Skip to comments.REALCLEAR POLITICS How Clinton Won-(Popular Among The Old, The Poor, And the Uneducated)
Posted on 01/08/2008 11:06:03 PM PST by tcrlaf
Hillary Clinton won last night by putting together the voting coalition that has held Democratic frontrunners in good stead for 75 years.
Take a look at these numbers - all of which come from CNN's cross-tabulated exit polls. Hillary won many elements of the traditional FDR coalition.
-Self-identified Democrats made up 54% of the electorate. She won them, 45% to 34%. -She won voters without a college degree, 43% to 35%.
-She won voters with incomes less than $50,000, 47% to 32%.
-She won voters over the age of 65, 48% to 32%. She also won voters in their 40s (44% to 33%) and their 50s (39% to 30%).
-She won Catholics, 44% to 27%.
-She won urban voters, 43% to 35%. She won suburban voters, 42% to 31%.
-She won voters from union families, 40% to 31%.
-She won voters who said they have been "falling behind" economically, 43% to 33%.
-She won long-time voters, 38% to 33%.
Obama, on the other hand, had a very different electorate -He won Independents, 41% to 31%. -He won voters with at least a college degree, 39% to 34%.
-He won voters who make more than $50,000, 40% to 35%.
-He won college age voters, 60% to 22%. He split voters in their late 20s, 35% to 37%. He won voters in their 30s, 43% to 36%.
-He split Protestant voters, 36% to 36%.
-He won rural voters, 39% to 34%.
-He split voters from non-union households, 39% to 38%.
-He won voters who said they were "getting ahead" economically, 48% to 31%.
-He won first time voters, 47% to 37%.
An additional ingredient to Clinton's success was a victory among female voters, 46% to 34%. Obama won male voters, 40% to 29%. But female voters outvoted male voters, 57% to 43%.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
THE MONEY QUOTE: Some pundits will probably reference Saturday's debate or Clinton's near-crying moment as reasons she surged late. The exit polling does not back this up. Obama won voters who decided sometime between a month and three days ago. And the two split voters who decided today - 39% to Clinton, 36% to Obama. Clinton dominated among voters who said they decided earlier than a month ago, 48% to 31%.
This supports the idea that Clinton won by mobilizing the traditional Democratic coalition that is demographically inclined to her. You don't just win elections by persuading people you're the best candidate. You win elections by getting those people out to the polls. This appears to be what Clinton did.
Accordingly - the implication is that the polls were wrong not because of last-minute shifts. They were wrong because they underestimated Clinton's ability to draw out her base.
Dead people don’t get exit polled....
**-She won Catholics, 44% to 27%. **
-She won Catholics in Name ONLY, 44% to 27%.
A REAL Catholic would not vote for Clintoon, because she has support abortion, including partial birth abortion.
I’m not dead yet....
Wait, I’m not one of the sum bitches who voted for her, nor would I EVER vote for her.
God I hate election season......can we shot them like it’s duck season?
"I think she's dead"
"No I'm not!!"
She won urban voters, 43% to 35%. She won suburban voters, 42% to 31%.
Clinton voters won, because they are radical man-haters. Almost all of them are sure to actually get out and vote. Quite a few years back, I researched their internal activities and histories. Shalala was the one most influential person in starting to get the Clinton herd together long before the ‘90s. If Obama supporters could get more of their people out to vote, he could win. Thus, one of the differences between the various survey results and the actual vote in NH.
Well, how’d she do with FEMALE voters?
We can’t ask how BO did with black voters because they are, what, 2% of the NH population?
You can’t fool all of the people all of the time. But you can fool the old, the poor, and the uneducated all of the time.
Why would we listen to anything they say, foo; me once.....
The day I believe CNN will be the day Al Gore will be shoveling out my driveway.
In other words the pollsters misjudged the number of likely voters- those who told the pollsters weren't likely to vote but did get off their butts and went and voted for Clinton.
"How Clinton Won-(Popular Among The Old, The Poor, And the Uneducated)"....add the dead and the bussed in.
Hillery has a lot of explaining to do on why her poll projections were off so far while the Republican ones were highly accurate. She brought in a lot of voters , but from where?
"We got out a lot of the vote" means an entirely different thing to a Clinton. Likely many were from Maine.
**-She won Catholics, 44% to 27%. **
I don’t know any devoted, practising Catholic who would vote for Hillary666 (or any pro-abortion candidate).
Agreed, there’s a lot of CINO’s—cradle Catholics who go to mass at Easter and Christmas only—they’re the most likely Hillary666 supporters.
Two words: Karl Rove.
Hillary is the GOP's preferred opponent. Now she's going to win ... but only after alienating African-American voters who were led to the mountaintop and then shoved off the cliff.
Now we know why Rove left the White House. He's controlling the democrat race with the disgronificator. Magnificent bastard.
Gov freebies always attract this crowd.
IOW, voters "with needs".