Skip to comments.Survey USA: New York
Posted on 12/22/2007 12:00:53 PM PST by Norman Bates
Geography Surveyed: New York
Data Collected: 12/13/2007 - 12/15/2007
Release Date: 12/21/2007 10:10 AM ET
Sponsors: WABC-TV New York, WHEC-TV Rochester, WNYT-TV Albany
Sample: 503 RVs
MoE: ± 4.4%
10/30 poll (Fred included)
10/1 poll (Fred included)
Given where the survey was conducted, I don’t think any of us are surprised.
This is news? ;)
Who really cares about NY? As usual, this election will be decided in the midwest, and in Florida.
Until more states split their electoral votes like Nebraska and Maine, up to 49% of a any given state’s population will be under-represented.
Of course, the Democrats would never want to split up the lock they have on all of NY and California’s EV’s.
Wow, so we should vote for Rudy since he would kind of be close in New York!
What if you throw Bloomberg in the mix?
Great stategy Rudy. Try and win the states you can’t.
Rudy is a dingdong imo.
Most other polls show Obama to be stronger than Hillary in the general election. OTOH, Survey USA continues to reveal the opposite.
When do we get the results from Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Vermont? The suspense is killing me!
So, New York is competitive if Rudy is the nominee. While that shouldn’t be the deciding factor for conservatives, it should be a factor.
The RATS are racist and wont vote for a black.
Hillary could only beat the RINO’s like Rooty and Romney because conservatives wont vote for them.
I can think of at least four major flaws in polling technique here, all of which have a tendency to skew the resusts toward the ‘Rats:
(1) The poll sponsors are MSM nitwits, and so the questioning may not have been objective.
(2) The sampling size is small, leaving a wide margin of statistical error.
(3) The polled group was “registered” voters. Historically, Republicans are more likely to vote, percentagewise, than are Dems. Plus, the presence of HRC on the ballot might make this even more of a factor next year.
(4) The polling was done on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, so a good chunk of it was done over a weekend (especially if you consider Friday night as part of the weekend) during the heart of the Christmas shopping season. Republicans tend to be away from home more than Democrats.
Considering the name recognition advantage of Her Royal Thighness and the sad state of the NY Republican party, and considering the biases built into this poll because of its faulty technique, the GOP, while trailing with almost a year to go, doesn’t come out all that badly when these factors are brought into the analysis.
Think spending of money.
Hillary could ignore new york by not spending money there.
Obama would have to spend resources.
Remember when Cheney went to HAWAII?
Looks like white, white Hispanic, and Asian Democrats in NY won’t vote for the half black guy no matter what.
15 points down I wouldn’t call competitive. 10, yes. :-)
I’m about to post another one.