be passionate about the campaign. Huck is and that’s what happens.


38 posted on 12/03/2007 8:37:41 AM PST by ari-freedom (Any theory can appear to explain facts if the theory has enough variables.)
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To: RockinRight

Why in God’s name would he go through all this if he didn’t want it?”

I was asking myself and a friend that, at church, just yesterday. It is baffling.

All I know is that he has turned out to be one of the worst campaigners I have ever seen. What with his Hollywood experience, this is truly shocking. And hugely disappointing.

Now that said, if he makes it to my state’s primary (doubtful), I will vote for him.

If he doesn’t, I will vote for Romney (unless he has dropped out also).


39 posted on 12/03/2007 8:38:25 AM PST by ConservativeDude
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To: NoControllingLegalAuthority
Americans want a President they can “like.” I think he has that appeal.

Americans don't "like" having their taxes raised.
Americans don't "like" the illegal alien invasion.

As far as domestic issues go, Huck is just a continuation of GWB *without* the tax cuts. So far, he's been relatively silent on foreign policy.

Sounds like a 'Rat in Pubbie clothing to me.

40 posted on 12/03/2007 8:39:10 AM PST by bassmaner (Hey commies: I am a white male, and I am guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.)
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To: napscoordinator
I think that Huck is getting all the pro-life Christians.

Not all of them.

41 posted on 12/03/2007 8:39:35 AM PST by MEGoody (Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.)
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To: Petronski

Perfect...

Go Huck go!

If you can get BOTH Rudy and Romney for us, all the better...


42 posted on 12/03/2007 8:40:47 AM PST by ejonesie22 (In America all people have a right to be wrong, some just exercise it a bit much...)
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To: Politicalmom

Not too soon Mom, not too soon...

Let him take effect.


43 posted on 12/03/2007 8:41:39 AM PST by ejonesie22 (In America all people have a right to be wrong, some just exercise it a bit much...)
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To: RockinRight

Thanks. But remember what I told you before. I will not have any say in this race one way or the other which is why I can tout Duncan constantly. I don’t vote until April 22!!!! Pennsylvania is practically the last state to vote. It will be over way before then. So yes in some ways I am having fun.


44 posted on 12/03/2007 8:41:54 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: Petronski

Rudy is down 7 in a few days.


45 posted on 12/03/2007 8:42:49 AM PST by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his Lacking Decisive Stands.)
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To: Reagan Man

Shiny objects Reagan Man, shiny objects...


46 posted on 12/03/2007 8:42:55 AM PST by ejonesie22 (In America all people have a right to be wrong, some just exercise it a bit much...)
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To: napscoordinator
I think that Huck is getting all the pro-life Christians.

Not this one.

And not the father of the pro-life movement and founder of the NRLC and the International Right to Life Federation, Dr. John Willke.

We're supporting Mitt Romney.

47 posted on 12/03/2007 8:43:11 AM PST by Spiff ("Mike Huckabee raised more taxes in 10 years in office than Bill Clinton did in his 12 years.")
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To: TLI

That is the plan.


48 posted on 12/03/2007 8:43:56 AM PST by ejonesie22 (In America all people have a right to be wrong, some just exercise it a bit much...)
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To: ejonesie22

I’d like to know how much of the support for Huckabee is because of his support for the Fair Tax.


49 posted on 12/03/2007 8:43:59 AM PST by Joisey (Now, go away, or I shall taunt you a second time-a!)
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To: RockinRight

That message isn’t really out there. Fred has to go against Huck soon before he loses all the anti-Rudy voters.


50 posted on 12/03/2007 8:44:35 AM PST by ari-freedom (Any theory can appear to explain facts if the theory has enough variables.)
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