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The cracks begin to show: Hillary Clinton no longer looks inevitable
The Economist ^ | Dec 13th 2007 | Lexington (Pseudonym)

Posted on 12/13/2007 10:40:46 AM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA

ON December 8th Hillary Clinton received what should have been a boost from Andrew Young, one of the giants of the civil-rights movement. Mr Young pronounced that he wants her chief rival, Barack Obama, to be president—but in 2016, not 2008.

The 46-year-old Mr Obama is just too green about the gills for the highest office in the land, Mr Young argued, and lacks a network of political allies that could sustain him in times of trouble. “To put a brother in there by himself is to set him up for crucifixion,” he said. But he could not resist adding a kicker. “Bill [Clinton] is every bit as black as Barack—he's probably gone with more black women than Barack.”

Mr Young's faux pas is a small symptom of the Clinton campaign's troubles. Mrs Clinton's commanding leads in the make-or-break states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina have evaporated. And the much-vaunted Hillary machine is looking, for the moment at least, more Heath Robinson than Vorsprung durch Technik. The bad news keeps coming, and even the good news has a way of turning bad.

Mr Obama is proving to be Mrs Clinton's perfect nightmare. He has not only neutralised her most compelling claim for attention—the first black president is a more momentous prospect than the first woman president. He has also shaped the race. His early entry into the contest forced Mrs Clinton to declare her candidacy sooner than she had planned. His fund-raising prowess forced her to make much more use of her husband than she had intended. Last weekend stadium-sized crowds turned up to watch Oprah Winfrey, the only woman in America who can turn “Anna Karenina” into a bestseller, stumping for Mr Obama. Mrs Clinton was reduced to touring Iowa with her daughter, Chelsea, and her mother, Dorothy.

Mrs Clinton's problems have forced her to abandon the high horse of inevitability for the boxing ring. Yet so far she has proved to be no great shakes as a pugilist. She excused her poor performance in a debate in Philadelphia by accusing her fellow (male) candidates of “piling on”. This feebly suggested that she wanted to be given special treatment because of her gender. Then she threw a succession of wild punches that made her look like an amateur. The Clinton campaign's decision to dredge up the fact that Mr Obama had written an essay in kindergarten on how he wanted to be president was particularly misguided. What sort of person quotes a kindergarten essay against a rival?

Mrs Clinton's recent troubles have raised questions about what is arguably her most important selling-point, her competence. The Clintonistas have always presented her as a woman who is “tough enough” to deal with anything that is thrown at her—trained in the Clinton wars of the 1990s and always ready with a counter-punch. She is certainly one of America's most accomplished practitioners of the politics of personal destruction. But the skills that she perfected behind the scenes seem to be far less effective when they are practised in the limelight.

Same old dirty politics Mrs Clinton's troubles have also reminded people of what they most disliked about the politics of the Clinton-Bush era. “She's run what Washington would call a textbook campaign,” Mr Obama argues. “But the problem is the textbook itself.” This is self-serving: all campaigns employ the dark arts of polls, story-planting and character assassination, and Mr Obama is no exception. But Mrs Clinton is vulnerable to the charge that she uses them more than most. She is surrounded by veteran pollsters and lobbyists from her husband's administration. She seems to delight in political warfare—“Now the fun part starts,” she stupidly declared about her battle with Mr Obama. And her campaign seems addicted to spin. Mr Clinton did his wife no favours when he recently declared, despite evidence to the contrary, that he had opposed the Iraq war from the start.

Mrs Clinton's style inevitably raises questions about her character. Discuss her with voters and the same words keep cropping up—“disciplined”, “robotic”, “cold”, “scripted”, “calculating” (if childhoods are to be invoked, even her mother once said that “she just does everything she has to do to get along and get ahead”). Large numbers of voters regard her as slippery and untrustworthy. This inevitably raises questions about her electability. Mrs Clinton sometimes manages to lose in head-to-head polls against leading Republicans, despite a tidal wave of anti-Republican sentiment. A recent Gallup poll showed that, with 47% of people favourably disposed to her and 50% unfavourably disposed, she had the highest “negatives” of any candidate in the race, Democratic or Republican. Those negatives are particularly high in swing states such as Colorado.

None of this means that the former first lady's goose is cooked. Mrs Clinton is still well ahead in national polls and in the often overlooked early state of Nevada. Americans do not necessarily feel that they need to like their presidents. Richard Nixon won a resounding victory in 1972. Nearly as many Americans disliked Bill Clinton as liked him when he ran for the White House. And the (just about) Republican front-runner, Rudy Giuliani, is hardly a likeable chap. Ed Koch once wrote a book about his fellow mayor simply entitled “Giuliani: Nasty Man”.

