Here’s a snapshot from Intrade. There is evidence that Hunter is gaining ground in Iowa.
For the Iowa caucus, Thompson is at the bottom of the pack, Romney has regained the lead from Huckabee. Ron Paul and Hunter are both embedded together, so there’s no way of knowing if he’s gaining ground, but on the basis of the president.field contract moving, I’d say he’s probably at ~0.3 and Ron Paul is at ~4.8, which puts Hunter ahead of Thompson.
Mike Huckabee to Win M 45.0 46.0 45.0 1690 +5.0
Mitt Romney to Win M 40.2 54.9 50.0 1960 0
Fred Thompson to Win M 0.1 1.4 0.1 642 -1.4
John McCain to Win M 0.6 4.4 0.2 860 -2.8
Rudy Giuliani to Win M - 0.1 0.1 701 0
Field (any other individual) to Win M 4.7 5.9 4.8 1384 +1.0
Field (any other candidate) to win 2008 US Presidential Election M 0.2 0.3 0.2 14910 +0.1
According to Intrade, the winner of the December 12th GOP debate was... Duncan Hunter.
Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
In this poll Hunter is up 3% and even with Paul and Thompson.
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Okay, I’m replying! Got to go soon, was about to post this:
Duncan Hunter, I’ll think about that - I’ve a soft Thompson supporter now, I think - that from McCain from Romney. Laterz!