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Boston Globe poll on the New Hampshire primary
Boston Globe ^ | 12/23/07

Posted on 12/24/2007 5:26:08 AM PST by advance_copy

A Boston Globe survey of likely primary voters in New Hampshire taken between December 16 and 20. Sampled were 422 likely Democrat and 410 likely Republican voters. Margin of error: +/- 4.9 percentage points. Numbers may not add to 100 percent due to rounding. SOURCE: University of New Hampshire Survey Center

(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; nh; primary
These are now the polls that mean something.

Republicans
==============
Romney - 28%
McCain - 25%
Giuliani - 14%
Huckabee - 10%

DemocRATS
==============
Obama - 30%
Clinton - 28%
Edwards - 14%
Richardson - 10%

Now for some toast with your morning coffee. If Edwards does not win Iowa, he is toast. If Huckabee does not win Iowa by at leat 5%, he is toast. Both will lose New Hampshire, and Huckabee will lose big-time. When the votes are counted in the Granite State, they will need a story out of Iowa on which to hang their hat.
1 posted on 12/24/2007 5:26:09 AM PST by advance_copy
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To: advance_copy

and if Edwards and the Huckster peter out soon after NH, where does their support go?


2 posted on 12/24/2007 5:31:54 AM PST by Keith (ANY REPUBLICAN in 2008 -- it's about defeating Mrs. Bill Clinton)
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To: Keith

Outstanding question. Edwards voters are more anti-Clinton than anti-Obama, so they’ll break to Obama. Huckabee voters are a bit different. I really cannot answer, I just don’t know.


3 posted on 12/24/2007 5:36:52 AM PST by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: advance_copy

Who are the idiots supporting McCain? How many political knifes in the back from this guy do they need before they wake up?


4 posted on 12/24/2007 5:45:29 AM PST by MNJohnnie (Hillary Clinton has never done one thing right. She thinks that qualifies her to be President?)
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To: advance_copy

Agreed. If Edwards drops out, Hillary could be toast. He and Obama are on the same page in the eyes of the RAT base. Very few Edwards supporters would go to Hillary unless she gets religion and repents for her vote to authorize the war.

I think Huck’s support would be divvied up among the remaining candidates. Could be that Romney would not get much but that for various reasons the other candidates would pick up varying percentages.


5 posted on 12/24/2007 5:46:36 AM PST by freespirited (Still a proud member of the Stupid Party. It beats the Evil Party any day of the week.)
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To: Owen

Bump.


6 posted on 12/24/2007 5:49:41 AM PST by JCEccles
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To: freespirited

Edwards is not dropping out after Iowa, come what may. He is more popular with the rank and file than the media let on.
He’s not Clinton and he’s not Obama. That’s two things in his favor in the eyes of a great many Dems.
My biggest fear is that when the other two destroy each other, Edwards will waltz away with the prize.

Remember how certain Dean looked to win. Clinton and Obama both have a lot more shortcomings than Howard Dean.


7 posted on 12/24/2007 6:28:50 AM PST by 668 - Neighbor of the Beast ( "Do well, but remember to do good.")
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To: Keith
and if Edwards and the Huckster peter out soon after NH, where does their support go?

Mrs. Karl Marx???

8 posted on 12/24/2007 6:31:32 AM PST by Don Corleone (Leave the gun..take the cannoli)
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To: advance_copy

Doesn’t NH have open primaries?

If so, polling likely Repubs and Dems doesn’t really tell the story.


9 posted on 12/24/2007 6:36:45 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain! True Supporters of Our Troops Support the Necessity of their Sacrifice!)
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To: xzins
Doesn’t NH have open primaries? If so, polling likely Repubs and Dems doesn’t really tell the story.

Modified--those undeclared can vote in either primary.
10 posted on 12/24/2007 6:38:50 AM PST by OCCASparky (Steely-Eyed Killer of the Deep)
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To: xzins

Good point. On the RAT side, I think independents will break more for Obama than Edwards or Clinton. On the GOP side, independents will break for McCain but I don’t think McCain has a chance, even if he does win NH.


11 posted on 12/24/2007 6:47:55 AM PST by advance_copy (Stand for life or nothing at all)
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To: MNJohnnie
How many political knifes in the back from this guy do they need before they wake up?

Only Indepedendents like this guy, IMO. I cant imagine otherwise

12 posted on 12/24/2007 7:00:25 AM PST by Nonstatist
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To: advance_copy

I agree with you. Lieberman’s endorsement probably tilted the independents to McCain.

The Republicans in order of hardest to defeat would be, imho:

A Cheney
B- Thompson
B- Romney
C+ Hunter
C McCain
C Huckabee
F Giuliani
F Keyes


13 posted on 12/24/2007 7:03:08 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain! True Supporters of Our Troops Support the Necessity of their Sacrifice!)
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To: All

In general the open nature of NH’s primary means nothing this year. There is a hotly contested race on the Dem side. The Dems will vote in it. They will not corrupt the GOP results.


14 posted on 12/24/2007 2:38:08 PM PST by Owen
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To: advance_copy

>>These are now the polls that mean something.<<

These numbers are very suspicious. At the same time this poll was taken, Rasmussen shows Huckabee at 28% in Iowa but the Boston Globe says 10% ?????????


15 posted on 12/24/2007 9:20:15 PM PST by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (I want to "Buy American" but the only things for sale made in the USA are politicians)
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To: 668 - Neighbor of the Beast
My biggest fear is that when the other two destroy each other, Edwards will waltz away with the prize.

Why does that scare you? I think he'd be just as easy to beat as Hillary or Hussein. Is America really ready to elect an ambulance chasing, low-life, scumbag, Trial Lawyer as POTUS?
16 posted on 12/24/2007 10:37:03 PM PST by no dems (FRED THOMPSON: The only Conservative running who can beat Hillary or Obama.)
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To: no dems
Is America really ready to elect an ambulance chasing, low-life, scumbag, Trial Lawyer as POTUS?

Well I don't know but they did...twice...elect a skirt chasing low-life scumbag lying lawyer as POTUS. In fact his co-president wife was a skirt chasing low-life scumbag lying lawyer too. So I worry. Edwards doesn't have anywhere near as many dead bodies in his record, not to mention all the rest of the baggage train. And then there's the media. They don't love Hillary. They do love Edwards.

17 posted on 12/25/2007 11:48:01 AM PST by 668 - Neighbor of the Beast ( "Do well, but remember to do good.")
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