But Mrs Clinton's problems are slowly shifting the calculus at the heart of the Democratic race. Hitherto most Democrats have calculated, or perhaps been resigned to thinking, that she is the safest bet. The young Mr Obama might deliver a spectacular victory, but he might equally well flame out spectacularly. Mrs Clinton may always have high negatives but, in an anti-Republican year, she would be wily and experienced enough to take on the Republican machine and eke out a victory in the electoral college. The past few weeks have made Mr Obama look a bit less risky—and Mrs Clinton a lot less safe.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; clinton; democratparty; elections; hildabeast; hillary; hitlery; obama; obamabama
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1 posted on 12/13/2007 10:40:50 AM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

The cracks may be showing, so hand her one sheet of TP!


2 posted on 12/13/2007 10:42:06 AM PST by Young Werther (Julius Caesar (Quae Cum Ita Sunt. Since these things are so.))
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

She was only “inEVITAble” in her own little world.........


3 posted on 12/13/2007 10:42:21 AM PST by Red Badger ( We don't have science, but we do have consensus.......)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Bill Clinton could probably have “slicked” his way out of this, but his cold fish wife just doesn’t have it.


4 posted on 12/13/2007 10:44:09 AM PST by capt. norm (Be thankful we're not getting all the government we're paying for.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
And the much-vaunted Hillary machine is looking, for the moment at least, more Heath Robinson than Vorsprung durch Technik.

The Economist can be oh-so-precious.

Heath Robinson is English for Rube Goldberg.

And Vorsprung durch Technik is German for "progress through technology."

5 posted on 12/13/2007 10:44:18 AM PST by wideawake (Why is it that so many self-proclaimed "Constitutionalists" know so little about the Constitution?)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

What sort of person quotes a kindergarten essay against a rival?

Nuff said.


6 posted on 12/13/2007 10:50:02 AM PST by rbg81 (DRAIN THE SWAMP!!)
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To: wideawake
But W. Heath Robinson is so much more entertaining than Rube Goldberg!

actually, Robinson is as quintessentially British as Goldberg is American. I love them both.

7 posted on 12/13/2007 10:52:15 AM PST by AnAmericanMother ((Ministrix of Ye Chase, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment)))
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To: wideawake

Thank you. I thought they were heavy metal bands.


8 posted on 12/13/2007 10:52:18 AM PST by Argus
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Nothing new here. Same old re-hash of a few standard ideas about the Beast. Mostly true; but nothing new.

What does scare me is that she’s doing so well in Nevada. Kind of a template for red-to-blue conversions.

It makes me want to see the muzzie from Illinois win the nomination over the she-beast from New York.


9 posted on 12/13/2007 10:53:11 AM PST by samtheman
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To: rbg81
What sort of person quotes a kindergarten essay against a rival?

This begs the question: what kind of person writes an essay in kindergarten?

I struggled to draw a bunny rabbit in kindergarten....forget the text. I could barely spell a few dozen words then, and needless to say, I composed zero essays until a few years later.

10 posted on 12/13/2007 10:55:12 AM PST by capt. norm (Be thankful we're not getting all the government we're paying for.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Don’t count her out yet.

I wonder if I could take out a large life insurance policy on Obama? Based on the Clinton’s activities in Arkansas, this might be a good investment.


11 posted on 12/13/2007 11:01:17 AM PST by ZULU (Non nobis, non nobis Domine, sed nomini tuo da gloriam. God, guts and guns made America great.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
Those negatives are particularly high in swing states such as Colorado

I found this bit particularly noteworthy, since many on another thread were saying that CO might go to the dems. Apparently, that would only be the case if Hillary! is not the dem candidate.

12 posted on 12/13/2007 11:11:51 AM PST by Sicon
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To: samtheman
It makes me want to see the muzzie from Illinois win the nomination over the she-beast from New York.

The Democrat race is as much a media contrivance as the Republican race. Just as they want to see Repubs nominate Giuliani, they want to see Dems nominate Hillary. It makes for good touchy-feely, which is all news is nowadays.

If Repubs nominate Rudy to face Hillary, they will be sorry, because Hillary won't be running, and neither will Barak. If Al Gore doesn't get in the race, we will be watching John Edwards and Joe Biden duking it out for the Dem nomination in the later primaries. It really would be Al Gore's race to lose, if he were smart enough to jump in this week. I bet they won't be saying he's too late like they say Fred Thompson is too late.

FWIW, I predict that the Dems will end up with Edwards/Richardson at the end.

13 posted on 12/13/2007 11:11:51 AM PST by webheart
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Well, Mrs. Clinton is still number one with lesbians and number pooh with most others.


14 posted on 12/13/2007 11:11:54 AM PST by Joe Boucher (An enemy of Islam)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

“the cracks begin to show: hillary clinton no longer looks inevitable.”

she may not look inevitable but she most definitely is.
you can thank the “american electorate.” (more than 50% of them.)


