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Montana GOP's quirky caucus rules could favor longshots like Ron Paul
Associated Press (excerpt) ^ | December 31, 2007

Posted on 12/31/2007 1:05:20 AM PST by HAL9000

Excerpt-

HELENA, Mont.: Supporters of long-shot presidential hopeful Ron Paul say the Montana Republican Party's quirky caucus rules could create an opening for their candidate that other states don't offer.

Under the "closed caucus" system recently adopted by the Montana GOP, voting in the Feb. 5 caucus will be limited to about 3,000 Republicans who hold party posts, such as members of Congress, statewide officeholders and precinct captains. That includes hundreds of volunteer precinct posts that have long been vacant and that some candidates are now scrambling to fill with supporters.

At least three presidential candidates — former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Paul, a Texas congressman — are organizing in the state. A fourth candidate, John McCain, recently hired a Montana campaign chair.

"Some of the minor candidates are scrambling here to win in a small state so they can say, 'Look, we won somewhere,'" said political scientist Craig Wilson, a professor at Montana State University-Billings.

~ snip ~


(Excerpt) Read more at iht.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Montana
KEYWORDS: closedcaucus; darkhorse; duncanhunter; longshot; montana; montanacaucus; mt2008; ronpaul

1 posted on 12/31/2007 1:05:24 AM PST by HAL9000
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To: HAL9000

Maybe Duncan Hunter could pull an upset over here as well.

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According to Intrade, the winner of the December 12th GOP debate was... Duncan Hunter.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1938773/posts

Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts

In this poll Hunter is up 3% and even with Paul and Thompson.
http://www.wxyz.com/news/local/story.aspx?content_id=3481ef60-8195-46a9-af04-b87b907bcfdd


2 posted on 12/31/2007 1:22:35 AM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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To: Kevmo

Hunter, now your’e talking - a sane candidate with sane supporters.


3 posted on 12/31/2007 1:38:46 AM PST by Baladas
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To: Baladas

Here’s a snapshot from Intrade. There is evidence that Hunter is gaining ground in Iowa.

For the Iowa caucus, Thompson is at the bottom of the pack, Romney has regained the lead from Huckabee. Ron Paul and Hunter are both embedded together, so there’s no way of knowing if he’s gaining ground, but on the basis of the president.field contract moving, I’d say he’s probably at ~0.3 and Ron Paul is at ~4.8, which puts Hunter ahead of Thompson.

Caucus
REP.IOWA.HUCKABEE
Mike Huckabee to Win M 45.0 46.0 45.0 1690 +5.0
REP.IOWA.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to Win M 40.2 54.9 50.0 1960 0
REP.IOWA.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to Win M 0.1 1.4 0.1 642 -1.4
REP.IOWA.MCCAIN
John McCain to Win M 0.6 4.4 0.2 860 -2.8
REP.IOWA.GIULIANI
Rudy Giuliani to Win M - 0.1 0.1 701 0

REP.IOWA.FIELD
Field (any other individual) to Win M 4.7 5.9 4.8 1384 +1.0

2008.PRES.FIELD
Field (any other candidate) to win 2008 US Presidential Election M 0.2 0.3 0.2 14910 +0.1

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According to Intrade, the winner of the December 12th GOP debate was... Duncan Hunter.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1938773/posts

Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts

In this poll Hunter is up 3% and even with Paul and Thompson.
http://www.wxyz.com/news/local/story.aspx?content_id=3481ef60-8195-46a9-af04-b87b907bcfdd
Reply to this


4 posted on 12/31/2007 1:45:57 AM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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To: Kevmo

Okay, I’m replying! Got to go soon, was about to post this:
http://newsblaze.com/story/20071230223346nnnn.nb/newsblaze/TOPSTORY/Top-Stories.html

Duncan Hunter, I’ll think about that - I’ve a soft Thompson supporter now, I think - that from McCain from Romney. Laterz!


5 posted on 12/31/2007 1:59:35 AM PST by Baladas
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To: Baladas

I think it’s been posted.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1945598/posts


6 posted on 12/31/2007 2:14:44 AM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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To: HAL9000

I can’t bring myself to vote for a dem .............. but I wish I could find a REAL conservative ....... Rudy=RINO ...... Huckelberry=RINO ........ McCain(Huge respect for him,I am RVN vet)=RINO ....... Fred=maybe .......... Tancredo=would have voted for him,but he had no chance,so he quit ......... will vote for anybody not dem ............. Ronaldis Magnis RIP


7 posted on 12/31/2007 2:16:03 AM PST by shooter223 (the government should fear the citizens......not the other way around)
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To: shooter223

How about Hunter?


8 posted on 12/31/2007 2:30:28 AM PST by SolidWood (Al Gore: "I have never heard of this, but I think it is a very good idea,")
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To: SolidWood

probably better than the rest


9 posted on 12/31/2007 2:41:40 AM PST by shooter223 (the government should fear the citizens......not the other way around)
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To: SolidWood

2 finest presidents .............. Washington(he gave us this country,could have been president for life,and chose not to) ................ Reagan(he saved this country and could not run again)


10 posted on 12/31/2007 2:51:49 AM PST by shooter223 (the government should fear the citizens......not the other way around)
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To: HAL9000

Hunter is the only Conservative left in the race. Duncan Hunter foe President!!!!


11 posted on 12/31/2007 3:55:52 AM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it! Duncan Hunter is a Cosponsor.)
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To: Man50D

foe=for. Darn keyboard! ;O)


12 posted on 12/31/2007 3:56:48 AM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it! Duncan Hunter is a Cosponsor.)
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To: shooter223

Absolutely better than the rest. No question.


13 posted on 12/31/2007 4:01:38 AM PST by ovrtaxt (Hunter is ignored by the MSM for a reason.)
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To: HAL9000

I’m not concerned if THE KOOK becomes president of Montana.


14 posted on 12/31/2007 4:48:25 AM PST by AmericaUnited
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