15 posted on 12/13/2007 11:13:57 AM PST by ripley
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To: samtheman

Look, Nevada is run by the Mob. Reid is controled by the mob.\
The Clintons are an outlet of and for the mob.
If ya don’t believe it, how many associates and former friends of the Clintons are dead?


16 posted on 12/13/2007 11:14:11 AM PST by Joe Boucher (An enemy of Islam)
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To: Young Werther

She is so full of sh** it will take a crew of industrial waste disposal specialist working for weeks to clean up the mess. The bio hazard nature of her crap means it will have to be shipped to Yucca Mountain. Remember that she travels with her own gold-plated ladies(?)room.


17 posted on 12/13/2007 11:14:39 AM PST by hdstmf
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To: Red Badger
She was only “inEVITAble” in her own little world.........

LOL.

"Don't cry for me, bulldyke ladies...."

18 posted on 12/13/2007 11:15:15 AM PST by Allegra (Greetings from a kinder, gentler Iraq. God bless US and Coalition Forces.)
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To: rbg81

What sort of person quotes a kindergarten essay against a rival?

Since when do kidergarten kids write essays?


19 posted on 12/13/2007 11:15:58 AM PST by hdstmf
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

The campaign has gone on so long that Hillary!08 is visibly and audibly more aged than when it started. While we were waiting for her to peak mentally or physically the whole idea became moot.


20 posted on 12/13/2007 11:17:21 AM PST by RightWhale (anti-razors are pro-life)
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To: Red Badger; USFRIENDINVICTORIA
She was only “inEVITAble” in her own little world.........

LOL, too true. She was/is hoping to enlarge that world. I guess we just aren't ready for Evita.

21 posted on 12/13/2007 11:19:02 AM PST by fortunecookie (Communism/socialism has failed millions, it wasn't right for them - and it isn't right for US.)
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To: samtheman
“Nothing new here.”

I should have commented on that when I posted the article. There is nothing new in here for conservative Americans. However, the rest of the world — or anyone who gets their information from the liberal MSM — isn’t as aware. The Economist is a global business “newspaper” — it’s less partisan and ideologically driven than most of the MSM in the U.S. It will sway a lot of the world’s elites’ opinion about HRC.

22 posted on 12/13/2007 11:20:10 AM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA


“If a CEO of a fortune 500 company were to retire, would anyone
seriously consider his wife to be an adequate replacement simply
because she was married to him when he ran the company?”
—John Hawkins

.


23 posted on 12/13/2007 11:21:17 AM PST by OESY
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
The cracks begin to show......


24 posted on 12/13/2007 11:22:30 AM PST by cowboyway
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To: Red Badger

GOOD CATCH!


25 posted on 12/13/2007 11:23:36 AM PST by Ann Archy (Abortion: The Human Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: cowboyway
I was beginning to wonder when they were going to release production photos of Heath Ledger as the Joker...

Great make-up work! I am sooooo looking forward to seeing the new Batman movie.


26 posted on 12/13/2007 11:25:56 AM PST by FortWorthPatriot (No better friend, no worse enemy)
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To: OESY
As a citizen of a member of the British Commonwealth, and a loyal subject; I’m offended. Deeply offended. The Queen’s not amused either.

< /fake outrage>

Great picture — funny on several levels. (If it weren’t so scarry.)

27 posted on 12/13/2007 11:26:15 AM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

The public is starting to see what a vicious, cold, calculating bitter marxist she is. Her attempts to destroy Barack Obama have shown everyone that she will do anything at all to gain the ultimate power and rule the country with an iron grip, suppressing her enemies and moving the country into open marxism.


28 posted on 12/13/2007 11:27:02 AM PST by Leftism is Mentally Deranged (other than that, she's really a nice person)
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To: Joe Boucher

True about the mob and Nevada, but didn’t Bush win Nevada in 2000 and 2004?


29 posted on 12/13/2007 11:33:20 AM PST by samtheman
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To: samtheman

He wasn’t running against the Clintons.
The mobs home boy and gal.
You think if Mrs. Clinton needs say chicago or Nevada or New Jersey to place a mobster in the presidency that she won’t get the nod in any of these or other states that are run by the mob?


30 posted on 12/13/2007 11:41:10 AM PST by Joe Boucher (An enemy of Islam)
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To: ZULU

If she can figure a way to get sympathy out of it or blame republicans. He’s dead.


31 posted on 12/13/2007 11:54:26 AM PST by the gillman@blacklagoon.com (And close the damned borders!)
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To: wideawake

“And Vorsprung durch Technik is German for “progress through technology.””

And an Audi slogan. Maybe the author just bought an Audi.


32 posted on 12/13/2007 11:59:08 AM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: capt. norm

“they most disliked about the politics of the Clinton-Bush era”

How does Bush get pulled into this? Has he called anyone Hitler or an idiot??


33 posted on 12/13/2007 12:48:43 PM PST by Holicheese (1-21-09 Hillary starts to destroy America!)
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To: ripley

As long as her crack doesn’t show. My stomach is upset already!


34 posted on 12/13/2007 12:51:58 PM PST by Holicheese (1-21-09 Hillary starts to destroy America!)
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To: Holicheese
Even The Economist sometimes gets it wrong. Last election they "reluctantly" endorsed JFK, (whom they called "deeply flawed") over Bush.
35 posted on 12/13/2007 12:55:34 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

J Forbes would practice writing his name so his signiture resembled JFK’s. According to Howie Carr in Boston, who knows J Forbes as well as anyone.


36 posted on 12/13/2007 12:57:49 PM PST by Holicheese (1-21-09 Hillary starts to destroy America!)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

If Hillary gets elected, we conservatives will be on our way to the camps in cattle cars.


37 posted on 12/13/2007 1:28:23 PM PST by NoControllingLegalAuthority
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Kind of a high duhh factor on that one.

.

.

.

According to Intrade, the winner of yesterday’s GOP debate was... Duncan Hunter.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1938773/posts


38 posted on 12/13/2007 1:40:01 PM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
Mrs Clinton's style inevitably raises questions about her character. Discuss her with voters and the same words keep cropping up—“disciplined”, “robotic”, “cold”, “scripted”, “calculating” (if childhoods are to be invoked, even her mother once said that “she just does everything she has to do to get along and get ahead”).

I think I'm going to have to watch the Reese Witherspoon movie Election again. I now remember it as a prescient portrayal of Hillary's campaign style.

39 posted on 12/13/2007 1:42:05 PM PST by AZLiberty (President Fred -- I like the sound of it.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Ping


40 posted on 12/13/2007 2:04:35 PM PST by BuglerTex
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To: NoControllingLegalAuthority

“if hillary! gets elected, we conservatives will be on our way to the camps in cattle cars.”

yup.


41 posted on 12/13/2007 2:21:42 PM PST by ripley
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Her power comes from her husband. Women who made it on their own - professional women - don’t trust her.


42 posted on 12/13/2007 2:26:33 PM PST by GOPJ (Dems! Would you trust a pilot's wife to land a plane just because she's a frequent flyer??)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

43 posted on 12/13/2007 4:05:26 PM PST by Grampa Dave ("Ron Paul and his flaming antiwar spam monkeys can Kiss my Ass!!"- Jim Robinson, Sept, 30, 2007)
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To: Czar; Borax Queen; yorkie
Mrs Clinton's problems have forced her to abandon the high horse of inevitability for the boxing ring. Yet so far she has proved to be no great shakes as a pugilist. She excused her poor performance in a debate in Philadelphia by accusing her fellow (male) candidates of “piling on”.

Aw shucks. I do believe I feel a crocodile tear coming on....

44 posted on 12/13/2007 4:06:48 PM PST by nicmarlo
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

45 posted on 12/13/2007 4:07:29 PM PST by Grampa Dave ("Ron Paul and his flaming antiwar spam monkeys can Kiss my Ass!!"- Jim Robinson, Sept, 30, 2007)
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To: nicmarlo

Don’t waste your tears, Nic. Leave them for the ones in post #18’s last sentence! LOL!!!

I never thought of her like ‘that’. But, come to think of it, she is as abrasive (to me) as Rosie O’Donnell. Or even more so! Gives me shivers to even look at those cold, evil eyes.


46 posted on 12/13/2007 5:14:54 PM PST by yorkie ( For God so loved the world........................ that He didn't send a committee.)
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To: yorkie

I’ve thought of her thataway...because I keep hearing comments about the possibility of that (not that that means anything, of course; but I’ve been hearing those kinds of comments for some time).

She’s definitely bad, bad, bad, in any event.


47 posted on 12/13/2007 5:23:56 PM PST by nicmarlo
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To: nicmarlo
If I didn't know better, I would be thinking that she is very involved in making preparations to rig the upcoming caucus, nomination and election - no matter that the other democrat candidates let her, help her, and watch her, cook her own goose.

Her downfall on the charts is predictible. But, I think in her mind, she's entitled to the WH - once again.

48 posted on 12/13/2007 6:44:15 PM PST by yorkie ( For God so loved the world........................ that He didn't send a committee.)
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To: yorkie

For the rest of her rotten wormy life, she’ll always think she’s entitled to whatever she wants.


49 posted on 12/13/2007 8:17:44 PM PST by nicmarlo
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To: nicmarlo
What scares me is her 'mow-down' tactics. Nothing will stop her from getting what she wants. And, woe to anyone or anything that gets in her way as she seeks to achieve steal that goal obsession.
50 posted on 12/13/2007 8:24:25 PM PST by yorkie ( For God so loved the world........................ that He didn't send a committee.)
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